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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Going to parlay the folling individually to (NBA) Los Angeles {Cashline-145} Over Minnesota:
(1)Houston(Miller)-145 Over Cincinnati(Lidle) (2)Arizona(Johnson)/Florida(Willis) Under 7.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hedge from Yesterday's Action:
Will wager 80 on (NBA) Minnesota Cashline 5 minutes prior to gametime. Line currently +125 Hoping to get better odds just prior to gametime.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
good luck today,
baz
note: will be posting updated results for season later today.
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Hedging Earlier Arizona/Florida Under 7.5 with Los Angeles (-145 cashline) parlay:
Have decided to wager 80 on Minnesota +125
baz
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
No Play's Today.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Results of plays and hedge from May 20th:
A Minnesota win would return a +662.80 profit + the 250 wagered on (Atl/Oak/SD-St.L) = 912.80 Total Return. Minus the -300 Lost on the Early wagers (Chicago,Houston and Boston) resulting in a profit of +362.80
Hedging 600 on Los Angles Lakers -1.5 {-105} would produce this result: Returns (.952 X 600 = 571.42 in profits + 600 Hedge Wager= 1171.452 Total Return
1171.42 Total Return - 550 Lost from earlier wagers(Chi/Hou/Bos/Atl/Oak/SD-St.Louis) and Laker 600 wager= +21.42 Overall Profit.
A Minnesota win: Would Return a total of 912.80 - 900 (300 Chi/Hou/Bos wagers} + 600 Laker wager) 912.80 - 900 = +12.80 Profit.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Let's say that I wagered the would be profit's of +662.80 from the early parlay's on the Lakers-1.5(.952)
A Minnesota win: Returns 912.80 (250 wagerd + 662.80 profits - 912.80 (600 Laker wager + 300 lost (Chi/Hou/Bos) = -0- {Breaks even}
A Los Angeles Lakers win @ -1.5(.95.23): Returns the intial wager of 662.80 + 630.98 profit = 1293.78 Total returned 1293.78 - (662.80 + 550 Early Parlays- Chi/Hou/Bos/Atl/Oak/SD-St.Louis) = +80.98
Since I had a strong opinion on Los Angeles, I should have wagered 662.80 instead of the 600.
Overall profit for the day: +21.42
================================================================== ==================================================================
Overall Record So Far This Season:
33-27 Favorites 6-7 Underdogs 7-8 Runline 12-4 Overs 4-5 Unders ----------------- 62-51 Overall (+ 771.79)
Based on 100.00 bet per play. A half Unit + 50.00 per play. 1/4 Unit = 25.00 per play.
thanks,
baz <small>[ May 25, 2004, 04:13 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Posting MLB picks early. Would parlay each pick individually to Wednesday's(NBA) Detorit on the Cashline(Not Posted yet) Then could hedge either on the cashline at + odds or the spread to create a potential middle. Will post prior to game time.
===============================================
1 Unit: Atlanta(Ramirez)/Montreal (Woo Kim) Under 8.5 [-120]
1/2 Unit each: Minnesota(Loshse)/TampaBay(Zambrano) Over 9.5 [-105] Atlanta(Ramirez)-152 Over Montreal(Woo Kim) SanFransico(Schmidt) -220 Over Arizona(Fossum)
All Parlayed individually to (NBA) Detroit on Cashline
Would wager as soon as (NBA)Indiana/Detroit on board. Line may more slightly against us. Would pass on Minn/TB at 10
================================================
Lean towards:
Philadephia Los Angeles SanDiego/Colorado Over 12
Would stay away from Texas/Chicago Under
good luck today,
baz <img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" /> <small>[ May 25, 2004, 04:32 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
The Cashline on Detroit Over Indiana around -210 Still can get 9.5 at WSEX on the Minnesota/TampaBay and 8.5 for the Atlanta game. For the most part, the lines moved moved in favor of Minn/TB Over and the Atlanta Under fell in most cases an entire Run which is a strong move.
good luck today,
baz <small>[ May 25, 2004, 01:41 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Going to parlay: Los Angeles(Perez)-150 Over Milwaukee(Capuano) with (NBA) Los Angeles-371 Over Minnesota
If Parlay hits, will return +111.50 Profit
Then wil hedge on Minnesota with the Cashline @ +321. take +7.5 or perhaps higer and or a combination of both.
