#143696 - 09/14/08 06:17 PM
9/20
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
Offline
|
|
Saturday NCAA, roll em out!
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#143738 - 09/15/08 12:52 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
bug
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 2892
Loc: alabama
|
Online
|
|
NORTH COAST SPORTS
EARLY BIRD GOW
BYU -26
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#143833 - 09/16/08 04:20 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: bug]
|
bug
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 2892
Loc: alabama
|
|
Online
|
|
NORTH COAST
4* POWER PLAYS GOW...NORTH CAROLINA
COMP UNDER DOG POW...KENT STATE
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#143871 - 09/17/08 05:55 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: bug]
|
bug
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 2892
Loc: alabama
|
|
Online
|
|
NORTH COAST SPORTS
# 2 ECONOMY CLUB PLAY...RUTGERS -6....(LAST WEEK...DUKE)
BIG DOG POW....LAST WEEK....NEW MEXICO
THIS WEEK...NEW MEXICO +10'
Edited by bug (09/17/08 05:56 PM)
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#143874 - 09/17/08 06:03 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: bug]
|
bug
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 2892
Loc: alabama
|
|
Online
|
|
PIGSKIN PROPHET
AUBURN +3
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#143935 - 09/18/08 06:42 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: bug]
|
bug
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 2892
Loc: alabama
|
|
Online
|
|
Dr. BOB
2* IOWA
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#143936 - 09/18/08 06:43 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: bug]
|
bug
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 2892
Loc: alabama
|
|
Online
|
|
NORTH COAST
PAC 10 POW
UCLA +3
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#143958 - 09/18/08 06:59 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: bug]
|
bug
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 2892
Loc: alabama
|
|
Online
|
|
DR. BOB 2* KENT
OPINIONS
San Jose
FSU
Iowa State
Arizona
Edited by bug (09/18/08 07:01 PM)
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#143972 - 09/19/08 12:39 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: bug]
|
tinfw17
Member
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 1814
Loc: TX
|
|
Online
|
|
Marc Lawrence College Football Super Pick Super Play! -
Saturday 9/20
Play On: Central Michigan
Note: The Chippewas take on the Boilermakers in a double rematch
from last season when Purdue bested Central Michigan on two occasions -once in the regular season and then again in a 51-48 shootout in the Motor City Bowl. While this is the 3rd road game in a row for the Chips the fact of the matter is they love life on the road where they are 7-1 SU and 6-0-2 ATS away off an away game of late. With Purdue at home off an overtime home loss last week and looking dead ahead to Notre Dame next week (4-11-1 ATS in games before taking on the Irish), look for Central Michigan to get the revenge here today.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144011 - 09/19/08 06:23 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: tinfw17]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
North Coast
Early Bird Byu -26
4* Power Plays Gow North Carolina
Comp Under Dog Pow Kent State
# 2 Economy Club Play Rutgers -6
Big Dog Pow New Mexico +10'
Pac 10 Pow UCLA +3
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144017 - 09/19/08 06:25 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
DOC SPORTS
7* GAME OF YEAR
7 Unit Play. #32 Take North Carolina Tar Heels over Virginia Tech Hokies (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) College Game of the Year. This game features two teams heading in opposite directions and Coach Davis has done a complete overhaul with the Heels. Their victory against Rutgers was no fluke as they return 10 starters on offense from 2007 led by QB TJ Yates. He had a good season as a freshman until he was forced to shut it down with a shoulder injury. He is now healthy and playing outstanding football. True, the Heels went 4-8 last season but when I dig deeper into that I see that four of those losses were by four points or less. I had this game painted back in August and I must admit that I was concerned with the narrow victory over McNeese St; however, looking into that game one must realize that the Cowboys went 11-1 last season including a win over UL-Lafayette.
