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7/28 Trend & Angles
#140595 07/28/08 11:58 PM
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COLORADO (48 - 58) at PITTSBURGH (48 - 57) - 7:05 PM
JASON HIRSH (R) vs.na (60 - 45) - 8:05 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs.na is 59-43 (+10.na is 29-19 (+8.na is 60-45 (+9.na is 131-82 (+24.na is 4-2 (+3.na since 1997
LILLY is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.na MATSUZAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.na MATSUZAKA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MATSUZAKA is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 2.141.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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BALTIMORE (49 - 55) at NY YANKEES (58 - 46) - 7:05 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 49-85 (-22.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 37-20 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-32 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-38 (+7.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 153-117 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 62-55 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MUSSINA is 84-72 (-33.1 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
MUSSINA is 46-37 (-34.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 5-4 (+2.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.3 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

MIKE MUSSINA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MUSSINA is 10-7 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.307.
His team's record is 12-11 (-9.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-14. (-8.6 units)

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TAMPA BAY (61 - 43) at TORONTO (53 - 52) - 7:07 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 4-21 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 70-141 (-45.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 14-4 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 117-87 (+26.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-25 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 26-18 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-28 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 42-18 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 44-28 (+12.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-20 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 61-43 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 31-39 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-2 (+4.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. TORONTO since 1997
SHIELDS is 4-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 0.921.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BURNETT is 6-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.030.
His team's record is 7-8 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-4. (+4.5 units)

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DETROIT (53 - 51) at CLEVELAND (45 - 58) - 7:05 PM
KENNY ROGERS (L) vs. PAUL BYRD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-26 (-16.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 33-43 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-11 (+12.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-2 (+8.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
ROGERS is 45-24 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 43-22 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 32-12 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 14-26 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 44-53 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-38 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-34 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-22 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 45-58 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 (+1.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

KENNY ROGERS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ROGERS is 13-9 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.403.
His team's record is 16-12 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-13. (-0.7 units)

PAUL BYRD vs. DETROIT since 1997
BYRD is 9-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.149.
His team's record is 13-5 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-10. (-3.2 units)

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SEATTLE (39 - 65) at TEXAS (54 - 51) - 8:05 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 34-61 (-29.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 26-44 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 29-44 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 13-25 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 39-65 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 10-28 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 63-91 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
TEXAS is 54-51 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 72-55 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 18-13 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 48-45 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 40-33 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 43-29 (+23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 31-20 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HERNANDEZ is 18-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 8-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 6-4 (+4.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 4-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.291.
His team's record is 4-9 (-9.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-4. (+4.8 units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
FELDMAN is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (59 - 44) at MINNESOTA (57 - 47) - 8:10 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. KEVIN SLOWEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-23 (+11.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-6 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 57-47 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-19 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 26-8 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-18 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-19 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
MINNESOTA is 41-29 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-19 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 59-44 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 29-15 (+14.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 749-637 (+77.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 435-438 (+38.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 7-4 (+2.3 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUEHRLE is 21-11 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 22-11 (+8.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 18-15. (+1.6 units)

KEVIN SLOWEY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SLOWEY is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.267.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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KANSAS CITY (47 - 59) at OAKLAND (53 - 51) - 10:05 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. GREG SMITH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 44-38 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 71-102 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 104-144 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-32 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 47-51 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 30-32 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GREINKE is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.375.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

GREG SMITH vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SMITH is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



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Re: 7/28 Trend & Angles
FREAK #140596 07/28/08 11:59 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
FREAK Online OP
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OP Online
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Time to play the Game
National League

Colorado at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Jason Hirsch (R) vs.na, 8:05 ET
Ted Lilly (L) vs.na Matsuzaka (R)
Weaver: LAA 13-3 AWAY when the total is 9 to 9.5
Matsuzaka: BOS 20-8 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5

Baltimore at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Jeremy Guthrie (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Guthrie: BAL 45-93 as an underdog of +125 to +175
Mussina: NYY 35-12 after allowing 9+ runs

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7:05 ET
James Shields (R) vs. AJ Burnett (R)
Shields: TB 4-21 AWAY in July
Burnett: Tor 14-4 at HOME in July

Detroit at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Kenny Rogers (R) vs. Paul Byrd (L)
Rogers: 8-0 TSR when the total is 10 or higher
Byrd: 2-10 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

Seattle at Texas, 8:05 ET
Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Scott Feldman (R)
Hernandez: SEA 1-11 after a win by 4+ runs
Feldman: TEX 16-8 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Mark Buerhle (L) vs. Kevin Slowey (R)
Buerhle: 18-5 UNDER AWAY when the money line is +125 to -125
Slowey: MIN 40-23 UNDER after a win by 2 runs or less

Kansas City at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Zach Greinke (R) vs. Greg Smith (L)
Greinke: 10-1 UNDER in 2nd half
Smith: 10-0 UNDER in night games



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Re: 7/28 Trend & Angles
FREAK #140597 07/28/08 11:59 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
FREAK Online OP
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OP Online
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Time to play the Game
7:05 PM BALTIMORE vs.na
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


8:05 PM CINCINNATI vs. HOUSTON
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati


8:05 PM SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
Seattle is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle


8:10 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox


10:05 PM ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Arizona
San Diego is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games at home


10:05 PM KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Kansas City


10:10 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games



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Re: 7/28 Trend & Angles
FREAK #140598 07/28/08 11:59 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
FREAK Online OP
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OP Online
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Time to play the Game
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox [ESPN | 7:05 ET]

Angels: Jered Weaver has pitched well over the last month, allowing two runs or less in all of his five starts over that stretch.na Matsuzaka has been close to untouchable over his last five starts, allowing just three runs in 30.na Brewers [8:05 PM ET]

Cubs: Ted Lilly takes the ball for the Cubs tonight in Game 1 of this important series with the Brewers.na.na's last 9 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins [8:10 PM ET]

White Sox: Mark Buehrle has been sharp in his last 10 starts, allowing two runs or less an impressive seven times. During that stretch, Buehrle is 6-2 with two no-decisions. After a brief two-game losing streak, Buehrle has bounced back by winning his last two starts over Texas and Kansas City. However, those games were at home. Tonight Buehrle takes to the road where he's 1-3 in his last four starts. Buehrle's last four appearances on the road have gone UNDER the total.

White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 games in field turf.
The UNDER is 16-5 in Chicago's last 21 games on field turf.

Key Injuries - 3B Joe Crede (.255; back) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Twins (-115, O/U 8.5): Kevin Slowey is 1-1 with a no-decision in his last three starts but he's been lit up pretty good in each of those outings. In his last three appearances, Slowey has given up 15 runs in just 15 innings, although the Twins won two of those games thanks in large part to an explosive offense. Slowey was abused his last time out versus the White Sox, giving up an obscene 10 hits and eight runs in just three innings of work. The OVER is 6-2 in Slowey's last eight starts.

Twins are 18-5 in their last 23 home games.
Twins are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings at Minnesota.

Key Injuries - OF Carlos Gomez (.248; back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5


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