Houston @ Washington

Houston -6 to -5.na

Milwaukee -4.na 20-17 Overall and 13-4 At Home

Vin Baker Out for Boston

BOS is 4-1 ATS in their last five overall.na [+4.na [5.na 100-94
Boston 106-96

Boston on a 4-1 run.na on 5-1 run.

Would lean Home team covering. Series has been going Over,
but last 5 game number are slightly Under posted total.
Passing on Total.

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Detroit @ Chicago

Detroit -5.5
Total 171

Detroit 24-13 Ovearll and 9-8 Away
Chicago 12-25 Overall and 7-13 At Home

DET is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
The under is 17-5 in DET’s last 22 overall.
DET is 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
The under is 13-5 in CHI’s last 18 overall.
CHI is 5-2 ATS playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 13-2 in CHI’s last 15 at home.

Home/Away:
Detroit [+1.6 margin] +86.8 points on 41.8 FG%
Chicago [-4.9 margin] 87.0 points on 39.1 FG%

Last 5:
Detroit [+12.0 margin] 94.0 points on 44.1 FG%
Chicago [-3.4 margin] 85.0 points on 37.6 FG%

Detroit won first meeting 77-73 At Detroit.

Imagine Chicago scoring 79 or few in this one.

Detroit 13-7 Under with 1 Day Of Rest. (170.8 Average Total)
Chicago 5-2 Under with 2 Day's Of Rest. (182.7 Average Total)

Detroit 11-5 Under Away
Chicago 15-5 Under At Home

Detroit on 8-0 SU run.
Chicago on 2-5 SU run.

Have to lean towards Detroit, but -5.5 a bit too steep.
They may very cover that though.
Trends heavily tilted towards Under.
Very low posted total, they only scored 150 first match up.
Still have hard time pulling trigger at 171, passing.

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Golden State @ Utah

Utah -6.5
Golden State 183

Golden State 15-21 Overall and 4-14 Away
Utah 19-17 Overall and 15-3 Away

GS is 5-2 ATS playing the second of B2B games.
The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
GS is 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
UTA is 13-5 ATS at home this season.
The under is 7-3 in UTA’s last 10 as the fav.
UTA is 16-6 ATS playing with 1-2 days rest.

Home/Away:
Golden State [-7.1 margin] 87.9 points on 43.8 FG%
Utah [+6.8 margin] 94.8 points on 46.3 FG%

Last 5:
Golen State [-5.8 margin] 96.6 points on 42.6 FG%
Utah [-1.6 margin] 89.4 points on 43.4 FG%

Golden State won first meeting 95-89.

Home/Away records favor Utah winnings, would have to lean
toward Utah. Pass on the side.

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Denver @ Phoenix

Denver 22-16 Overall and 7-10 Away
Phoenix 12-25 Overall and 9-9 At Home

Denver -2 to -1.5
Total 198 to 197.5

Denver [-3.9 margin] 93.9 points on 42.6 FG%
Phoenix [+0.8 margin] 94.8 points on 44.7 FG%

Last 5:
Denver [-2.2 margin] 95.0 points on 45.9 FG%
Phoenix [-11.0 margin] 83.2 points on 40.9 FG%

Denver won first meeting 110-80 At Denver.

Phoenix has lost 5 straight has 3 since the trade.

Phoenix only averaged 87.3 since the trade.
Denver has averaged 108.3 their last 3.

Phoenix has averaged 87.3 points on 43% shooting the last 3,
that would require Denver to score 110.3 to hit the Over.
Denver only averages 93.9 points Away, (a -16.8 point difference).

Taking Denver -1.5 and Under 198

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Miami @ Sacramento

Sacramento -14 O
Total 195-194

Miami 15-22 Overall and 4-16 Away
Sacramento 26-9 Overall and 19-2 At Home

MIA is 28th in team offense avg. 86.1 points/gm.
The under is 16-7 in MIA’s last 23 overall.
MIA is 1-3 ATS in their last four as the ‘dog.
SAC is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 overall.
The over is 5-2-1 in SAC’s last eight at home.
SAC is 5-2 ATS in their last seven at home

Home/Away:
Miami [-9.1 margin] 84.0 points on 40.1 FG%
Sacramento [+13.1 margin] 107.0 on 48.2 FG%

Last 5:
Miami [-3.8 margin] 90.0 points on 42.0 FG%
Sacramento [+13.4 margin] 111.6 points on 49.6 FG%

Miami on 1-3 SU run.
Sacramento on 6-1 run.

Have to lean toward Sacramento in this one, but large chunk of chalk
not appealing. The last 4 games in Series have averaged 170.

passing on side and total.

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Cleveland @ Seattle

Seattle -9 Overall
Total 196

Cleveland 11-26 Overall and 2-18 Away
Seattle 19-16 Overall and 11-8 At Home

CLE is 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
Cavs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven as the dog.
Cleveland has won the last three meetings ATS.
SEA is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
The over is 6-1 in SEA’s last seven overall.
SEA is 4th in team offense avg. 98.2 points/gm.

Home/Away:
Cleveland [-8.8 margin] 86.0 points on 41.9 FG%
Seattle [+1.4 margin] 98.1 points on 44.4 FG%

Last 5:
Cleveland [-9.0 margin] 83.8 points on 38.2 FG@
Seattle [-1.2 margin] 110.8 points on 47.7 FG%

Cleveland on 1-4 Su run.
Seattle 6-2 SU run.

Lebron James 39.1 % in January
Cleveland scored 79 points on 39.3 FG%

-9 is very tempting, but Seattle has only won 6 games of 35 games
or (17.1%). Sonic come into the game shooting 47.7% the last 5
compared to Cleveland's 38.2 %. Team which shoots the better FG%
tends to cover. During that period, Seattle averaged 27 more points
on the offensive side.

Lean towards Seattle and passing on total.

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Portland @ Los Angeles

OFF THE BOARD

Portland 16-19 Overall and 2-14 Away
Los Angeles 15-19 Overall and 11-9 At Home

Rasheed Wallace Questionable

POR is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games.
The under is 6-1 in POR’s last seven road games.
POR is 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall.
The over is 4-1 in LAC last five home games.
LAC is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 overall.
The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.

Home/Away:
Portland [-10.6 margin] 84.1 points on 41.9 FG%
Los Angeles [+1.7 margin] 100.1 points on 43.8 FG%

Last 5:
Portland [-8.8 margin] 87.6 points on 43.1 FG%
Los Angeles [-5.0 margin] 88.2 points on 43.0 FG%

Portland on 1-5 Su run.
Los Angeles on 1-4 Su run.

Home team 8-2 Su in Series.
Over 8-2 in the Series.

Portland 7-3 Under their last 10.

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good luck today,

baz
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