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#197736 - 03/09/10 09:23 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: tinfw17]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 3978
Loc: TX
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ICE PICKS
Tuesday's Best NHL Bets
Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs (+110, 5)
The Bruins left Pittsburgh after Sunday’s 2-1 loss to the Penguins with more than just a bruised ego. Center Marc Savard got leveled from behind by Matt Cooke and fell unconscious to the ice. He eventually regained consciousness, but suffered a concussion and is doubtful for Tuesday’s game.
Head coach Claude Julien was incensed after the game, calling for Cooke’s suspension.
“A guy like that has to be suspended,” Julien told The Boston Globe. “That’s the way I see it because it’s an elbow to the head from the blind side, and that’s exactly the example they show, what we’ve got to get out of our game.
“We got a guy who’s got a concussion, our best player, and he’s going to be out for a while. He was on the ice for a bit and that’s unacceptable.”
Boston was already the NHL’s lowest scoring team with an average of 2.31 goals per game and things won’t be getting any better with Savard out of the lineup.
Goals should be hard to come by in this one. The Maple Leafs have only managed to light the lamp five times in their four games since the Olympic break and six of their last seven outings have gone under the total.
Pick: Under
Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche (+100, 5.5)
The Vancouver Canucks came from behind again and grabbed their 40th win of the season, beating the Nashville Predators 4-2 Sunday after trailing 2-1 in the third period.
Goalie Roberto Luongo bounced back from his atrocious performance against the Blackhawks Friday night, making 33 saves even though he directed a puck into the net with the knob of his stick for the second time in as many games.
“I couldn’t really believe that it happened again”, Luongo told The Vancouver Sun. “I’m just being mentally tested right now. I was able to put it behind me and keep playing.”
Vancouver sits at the top of the Northwest Division standings because of its ability to grind out wins. The Canucks lead the NHL with nine victories on the season when trailing after two periods and have totaled 82 third-period goals.
Expect them to do just that against the Colorado Avalanche.
Pick: Canucks
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#197737 - 03/09/10 09:23 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: tinfw17]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 3978
Loc: TX
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets
Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks (-1, 188)
Boston’s “Three Party” of Ray Allen, Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett has turned into an “over the hill” social hangover.
All three members of the Big Three are posting their lowest scoring totals since their rookie seasons and Rajon Rondo is the only player in a Celtic uniform pulling his weight these days.
The aging squad struggled to defeat the lowly Wizards on Sunday, trailing by 13 with six minutes left, which was only four games removed from an embarrassing 104-96 home loss to the Nets.
"We've lost so many of these where we played poorly and lost," Doc Rivers said after the come-from-behind victory Sunday. "It was nice to play poorly and win. I just wish we could have played the first 40 minutes, like we played the last eight."
That was about the umpteenth time Rivers has used the word “poorly” to describe his team this year. Rondo said a few weeks ago that there hasn't been the same Celtic vibe and pride in the locker room as there has been in the last couple of seasons.
This is clearly not the same Boston squad that won the NBA championship two years ago and it has not been kind to bettors recently, going 11-18-1 ATS since the New Year.
And honestly, how can you bet against the Bucks at this point? Milwaukee has covered the spread in 10 straight and is 21-4 ATS in their last 25 games.
Pick: Bucks
Miami Heat at Charlotte Bobcats (-3, 185)
Dwyane Wade and the Heat will almost certainly score more than the 65 points they posted against the Bobcats on Jan. 20.
In that dismal affair, Miami shot less than 30 percent from the floor, only hit 2-of-23 three-point attempts and was a smidgen better than 60 percent from the charity stripe as a team.
So was it an off-night for the Heat or was Charlotte’s defense that good? Maybe a little bit of both.
Miami (96.3) and Charlotte (94.8) rank No. 26 and 28 in the Association in scoring, but are also in the Top 5 in scoring defense with both teams surrendering fewer than 96 points per outing.
The Bobcats have played to five consecutive unders where only one total was posted at higher than 194. Charlotte held opponents to 91.0 ppg during that stretch.
Prior to three straight overs, where the Heat played up-tempo teams like Golden State and Atlanta (also one OT game with L.A.), the under had cashed in 9-of-10 Miami contests.
Points will come at a premium in the Southeast showdown on Tuesday.