This is not the same Tar Heel team that it was under Coach John Bunting and this is certainly not the same Hokie team Coach Beamer is accustom too. They lost heavy to graduation and this is their first true road game of the season. All three teams that played Virginia Tech have been able to move the football on them. Throw in revenge for the Heels as they outgained Va Tech in last year’s game despite losing, 17-10. They have extra rest for this game since they played last Thursday and this will be Coach Davis’s signature win at UNC. White and Blue dominate all the way to the bank. North Carolina 24, Virginia Tech 10
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144018 - 09/19/08 06:25 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
BEN BURNS
UPSET AT HIGH NOON
I'm taking the points with FLORIDA ATLANTIC. There is little doubt that the 3-0 Gophers are improved from last season. That's not necessarily saying much though, as the 2007 Gophers won only one game and they closed out the year on a 10-game losing streak. I believe that the 3-0 record has caused the Gophers to be over-valued this week. Let's take a closer look at the three wins. This year's team began the year with a 4-point home win vs. Northern Illinois, a team which finished last year with a 2-10 record and which is currently winless. In other words, that first win wasn't all that special. Give the Gophers credit for their second win. However, it came on the road and it was against a Bowling Green team which was in "letdown mode" after a huge upset win at Pittsburgh. Like their first victory, the Gophers' third win falls into the 'nothing special' category, as it came by only 12 points vs. 1-A Montana State. Considering that Montana State had lost 69-10 the previous week, Minnesota's 35-23 victory wasn't very impressive. Today, the Gophers will face a MUCH tougher test, as they'll take on an underrated Florida Atlantic team. Like the Gophers, the Owls' record is deceiving. However, it's deceiving in the opposite manner. While Minnesota isn't as good as it's 3-0 record indicates, the Owls are actually better than their 1-2 record reflects. That's because their two losses were both on the road and they came vs. the likes of Michigan State and Texas, two teams which are both significantly better than Minnesota. In their lone game against a lessser opponent, the Owls put up 49 points, en route to a double-digit victory vs. UAB. You may remember Florida Atlantic having a solid season last year, which finished with a double-digit win over Memphis in the New Orleans Bowl. The 1-2 start notwithstanding, this year's team is arguably even better. That's because they returned a whopping 18 starters. The Owls know they can beat Minnesota too, as they upset the Gophers last year. The final score of that game was 45-42. However, a closer look shows that the Owls actually had a massive edge in total yards in that game and were up big almost the entire way. Look for them to bring plenty of confidence into this afternoon's game, taking things down to the wire with an excellent shot at another upset.
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144019 - 09/19/08 06:26 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
BEN BURNS
ANNIHILATOR
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Having already lost to Bowling Green, this game is arguably more important to the Panthers than it is to the Hawkeyes, who are off to a 3-0 start. In addition to having homefield advantage, the Panthers have the schedule in their favor. After falling to Bowling Green, the Panthers responded with a double-digit victory vs. a fairly solid Buffalo team and then had a week off to prepare for Iowa. On the other hand, the Hawkeyes are coming off a hard-fought an emotional win vs. instate rival Iowa State. While the Hawkeyes won by a score of 17-5, it was somewhat closer than the score indicates as the Cyclones missed a few field goals and were held scoreless inside the five-yard line twice. In addition to the letdown spot, it's also worth noting that the Hawkeyes have their conference opener and homecoming game on deck. While the Panthers also have their conference opener on deck, it's vs. lowly Syracuse, so isn't exactly a "look-ahead" spot. As usual, the Hawkeyes boast a solid team with a good defense. They haven't fared very well in non-conference road games in recent seasons though. In fact, they're 1-3 in true road games vs. non-conference foes the past four seasons. The losses weren't close either, as they came by a combined score of 82-23. Overall, the Hawkeyes are just 2-8 ATS (3-7 SU) their last 10 road games. This is a very experienced Pittsburgh team, one which has very big expectations. The Panthers were much better from Week 1 to Week 2 and I look for continued improvement this week. After failing to cover in last week's win vs. Iowa State last week, the Hawkeyes are now 0-7 ATS the last seven times they were coming off two or more consecutive victories. I successfully played on Louisville, a Big East team, on Wednesday night. At the time I mentioned that the public was really down on the entire Big East conference and that we were getting some additional value as a result. I feel that's the case here and that this year's Pittsburgh team will prove to be much better than people think. Including the victory vs. Buffalo, the Panthers are an impressive 13-4 SU their last 17 September home games. I feel that this is a good matchup for them and I look for them to come away with another victory.
