Home Forums Skybox Sports Bar Around the Horn Baz's MLB 2004

San Franciso +120 (Rueter) Over San Diego (Lawrence)

Lawrence:

Spring Training 1-3 10.64 ERA (26 ER's in 22.0 innings and 49 Hits Allowed)
Lawrence Career vs. SF 0-3 4.34 Era (50 Er's in 18 Er's in 37.1 innings)
Larrence vs. Top of SF Lineup:
Durham 4/13 .308
Snow 4/14 .286
Tucker 4/5 .800
Bonds 8/16 .500

Rueter vs. SD Lifetime: 11-2 3.29 Era (50 Er's in 136.2 Innings) .257 Averaged Allowed.
Lifetime Record vs. SD Hitters:
Burroughs 2-16 .125
Loretta 6-26 .231
Giles 2-21 .095
Nevin 9-45 .375
Klesko 6-30 .200
Greene 2-4 .500
Payton 6-16 .375
Hernandez 3-14 .214
Vazquez 1-4 .250

-------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland (Sabathia) +106 Over Kansas City (Anderson)


Sabathia 7-4 with 3.19 Era .248 Average Allowed vs. KC Lifetime.
Sabathia allowed just 2 hits in 7 innings and .095 Average in 1st Start this Season.

Anderson vs. Cleveland 2-0 but only 11 Er's in 18.1 innings 5.40 Era and .265 Average.
Anderson Spring Training: 0-2 6.75 Era (15 Er's/20 innings, 27 hits allowed)

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado(Stark)/Los Angeles (Nomo) Over 7.5 (Would buy 1/2 run to make it 7)

Stark Spring Training 0-2 12.12 Era (22 Er's in 16 innings and 29 hits)
Stark 3-1 3.37 Era Lifetime vs. LA

Nomo
Spring Training 1-4 8.13 Era (25 Er's in 27 innings and 39 hits)
Lifetine Vs. Colorado 8-2 4.57 Era (51 Er's in 100.1 innings)
Nomo 1st Start: 7 Er's in 5.0 innings

Nomo since coming off injury so far:
1-5 9.00 Era with a 16/19 Walk-Stike Ration in 32.0 innings
With Nomo, he needs his control to be effective. His 4.50 Walk per 9.0 innings
shows that he's not in top form. 32 Er's in 32.0 innings would be the other, wa,wa,wa.

Taking the Over 7 (would buy the 1/2 run in this instance)

7.5 is a fairly low number to hang considering how these two starters are pitching.
It is being played in an Under ballpark and LA pen has been tough.
Neither pitcher has been sharp.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

best of luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ April 13, 2004, 06:08 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

April 13th:

Houston (Clemens) -130 Over St.Louis (Suppan)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Parlaying Detroit(NBA) on the cashline with (MLB) Oakland (Zito)-180 Over Texas (Callaway)

Zito 11-1 SU with 2.39 Era vs. Texas Lifetime
Zito pitched 8.0 innings and allowed 7 hits and 2 Er's so far vs. Texas this season.

Calloway:
0-1 8.38 Era (18 Er's in 19.1 innings and 28 hits) vs. Oakland Lifetime
4-10 with 6.06 Era (81 Er's in 120.1 innings and 149 hits) Major Leauge Career

This parlay pays: +13.74 on 10.00

thanks,

baz

<small>[ April 17, 2004, 12:09 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Seattle +125 (Garcia) Over Anaheim (Ortiz)

Kansas City( J.Affeldt) Chicago WhiteSoxs(J.Garland)Over 10

Florida (Willis) -140 Over Montreal (Ohka)

good luck today,

baz

<small>[ April 21, 2004, 03:03 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Boston (Schilling) -131 Over New York Yankees (Mussina)

Yankees only hitting .205 Overall and .197 vs. Righties.
Boston hitting .279 vs. Righties

Schilling has 17 Stikeouts and only 1 Walk.
Mussina has allowed 14 ER's in 15.1 innings so far this Season.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oakland (Mulder) +101 Over Anaheim (Washburn)