Pick: Under
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#197738 - 03/09/10 09:23 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: tinfw17]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 3978
Loc: TX
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SPORTS ADVISORS
TUESDAY, MARCH 9
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
BIG EAST TOURNAMENT
(at New York)
Providence (12-18, 10-15-1 ATS) vs. Seton Hall (18-11, 8-15 ATS)
These teams closed the regular-season against each other on Saturday, with Providence falling 92-80 as a one-point home underdog. The Friars enter the conference tournament at Madison Square Garden on a 10-game losing skid (3-6-1 ATS), and they’ve lost 12 of their last 13 since starting Big East play 3-2 SU and ATS. Providence’s defense has been nonexistent, giving up more than 90 points in three of the last four games and seven of the last 13. Furthermore, the Friars surrendered more than 80 points in 13 of 18 conference contests. With Seton Hall’s win at Providence on Saturday, the Pirates are now on a 6-2 run, and they’ve followed up a 1-6 ATS slump with consecutive spread-covers (both on the road). Seton Hall has scored 83, 85 and 92 points in its last three games, and has tallied at least 76 points six times during its current 6-2 streak. Seton Hall has won three of the last four in this rivalry both SU and ATS, and the winning team has scored 88, 98 and 92 points in the last three clashes. The Pirates are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 head-to-head battles, the ‘dog has covered in seven of the last 10 and the SU winner has cashed in each of the last nine meetings. Both teams are struggling at the betting window. Providence is in ATS slumps of 2-6-1 overall (all in the Big East and all against winning teams), 1-4 at neutral sites and 1-3-1 after a non-cover. The Pirates have failed to cover in 14 of 20 overall, 13 of 19 against Big East foes, 19 of 26 at neutral sites and eight of 10 after a SU victory. On the bright side, Seton Hall is 5-2 ATS both in its last seven Tuesday contests and its last seven versus losing teams. The over is on runs of 4-1 for the Friars overall (all in the Big East), 5-1 for the Friars against winning teams, 4-1 for Seton Hall at neutral sites and 5-1 in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SETON HALL and OVER
Rutgers (15-16, 12-14 ATS) vs. Cincinnati (16-14, 7-18 ATS)
Rutgers has followed up a modest three-game winning streak (2-0 in Big East play) by dropping four of its last five, including Saturday’s ugly 83-54 loss at Pittsburgh, failing to cover as a 14½-point road underdog. The Scarlet Knights started Big East play with eight consecutive SU and ATS losses, then covered in seven of their next eight games (5-3 SU) and now have dropped two in a row SU and ATS. After two narrow losses to eighth-ranked West Virginia (74-68 on the road) and ninth-ranked Villanova (77-73 at home), the Bearcats went to No. 19 Georgetown for Saturday’s regular-season finale and got boat-raced 74-47 as a seven-point road underdog. Cincinnati has lost seven of its last nine games and is 4-14 ATS since the Big East season kicked off. One of the Bearcats’ four spread-covers in conference play came back on Jan. 2 at Rutgers, a 65-58 win as a five-point road favorite. Cincinnati 3-0 SU and ATS in the last three meetings after the Scarlet Knights went 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the first three clashes since the Big East expanded in 2005-06. The favorite has gotten the money in each of the last four meetings. Rutgers has cashed in seven of 10 overall (all in conference) and five of six on Tuesday, but it is 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral-site games, 3-9 ATS in its last 12 after a SU victory, 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 after a non-cover and 5-11 ATS in its last 16 against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Bearcats’ are in pointspread ruts of 7-22 overall (4-14 last 18), 6-20 in the Big East, 5-16 after a SU defeat, 4-13 after a non-cover, 1-4 against losing teams and 1-5 on Tuesday. The over is 6-2 in Rutgers’ last eight games after a loss of more than 20 points and 4-0 in Cincy’s last four after a loss of more than 20 points, but the Bearcats are also on “under” stretches of 5-0 at neutral sites, 4-0 on Tuesday and 9-3 after a loss. Finally, this year’s meeting stayed under the total following a 3-0 “over” surge in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: RUTGERS
HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNAMENT
(at Indianapolis)
Wright State (20-11, 11-15-2 ATS) at (12) Butler (27-4, 12-19 ATS)