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144020 - 09/19/08 06:26 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
BEN BURNS
SEC GOY
I'm taking the points with AUBURN. LSU has crushed two inferior opponents at home. However, Auburn has done exactly the same thing. The difference is that Auburn survived a tough conference road game at Mississippi State last week (3-2 victory) while LSU has yet to play a competitive team or a road game. That has the betting public believing that LSU is the better team, which is helping give us excellent value. However, I feel that the hard-fought game will actually work in Auburn's favor here. Of course, playing at home is also a major advantage. That's particularly true in this series where the home team has won eight straight meetings. Last year's game was played at LSU. Auburn led 17-7 at halftime but #5 LSU came back to win after scoring a touchdown on a 22 yard Matt Flynn pass with one second left in the fourth quarter. This year, in addition to getting to play at home, Auburn brought back 16 starters while LSU brought back only 12, including only five on defense. One of those five, starting linebacker Darry Beckwith, is out with an injury this week. That's significant as Beckwith is an outstanding defender who turned down a chance to go the NFL early. While LSU's defense will miss Beckwith, Auburn's defense is coming off a game in which it held the Bulldogs to a mere 116 total yards of offense. As coach Tuberville had to say: "We gave up zero first downs on 14 chances ... You can win a lot of games like that." Including last year's cover at LSU, Auburn is 8-1 ATS the last nine times it was listed as an underdog and 14-4 ATS the last 18. Auburn is also 5-1 ATS the last six times it played a game with a line ranging from -3 to +3. Meanwhile, we find LSU at just 4-10-1 ATS the last 15 times it was coming off two or more consecutive victories and an even worse 3-13-3 ATS its last 19 conference games. As stated, Auburn very nearly won on the road last year and this year's team suffered fewer losses than LSU did. Look for homefield to continue to make the difference in this series as Auburn scores the minor upset and grabs control of the SEC West.
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144024 - 09/19/08 06:28 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Dr. Bob
Just 2 College Best Bets this week (and 4 Strong Opinions), but I should have more starting next week when my math model kicks in.
Rotation #333 Iowa (+1) 2-Stars at -1 or better.
Rotation #389 Kent State (+3) 2-Stars at +1 or more.
Strong Opinions on Florida St -4, Iowa State +2 1/2, San Jose State +8 1/2, and Arizona -3.
2 Star Selection
**Iowa 24 PITTSBURGH (-1.0) 16
09:00 AM Pacific, 20-Sep-08
Pittsburgh has faced two MAC teams and has out-gained Bowling Green and Buffalo by just 5.0 yards per play to 4.5 yppl in 2 home games, which isn’t very good considering the Falcons and Bulls would combine to be out-gained by an average of 0.7 yppl on the road by an average team. Pitt has been a below average team so far this season and their solid defense is being wasted by an offense that isn’t any better than last year’s sorry attack. Pitt has a decent running back in LeSean McCoy, but his career average of 4.7 ypr is only average for a running back and the Panthers still can’t throw the ball. Bill Stull has averaged only 5.2 yards per pass play in 2 games against two below average pass defenses and I don’t see the Panthers’ offense doing much damage against a good Iowa defense that has yielded just 4.1 yppl in 3 games. Two of those games were against bad offensive teams Maine and Florida International, which scored a combined 3 points, but the Hawkeyes also allowed just 3 points and 4.9 yppl to a pretty good Iowa State offense. Iowa ’s offense has rebounded from an injury plagued 2007 campaign and has produced 6.4 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl on the road to an average team (all of those games were at Iowa ). The Hawkeyes have two capable quarterbacks Jake Christensen and Ricky Stanzi and two good running backs in Shonn Greene and Jewel Hampton, who have combined for 485 yards at 6.5 ypr. I do give Pitt a slight edge defensively but Iowa has a much better offense and better special teams and my ratings favor the Hawkeyes by 3 ½ points (11 ½ points using this year’s games only). Iowa also applies to a solid 61-28-2 ATS game 4 situation that plays on unbeaten teams. I’ll take Iowa in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
2 Star Selection
** Kent State 33 UL LAFAYETTE (-3.0) 27
04:00 PM Pacific, 20-Sep-08
