San Antonio @ Boston
San Antonio -5 to -4.5
Total 179.5 to 179
San Antonio 26-14 Ovearll and 10-9 Away
Boston 20-22 Overall and 10-12 At Home
SA is 0-4 ATS in their last four overall.
Over is 4-1 in SA last five overall.
SA is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 on the road.
BOS is 0-3 ATS in their last three overall.
Under is 7-2 in BOS's last nine at home.
Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.
Home/Away:
San Antonio [+3.8 margin] 88.1 points on 41.6 FG%
Boston [+0.1 margin] 94.3 94.1 points on 43.9 FG%
Last 5:
San Antonio [-3.0 margin] 86.4 points on 40.5 FG%
Boston [0.0 margin] 101.0 points on 46.0 FG%
San Antonio has won both meeting this year
and the last 10 in Series SU.
San Antonio 94-78 At Boston....went Under
San Antonio 81-80 At San Antonio....went Under
Under 5-1 in the Series last 6
San Antonio 12-8 ATS and 14-6 Under On 1 Day Of Rest
San Antonio 12-7 Under Away
San Antonio 26-14 Under Overall
Both teams come into game on 3 game losing streaks.
Hard to go against San Antonio in veiw of the Series record.
Trends diffently favors under. Parks had started to show some fatigue.
He played the regular 82 games, the Play-offs and the 2003 Eurobasket last year.
Park has averaged 2 points less and 39.0 FG% his last 8 games.
Duncan is only shooting 45.8 % his last 8. Well below his 50%
career mark. They do have Emanuel Ginobili back. Radoslav Nesterovic
has droppped off to 43.4% during January. The Spurs shooting 43.1
their last 8 games.
Passing on Small Road favorite. San Antonio hot hand cooling off.
Their not a strong road team. Only shooting 41% Away, which is another
reason to favor the Under. Only problem with low total is that
Boston has allowed 97 or more 5 of 6.
Passing on side and total.
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Portland @ Phoenix
Off
Portland 16-22 Overall and 2-15 Away
Phoenix 14-26 Overall and 10-10 At Home
POR is 0-4 ATS in their last four overall.
POR is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 on the road.
Over is 3-0 in POR’s last three overall.
PHO is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at home.
Over is 5-1 in PHO's last six at home.
Over is 3-0 in the last three meetings.
Home/Away:
Portland [-10.4 margin] 84.8 points on 42.1 FG%
Phoenix [+0.7 margin] 95.8 points on 45.4 FG%
Last 5:
Portland [-4.4 margin] 91.0 points on 43.8 FG%
Phoenix [-4.2 margin] 96.2 points on 49.1 FG%
Teams have split this year:
Phoenix 105-96 At Portland...went Over
Portland 101-94 At Phoenix...went Over
Last 3 in Series Over.
Portland on 1-8 run.
Phoenix on 2-6 run.
Phoenix in 2-1 with Amare Stoudemire back.
Portland's 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS and 3-2 Under On No Rest
Phoenix 9-13 SU, 14-8 ATS and 12-9 Over with 1 Day Of Rest
Phoenix is playing better simply becuase Stoudemire is back.
Portland hasn't been a very good Away team.
There have been quite a few difficulties of late for the Blazers.
Wallace being out. Derek Anderson has returned to the line up and as
would be expected is a little rusty (28.6% FG's in 7 games).
Has go get playing experience sometime.
Coach Checks has been spreading out playing time.
That should be beneficial in the long run. It helps team morale in
that more players will feel involved. It also creates more competition
between players. "If you don't do well, others will play".
It also helps when a player goes down because you don't have depend on
someone who hasn't seen much action.
Portland has shot 51.4 FG% and 47.4 FG% their last 2. That's a good sign.
Person starting to heat up too (50% for January).
Game currently off the board.
Looking for around 194-195 points being scored.
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Miami @ Denver
Denver -9 to -8.5
Total 186.5
Miami 16-24 Overall and 5-18 Away
Denver 23-18 Overall and 15-7 At Home
Heat is 6-4 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
MIA is 3-1 ATS in their last four overall.
Under is 10-3 in MIA's last 13 on the road.
DEN is 1-3 ATS in their last four overall.
Under is 5-2 in DEN's last seven at home.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Home/Away:
Miami [-8.5 margin] 84.3 points on 40.2 FG%
Denver [+6.8 margin] 100.1 points on 43.9 FG%
Last 5:
Miami [-5.8 margin] 85.8 points on 39.6 FG%
Denver [-3.4 margin] 95.2 points on 45.9 FG%
Miami on 1-4 SU run.
Denver on 1-3 SU run.
Home/Away records favor Denver. They are shooting better.
Just don't think their playng well enough to lay -9.
Lean towards Denver and pass on Total due to conflicting trends.
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good luck today,
baz