Wright State advanced to the Horizon League tournament championship game with Saturday’s 69-50 rout of Detroit as a 5½-point favorite at Hinkle Fieldhouse, which is Butler’s home court. The Raiders have alternated wins and losses in their last five games, but they’re 9-3 SU in their last 12 contests (all in the Horizon). On the downside, Wright State is just 4-10-2 ATS in its last 16 outings, and it has posted consecutive spread-covers just once since starting the season 4-0 ATS. Butler, shooting for its third consecutive Horizon League championship, has a 19-game winning streak on the line today, and it also sports a 19-0 record in conference. On Saturday, the Bulldogs hosted Wisconsin-Milwaukee in semifinal action and pulled away late for a 68-59 victory, falling short as a 14½-point favorite. Butler has turned up the heat defensively, holding six of its last seven opponents and 10 of the last 13 under 60 points. The Bulldogs swept the season series from the Raiders, winning 77-65 as a 1½-point road underdog and 74-62 as an eight-point home chalk. Since losing three straight to Wright State – including the 2007 conference tournament championship game – Butler has won six in a row in this rivalry, going 4-1 ATS. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings, the underdog is 6-3 ATS in the last nine and the SU winner is 9-2 ATS in the last 11. Wright State has cashed in seven of eight on Tuesday, but from there the pointspread trends turn negative, including 1-11-1 on the road, 4-10-2 in conference, 1-4-1 after a SU win, 1-5 following a spread-cover, 3-8-2 against teams with a winning record and 2-10 against opponents with a winning percentage above .600. Butler is on ATS slides of 2-5 overall, 2-6 at home, 0-4 on Tuesday and 2-5 after a SU win. The under is on runs of 8-2-1 for the Raiders on Tuesday, 4-0 for Butler overall and 5-1 for Butler in Horizon action. However, the over is 4-0 in Wright State’s last four against winning teams, 4-0 in Butler’s last four against winning teams, 6-2 in Butler’s last eight on Tuesday and 4-0 in the last four battles between these schools.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BUTLER and OVER
NBA
Boston (40-21, 24-36-1 ATS) at Milwaukee (33-29, 41-21 ATS)
Two squads going in the right direction clash at the Bradley Center, where the Celtics put a four-game winning streak on the line against the surging Bucks, who have won three in a row and nine of their last 10. Boston needed a furious fourth-quarter rally to knock off the lowly Wizards 86-83 on Sunday, never threatening to cover as a 12-point home favorite to halt a three-game ATS surge. The Celtics have won four in a row and 11 of their last 16, but their 3-1 ATS uptick comes on the heels of an 11-25 ATS funk. The Bucks started last week with a home-and-home sweep of the Wizards (100-87 victory as a 10-point home favorite; 102-74 as a four-point road chalk). Then they caught a break against Cleveland on Saturday, as LeBron James sat out with an injury and Milwaukee took advantage with a 92-85 victory over the Cavaliers as a 3½-point home favorite. The Bucks have cashed in 10 straight games (9-1 ATS) – going 4-0 SU and ATS at home – and they now have the best pointspread mark in the NBA. Boston took out Milwaukee 98-89 in the only previous meeting this season, but the Bucks cashed as a 12½-point road underdog, their fourth straight spread-cover in this rivalry (all as an underdog). The Celtics are 7-1 SU in the last eight series clashes, but Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 (4-1 ATS at the Bradley Center). The Celtics have cashed in four of their last five on the highway, but they’re otherwise in ATS ruts of 7-16-1 overall, 3-7 against Eastern Conference foes, 1-4 versus the Central Division, 3-8-1 against winning teams, 5-15-1 after one day off, 3-11-1 following a non-cover and 1-4 on Tuesday. Conversely, Milwaukee is on positive ATS runs of 44-21-1 going back to the end of last year, 4-0 at home, 22-6 in Eastern Conference games, 13-3 when facing the Atlantic Division, 4-1 when playing on two days of rest and 22-8 after a spread-cover. Boston is on “under” runs of 6-2 on the road, 5-2 against the Central Division and 7-2 after a SU victory, while the Bucks sport “under” trends of 4-1 overall, 7-2 at home, 20-6 within the Eastern Conference, 10-4 after a SU win, 4-1 versus the Atlantic Division and 5-1 on Tuesday. Finally, the last two meetings between these squads have stayed below the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE and UNDER
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#197754 - 03/09/10 11:27 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: bailout]