Kent has been out-scored by an average of 17.3 to 24.0 despite out-gaining their foes 5.5 yards per play to 5.4 yppl. The problem has been a -5 in fumbles lost margin, which is mostly just random bad luck for the Flashes. If Kent doesn’t fumble the ball away more than their opponent then they should win this game against a UL Lafayette team that has major trouble defending the run (637 rushing yards at 6.2 yards per rushing play allowed in their first two games). Kent State running back Eugene Jarvis ran for 1669 yards at 6.0 ypr last season and had 190 yards at 5.4 ypr against Boston College and Iowa State before injuring his ankle early against Delaware State last week. Jarvis played a bit on the bad ankle, but was taken out as a precaution and should be able to play at close to 100% today. Jarvis teams with running quarterback Julian Edelman to give the Golden Flashes a very effective rushing attack that should have no trouble running against UL Lafayette today. Lafayette can also run the ball with RB Tyrell Fenroy and QB Michael Desormeaux, who both ran for over 1000 yards last season, and the Ragin’ Cajuns should have good success on the ground as well against a sub-par Kent defensive front. Overall my ratings make this game a pick and my reason for the Best Bet on Kent State , aside from the 3 points of line value, is a very strong 53-6-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator that applies to Kent State in this game. I’d favor UL Lafayette by 3 ½ points if Jarvis doesn’t play with his bad ankle, so the line is fair even in a worst case scenario. I’ll take Kent State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +1 or more. I'll also lean over (50 points).
Strong Opinion
Arizona (-3.0) 28 UCLA 20
12:00 PM Pacific, 20-Sep-08
UCLA was humiliated 0-59 at BYU last week and they were lucky to win their opener against Tennessee , as the Bruins were out-gained 4.0 yards per play to 4.9 yppl by the Volunteers. UCLA still has a solid defense, despite the 59 points they allowed last week (they gave up 6.3 yppl to a BYU team that would average 6.7 yppl at home against an average defensive team), but the Bruins have a horrible offensive line that’s paved the way for just 1.3 yards per rushing play. Quarterback Kevin Craft has been about average after adjusting for the opposing pass defenses faced, but the UCLA offense is well below average with that sad rushing attack. Arizona has a good defensive squad that has yielded just 4.0 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.0 yppl against an average team and the Wildcats should limit the Bruins’ scoring opportunities. Arizona ’s offense was a bit sloppy last week (3 fumbles lost) against a very good New Mexico defense, but Arizona has averaged 6.3 yppl in 3 games this season versus teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team, so the Wildcats should muster a decent attack against UCLA’s good defense. My ratings favor Arizona by 3 points in this game (using this year’s games only would favor the Wildcats by 11 ½ points) and the Wildcats apply to a solid 55-27-1 ATS bounce-back situation at -3 points or better. I’ll consider Arizona a Strong Opinion at -3 or less and I’d take Arizona in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
Strong Opinion
FLORIDA ST. (-4.0) 26 Wake Forest 16
04:00 PM Pacific, 20-Sep-08
Florida State has beaten up on two bad teams, but winning by scores of 69-0 and 46-7 is impressive regardless of the opponent and the Seminoles look vastly improved offensively with quarterback Drew Weatherford finally on the bench of 3 seasons of mediocrity. The offense really played well last season when Xavier Lee was at quarterback for 3 ½ games and replacing Weatherford with Christian Ponder should help the offense thrive this season. Florida State has the talent to be a good offensive team and they’ve averaged 8.4 yards per play in their first two games against teams that would allow a combined 7.0 yppl on the road to an average team. Florida State will be tested today by a very good Wake Forest defense today, but I don’t think the Seminoles will need to score too many points to win this game against a mediocre Wake Forest attack that has managed just 4.8 yppl against mediocre defensive teams Baylor and Ole’ Miss. Florida State’s defense is dealing with a number of suspended players for the first 3 games, but they should still be at least average defensively without those players, which is more than good enough to keep the Demon Deacons’ sub-par attack in check. My ratings favor Florida State by 4 points, so the line is fair, and the reason for siding with the Seminoles is a very strong 64-19 ATS situation that they apply to. Wake Forest does have a good record as an underdog under coach Jim Grobe (31-16-1 ATS), so I’ll consider Florida State a Strong Opinion from -5 to -3 ½ and I’d take the Seminoles in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less.
