Home Forums Skybox Sports Bar Controlling the Boards 12/14

INDIANA (8 - 13) at ORLANDO (17 - 6) - 12/14/2009, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (7 - 16) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 18) - 12/14/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 97-130 ATS (-46.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 85-59 ATS (+20.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games first half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (19 - 4) at MEMPHIS (10 - 13) - 12/14/2009, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
BOSTON is 127-98 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (10 - 12) at DALLAS (17 - 7) - 12/14/2009, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 45-63 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 174-133 ATS (+27.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 214-154 ATS (+44.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 124-83 ATS (+32.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 9-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 10-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 21) at UTAH (14 - 9) - 12/14/2009, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
UTAH is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 10) at DENVER (17 - 7) - 12/14/2009, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 71-50 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (7 - 14) at LA CLIPPERS (9 - 13) - 12/14/2009, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Golden State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. ORLANDO
Indiana is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Indiana is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Orlando is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Indiana
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. MEMPHIS
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 17-6-2 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Boston
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DALLAS
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. UTAH
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 2-21 SU in its last 23 games
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Utah is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DENVER
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oklahoma City is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Denver is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games

10:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
Washington is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 8 games when playing Washington

INDIANA at ORLANDO, 7:05 PM ET
INDIANA: 2-7 ATS as road underdog
ORLANDO: 8-1 Over in home games

GOLDEN STATE at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
GOLDEN STATE: 11-2 ATS vs. Atlantic Division
PHILADELPHIA: 1-10 ATS in home games

BOSTON at MEMPHIS, 8:05 PM ET
BOSTON: 14-4 Under in non-conf road games
MEMPHIS: 33-17 ATS at home off road game

NEW ORLEANS at DALLAS, 8:35 PM ET NBA TV
NEW ORLEANS: 16-2 Under if favored L4 games
DALLAS: 4-14 ATS off 3+ SU wins

MINNESOTA at UTAH, 9:05 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 7-19 ATS off 2 straight road losses
UTAH: 179-137 Under playing with same season revenge

OKLAHOMA CITY at DENVER, 9:05 PM ET
OKLAHOMA CITY: 8-0 ATS off ATS loss
DENVER: 8-0 Over vs. Oklahoma City

WASHINGTON at LA CLIPPERS, 10:35 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 8-1 Under in road games
LA CLIPPERS: 35-61 ATS in home games

New Orleans Hornets at Dallas Mavericks (-8.5, 193.5)

It’s funny what a contract year can do for a player’s productivity in the NBA. Erick Dampier enjoyed his finest pro season in the final year of a contract back in 2003-04.

Dallas swooped in and signed the big man to a huge seven-year deal. Of course he’s enjoying his finest season since then this year and will be a free agent this summer.

He’s averaging 17 points, 17.5 rebounds and 2.5 blocks over the last two games, which has been appreciated by his teammates.

“The big fella has to play, plain and simple,” Jason Terry told The Dallas Morning News after a 13-point win over Miami on Friday. “We got to have Erick Dampier on the court. I don’t care what team we’re playing against – big lineup, little lineup, what have you. He has to be out there.

“He’s having an outstanding year, and whatever we have to do to keep him out there, we have to do.”

The Mavs don’t know what they can get from Josh Howard on a night to night basis, but they can rely on Dampier for rebounding and interior defense, at least for this year.

Pick: Dallas


Golden State at Philadelphia (+3.5, 210)

Just call Golden State the ''Road'' Warriors. Unfortunately for them, they are showing signs of home sickness.

The Warriors are on the final game of a five-game, seven-day road trip that zigged and zagged its way across the USA, from Oklahoma City to New Jersey to Chicago to Detroit and finally back in Philly.

Looks like a flight itinerary from a discount airline, and the Warriors needed their automatic time-zone changers on their cell phones. It's the kind of trip that can make or break team chemistry, and this one appears to be having the latter affect on Golden State.

Two Warriors went down with injuries Saturday night - center Andris Biedrins (groin) and forward Ronny Turiaf (knee), who are out indefinitely. Sure, it's only 8.3 points and 11.3 rebounds per game, but they make a total of six Warriors sitting on the sidelines.

Too bad they are playing the Sixers or this one might be a lock. How can you trust a team that's lost 10 straight to cover against any team, even one as road weary as the Warriors?

You can't, but with both teams struggling on offense there is one smart play. The Warriors have gone under the total on all four games on this road trip and the Sixers have gone under in their three previous home games.

Just root for defense, or for a lack of offense.

Pick: Under 210