Mulder 1.93 Era vs. Washburn 8.44 Era

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida (Beckett) -119 Over Atlanta (Ortiz)

Beckett 1-0 with 0.64 ERA (1 Er in 14.o innings) 20 Stikeout/4 BB's and .125 Batting Average Allowed
Ortiz 0-2 with 6.75 ERA (7 Er's in 9.1 innings) 15 hits allowed/3 HR's and .266 Batting Average Allowed.


good luck everyone,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Taking Kansas City (May)/ Minnesota (Greisinger) Over 11


----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hampton 0-1.na (Capuano)

=================================================

best of luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Florida (Willis) +109 Over Philadelphia (Padilla)
New York Mets (Leiter)-178 Over Montreal(Day)


good luck,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ April 21, 2004, 03:04 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Oakland (Hudson) -123 Over Seattle (Menche)
Cleveland (Sabathia) -158 Over Kansas City (Affeldt)
Texas(Dickey)/Anaheim(Lackey) Over 10.5
Montreal (Hernadez)/New York Mets(Glavine) Under 7

thanks,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ April 21, 2004, 03:07 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying:
Houston (Oswalt) 197 Over St.Louis (Marquis)
with San Antonio -165 Over Memphis

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Parlaying:
Cleveland (Sabathia)-154 Over Kansas City (Affeldt)
with
New York Yankees(Mussina)-153 Over Chicago White Soxs (Schoeneweis)

Then going the Over way with
Chicago Whitesoxs (Schoeneweis) +140 Over New York Yankees (Mussina)

If one bets $10 on this Parlay, the profit would be +17.27 If both teams win.
So if Cleveland indeed does win, one would wager the would be profits (+ $17.27)
on Chicago at +140
If Chicago does win, the profit would be +24.17 minus -$10 from Parlay ticket
for an Overall Profit of +14.17 on $10
This would be the conservative way to play this.
.........................................................................................................................

As a straight Parlay,
Cleveland (Sabathia)-154 Over Kansas City(Affeldt)
with
Chicago WhiteSoxs (Schoeneweis) +140 Over New York Yankees(Mussina)

This Parlay would pay +29.58 Profit on a $10 wager.

The conservative way pays less, but one's intial wager is return if Chicago losses.
The other way, if Chicago loses, one loses $10.
If Cleveland loses, both ways would lose the intial $10 wager.

thanks and good luck,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ April 22, 2004, 11:36 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Cleveland (Davis)/Detroit(Bonderman) Over 9.na(Kinney)
with
St.na(Kinney) Over 10.5{-105}

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Pittsburgh (Benson)-149 Over Cincinnati (Haynes)

Parlaying:
Houston (Clemens) -169 Over Colorado (Fassero)
with
Pittsburgh(Benson)-1.5 Runs {+149} Over Cincinnati (Haynes)

=========================================================

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh:

Benson:
Benson 2-0 with 2.00 Era, 1.28 WHIP and .212 Batting Average Allowed.
Lifetime vs. Cincinnati:
Benson 3-2 with 2.34 Era and .231 Batting Average Allowed

Haynes
0-1 with 8.31 Era (4 Er's in 4.1 innings) .2.31 WHIP and .421 This vs. Piitsburgh
Lifetime vs. Pittsburgh:
3-7 with 5.20 Era (46 Er's in 79.2 innings) 1.53 WHIP and .268 Average Allowed
Last 14.1 innings vs. Pittsburgh:
14 Er's and 28 Baserunners Allowed.
Haynes has lost his last 6 Starts and is 1-9 His Last 10.

Vs. Righties:
Cincinnati .245
Pittsburgh .294

Pull pens ERA's:
Cincinnati 9.53
Pittsburgh 3.12

=============================================================

Houston vs. Colorado:

HOU is 9-1 in Clemens last ten starts.
Clemens is off to a very strong start. Only allowing a .108 batting average
and a mere 2 Er's in 20.2 innings with 19K's/7 BB's.