Strong Opinion
San Jose St. 20 STANFORD (-8.5) 23
06:00 PM Pacific, 20-Sep-08
San Jose State is an underrated team that is pretty good on offense and better than average defensively, so taking more than a touchdown against a sub-par Stanford team looks like a pretty good play. The scores of San Jose State’s first two games - as a 13-10 win over Division 1AA UC Davis and a 12-35 loss at Nebraska – didn’t look too good, but the Spartans were the much better team in their opener after they discovered former Cal quarterback Kyle Reed was the man they needed under center and they were only out-gained 5.3 yards per play to 5.5 yppl by a good Nebraska team. The Spartans then dominated San Diego State 35-10 in a game in which they ran for over 300 yards, averaged 5.8 yppl, and allowed just 3.2 yppl. For the season the Spartans’ defense has yielded just 4.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average defense. Coach Tomey has his best defensive line in 4 years in San Jose and the secondary is good once again with 2nd Team All-WAC CB Christopher Owens and former Oregon State starter CB Coye Francies shutting down opposing receivers. San Jose State’s offense is led by Reed, who came off the bench to lead the comeback in week 1 and has averaged a decent 5.8 yards per pass play, and star back Yonus Davis, who missed all of last season but has rushed for 1988 yards in his career at 5.9 ypr (7.1 ypr this season). Stanford has a better than average defense and I project just 4.8 yppl for San Jose State after adjusting for the loss of star WR Kevin Jurovich, who missed last week and is out indefinitely with mono. While 4.8 yppl is not good, it is better than the 4.7 yppl that my ratings project for Stanford in this game. The Cardinal have one good player on offense, RB Tony Gerhart (259 yards at 5.2 ypr), but the rest of the running backs have been horrible and quarterback Tavita Pritchard has averaged a pathetic 4.3 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 5.4 yppp to an average QB). San Jose State has been good defending the run (3.2 yards per rushing play allowed) and they’ve been good against the pass, so I just don’t see Stanford moving the ball very consistently in this game. San Jose State ’s good defense actually sets them up in a very good 60-19-3 ATS statistical indicator that plays on good defensive teams as underdogs. My only issue with this game is San Jose State’s horrible special teams, which may cost them a touchdown at some point in this game to go along with a couple of missed field goals (SJS kickers are 1 for 6 from 30 or more yards). San Jose State’s bad kicking leads to a less efficient scoring offense than their yardage numbers would suggest and my ratings favor Stanford by 8 points - and by 9 ½ points if the Spartans continue to be as horrible as they’ve been in special teams – so the line looks fair. San Jose State can win this game if their special teams don’t cost them a touchdown or more and I’ll consider San Jose State a Strong Opinion at +7 or more and I’d take the Spartans in a 2-Star Best Bet at +10 or more.
Strong Opinion
Iowa St. 28 UNLV (-2.5) 24
06:00 PM Pacific, 20-Sep-08
UNLV is coming off a 23-20 overtime win as a 22 ½ point underdog at Arizona State, but they weren’t actually that impressive in that game, as the Rebels averaged just 4.7 yards per play on offense while allowing the Sun Devils 6.3 yppl – stats that would normally result in about a 17 point loss. Iowa State , meanwhile, lost 5-17 on the road against a very good Iowa team and the Cyclones played that game pretty evenly at 4.9 yppl gained and 4.9 yppl allowed to the Hawkeyes. Iowa returned a punt for a TD and Iowa State managed just 3 points on 6 trips inside the Iowa 30 yard line, so that game should have been much tighter. Last week’s misleading scores involving these teams have supplied us with line value in favor of Iowa State in this game, as the Cyclones would have been about a 2 or 3 point road favorite had this game been played prior to last week’s results. My ratings favor Iowa State by 3 points and the math favors the Cyclones by 6 points using this year’s games only. UNLV should be able to run the ball against a soft Iowa State run defense, but the Cyclones defend the pass well and ISU quarterback Austen Arnaud (7.9 yards per pass play) should have an easy time picking apart a UNLV secondary that has allowed 7.8 yppp this season. UNLV hasn’t been good in competitive games under coach Mike Sanford, as the Rebels are just 1-11 ATS in 4 years under Sanford when not an underdog of 8 points or more (1-6 ATS as a favorite) and 0-4 straight up as a favorite of 6 points or less. UNLV is only 8-30 straight up under Sanford , including 4-30 if they are not favored by more than 6 points or facing a Division 1AA team. Iowa State is 7-3 ATS as an underdog and 5-2 ATS after a loss under coach Gene Chizik and I’ll consider Iowa State a Strong Opinion at +1 or more.