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Head of Security
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 02/11/09
Posts: 17224
Loc: usa
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ASA
NCAAB BIG EAST TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR - DAY GAME
PLAY ON Connecticut (-) vs. St. Johns, Tuesday at 2:00 PM EST on ESPN
The Huskies were an under achieving team all season long finishing the regular season with just a 17-14 losing their last three games. UConn is MUCH more talented than their record might indicate and those teams can be ultra dangerous come post-season time. The Huskies no their only chance to make the Dance is to make a deep run in the Big East tourney and they might even have to win it. They have the talent and we expect the “drive” to be their also starting against St. Johns on Tuesday afternoon. As we stated UConn lost their final three games by 2 points at home to Louisville, by 8 @ red hot Notre Dame followed up by a 7-point loss @ South Florida. It was the loss at USF that really got head coach Jim Calhoun worked up. He was extremely disappointed in his seniors’ effort in that game. With the Huskies down just 2 at half, they started the second half very poorly with the Bulls ripping off a 12-1 run to start the half and lead 45-32. Calhoun was furious with the lack of effort and benched his 5 starters with 16:00 minutes remaining. Three seniors, Jerome Dyson, Stanley Robinson and Gavin Edwards would not see the floor again. Calhoun was sending a message benching three players that combine to average 42 PPG on the season. His reserves brought them back to within a bucket before bowing out and dropping the 7-point decision. “The team that you saw at the end will be the team that starts on Tuesday,” said Calhoun. When Dyson, Robinson and Edwards get in the game vs. St. Johns, we look for a huge effort in what could be the final game of their careers if they don’t get the win. The last time Calhoun called out his team for a poor effort was following a 12-point home loss to Cincinnati. After that game, the Huskies ripped off three impressive wins including topping both Villanova (on the road) and West Virginia, two of the best teams in the Big East. Look for similar results on Tuesday. These two met once this season and Connecticut handled St. Johns with ease 75-59. The Husky defense, which is one of the best in the nation, dominated that day holding the Johnnies to just 34% shooting and only 2 made three pointers. Don’t look for St. Johns to finally get hot on offense as they have struggled most of the season hitting just 42% of their shots. While they have a similar record to UConn, they haven’t beaten any elite teams this year. They have feasted on the teams they were “supposed to” beat. Topping an inconsistent Louisville team and beating a then struggling Notre Dame team by a point were St. Johns best two Big East wins. The Huskies have shown they can beat the big boys as we mentioned with wins over Villanova and West Virginia (and Texas). They also took two future #1 seeds to the wire before losing by 3 to Kentucky and by 5 @ Syracuse. If motivated, this team can play with anyone. They are just that here and will dominated St. Johns for the second time this season. Lay this small number.
Best of Luck,
_________________________
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#197755 - 03/09/10 11:28 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: K]
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Head of Security
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 02/11/09
Posts: 17224
Loc: usa
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Marc Lawrence
Utah Jazz at Chicago Bulls Prediction: Chicago Bulls
The Bulls host the Jazz in a non-conference clash in the Windy City Tuesday evening knowing Chicago is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in this series when playing off a loss. They are also 5-1 ATS as a series host when off a loss. With Utah taking to the road off a string of five consecutive conference clashes, look for the Bulls to improve on their numbers here tonight.
BIG AL
Toronto Raptors at LA Lakers
The Lakers are 0-7 OU (-12.3 ppg) after two away losses in which Kobe Bryant took more than 20 shots in each and 0-4 OU (-11.5 ppg) after a loss in which Andrew Bynum shot worse than 33% from the field. Also, the Lakers are The Lakers are 0-5 OU (-13.7 ppg) when facing a team they lost to in their previous same-season match-up and 0-7 OU (-10.9 ppg) as a home favorite after a road loss in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.
