#145402 - 10/05/08 04:30 AM
10/7
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FREAK
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#145610 - 10/07/08 12:40 AM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
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Light day on the schedule.... roll em out...
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#145638 - 10/07/08 09:51 AM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
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Rocco Spacamuro
50* Troy -4
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#145639 - 10/07/08 09:51 AM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
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Jeff Bonds
Double-Dime
Troy -3.5
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#145640 - 10/07/08 10:15 AM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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Henryjames
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Purchased Premium Picks
Tue, 10/07/08 - 8:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | CFB Total
double-dime bet102 Fla. Atlantic / 101 Troy Under 51.5 Bodog
Analysis: UNDER in Florida Atlantic ? The last time these teams met it was December 1st of last year and the Owls knocked off the Trojans at Troy. That win stole the Sun Belt Title from Troy and that occurred in the Trojans last home game of the season. Needless to say both teams remember that game and the intensity will certainly be up for both teams. The Trojans have revenge on their minds and the Owls are looking to come up with a strong performance at home with the ESPN2 cameras rolling. As a direct result of the intensity being up for this game we should see some solid defense here. Note that Florida Atlantic returned 18 starters for this season and eight of those were on defense. As for Troy, they returned 14 starters this season and seven of those were on defense. Don?t be fooled by some of the big points these teams have given up this season as they?ve faced some very tough competition in games where they were overmatched. Florida Atlantic faced Minnesota and Michigan State from the Big Ten plus Texas from the Big Twelve. They did hold Michigan State to just 17 points. Also, they defeated UAB by 15 in their game against the Blazers and they held Middle Tennessee State to just 14 points. That game was last Tuesday and the Owls were actually up 13-7 when the Blue Raiders scored a TD on the final play of the game. As you would imagine, the Florida Atlantic defense is fired up after seeing last week?s game slip away in the final seconds! Troy allowed 55 points to Oklahoma State in their most recent game but they of course are not in the same class as the Cowboys! Prior to that loss the Trojans allowed an average of just 15 points per game in their first three games of the season even though one of those games came at Ohio State. Give the Trojan defense some respect and note that they will be fired up after having the Sunbelt title taken away from them in last season?s season finale loss to the Owls. Last season?s game between these teams totaled 70 points and that is giving us some line value with the under tonight. Note that the Owls and Trojans met each of the three seasons prior to last season. Those three games averaged a total of just 38 points per game. That?s what you would expect from this SBC rivalry and it looks like another under tonight in Boca Raton, Florida. UNDER!
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#145642 - 10/07/08 10:16 AM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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igz1 sports
CFB
4* Troy -3.5 (-110)
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#145643 - 10/07/08 12:33 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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xyz
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LOOKING for Maddux Sports phone plays
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#145646 - 10/07/08 02:41 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: xyz]
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Henryjames
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MASTERBETS COLLEGE FOOTBALL HIGH ROLLER PICK!
Handicapper: Masterbets
Event Date: 10/7/2008 8:00:00 PM EST
Sport: College Football
Pick Selection: Bet on TROY to cover the spread
This is a soft line for the men from Troy. They're favored by 3.5 points but our data suggests that the line should be at least a TD. That creates huge value for the road team tonight. Troy play with revenge. Florida Atlantic beat them at home last season and they will suit up looking to return the favor.
Troy is also the far superior team this season. Their 2-2 record is better than it looks. They put up a lot of offense against OK State and were very competitive against Ohio State until the 4th quarter. They also beat Middle Tennessess State, a team that beat Florida Atlantic last time out.
Look for the revenge victory at the expense of the 1-4 Florida Atlantic Owls, so lay the small number with TROY.
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#145647 - 10/07/08 02:41 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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MIGHTY QUINN
Mighty hit with the Vikings ( 3) Monday night.
Today it's Troy. The deficit is 110 sirignanos.