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144026 - 09/19/08 06:29 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Colin Cowherd (11-4-2 YTD)
Auburn +2
Michigan St. -8.5
Arizona State +7
Tennessee +7.5
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144027 - 09/19/08 06:30 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Scott Spreitzer
MWC Game of the Year
I'm laying the points with Utah on Saturday. Before the season began, I predicted Utah would win the MWC, beating BYU for the league title. I also felt Air Force was due for a rough season. I still believe both predictions will play out in conference action. The Falcons beat a depleted Ute squad, 20-12 last season. But man, is this a different Utah team. The Utes spread attack is led by a healthy Brian Johnson at QB, directing the team to 41 points per game. Air Force's defense was absolutely exposed by Houston's spread attack last week, getting drilled for 534 yards by the Cougars. And, Houston had to deal with wind and rain, yet still completed 34-of-57 passes for 362 yards, and four touchdowns. Meanwhile, AFA won the game by three, but finished with 154 fewer total yards than Houston. Believe it or not, all 380 yards by AFA came on the ground. QB Shea Smith finished 0-of-7 in the passing game. The Falcons opened up with a win over out-manned Southern Utah. They have beaten Wyoming and of course, Houston, since then. Shea Smith has completed just 3-of-11 passes in those last two games, with no TDs and one interception. They managed just 12 first downs at Wyoming, getting three FGs and just two offensive TDs. One dimensional teams will have NO chance against the Utes in 2008. Especially when Utah jumps out to a big lead like I expect in this one. No passing game for AFA, means they're less likely to creep back into the game. The Utes already took care of one conference revenge spot two weeks ago when they thumped a decent UNLV squad, 42-21. I expect more of the same in Colorado Springs. Utah's next tilt is a homer against Weber State, so they'll be 100% focused on clipping the Falcons. The number has gone up since it opened, but not nearly enough, as far as I'm concerned. I'm laying the points with Utah, my MWC Game of the Year. Thanks! GL! Scott.
TKO Bailout Shocker GOM
San Jose St
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144046 - 09/19/08 11:27 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed:
5000* COLLEGE FOOTBALL NON-CON GAME OF THE YEAR
338 Michigan St -8 3:30 EST
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144047 - 09/19/08 11:30 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
ASA
6* Michigan State -8
3* BYU -28
3* Tennessee +7
3* Arizona St. +7
3* Toledo +7
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144048 - 09/19/08 11:31 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
RON RAYMOND
5* CFB BEST BET WINNER!
Wyoming/BYU Over 51.5
5* CFB UPSET SPECIAL!
Wake Forest +5
CFB O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!