Play on: Under
Matt Fargo
Montana vs. NO. Colorado Play: NO. Colorado +1.5
So exactly why is Montana favored here? It is obviously based on name alone and not by the quality of these two teams. Northern Colorado has had a sensational season yet no one has seemed to notice with the exception of one place. The Bears are the highest ranked team in the Big Sky Conference in the latest mid-major poll provided by CollegeInsider as they are ranked 11th followed by Weber St. coming in at 15th. Montana is no where to be found yet it is labeled as the favorite in this matchup. Northern Colorado is riding a four-game winning streak and overall it is 24-6 on the season which includes a solid 12-5 record away from home. One of those losses was a one-point setback at Oklahoma and while the Sooners are in a down year, this is still a team from the Big XII we are talking about. The Bears had four losses by six points or fewer and one of those came at home against Montana by two points which was their only home loss this season. That could raise some questions about being at a matchup disadvantage but it won in Montana by 11 points prior to that. Motivation is not an issue this time of year for most but that home loss should give Northern Colorado a little extra in the tank for today. Montana easily took care of Northern Arizona in the first round of the Big Sky Tournament but that game was at home and came against a team it completely dominated in all three meetings this season. The Bears have edges on the defensive side of the floor as well as free throw shooting, both of which are extremely important this time of year. They are 18th in the nation in free throw shooting at 74.6 percent and even better is the fact that they average over 25 attempts per game. With a win tonight Northern Colorado would set a school record for most wins in a season and the 13th non-home win would be good for third most in the entire country and that is saying something. 3* Northern Colorado Bears
Craig Trapp
Rutgers vs. Cincinnati Play: Rutgers +7.5
The Bearcats are playing some of the worst basketball in the Big East, in fact they are 2-8 ATS in L10 and an even worse 7-18 ATS overall. Rutgers has at least looked competitive in the last 10 with a record 4-3 ATS in L7 games including a huge win against Georgetown about 3 weeks ago. Like a home game for Rutgers as well can't hurt. Lace Stephenson for the Cats is a NY legend but his homecoming games this year has not been good as he really has pressed in those games. Expect the same this game as Cincy pulls off a last second win, take the points with Rutgers!
DAVID CHAN
Miami @ Charlotte Bobcats PICK: Charlotte Bobcats -3
Some teams just match up really well against other teams. That’s the case here: the Bobcats have mauled Miami in both meetings this season. When these teams played six weeks ago, Miami was absolutely smothered and scored 65 points. Dwyane Wade had 16 points, but one lonely assist to go with them.
The line in that game was Bobcats -4. The Heat are 11-11 since and the Bobcats are 9-12, but the Bobcats had two trips out West in that stretch. Starting this number below 4 is a mistake, and given this season’s results I’d set it at 5 or 5.5.
Nick “The BookieKiller” Parsons
Calgary @ Detroit Pick: Calgary +1.5
A critical Western Conference matchup sees the Calgary Flames travel to Detroit to take on the Red Wings; for a number of different reasons I believe the prudent wager in this one is the Flames on the "puck line":
The Wings are currently holding down the eighth spot in the West with the Flames sitting in ninth.
Calgary has won three of four; Detroit four of five.
Detroit beat Chicago 5-4 on Sunday; Calgary whipped the Wild 5-2 later the same day.
Miikka Kiprusoff is 4-2-0 with 2.31 GAA in his last six starts against the Wings and is expected to get the start tonight.
Calgary has seemingly turned a corner after a rough patch and I believe it will leave everything it has on the ice tonight as it gears up for a run down the stretch; in a tightly contested affair which could very well see OT; consider laying it here for the +1.5
Joseph D'Amico
Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks pLAY: Milwaukee Bucks -1
The Buck's are the hottest team in the NBA, winning 9 of their L10 SU and covering 10 straight. They dismantled the Cav's 92-85 on Saturday. All 5 starters are averaging DD"s each game, including Forward John Salmons who is posting 19.2 PPG. When hosting, Milwaukee is 19-10 ATS TY and are outscoring visiting foes by an average of 4.1 PPG. Boston is playing well, but are just 7-16-1 ATS their L24 games overall. They are just not covering the number. The Celtic's can't seem to get over on the Buck's, as they are 0-4 ATS their L4 against them and 1-4 ATS their L5 in Miwasukee. The Celtic's are also 5-15-1 ATS their L21 games played on 1 days rest, 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the NBA Central, and 3-8-1 ATS their L12 vs. teams with a winning record. The Buck's 4-0 ATS their L4 at home, 13-3 ATS their L16 vs. the NBA Atlantic, and 23-8 ATS their L31 as a favorite. Milwaukee wins and covers at home.
JIM FEIST
UTAH JAZZ / CHICAGO BULLS TAKE OVER
Utah is going to its strength, the uptempo offense. The Jazz scored 133 points on Houston, part of a 6-1 run over the total. Of course, they allowed 103 or more points in five of those seven games. Now they face another uptempo team in Chicago, on a 4-2 run over the total. Sparkplug guard Derrick Rose leads an offense that just scored 116 on Dallas....but they gave up 122! In fact, the Bulls have given up over 100 points in 7 straight games, so they have become all-offense-or-nothing. Look for an offensive show in the Windy City. Play the Jazz/Bulls Over the total.