Fassero
This Year 4.70 Era (4 Er's in 7.2 innings) .300 Average Allowed, 1.96 WHIP
Last Year 1-7 with 5.68 Era, 1.64 WHIP and .296 Average Allowed

good luck,

baz

Baltimore (Riley)-116 Over Seattle (Menche)
Chicago(Zambrano)/Arizona (Johnson) Under 8
Atlanta (Ramirez) +135 Over San Francisco (Schmidt)

thanks and good luck today,

baz

Baltimore (Riley)-108 Over Seattle (Menche)
Oakland (Hudson) +104 Over New York Yankees (Mussina)
Boston(Wakefield)/TampaBay(Abbott) Under 9 {-125}

Also Parlaying:
Boston (Wakefield)-190 Over TampaBay(Abbott)
with
(NBA) Denver +4 Over Minnesota

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Chicago WhiteSoxs( SCHOENWEIS)-158 Over Cleveland(DAVIS)
Atlanta (Ortiz) -125 Over San Francisco (Tomoko)

Oakland(Redman)/TampaBay (Waechter) Under 9 {-118}
Houston(Clemens) -1.5 {-110} Over Cincinnati (Acevedo)

Cleveland (Sabathia) -140 Over Baltimore (Bedard)
Pittsburgh (O.na (Obermuller)
Arizona (Johnson) -117 Over Philadelphia (Padilla)
Arizona (Johnson)/Philadelphia (Padilla) Under 7.5 {-120}

good luck today,

baz

Parlaying these two separtely to Boston(Wakefield) -138 Over Texas(Dickey)
(1) Oakland (Hudson) -180 Over TampaBay(Hendrickson)
(2) St.Louis(Morris) -118 Over Chicago (Zambrano)

Would hedge off depending if both win.

--------------------------------------------------------------
Also taking:

Atlanta(Ramirez) -115 Over Colorado (Estes)
Florida (Oliver)/San Francisco (Rueter) Over 9.5

good luck,

baz

Chicago Whitesoxs (Loaiza) -11 Over Baltimore (DuBose)
Detroit(Robertson)/Anaheim(Washburn) Over 9
New York Yankees(Contreras)+110 Over Oakland(Mulder)
Milwaukee(Santos)/Cincinnati(Haynes) Over 10.5
Atlanta (Ortiz)-127 Over San Diego(Eaton)

good luck,


baz

Taking New York Yankees (Brown) -1.5 runs Over Oakland (Zito)
will use runline from www.bigguy.com

New York hitting .311 the last week.
Brown 4-2 Quality Starts
Brown 12-5 with 2.99 Lifetime vs. Oakland
New York 8-2 vs. Lefties
New York 34-13 vs.Lefties the last 47 (72.3%)

Zito 2-3 Quality Starts
Zito 2-5 with 4.13 Era Lifetime vs. New York

-----------------------------------------------------------

Chicago Whitesoxs (Buehrle) +103 Over Baltimore(Ponson)

Chicago hits .264 vs. Righties Overall
Chicago hitting .270 vs. Righties Last 10
Chicago 72-57 vs. Righties the last 129
Buehrle 1-1 with 5.35 Era(22 Er's in 27.0 innings)
Buehrle 1-1 with 2.49 Era vs. Baltimore (7 Er's in 25.1 innings)
Buehrle 54-36 with 3.79 MLB Career

Ponson 2-2 with 6.29 Era (24 Er's in 34.1 innings) this year.
Ponson 1-5 with 5.94 Era (35 Er's in 53.0 innings) Lifetime vs. Chicago.
Ponson 60-67 with 4.60 Ere MLB Career
Baltimore hitting .217 vs. Lefties Overall
Baltimore hitting .223 vs. Lefties the last 10

Neither pitcher very effective so far this season.
Baltimore doesn't hit Lefties too well. Their 20-34 vs. Lefties the last 54.
Ponson hasn't done well vs. Chicago.
Chicago playing fairly well at 16-10.


----------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia (Millwood) -138 Over St.Louis(Williams)

Millwood 5-0 Quality Starts this season.
Millwood only allowed 1 Er in 7.0 innings vs. St.Louis this season.
Millwood 2-2 with 3.99 Era (29 Er's in 65.1 innings) Lifetime vs. St.Louis

Williams 0-2 with 6.00 Era(18 Er's in 27.0 innings) This season.
Williams 3-4 with 4.62 Era (25 Er's in 48.2 innings) This Season.