Stanford Under 45
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144049 - 09/19/08 11:31 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
EZWINNERS
5 STAR: (308) PENN STATE (-28) over Temple
(Risking $550 to win $500)
5 STAR: (360) TOLEDO (+7) over Fresno State
(Risking $550 to win $500)
3 STAR: (332) NORTH CAROLINA (-3.5) over Virginia Tech
(Risking $330 to win $300)
3 STAR: (335) WAKE FOREST (+4.5) over Florida State
(Risking $330 to win $300)
2 STAR: (329) RUTGERS (-5.5) over Navy
(Risking $220 to win $200)
2 STAR: (926) KANSAS CITY (+$130) over Chicago
(Action)(Risking $200 to win $260)
2 STAR: (915) SAN FRANCISCO (+$195) over LA Dodgers
(Action)(Risking $200 to win $390)
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144050 - 09/19/08 11:37 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Dave Cokin
NCAA GOY
Toledo
Sec GOY
Arkansas
Window
Pittsburgh
System
Troy
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144051 - 09/19/08 11:38 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Alex Smart
4* Auburn
3* Kent
3* Eastern Michigan
3* North Carolina
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144052 - 09/19/08 11:40 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Jim Feist
Blowout GOW
Michigan St
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144053 - 09/19/08 11:41 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Larry Ness
20* Mississippi -7
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144054 - 09/19/08 11:42 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Bob Akmens
8*
East Carolina -7
5*
Ohio +12
Cincinnati -11.5
Middle Tenn St +6
Wake Forest +5
San Jose State +8
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144055 - 09/19/08 11:43 PM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Rocketman Sports
5* East Carolina -7
2* Mississippi State +9
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144067 - 09/20/08 12:39 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Guys,
Please post your picks today in the forum, take part in the consensus games and if you haven't noticed in the NFL area... each team has a recap of last weeks game. Feel free to post your comments about your teams performance and get in on the action.
A lot of work is put into the site, please add to it and make this community one we can grow.
Good luck today,
FREAK
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144070 - 09/20/08 12:47 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Marc Lawrence
When the Hokies take on the Tar Heels in a key ACC clash in North Carolina Saturday afternoon they'll do so knowing they are 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS in the conference road since entering the ACC in 2004. In addition, Frank Beamer is 16-2-1 away versus undefeated opposition with the Hokies. With the Tar Heels 2-0 SU but 0-2 'In The Stats' this season, look for Virginia Tech to continue their winning ways here today.
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144071 - 09/20/08 12:47 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Carlo Campanella
Iowa (3-0) is undefeated this season but still hasn't face a solid opponent, beating up on Maine, Florida International and Iowa State by a combined score of 105-8. While Pittsburgh (1-1) is no better off, with their only victory coming against Buffalo University, a squad that's 9-18 the last 3 years (including this season). We'll back a Big 10 caliber team like Iowa that will battle with teams like Penn State and Ohio State, especially knowing that Pitt is 1-6 ATS at home against opponents above the .600% win percentage behind Head Coach Dave Wannstedt the last 3 years!
7* Play On Iowa
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144072 - 09/20/08 12:48 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Jimmy The Moose
East Carolina is off to a 3-0 SU start and 2-1 ATS. The Pirates are averaging 26.3 PPG while allowing 16.3 per contest. East Carolina is 15-6 at the window in their last 21 road games. The Pirates are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record. East Carolina is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. ACC team's. North Carolina is 1-2 SU and 1-1 ATS. The Wolfpack are averaging 14.3 PPG and are giving up 28.3 per contest. NC State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. In their last 10 games played in September they are 2-8 ATS. In their last 7 non-conference games they are 1-6 ATS. Play on East Carolina -.
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144073 - 09/20/08 12:48 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Tom Freese
San Jose St is 8-0 ATS off a straight up win and they are 40-19-1 ATS their last 60 games vs. losing teams. The Spartans are 7-1 ATS after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their last game and they are 6-1 ATS after allowing less than 20 points in their last game. Stanford is 4-10 ATS their last 14 home games and they are 4-10 ATS their last 14 games vs. winning teams. The Cardinal are 2-10 ATS after allowing over 200 yards rushing in their last game and they are 1-11 ATS their last 12 September games. PLAY ON SAN JOSE ST -
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144078 - 09/20/08 08:04 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
Chopperjc
Sophmore
Registered: 08/30/03
Posts: 60
Loc: Florida
|
|
Offline
|
|
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 20
Winning points late play
12 Noon
***BEST BET
Northwestern* over Ohio by 22
Ohio is off some real drainers -- one-pointer at Wyoming,
near-upset at Ohio State, 3-point loss vs. Central Michigan.
It's gotta take a toll. Right now. They don't have the greatest
depth -- which showed when all three opponents came back
against them in the second half of their 0-3 start to the season.