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#145648 - 10/07/08 02:41 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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Arthur Ralph Sports
Tuesday UNDER 52 Total Under Troy
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#145649 - 10/07/08 02:41 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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Spreitzer *25- Over in the FAU/Troy
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#145650 - 10/07/08 02:42 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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NSA
CFB Troy @ Florida Atlantic 8:00 PM EST 20* Troy -3.5
CFB Troy @ Florida Atlantic 8:00 PM EST 10* UNDER 51.5
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#145651 - 10/07/08 02:42 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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Cappers Access
Florida Atlantic
Gamblers Data
Troy/Fla Atl over 51
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#145652 - 10/07/08 02:42 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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Paul Leiner
Sport: CFB
Game: Troy vs FAU
Prediction: 25* Over 51.5 Troy/FAU
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#145653 - 10/07/08 02:43 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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Mr A's
Tuesday, October 7, 2008 8:00 p.m. est.
Troy at Florida Atlantic
Troy Trojans -3½
Troy should outscore the anemic Florida Atlantic offense. The Trojans are 4-1 ATS in t
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#145654 - 10/07/08 02:43 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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WINNERS EDGE-10/7/08
CFB:
Florida Atl + 4 , 2 units
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#145655 - 10/07/08 02:44 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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Nite Owl Sports
Game: Troy Trojans @ Florida Atlantic Owls
Pick: 3 units Florida Atlantic Owls +4
When I saw the match-up of these two teams, my “knee jerk reaction” was to go with FAU Owls over the Troy Trojans. But was it because I really thought FAU has a good shot to win this game SU, and even more of one to cover the generous 4 point cushion they have been given by the linemaker, or was it because being Nite Owl Sports, it’s only natural for me to back teams nicknamed the Owls, and/or that as a Stanford graduate it’s only natural for me to root against (if not bet against) a team nicknamed the Trojans (or a combination of both of those team nickname “handicapping tools”). But in looking over the list of my CFB picks TY, I see that I have made a pick on just one of the USC Trojans games (and that pick was actually with USC, against Ohio State), and that I have made two picks against the FAU Owls, one of them being my CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year, on Minny in their 37-3 romp over these Owls, in which we won a whopping 12 units (5 units ATS on Minny, 5 units on FAU under 28.5, and two units on Minny over 35). But we’ve also backed Owl teams TY, such as in our early season ATS win on the Temple Owls as 6 point home dogs in their heart-breaking 3 point OT loss (but ATS win for us) to UConn, and of course in last Tuesday night’s ESPN game, backing the FAU Owls in another heart-breaking last second loss but ATS cover (as 3 point dogs), in a game where they never trailed until giving up a game losing TD on a “hail Mary” pass on the game’s final play. But those Owls came through for us and our subscribers ATS at the “pay window,” victorious our Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month. So now that we’ve cleared up all of our “Owl and Trojan issues,” we’re now ready to move on with the rest of our pick write up.
In write-up of our victorious pick on FAU in last week’s game against Middle Tenn State, we described the scenario as one involving a B-/C+ team (FAU) stepping way down in class to start conference play in the Sun Belt Conf against a team (Middle Tenn State) not as good as FAU, and with Owls in an undeserving underdog role for their first conference game, due to public (mis)perception of them as a bad team as a result of the 3 road beatings they had already absorbed TY against good teams (Minny, Texas and Mich State). This week, although Troy State is certainly better than Middle Tenn State, who they beat 31-17 in their road opener in early Sept., we believe FAU has again been “dogged” incorrectly, given that this game is being played in the “Owl’s’ nest” in SE Florida, where they tend to play much better than out on the road. And the FAU players all know that despite the 3 road beatings they have absorbed TY against Minny, Texas and Mich State, plus that frustrating last second loss at Middle Tenn State, they still have a decent chance to repeat as Sun Belt Champs and go to a bowl, just like they did LY, but only if they “drop Troy” in this huge game, as Troy is now the favorite to win the Sun Belt, and the only conference team Owls have lost to is Middle Tenn State, who already has a conference loss and (we are certain) is not going to win that conference. But it’s now or never for Owls, and their players, coaches and fans all know it.