The last 10 St.Louis has hit .234 vs. Righties
The last 10 Philadlephia has hit .272 vs. Righties

Bull pens:
St.Louis the last 17.2 has a 6.62 Era
Philadelphia the last 26.1 has a 2.89 Era

--------------------------------------------------------------------

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Would have taken Boston(Martinez)/Cleveland(Sabathia) Under 7.5 but
Cleveland's bullpen has a 6.24 Era and those availible today a 10/63 Era
the last 31.1
Thus making the 7.5 a mite more risky.
Martinez 4-2 Quality Starts
Martinez 10-1 with 1.66 Career vs. Cleveland
Sabathia 4-0 Quality Starts
Sabathia 1-1 with 2.40 Era vs. Boston

Boston hitting .272 the last 8 games (4.5 Runs)
Cleveland .297 with .297 the last 5 games (5.6 Runs)

This should be a classic pitching duel. Have to lean towards Boston
due to edge in Bullpen.

----------------------------------------------------------

Taking Anahiem(Sele)-169 Over TampaBay (Gonzalez)

Sele 7-1 with 4.43 Era vs. TampaBay
Gonzalez 0-3 with 5.40 Era This Season

Bull pen edge to Angeles.

------------------------------------------------------------------

Taking Florida (Willis)-150 Over Los Angeles(Ishii)

------------------------------------------------------------------

Lean towards:

Seattle
Atlanta/San Diego Over
Chicago (Clements) -1.5 runs Over Arizona

<small>[ May 06, 2004, 12:57 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Arizona (Johnson) -1.na(Davis)
San Diego(Peavy) +104 Over Florida(Pavano)

In effort to stay away from large lines, going
to parlay these individually into Texas(Dickey)-177 Over Detroit(Maroth)
and hedge off:

(1)New York Mets(Yates)-134 Over Milwaukee(Hernadez)
(2)Chicgao Cubs(Maddux)-1.5 {-125} Over Colorado(Jennings)

--------------------------------------------------------

Taking:
Texas(Dickey)-177 Over Detroit(Maroth)
SanDiego(Valdez)-104 Over Florida(Oliver)
St.Louis-155 (Marquis)-155 Over Montreal(Ohka)

BAZ, what's the season record and units won/lost?

Curious to see where you stand a month into the season.

Keep it going !

SAME HERE..WHERE DO YOU STAND BAZ?

Since both morning favorites lost, going to add this parlay:

New York Yankees(Mussina) -145 Over Seattle(Meche)
with
Texas(Dickey)-177 Over Detroit(Maroth)

New York Yankees(Osborne) +108 Over Seattle(Moyer)

Osborne 2-0 with 3.18 Era (4 Er's in 11.1 innings)
Osborne 49-46 Su with 3.95 Era (301 Er's in 867 Innings)

Only two Seattle Mariners to face Osborne:
Aurilia....275 (3/8)
Boone......158 (3/19)

Moyer 1-2 4.50 Era (19 Er's in 38 innings) with 7 Hr's This Season
Moyer 10-9 SU with 4.24 Era vs. Yankees


Career Vs. Moyer

Jeter...........302 (16/53)
Williams........413 (31/75)
Rodriguez.......318 (14/44)
Giambi..........279 (12/43)
Sheffield.......667 (8/12)
Posada..........317 (13/41)
Matsui..........250 (2/8)
Wilson..........313 (4/13)
Lofton..........229 (11/48)
-------------------------------
Sierra..........300 (9/30)
Cairo...........333 (5/15)
Clark...........286 (6/21)

Vs. Lefteis:
New York .279
Seattle .264

Vs, Lefties the Last 10:
New York .333
Seattle .252


Bull Pens Overall ERA:
New York 2.45
Seattle 4.55

Bull Pens Available ERA:
New York 2.50
Seattle 4.47

New York 9-2 SU vs. Lefties This Year
New York 35-13 vs Lefties Last 48

=======================================================

Detroit(Robertson)/Texas(Rogers) Over 10.5


In the first two games in this Series, the teams have combined for
51 hits on 158 AB's for a .322 Hitting Average.
They have left 58 Baserunners on base.
The bull pens have allowed 21 runs.