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Note: Atlanta was NO ACTION yesterday due to the pitching change. I always List Both Starters.
To hedge yesterday's action: Just going to place 20 on Indiana @ +199
good luck today,
baz <img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying the following individually to (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers-2 Over Minnesota then hedging off:
(1) New York Mets (Glavine) +106 Over Florida(Willis) (2) Houston(Clemens)-155 Over St.Louis(Carpenter) (3) Arizona(Johnson) -135 Over Los Angles(Alvarez)
--------------------------------------------------------
1/2 Unit: (4)New York Mets(Glavine)/Florida(Willis) Under 7.5 {-105}
Parlay: (5) Boston(Martinez)-240 Over Seattle(Pineiro) with New York Yankees(Vazquez)-190 Over TampaBay(Waechter) <small>[ May 28, 2004, 01:24 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying following individually to (NBA)Indiana (-170) Over Detroit then hedging on Detroit either on the cashline or on the spread.
1 Unit: (1) Anaheim (Sele) -113 Over ChicagoWhiteSoxs(Rauch)
Parlay for 1/2 Unit: (2) Philadelphia (Padilla) -152 Over Atlanta(Thomson) with New York Yankees(Brown) -1.5 runs{-130} Over Tampa Bay (Hendrickson)
Note:If Philadelphia loses fist game, will Parlay: New York Yankees(Brown) -1.5 runs{-130} Over Tampa Bay (Hendrickson) with (NBA) Indiana -1-170 on the cashline, then hedging off.
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Hedging Friday's Plays: Placing 350 on Minnesota just prior to gametime. Have -2 on Los Angeles to win on tickets. Can currently get Minnesota at +2.5 (Intertops, Sportingbet) Hope that by waiting til 5 minutes before gametime that Minnesota +3 or better will be available.
If Lakers wins, will make +175.00 If Minnesota wins, will lose -81.80 If can get +3, have a small chance of a middle.
thanks and good luck,
baz <small>[ May 29, 2004, 01:05 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying the following individually to Los Angles(Ishii) -160 Over Arizona(Fossum) with (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -412 Over Minnesota
1/2 Unit Each: (1) New York Yankees(Lieber)-174 Over TampaBay(Zambrano) (2) Boston(Schilling)-1.5 runs{-124} Over Seattle (Franklin) (3) Atlanta (Ramirez) +123 Over Philadelphia(Milton)
1/4 Unit: (4) Detroit(Maroth)/Baltimore(Bedard) Under 9.5 (+100) (5) Detroit (Maroth)-1.5 runs {+184} Over Baltimore(Bedard) (6) Cincinnati(Wilson)-127 Over Montreal(Ohka) If Available.
Will hedge off slightly on Arizona(Fossum) +155 (current odds) Over Los Angeles(Ishii) just prior to game time. How much will depend on earlier results. Will be hedging off on Minnesota at +7.5 {+116} as soon as Arizona/LosAngeles game is over. This will create a chance of a 7.5 middle.
-------------------------------------------------------------- Parlaying the following individually to (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -412 Over Minnesota 1/2 Unit Each: (1) Chicago Whitesox's (Schoeneweis)-138 Over Anaheim(Lackey) (2) San Francisco (Schmidt)-194 Over Colorado(Kennedy)
Will be hedging off on Minnesota at +7.5 {+116} as soon as Arizona/LosAngeles game is over. This will create a 7.5 chance at a middle.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Hedging Saturday's Action:
216 On (NBA) Detroit +3.5 {-108} Over Indiana
If Indiana wins +21.89 If Detroit wins -0- If Detroit loses by 3 or less +489.80
best of luck today,
baz <img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" /> <small>[ May 30, 2004, 06:22 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
What a day. Detroit and Baltimore Bullpens give up 7 runs in the 9th to blow the Under. The run pushing the game Over coming with 2 outs in the bottom of the inning. Then the next batter ends the game: 7-3 Baltimore (bad luck). Changed channels in disgust to a game I was actually winning. Boston enters the top of the 8th up 5-1, Schilling is cruising. ooophs...6 runs later it's 7-5 Seattle (some more bad luck). Fortunately, Boston scores 2 to tie it in the bottom of the inning to tie and McCarthy hits a walk off 2 run homer in the 12 to cover the runline the only way it could have been covered(good luck). Luck. Sometimes it better to be lucky than good. In Baltimore/Detroit 9th and Seattle/Boston 8th:
15 hits and 6 BB's (one IBB) and 15 Er's. A combined 33.75 Era.
