FRIDAY Louisville 30 - MEMPHIS 20 - (8:00 - ESPN) -- Tiger "D" back to usual form vs Uab, winning in final 0:02, but being outstatted, despite 4 Hall TD passes, & Steele at 304 RYs last 2 wks. Cards have 564-187 RY edge last 2 outings, behind Powell & Anderson, & remember their 508-279 yd edge over UConn.
LOUISVILLE at MEMPHIS (Friday, October 10)...Cards now 2-8 as chalk (0-2 TY) since Kragthorpe arrived LY. Dog team is 11-3 vs. line in Card games since LY. Tech edge-slight to Memphis, based on recent Card chalk woes.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10 *Louisville 31 - MEMPHIS 30—Tigers have won 3 straight behind rapidlymaturing juco QB Arkelon Hall (4 TDP last week). Louisville defense improved under new coordinator Ron English, while vulnerable Memphis stop unit (allowing 5 ypc last 1+ seasons) will have to stack box against juking Card RS frosh RB Victor Anderson (390 YR on 8 ypc, 5 TDs in last 3 games). But major edge to host’s deep, experienced cast of WRs (five already have at least 1 TDC). TV—ESPN (DNP...SR: Louisville 22-18)
louisville/memphis over 56 500* memphis+6' 30* boston @ tampa bay over 8 runs 20* dodgers-105 20* dodgers/phillies over 8' runs 10* boston+105 10* free play
10* Take Louisville (-6) over Memphis (NCAA Power Play) 8:00 PM EST
Memphis • 0-9 SU as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points the last 3 years • 4-10 SU coming off an OVER the total the last 3 seasons • 1-4 SU when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 runs • 2-10 SU vs. Louisville the last 12 games
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John Ryan
Ai Simulator shows a 74% probability that Memphis will lose this game by 6 or fewer points and also has a 48% probability of winning the game. This 3* graded play also looks good on money line play as well. I suggest making a 3* amount with the points and no more than a 1.5 star amount on the money line. Reinforcing this graded play is a very strong winning system hitting 85% since 1992 for a 29-5 ATS mark. Play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a favorite facing an opponent off a road win. Louisville is certainly in a rebuilding phase noting they have returned just 4 starters on offense and 5 on defense. Louisville is doing fine defending the ground game, but Memphis HC West has a strong tendency to offset that strength. Note that he is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good rushing defenses allowing <=120 rushing yards/game. Memphis is also off a nice road win at UAB while Louisville lost at home to UCONN and were installed as a 3.5 points favorites. Many times it is difficult for a college team, especially one with new nuclei on offense and defense to have the resiliency necessary to play at a top level after suffering a loss to a team they knew they should have defeated. Conversely, Memphis started off miserably losing their first three games and are now on a 3 game winning streak. Simplistically, you have a road team that is lacking in confidence while the home dog is feeling quite good about themselves. That general recipe can easily spell upset. Louisville is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival since 1992. Take Memphis.
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Tom Freese
St. Louis finished last year by going 17-39 and they were 15-37 their last 52 conference games. Nashville has dominated the Blues going 21-5 the last 26 meetings. The Predators are 9-3 their last 12 games at St. Louis and they have won the last 5 meetings overall. We look for more of the same tonight. PLAY ON NASHVILLE
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Jimmy The Moose
Both teams not expected to be good on defence especially the Panthers who will have a young inexperienced team on the ice. The over is a profitable 6-2-2 last 10 meetings overall between the clubs. The team's have played the over in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Carolina. Canes do have some fire power up front and should put up most of the goals tonight. Look for a high scoring affair. Play the Over.
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Marc Lawrence
The Phillies take on the Dodgers in Game Two of this NLCS series in Philadelphia this afternoon looking to go up 2-0 when Bret Myers take the mound against Los Angeles. Hurling in October has been profitable for Myers as evidenced by his 4-1 career mark, including 2-0 at home. He also enjoys taking on the Dodgers against whom he is 8-3 in his career team starts, including 8-1 in his last nine efforts. And finally, pitching at home has been much to his delight this season where his 2.98 ERA is more than tree full runs better than his 6.21 road ERA. Stay at home with Myers and Philadelphia here today.
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Courage + Belief =Life In Memory of John Challis