Robertson has allowed 14 Er's his last 6.1 innings
Over is 5-2 in Robertson's last seven starts.

Rogers has had 4 straight Quality Starts vs. Detroit
Rogers is 100-50 with a 3.96 Era at Home since 1987

Vs. Lefties:
Detroit .266
Texas .299

Vs. Lefties Last 10:
Detroit .264
Texas .344

Bull Pens Overall:
Detroit 5.51
Texas 4.56

Bull Pens Available Last 3:
Detroit 7.18
Texas 8.84

Rogers 9-7 Su with 4.21 Era vs. Detroit Career

The Bull pens have been used quite a bit the first two.
Hoping fatigue factor helps. So going to buck Rogers Under Trend.
Under is 8-2 in Rogers last 10 starts

DET is 2-7 in Game 3 of a Series.

==============================================================

Good luck and Happy Mother's Day,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 09, 2004, 05:42 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

As far as Picking Baseball Games Overall: 37-32

Currently Up +46.10 Dollars

-----------------------------------------------------
Was Up + $666.70 Before going on 1-6 SU run (Friday went 0-5 Ouch)
Will post a more detailed account at a later time.
Generally I've found, it's harder to guage true form in the first month of the season.
As the season develops, the statistics start to have more meaning and be more consistent.
Bettors have a better idea of what to expect from hitters and pitchers.
Trends and streaks are more defined and have greater authority.
At this point, top pitchers will start to emerge has well as those struggling.
Will place more emphasis on getting mismatches in terms of Right vs. Left.
Home/Away abilities also start to become clearer.

Totals This Season So Far:
Overs 8-0
Under 3-4
----------
Overall 11-4

Favorites: 20-15
Favorite Runlines: 2-6
Dogs 4-7

Believe that this is an accurate account
so far this season. Will be double checking
later this week.
Still early, have 81% of the Season Left.
Should start to do better.
Time will tell,

thanks,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 16, 2004, 01:12 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Oakland(Zito)/Detroit(Johnson) Over 8.5
Minnesota(Silva)-132 Over Seattle(Pineiro)
San Diego (Wells)-157 Over Cincinnati(Harang)

Baltimore(Bedard)/ChicagoWhitesoxs(Garland) Over 10 {-105}
New York Mets(Glavine)/Arizona(Johnson) Under 7.5 {-117}
Anaheim(Sele) +188 Over New York Yankees(Vasquez)

Parlay for 1/2 a Unit:
Toronto(Lilly)-103 Over KansasCity(Affeldt)
with
Toronto(Lilly)/KansasCity(Affeldt) Over 10 {-117}
with
Seattle(Garcia)-115 Over Minnesota(Radke)

-----------------------------------------------

Leans:

Seattle
Montreal
Houston
Boston
Texas
Texas Over
Baltimore

If Toronto Wins and goes Over, one can hedge off some on Minnesota.

good luck,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 12, 2004, 05:24 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Adding:

Seattle(Garcia)-120 Over Minnesota(Radke)
Texas(Park)-120 Over TampaBay( GONZALEZ)

Texas(Benoit)/Detroit(Knotts) Over 10 {-110}
Anaheim(Colon)/Baltimore(Ainsworth) Over 9 {-115}
Anaheim(Colon)-134 Over Baltimore(Ainsworth)

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Going to Parlay:


Seattle(Moyer)/New York Yankees(Osborne) Over 9.5
with
Oakland(Mulder)-145 Over Kansas City(May)

---------------------------------------------

Cleveland(Westbrook)-129 Over TampaBay(Zambrano)
with
Los Angeles(O.Perez)-165 Over Cincinatti(VanPoppel)

----------------------------------------------

Would hedge off just a little. Will post how much 1 hour prior to involved games.