Welcome to the Big Show.
=====================================================================
Hedging: 35 on Arizona @ +163 (Pinnacle)
Note: Atlanta and Cincinnati NO ACTION
Like my chances with LA.
=====================================================================
ChicagoWhiteSox's and San Francisco both won. Will hedge off later as the line appears to be moving higher. Currently -8.5 Los Angeles and +430 on the cashline. Cashline has jumped from Lakers -410 to -510. Sentiment is strongly in favor of the Lakers winning game 6.
Lakers 42-7(85.7%) at Home. (+9.9 point margin) Minnesota Away 29-19 at Away (+1.2 point margin)
Lakers 7-0 with +13.0 point margin @ Home during playoffs. Minnesota 2-5 with -8.7 point margin Away during the playoffs.
good luck tonight,
baz <img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying:
Los Angeles (Perez) -188 Over Milwaukee(Wise) with (NBA) Detroit -5 Over Indiana
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Will hedge on Tuesday prior to game time if LA wins.
thanks and good luck today,
baz
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Hedging Sunday's Action: 45 on Minnesota +441 on Cashline 55 on Minnesota + 9
good luck,
baz
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying the following to (NBA) Detroit -255 Over Indiana
1 Unit:
(1) Toronto (Halladay)-140 Over Seattle (Meche)
1/4 Unit Each:
(2) San Francisco (Hermanson)-140 Over Arizona(Sparks) (3) Florida (Penny)-188 Over Cincinnati (Harang)
(4) Cleveland (Sabathia)-1.na(Sheets)-115 Over Los Angeles(Weaver)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Hedges for Yesterday and Today's Action:
50 on (NBA) Indiana +5.5...Lines have moved to +6.5 (BETCOM) and most books at +6
45 on (NBA) Indiana +229....Line moved to +260 (Pinnacle)
[b]Still would wait til late as reasonablly possible.
Note: Will wait til 5 mintues to end of betting this game to get best odds. Will post final odds. [/b]
Believe that Indiana without a completely healthy O'Neal will be hardpressed to defeat Detroit at Home. Piston's are 37-13 @ Home (64%).
good luck today,
baz <img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" /> <small>[ June 01, 2004, 07:31 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying the following:
1/2 Unit:
(1) Florida(Willis)-151 Over Cincinnati(Lidle) with Boston(Martinez)-157 Over Anaheim(Washburn)
1/4 Unit: (2) Cleveland(Westbrook)-1.5 runs Over Texas(Dickey) with New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(Dubose)
(3) Texas(Dickey) -1.5 runs(+160) Over Cleveland(Westbrook) with New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(Dubose)
If the Texas/Clevleand game is a one run game will wager 1/2 Unit: New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(DuBose)
1/4 Unit:
(4) ChicagoWhiteSox's(Buehrle)+117 Over Oakland(Mulder) with Arizona(Johnson)-186 Over San Francisco(Tomko)
Will hedge off any winners.
thank you and good luck,
baz <small>[ June 02, 2004, 04:28 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Adding the follwing Parlays:
1/2 Unit each:
(1) New York Yankees(Contreras) -168 Over Baltimore(Dubose) with Boston(Martinez) -160 Over Anaheim(Washburn)
(2) Arizona(Johnson)-197 Over San Francisco(Tomko) with New York Yankees(Contreras)/Baltimore(BuBose) Over 10.5 {-114}
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying the following to Atlanta(Thomson)-125 Over Philadelphia(Hancock or Any)
30 on:
(1) New York Yankees(Vazquez)-1.5runs {+105} runs Over Baltimore(Cabrera or Any)
20 on:
(2) Baltimore(Cabrera or Any)-1.5 runs{+258} Over New York Yankees(Vazquez)
15 of the last 20 meetings have been decided by 2 or more. The last 2 games have been decided by one run. Think that the odds are against 3 meetings in a row being decided by one run. Going to make a small wager and then hedge off with Philadelphia +115 or more just prior to the game.