Thus, it is no surprise to us that FAU "beat writers" report the team as having had good practices this past week and not showing any particular “hangover” effect from LW’s tough loss, and expecting a good showing from Owls tonite for both the “home folks” and the nat. tv audience on ESPN. These Owls actually beat Troy LY to “steal” the Sun Belt title from Trojans, beating them on the road as huge 15 point dogs, 38-32, in a game featuring all star performances by both QBs, with FAU’s Rusty Smith looking anything but “rusty” in completing 23 of 34 passes for a whopping 391 YP with two TDPs and no INTs, while Troy’s Omar Haegabook (how’s that for a “household name”?) not doing so badly himself, hitting on 35 of 47, also with two TDPs and no INTs, but with “only” 265 YP. But the most significant thing is that while Smith is back for his senior year, Haegabook is long gone (having either graduated or used up his college eligibility), with his replacement Jaime Hampton, who did not take a single snap in LY’s classic 38-32 barnburner, having decent but not great numbers TY. But back to FAU QB Rusty Smith, his HC Howie Schnellenberger says that Smith "has a very strong arm and can make all of the throws," and predicts that his QB will be a high NFL draft pick. And while his best years may now be behind him (as indicated by his “deer in the headlights look” on numerous “sideline shots” of him in final minute of that “come from ahead” last second loss LW at Middle Tenn State), Howie still knows talent when he sees it, having recruited a virtual "stud farm" to Univ of Miami in the early 1980s when he was Canes HC and won the NCAA title as 11 point dogs over a Nebraska team that was one of the best CFB teams in modern history. Forgive us for again (like we did in write up of LW’s victorious pick on FAU) digressing and getting "off track," but we can't resist mentioning that was one of our "sweetest" wins of all time, not only because we had Miami both ATS and on the money line (a betting strategy very similar to our 7 unit Super Bowl double victory LY on NY Giants over NE Pats), but also because we were going against SCORE's famed "Lock of the Year" on Nebraska, which cost Score clients $500 for that one pick (alot of money in 1981, and i guess now as well, with the way the US economy and stock market is going), and lost them many times that, while we collected big time at the "pay window."
But getting back to this game, against the BCS teams, FAU was forced to use their running backs for added pass protection, but with this more favorable matchup vs Troy, they will provide extra play action running and passing options in this game, which will open up the offense, much like it did in their season home opener (Owls’ only home game so far TY) against a crappy UAB team, won easily by FAU, in which the Owls looked very polished and formidable on offense.
Looking at how these two teams have performed recently in their respective modes for tonite's game (FAU as small home dogs of 1-6 points and Troy as small road faves in that same range), we see very few games L2Y, so we need to expand the ranges a bit, to FAU at home from +6 to -3, and Troy away in same range (as road faves up to -6 and road dogs up to +3), for L2Y. Using those expanded ranges, we find FAU at 3-1 SU and ATS L2Y, including their huge home upset win LY over Minny as similar (to this game) 4 point home dogs, but troy 2-0 SU and ATS in this same range. And while these records also include Troy’s 7 point covering win in 2006 as 4 point faves at FAU, Rusty Smith and most of FAU’s starters were just sophs or RS freshmen that year. And we believe it’s also relevant that FAU is now 7-1 ATS L2Y+ on conference road, as FAU's record in such competitively priced games (i.e., where they are playing “in their element”) tells us is that when Howie's teams are not overmatched, he and his boys can get then job done, as we expect they will tonite in this nationally televised ESPN game.
Based on the above, we not only are very confident that FAU will cover the 4 points in this game, we also give Owls a decent shot at victorious outright. So take Owls with the 4 point cushion NOW if you still can get it
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#145656 - 10/07/08 02:46 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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Brandon Lang
TUESDAY
10 Dime Florida Atlantic (Be sure to buy the 1/2-point and make sure to get the 3-1/2 on this game)
FREE - OVER Troy/FAU
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#145659 - 10/07/08 05:16 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Duces
Junior
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Dr. Bob Sports
Troy State (-3.5) 34 FLORIDA ATL. 27
05:00 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, Oct-07 - Stats Matchup
Troy has a score to settle with Florida Atlantic, who upset the Trojans in the final game of the 2007 season as a 16 point dog to win the Sun Belt title and keep Troy from going to a bowl game. Revenge by itself is no reason to side with a team, but Troy is also a better team based on what each team has shown so far. Florida Atlantic has played better than their average score of 15-31 suggests, as the Owls have only been out-gained 5.7 yards per play to 5.9 yppl by a schedule that is tougher than average. I rate Florida Atlantic as average offensively and 0.2 yppl worse than average defensively on a national scale while also being slightly worse than average in special teams. While those numbers give FAU an advantage over the rest of the Sun Belt teams, they do not give the Owls an edge over a Troy State team that averaged 5.3 yppl and allowed 5.3 yppl in 3 games against Division 1A teams despite facing very good teams Ohio State and Oklahoma State on the road (the other game was against a decent Mid Tenn State team that beat Maryland and just beat FAU last week). Troy has been 0.5 yppl better than average offensively and 0.4 yppl better than average defensively this season while being very good in special teams. Troy’s defense took a hit with the loss of All-Sun Belt Conference DE Kenny Mainor and the Owls were worse than average defensively at Oklahoma State (after adjusting for how good the Cowboys’ offense is and that the game was on the road). However, Florida Atlantic’s star DE Michael Hancock, who has 3 of the team’s 6 sacks this season, is listed as doubtful for this game. After adjusting for the injuries I get Troy State by 6 ½ points in a higher than expected scoring game. I’ll lean with Troy State minus the points and the Over (51 ½ points) in this game.
