Saturday Star Selection
1 STAR SELECTION (2% of Bankroll)
Wake Forest +14 over BOSTON COLLEGE
The soaring Eagles, off a 28-17 win over Virginia last week, host another ACC opponent on Saturday, as Wake Forest rolls into town.na against Virginia.na, the Eagles’ best defensive player, is not expected to play in this game. While Boston College would like to get payback for the recent losses to Wake, they are 0-5 ATS at home when playing with revenge, while the Demon Deacons are a tremendous 9-0 ATS & 13-1 ATS over the last 14 games as a road underdog vs. opponents playing with revenge.
Weather conditions can have a big impact on football games, and that may be the case here, as heavy rain is in the forecast. In perceived football "mismatches", poor weather tends to lessen the advantage powerful teams have over weaker opponents. The underdogs' chances of keeping the games close or even pulling off the outright upsets are enhanced, especially by turnovers which occur with more frequency in bad-weather games. Just the threat of turnovers can act as a great equalizer. Teams become more offensively conservative in order to avoid costly fumbles and interceptions. Either way, inclement weather usually portends defensive battles and low scores, and we expect the Deacons to keep this one close against an uninspired Eagles team.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: BOSTON COLLEGE 21 WAKE FOREST 14