---------------------------------------------

Anaheim(Washburn)-105 Over Baltimore(DuBose)

---------------------------------------------

Leans:
Chisoxs
Texas
St.Louis
Houston


best of luck today,

baz

Since both games won.

Assuming $100 per bet, would:

Hedge:

$80 on Kanas City at + 130
$ 70 on Cincinnati at +165

Will provide a complete review of this in tomorrow's post.

thanks and best of luck,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 16, 2004, 01:14 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying the following individually to New Jersey -160, then hedging Off with
Detroit +3.5{-110} or +4 if available.

(1) Boston(Martinez)-125 Over Toronto(Halladay)
(2) New York Yankees(Brown)-1.5 runs(-115) Over Seattle(Pineiro)
(3) Cleveland (Sabathia)-1.5 runs(+125) Over TampaBay(Waechter)
(4) Houston (Clemens)-1.5 runs(-135) Over Houston(Ginter)

Current record:
51-36 (+615.46) based on $100 per bet(Unit)

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Yesterday's Results:

note: based on $100 per bet.

Parlay:
Won Seattle(Moyer)/New York Yankees(Osborne) Over 9.5
with
Won Oakland(Mulder)-145 Over Kansas City(May)..........................+229.86

---------------------------------------------
Parlay:
Won Cleveland(Westbrook)-129 Over TampaBay(Zambrano)
with
Lost Los Angeles(O.Perez)-165 Over Cincinatti(VanPoppel).............-100.00

----------------------------------------------

Won Anaheim(Washburn)-105 Over Baltimore(DuBose)..................+100.00


Hedges
$80.00 on Kansas City @ +130..................................................-80.00
$70.00 on Cincinnati @ +165.....................................................+115.50
===============================================================
...........................................................................................+265.36

<small>[ May 16, 2004, 11:05 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Tough day so far, going to Hedge the Parlay of Cleveland(Sabathia)-1.5 runs Over TampaBay(Waechter)
with (NBA) New Jersey -160 Cashline Over Detroit.

This Parlay ticket would pay $365.62 for a profit of $265.62

Going to Hedge $200 on Detroit +5 Over New Jersey.

Hoping for a Middle.

Will post results in tommow's post.

baz

Taking Boston(Wakefield)-157 Over TampaBay(Hendrickson)

Wakefield 8-1 with 2.72 Era(26Er's in 86.0 innings) Lifetime vs.Tampa Bay
Hendrickson 1-0 with 5.40 Era(16 Er's in 26.0 innings) Lifetime vs. Boston

Wakefield 2-2 with 3.64 Era (17 Er's in 42.0 innings) This season. 3 Hr's Allowed
Hendrickson 2-3 with 4.78 Era (20 Er's in 37.2 innings) This Season. 6 Hr's Allowed

Boston 7-4 vs. Lefies this Season (.261 average)
Tampa Bay 8-19 vs. Righties this Season (.236 average)

TampaBay on 3-17 Su run and 1-10 Su their last 11.

Boston has outscored TampaBay 17 to 3 this season (3 games)

Slight edge in Bull pens for Boston:
Boston 2.81 Era the last 25.2 innings(2.93 for the Season)
TampaBay 4.28 Era the last 38.2 innings(4.03 Era for the Season)

I'm a little bit under the weather today, so will be post recent results tommorow.

best of luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Boston(Schilling)-1.5 runs{-140} Over TampaBay(Bell)
New York Yankees(Lieber)/Anaheim(Lackey) Over 9{-115}

Still a bit under the weather.

Good luck,

baz

Going to do the following Parlay's:
----------------------------------------------

Chicago Cubs(Maddux)-177 Over SanFrancisco(Hermanson)
With
Atlanta(Ramirez)-150 Over Arizona(Fossum)
with
Minnesota-1.5 Over Los AngelesLakers

note: If the Cubs lose, will Parlya Atlanta(Ramirez)-150 Over Arizona(Fossum)
with
Minnesota-1.5 Over Los Angeles Lakers

---------------------------------------------------------
Going to Parlay individually the following to Minnesota-1.5 Over Los Angeles Lakers:

