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 NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
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OP
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
As I do every year, I will be posting my picks to click and betting units involved. I will do this for the whole season, and over years past I have produced winning seasons.
Please take note that the lines mentioned are exactly what I bet them at, when I bet them, I will tell you when I bet them as well. I will not mislead with bogus lines, or bs like others do elsewhere.
I normally pick 3-5 drivers and bet them to win the race, and will have some driver props as well.
So here we go......
All bets will be listed in small amounts rather than the amount I bet, but I have cut them down to make it affordable for everyone to play along.
Daytona 500 Race 1 of the season.....
All of the following odds are from today within the last 15 minutes at the following books:
Dale Earnhardt Jr +350 @ Superbook 60 to win 210 Kevin Harvick +3500 @ Superbook 10 to win 350 Dale Jarrett +1600 @ Superbook 20 to win 320 Jimmie Johnson +650 @ 5 Dimes 40 to win 260 Tony Stewart +1100 @ 5 Dimes 25 to win 275
Driver Props
Earnhardt Jr -126 over Jeff Gordon 126 to win 100
Props and win wager tallies will be keep separate.
On a side note, if you like Stewart, he just went to +1150 at Pinnacle from +800... strange bump up in price, but it beat the +1100 I got.
If you want to join in, feel free to add to this season long post.
Good luck and enjoy the race.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 825 Likes: 1 -
Senior
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Senior
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 825 Likes: 1 - |
I have Gordon +116 over Dale Jr at Pinnacle. I am also considering Harvick to win. Good luck.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
I forgot to add that that the -126 on EJR was at Pinnacle same bet where wiley made his. So they love us today.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 825 Likes: 1 -
Senior
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Senior
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 825 Likes: 1 - |
I also should have put a bone on Gordon to win, but it was a hell of a finish. It appeared that Dale Jr had the better car but he got boxed in after Gordon passed him right before the caution.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Not exactly the way to start off the season, a good race nonetheless.
Drivers to win -155 Driver H2H -126
Overall -281
Funny thing was I got down to Harvick and Gordon, and went with the longer odds.... that's gambling folks....
Next week is Fontana.....
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 662 harrisburg , PA
Junior
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Junior
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 662 harrisburg , PA |
Pussboy wins again ...You have to admitt it , he is a good driver , because by all rights he didnt have the fastest car.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
We are now at Race 2
The following you can get at Pinnacle.
Mayfield 10 to win $276.20 +2762 Johnson 30 to win $179.40 +593 Gordon 30 to win $226.20 +715 Kenseth 20 to win $167.20 +815
At Bowmans
Newman 20-200
No Driver Prop this week.
Good luck all.....
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Drivers to win -255 Drivers H2H -126
Two weeks ago, we needed just 1/2 more lap for Johnson to win.... alas that is racing
Now we are in Las Vegas, and I have some bombers to go with one of the logical choices.
First all these plays were made at Pinnacle, and I have decreased the bet size so all can play along.
First the obvious
Kenseth +540 30 to win 162
The almost logical
Kahne +904 20 to win $180 Sadler +1144 20 to win $228
The bombers
Stewart +2600 10 to win 260 Earnhardt Jr +6500 5 to win 325
H2H
Biffle -130 over Carl Edwards 130-100
Good luck....
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Drivers to win -340 H2H Matchups -26
Tough day in Vegas +15 overall for the race.
On to Atlanta next week.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Here we go to the Golden Corral 500 in Atlanta....
The obvious:
Driver that is on fire, and won here last year.
Jimmie Johnson +435 $40 to win $174
Drivers with a chance:
Pole sitter and a top 5 spot to start, two aggressive drivers, and they can win.
Ryan Newman +1442 $20 to win $288.40 Kasey Kahne +2397 $10 to win $239.70
The long shots:
These odds are just very juicy and both these drivers have done well in Atlanta
Kevin Harvick +5598 $5 to win $279.90 Bobby Labonte +8136 $5 to win $406.80
All bets were placed at Pinnacle.
Remember the bet amounts reflect what I feel anyone can play, and make it so you can get in the race for under $100.
Good luck no matter what you play.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Well the last race was exciting, and another close loss with Jimmie Johnson..... Thought we had that race, but momentum wasn't on our side at the line.
Update Drivers to win -420 Head to Head -26
Today the Food City 500 @ Bristol
Weather has played havoc this weekend, and the temp at the track will be lucky to hit the 60 mark... Tires will make a difference today...