EZWINNERS
Milwaukee Bucks -1
Milwaukee is red hot having won nine out of their last ten games and going 10-0 against the spread in those games! Rookie point guard Brandon Jennings is playing very well again and the picking up John Salmons from the Bulls at the trade deadline has proven to be a very nice move so far. Boston just can't seem to get things rolling. They are coming off of a win against Washington, but it was a struggle. The Celtics are only 7-16 against the spread in their last twenty three games and they have struggled in Milwaukee where they are only 1-4 against the spread in their last five visits. I'll look for the Bucks to keep their hot streak going, play on Milwaukee..
James Patrick Sports
George Washington vs. Dayton
The Flyers are off a home loss to St. Louis and Dayton is a different team at home with a (32-2) record at Dayton Arena. The Flyers have (4) starters and (10) of the top (11) scorers back for HC Brian Gregory and look for their stingy defense to be at the top of their game in UD Arena against the Colonials here. George Washington checks in at (2-7) ATS their past (9) on Tuesday and we expected a lot out of Dayton this season and think the Huge Loss to the Billikens may have been the boost they needed to play up to their projected potential. The Flyers in the Birthplace of Flight as James Patrick Sports Tuesday selection in Atlantic 10 action.
Great Lakes Sports
St Joseph's vs Rhode Island Play: Rhode Island
The Rhode Island Rams are a very solid 14-7 ATS vs St Joseph since 1997, and the Rhode Island Rams are a very nice 3-1 ATS when playing on Tuesday's this year. The St Joseph Hawks are a terrible 7-12 ATS in the role of an underdog this year, and they are a dismal 4-9 ATS when playing on the road this year. We look for the Rhode Island Rams to grab the tournament ATS Win&Cover tonight.
Michael Cannon
St. John's vs. Connecticut (-4), at NEW YORK
I'm 4-1 with my last five overall free plays! Take Connecticut minus the points over St. John’s in the opening round of the Big East tournament. I can’t see the Huskies falling flat in this game. They know their Tournament lives are at stake and nothing less than a good showing in the Big East tournament will suffice. St. John’s has lost nine straight to UConn, and the Red Storm are just 3-6 ATS during that slide. The Huskies have lost three straight, but prior to that had won three in a row including impressive wins at Villanova and at home over West Virginia. Take UConn minus the points as they grab the win and cover.
2♦ CONNECTICUT
Bobby Maxwell
Wright St. vs. Butler (-9) at Indianapolis
Scored the FREE winner on Monday with the Mavericks winning and covering in Minnesota. The win improved my comp play record to 63-32-3 with my last 98 selections and I've got a college winner for you today as I lay the chalk with Butler against Wright St. Butler is playing at home in this one and they’re going to blow Wright State out of the water in this one. The Bulldogs are riding a 19-game winning streak and have won two straight Horizon League championship games coming in to this one. They’re 19-0 in conference play and have clearly been the class of this league. Butler beat Wright State 77-65 as a 1 ½-point road underdog and scored a 74-62 win as an eight-point home favorite. The Bulldogs have beaten the Raiders six straight (4-1 ATS) and the home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings. And this one is on the Bulldogs’ home turf. Wright State is on ATS slides of 1-11-1 on the road, 4-10-2 against Horizon foes, 1-4-1 after a straight-up win, 1-5 after a spread-cover and 2-10 against opponents with a winning percentage better than .600. The Raiders just aren’t able to step up in class while Butler does know how and has frequently. Lay the chalk with the Bulldogs in this one as they score a third-straight conference tourney title in easy fashion. Play Butler.
5♦ BUTLER
Karl Garrett
St. Joseph's (+8) at RHODE ISLAND
My free play run stands at 12-5-1 coming into Tuesday's action, and I will gladly take the points in the St. Joe's-Rhode Island contest, as the Rams certainly don't look like the same team that they were earlier this season. Rhode Island comes into this one in a tailspin, losers of 5 of their last 7 straight up, and the Rams are a money-burning 3-8 against the spread in their lined home games this season. True, the Hawks sport only 11 wins on the season, but they do enter riding a 2-game win streak, and they have also won 7 of the last 10 series meetings. The Rams punished the Hawks, 101-74 earlier this year in Kingston, but the underdog is on a 7-2 spread run the last 9 series meetings. G-Man will ride the dog once again in this A-10 first opening round battle.
1♦ ST. JOSEPH'S
_________________________
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