(1) Oakland (Hudson)-215 Over Detroit(Knotts)
(2) Boston(Lowe)-149 Over TampaBay(Zambrano)
(3) Houston(Oswalt)-112 Over Florida(Beckett)
--------------------------------------------------------

Going to Parlay the following for a Half Unit:
St. Louis(Marquis)-125 Over New York Mets(Seo)
with
SanDiego(Valdez)-120 Over Pittsburgh(Vogelsong)
with
Minnesota-1.5 Over Los Angeles Lakers

-------------------------------------------------------

Will be hedging just prior the LosAngles/Minnesota game.
I'm hoping that the line continues to go up in favor of Minnesota
so there may be a chance of a middle when hedging.

Will be posting results in a little while.

thanks,

baz

<small>[ May 20, 2004, 11:57 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Today's Plays:

Oakland (Mulder)-1.5 runs {-105} Over Kansas City(Anderson)

Anderson 1-5 with 6.97 Era(50 Runs/40 Er's in 51.2 Innings) This Season.
Anderson 1-5 with 5.63 Era(30 Er's in 48.0 innings) Lifetime vs. Oakland
Anderson 0-1 (4 Er's in 6.1 innings) This Season vs. Oakland

Mulder 4-2 with 3.25 Era (22 Er's in 57.1 innings) This Season
Mulder 7-0 with 1.98 Era (13 Er's in 59.0 innings) Lifetime vs.KC
Mulder 1-0 (1 Er in 9.0 innings) This Season vs. KC

Available Bull pens:
Kansas City 3.32 Era the last 32.1 innings
Oakland 1.52 Era the last 23.2 innings

Kansas City 5-14 Away
Oakland 7-3 their last 10

------------------------------------------------------

Anaheim (Washburn) -120 Over Baltimore(DuBose)

DuBose 3-3 with a 5.20 Era(26 Er's in 45.0 innings)
DuBose 0-1 7 Er's in 3.2 innings Lifetime vs. Anaheim (that was this Season)

Washburn 7-1 with 4.68 Era (26 Er's in 50.0 innings) This Season
Washburn 4-2 with 3.77 Era (18 Er's in 43.0 innings)vs.Baltimore Lifetine
Washburn 1-0 with 2.25 Era (2 Er's in 8.0 innings) vs. Baltimore This Season

Baltimore Ranked 26th with .216 Average vs. Lefies
Baltimore 4-7 SU vs. Lefties this Season
Anaheim Ranked 8th with .279 Average vs. Lefites
Anaheim 10-4 vs. Lefties this Season


In DuBose last 12.2 innings, he's allowed 15 Er's and 31 Baserunners for a 2.45 WHIP
In Washburn last 21.1 innings, he's allowed 9 Er's and 21 Baserunners for 0.98 WHIP

WHIP= (Walks and Hits Divided by innings pitched)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Parlay for a Half Unit:

New York Yankees(Brown)-165 Over Texas (Benoit)
with
Philadelphia(Millwood)-150 Over San Diego(Eaton)

=====================================================================
=====================================================================

baz

....................................................................

<small>[ May 21, 2004, 04:02 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Adding this Parlay:

Cleveland(Sabathia)-141 Over Tampa Bay(Abbott)
with
(NBA) Indiana-241(Cashline) Over Detroit

then will hedge off with Detroit on the Cashline (currently at +215 @ Pinnacle)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From Yesterday's Action:

Note: I incorrectly listed Minnesota as the favorite at -1.5
when in fact one could not have gotten that line. The Correct line
was Minnesota @ +1.5

Going to Wager 600 on Los Angles Lakers -1.5 [-105] Available BetWWTS and WOS.

<small>[ May 22, 2004, 01:21 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying the following games individually to (NBA) LosAngeles -2 Over Minnesota
Will do a small hedge on Minnesota's cashline.