Remember the goal of this thread is to get you in the race for under $100 when betting on drivers to win.
A rare 6 pack today, and it is because I couldn't cut the 6th due to a heavy hunch feeling.
First the logical.....
Jeff Gordon +670 30 to win 201 Kurt Busch +650 30 to win 195 Rusty Wallace +839 20 win 167.80
The Long Shots Ryan Newman +1750 10 to win 175 Kevin Harvick +1111 15 to win 166.65
The Bomber
Matt Kenseth +2880 10 to win $288.80
Kenseth is the hunch play for me in this race....
No driver vs driver race this week.
Good luck everyone, and enjoy the race, let's hope it goes the whole way.....
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Harvick wins last weeks race and we score a $67 profit for the race.
Update Drivers to win -353 Head to Head -26
This week looks as follows:
The contenders
Rusty Wallace 8-1 $25 to win $200 Kevin Harvick 8-1 $25 to win $200
In with a chance
Tony Stewart 10-1 $20 to win $200 Ryan Newman 12-1 $15 to win $180
The Longshot
Bobby Labonte 20-1 $10 to win $200
All plays at Pinnacle.
Remember the rules are I bet $100 or less on at least 5 drivers. This is so everyone can get in the race cheap.
This should be a good race, and almost a mirror image of last week, if that is the case, we are going to be looking good down the stretch.
Good luck everyone, and keep posting in the forum.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 2,420 bad man USA
2014, 2002 & 2001 Bad Man Champion
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2014, 2002 & 2001 Bad Man Champion
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 2,420 bad man USA |
Freak great call on Harvik. I know you like him.
I love Rusty today too. 8-1 Of course E. Sadler @ 30-1 is my LS Also got a feeling Matt Kensith does some damage today. Last weeks race was flat out fun to watch.
GL Freak!
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Some races aren't meant to be, and last week was one them. Had all the drivers in the hunt all day except Newman, and the race fell apart in the end. The total goes to -448 Head to Head -26 On to the Samsung 500 The Obvious Kahne +501 $30 to win $150.30 The Contender Gordon +1003 $20 to win $200.60 In with a shot.... Sadler +1677 $15 to win $251.55 Stewart +1802 $15 to win $278.25 The Bomber Wallace +5500 $5 to win $275 Head to Head Biffle +142 over Mark Martin $100 to win $142 All bets are at Pinnacle, you simply can't beat the odds they offer on NASCAR. Remember futures are limited to $100 so you can get in all the drivers. It has been a tough season to date, a lot of second and thirds, and races that should've been won, lost very very late. If you are following along, would love to hear from you, and be sure to check out Pinnacle if you're betting NASCAR. Here's the link: Pinnacle Sports
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Ok so we have night racing in Phoenix.
Remember the rule I have is I show you how to bet $100 per race on the drivers to win, and some matchups if they look good to bet on. The matchups are to win $100 or bet $100 to win x?
Last week none of the drivers did well, lots of early and late problems that cost us all chances.
The bright spot is the $85 lost on the drivers was won back and a little more on the match up as Biffle @ +142 not only won the matchup, but won the race.
So we showed a modest profit of $57
Drivers to win -533 Matchups +116 Overall -417
I am going for value this week and have used up the entire $100 I recommend so here it is:
The Obvious
Jeff Gorden +700 $30 to win $210
Contenders
Tony Stewart +1200 $17 to win $204 Ryan Newman +1300 $16 to win $208 Earnhardt Jr +1600 $13 to win $208 Kasey Kahne +1600 $13 to win $208
Bombs Away
Elliott Sadler +5000 $4 to win $200 Jamie McMurray +4500 $5 to win $225 Sterlin Marlin +10000 $2 to win $200
Drivers matchups
Bobby Labonte -105 over Joe Nemechek $105 to win $100
Earnhardt Jr +113 over Harvick $100 to win $113
So we have a lot of drivers that can win for us tonight.
Enjoy the race, it should be a good one, under the lights back East, but still sunny and warm in Phoenix, but the race will end under the lights at PIR.
Good luck
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
We open up this week at Talledega. First the unfinished business from last week.
Drivers lost us 100, matchups won us 213, a profit of $113 overall.
Snake bit with drivers, but matchups are getting us back in business. Not the way I like to go, but, it happens sometimes.