=============================================================================
Yesterday, I forgot to type in
(3) Texas(Dickey) -1.5 runs(+160) Over Cleveland(Westbrook) "with New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(Dubose)"
I did it going the other way with Cleveland(Westbrook) -1.5 runs. The failure to do this was the difference between being Up +15.35 and being down -18.50 for the day. It's been a tough week with a lot of tough losses and some poor hedging on my part. Just going to have to shake it off and bear down.
Result so far for this Season:
+640.93 (would be +674.78 if one counted yesterday's Texas/NYY parlay)
Favorites: 42-35 Underdogs: 6-8 Runline: 7-8 Overs: 12-4 Unders: 4-5
Overall: 62-51
good luck today,
baz
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Hedging the New Yorkn Yankee/Atlanta parlay:
38 on Philadelphia +133
If Philadelphia wins:+.54 cents If Atlanta wins: +22.70
thanks and good luck,
baz
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Going to parlay the following individually with (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -497 Over Detroit. Then will hedge on Detroit +8 points:
1/2 Unit Each:
(1)Los Angeles (Ishii)-126 Over Arizona(Fossum) (2)Cincinnati (Acevedo)-169 Over Montreal(Day)
1/4 Unit Each: (3)Boston(Wakefield)-146 Over KansasCity(Gobble) (4)Boston(Wakefield)/KansasCity(Gobble) Over 9 {-111) (5)Anaheim(Sele)-169 Over Cleveland(Davis)
20 on: (6) Detroit(Manroth)-1.5 runs{+190} Over Minnesota(Lohse) (7) Minnesota(Lohse)-1.5 runs{+152} Over Detroit (Manroth)
thanks and best of luck,
baz
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying the following individually to Los Angeles Lakers -501: Will hedge off on Detroit at either +8 {-107} or on the cashline currently at +421
1/4 Units each:
(1) Chicago Cubs(Benson)-225 Over Pittsburgh(Benson) with Oakland(Hudson)-213 Over Toronto (Hentgen)
(2) Atlanta(Ortiz)-128 Over Philadelphia(Myers) with New York Yankees(Leiber) Over Texas(Dominguez)
Note: If Either of the early games lose with take second team on the ticket (Oakland and New York Yankees) and individually parlay each to LA-501 for 1/4 Unit. (Same listed pitchers).
(3) Anaheim(Lackey)-169 Over Cleveland(Dawley) (4) Anheim(Lakey)/Cleveland(Dawley) Over 9.5 {-122} (5) Batlimore(Lopez)-163 Over TampaBay(Bell) (6) Boston(Schilling)-199 Over Kansas City(May)
For 20: (7) Montreal(Ohka)/Cincinnati(Wilson) Under 7.5 {+112) (8) San Francisco(Rueter)/Colorado(Jennings) Over 13 (-125)
For 10: (9) Los Angeles(Perez)-1.5 Runs{+105} Over Arizona(Gonzalez) (10) Los Angeles(Perez)/Arizona(Gonzalez) Under 9
good luck today,
baz
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 Re: Baz's MLB 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Parlaying the following individually to Los Angeles Lakers -475 Over Detroit then hedge on Detroit +8 {-110} and or the Cashline.
1/4 Unit each:
(1) Atlanta(Wright)+107 Over Philadephia(Millwood) (2) New York Yankees(Mussina)-199 Over Texas(Drese) (3) ChicagoCubs(Maddux)-223 Over Pittsburgh(Vogelsong) (4) New York Mets(Leiter)-107 Over Florida(Penny) (5) Anaheim(Colon)-133 Over Cleveland(Sabathia)
good luck today,
baz
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