It never gets easier.
The more opponents see of new QB Boo Jackson,
the less of a factor he will be. The back-up to Jackson, the
original starter, is out for the season.
Mike Hankwitz, Northwestern defensive coordinator, is an
old Big 12 guy like Ohio head coach Frank Solich. He has a
handle on this Ohio offense, which features QB runs. The
Northwestern defense has pretty good depth and is
holding opponents to a 27% conversion rate on third down.
Meanwhile, QB C.J. Bacher isn't turning it over, while Ohio's
Jackson is fumbling around and tossing interceptions.
NORTHWESTERN, 41-19.
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 20
3:30 pm
***BEST BET TOTAL
UNDER 51.5
Boise State at Oregon
When they aren't on their tilted Smurf-Turf, Boise State's
offense tends to be less effective. They are about to line
up against the best defense they have faced in a long
time, and Oregon's defense is on a mission to protect an
offense that keeps losing quarterbacks to injury. Boise
has averaged only 61 offensive plays per game this
season. Last season, they averaged 75. They want to
shorten games, and they have the kind of ball-control
running back, Ian Johnson, to attempt that strategy.
Boise's defense forces opposing offenses with
questionable quarterbacks to take fewer chances than
they normally would. Opponents have run 40 times per
game against Boise State so far, for fear of passing
and getting picked. Boise State's head coach was on
the Oregon staff with Mike Belotti for 6 years and he
is joyous about the fact that Oregon will be rotating a
true freshman and a JC transfer at quarterback in this
game, effectively limiting the Ducks' available playbook
items. OREGON, 23-14.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144085 - 09/20/08 10:28 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: Chopperjc]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
DOC SPORTS
7* GOY
North Carolina see write up earlier
5*
Utah
Pitt
4*
Mississippi
Auburn
FL Atlantic
UNLV
3*
Houston U
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144086 - 09/20/08 10:29 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: Chopperjc]
|
tinfw17
Member
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 1814
Loc: TX
|
|
Online
|
|
Northcoast
College Comp: Ole Miss -7
TV Play: East Carolina +7
Totals
2* Iowa/Pitt under 41.5
2* Miami/A&M under 41
2* Missouri -33
2* Fl. Atlantic +7
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144087 - 09/20/08 10:30 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
A-Play
Private Auburn
Heavy Hitter Arkansas
Vegas Hotline Toledo
VIP Minnesota Over
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144088 - 09/20/08 10:31 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:
5000* CONFERENCE REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR
368 Tennessee +7.5 3:30
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144089 - 09/20/08 10:31 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:
5000* HIGH NOON COLLEGE FOOTBALL ANNIHILATOR
318 Georgia Tech -7.5 12 NOON EST
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144090 - 09/20/08 10:31 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:
5000* MAC NON CONFEREBCE GAME OF THE YEAR
389 Kent +2.5 7:00 EST
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144091 - 09/20/08 10:32 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
William Kidd Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:
QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL DOMINATOR
Chicago White Sox w/Floyd -140 7:10 EST
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144092 - 09/20/08 10:33 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:
COLLEGE FOOTBALL NON-CON GAME OF THE YEAR
344 Tulsa -10 7:00 EST
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144093 - 09/20/08 10:34 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:
SEC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
316 Mississippi 7:00 EST
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144094 - 09/20/08 10:34 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:
PAC 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
377 Arizona -3 3:00 EST
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144095 - 09/20/08 10:34 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
PPP
5% Purdue -10
4% New Mex +10
4% San Jose St +8
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144096 - 09/20/08 10:36 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
FREAK
2007 Bad Man Champion
Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 45062
Loc: Time to play the Game
|
|
Offline
|
|
Steve Budin
25 Dime Teaser
E Carolina
Michigan St
HOLY COW HE STOLE MY TEASER OF THE WEEK !!!!! See the selection central area and my continual post of Gambling with FREAK
_________________________
Be an active member of the community. Make some posts daily.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#144097 - 09/20/08 10:37 AM
Re: 9/20
[Re: FREAK]
|
| | | |