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#145660 - 10/07/08 05:17 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Duces]
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Duces
Junior
Registered: 09/28/06
Posts: 123
Loc: Alabama, USA
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Alex Smart
FAU +3.5
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#145661 - 10/07/08 05:17 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Duces]
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Duces
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Loc: Alabama, USA
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Bob Balfe:
FAU +3.5 over Troy
FAU has yet to get their offense going this season and are coming off a tough last second loss to MTSU last week. This is a must win for FAU, but if Troy is looking to knock them off. Last year FAU spoiled Troys bowl bid when the won at Troy. FAU won the Sun Belt and this season has 10 returning starters on offense and 8 of defense. FAU will be just fine on offense. This team had a tough non conference schedule and at home will start to click again. FAU will also get their center Nick Paris back tonight which will allow the rest of the line to return to their natural position. Troy lost their QB and their top 3 receivers from last year. On defense they lost Elbert Mack and the #11 pick in the NFL Draft Leodis Mckelvin. You know when a Troy player gets drafted that high he is a special player. They will miss him dearly this season. This Troy team is young and their offensive coordinator Neal Brown is only 27 years old. What a great accomplishment for such a young guy, but when we put it into perspective Troy should struggle tonight on the road against a FAU team hungry after a last second loss. Take Florida Atlantic
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#145662 - 10/07/08 06:01 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Duces]
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Henryjames
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northcoast
tuesday nite marquee
FLOR ATLANTIC +4
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#145663 - 10/07/08 06:02 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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Henryjames
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STADIUM CLUB SPORTS
We slighted on the under last night in the NFL, still we remain at a blistering 27-14-1 NFL YTD!! 5-1-1 Last Sunday!
We're way ahead of the middle in the NCAA as we're 41-35 YTD and on a 21-12 MLB Post Season Blitz.
Be sure to climb aboard the winning ways this week in MLB/NCAA/NFL this week.
Tonight's Plays
Troy -4
Under 51
Best of luck to all tonight!
Edited by FREAK (10/07/08 06:31 PM)
Edit Reason: Links
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#145666 - 10/07/08 06:32 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: Henryjames]
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FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
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NSA
20* Troy -3.5
10* UNDER 51.5
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#145667 - 10/07/08 06:34 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
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Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, October 07, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:
500K SUN BELT CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
101 Troy -3.5 8:00 EST
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#145668 - 10/07/08 06:36 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
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Big Al McMordie
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Troy
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#145669 - 10/07/08 06:44 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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xyz
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Looking For Maddux Sports play of the year
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#145670 - 10/07/08 07:28 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: xyz]
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FREAK
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XYZ... if we get the play it will be posted. Nothing is held back here. I saw your request earlier, thanks.
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#145671 - 10/07/08 07:28 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
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Sebastian
50* Troy
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#145672 - 10/07/08 07:30 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
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Kelso Sturgeon
5 units
Troy -3.5
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#145673 - 10/07/08 07:35 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
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A slow night tonight fellows, a lot of smart cappers just waiting till later this week. Tomorrow should be a great day to get things done. No games to speak of.
A good couple of nights to come play poker at RaiseandFold. I know I will be there along with Poorboy and a few others.
Join us and let's make $
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#145675 - 10/07/08 07:48 PM
Re: 10/7
[Re: FREAK]
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FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
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KB Hoops
3*
Fla Atlantic +4
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