Drivers to win -633 Matchups +329 Overall -304 Last week +113
Now we get to the superspeedway.... all wagers are from Pinnacle, and by now, everyone should know how I do this....
The Logical....
Jeff Gordon +505 40 to win 220
In with a shot.....
Kevin Harvick +702 30 to win 210.60 Jimmie Johnson +916 22 to win 201.52
The bombs....
Elliott Sadler +3599 5 to win 179.95 Matt Kenseth +6000 3 to win 180
Normally a track I play heavy on DEI, not today, I don't think they are in sync as a team, and while they likely will contend, and may win, I am going against them today.
Matchups.....
Jeff Gordon -112 over E JR 112 to win 100 Elliott Sadler -120 over Jarrett 120 to win 100
Good luck all......
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Gordon wins the race last week.
The drivers bets wins $160 Both matchups won bringing in $200
Updated totals
Drivers -473 Match Ups +529 Overall +56
Tonight at Darlington
The Favorite:
Jimmie Johnson +491 40 to win 196.40
In with a shot:
Kurt Busch +835 24 to win 200.40 Ryan Newman +952 21 to win 199.92
The shots
Jeremy Mayfield +1142 17 to win 194.14 Elliott Sadler +1468 14 to win 205.52
We are going to risk $116 total tonight
No matchups.... spring race 500 laps.... this will be a tough one to win.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Well last week was in the bag with 3 laps to go, until Mark Martin spun out, and they brought out the flag even though they didn't need to.
Cost us a win with Ryan Newman last week, and it was $$ in the bag.
So the figures stand:
Drivers -579 Match Up +529 Overall -50
For tonight:
The favorite
Tony Stewart +500 40 to win 200
In with a shot.....
Ryan Newman +900 22 to win 198 Jimmie Johnson +1000 20 to win 200
The Long Shots
Dale Earnhardt Jr +1600 12 to win 196Matt Kenseth +3500 6 to win 210
No matchups this week, we should be in contention all night.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
After a week off the regular circuit we are back in business with the Coca Cola 600.
Here is the updated stats for the season..
Drivers to win -673 Match Ups +529 Overall -144
Still a long way to go, and tonight's race is going to be a fun one. There is the usual favorites for this race and track, and let's see if we can make some $$$..
I am going to go against all the favorites today and look to score with a long shot....
Sadler +1000 $20 Kenseth +1200 $17 Stewart +1200 $17 Harvick +1500 $14 McMurray +2500 $10 Waltrip +3000 $10 Edwards +3500 $10
Total wagered $98
7 drivers 7 shots to win, and I think all of them have a better chance to win than the odds show.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 2,420 bad man USA
2014, 2002 & 2001 Bad Man Champion
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2014, 2002 & 2001 Bad Man Champion
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 2,420 bad man USA |
w/ 44 laps to go, Sadler was sitting pretty in the two hole then "bamb". Damm=Mets#!@
Still a great race to watch.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
It was definitely a tough race, Edwards had his shot with 9 laps to go as well, but I think the fooling around with Jarrett screwed him.
That's racing and Johnson is living a charmed life at that track.
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Ok this season has been full of ups and downs, more downs than ups. A lot of disappointments and close calls.
Totals
Drivers -771 Match ups +529 Overall -242
Today
Biffle +900 $23 to win $207 Stewart +1050 $20 to win $210 Earnhardt Jr +2000 $10 to win $200 Harvick +2500 $10 to win $250
Total $63 wagered
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Last week a winner with Biffle.
+167
Overall
Drivers -608 Matchups +529 Total -79
Pocono 500
Kurt Busch +681 $27 to Win 183.87 Kevin Harvick +1515 $10 to Win 151.50 Jeremy Mayfield +2129 $10 to Win 212.90 Jamie McMurray +2675 $10 to Win 267.50 Dale Earnhardt Jr. +6649 $10 to Win 664.90
Total wagered $67
Good luck
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 Re: NASCAR Season Long Challenge
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game |
Michigan 400 forget Batman who cares.....
Drivers -675 Match ups +529 Overall -146
This week all at Pinnacle....
Ryan Newman +752 Risking 27 to Win 203.04
Tony Stewart +1311 Risking 16 to Win 209.76 Brian Vickers +2140 Risking 10 to Win 214.00
Bobby Labonte +2626 Risking 8 to Win 210.08
Matchups
Greg Biffle +109 Over Jimmie Johnson 100-109 Kevin Harvick +126 over Jamie McMurray 100-126
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