(1) Boston(Martinez)-1.5 {-125} Over Toronto(Lilly)
(2) Houston (Clemens) -185 Over Cincinnati(Harang) or any other pitcher.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I made a mistake with the math in my last post concerning the Thursday's action.
I also fail to mention to parlay all of Friday's games to Saturday's Detroit/Indiana game and then hedge.
Have to work today, but will catch up tomorrow.

best of luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Going to parlay the folling individually to (NBA) Los Angeles {Cashline-145} Over Minnesota:

(1)Houston(Miller)-145 Over Cincinnati(Lidle)
(2)Arizona(Johnson)/Florida(Willis) Under 7.5

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hedge from Yesterday's Action:

Will wager 80 on (NBA) Minnesota Cashline 5 minutes prior to gametime. Line currently +125
Hoping to get better odds just prior to gametime.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

good luck today,

baz

note: will be posting updated results for season later today.

Hedging Earlier Arizona/Florida Under 7.5 with Los Angeles (-145 cashline) parlay:

Have decided to wager 80 on Minnesota +125

baz

No Play's Today.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Results of plays and hedge from May 20th:


A Minnesota win would return a +662.80 profit + the 250 wagered on (Atl/Oak/SD-St.L) = 912.80 Total Return.
Minus the -300 Lost on the Early wagers (Chicago,Houston and Boston) resulting in a profit of +362.80

Hedging
600 on Los Angles Lakers -1.5 {-105} would produce this result:
Returns (.952 X 600 = 571.42 in profits + 600 Hedge Wager= 1171.452 Total Return

1171.42 Total Return - 550 Lost from earlier wagers(Chi/Hou/Bos/Atl/Oak/SD-St.Louis) and Laker 600 wager= +21.42 Overall Profit.


A Minnesota win:
Would Return a total of 912.80 - 900 (300 Chi/Hou/Bos wagers} + 600 Laker wager)
912.80 - 900 = +12.80 Profit.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Let's say that I wagered the would be profit's of +662.80 from the early parlay's on the Lakers-1.5(.952)

A Minnesota win:
Returns 912.80 (250 wagerd + 662.80 profits - 912.80 (600 Laker wager + 300 lost (Chi/Hou/Bos) = -0-
{Breaks even}

A Los Angeles Lakers win @ -1.5(.95.23):
Returns the intial wager of 662.80 + 630.98 profit = 1293.78 Total returned
1293.78 - (662.80 + 550 Early Parlays- Chi/Hou/Bos/Atl/Oak/SD-St.Louis) = +80.98

Since I had a strong opinion on Los Angeles, I should have wagered 662.80 instead of the 600.

Overall profit for the day: +21.42

==================================================================
==================================================================

Overall Record So Far This Season:


33-27 Favorites
6-7 Underdogs
7-8 Runline
12-4 Overs
4-5 Unders
-----------------
62-51 Overall (+ 771.79)

Based on 100.00 bet per play.
A half Unit + 50.00 per play.
1/4 Unit = 25.00 per play.


thanks,

baz

<small>[ May 25, 2004, 04:13 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Posting MLB picks early.
Would parlay each pick individually to Wednesday's(NBA) Detorit on the Cashline(Not Posted yet)
Then could hedge either on the cashline at + odds or the spread to create a potential middle.
Will post prior to game time.

===============================================

1 Unit:
Atlanta(Ramirez)/Montreal (Woo Kim) Under 8.5 [-120]

1/2 Unit each:
Minnesota(Loshse)/TampaBay(Zambrano) Over 9.5 [-105]
Atlanta(Ramirez)-152 Over Montreal(Woo Kim)
SanFransico(Schmidt) -220 Over Arizona(Fossum)

All Parlayed individually to (NBA) Detroit on Cashline

Would wager as soon as (NBA)Indiana/Detroit on board.
Line may more slightly against us.
Would pass on Minn/TB at 10

================================================

Lean towards:

Philadephia
Los Angeles
SanDiego/Colorado Over 12

Would stay away from Texas/Chicago Under

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 25, 2004, 04:32 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

The Cashline on Detroit Over Indiana around -210
Still can get 9.5 at WSEX on the Minnesota/TampaBay
and 8.5 for the Atlanta game.
For the most part, the lines moved moved in favor of Minn/TB Over
and the Atlanta Under fell in most cases an entire Run which is a strong move.

good luck today,

baz

<small>[ May 25, 2004, 01:41 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Going to parlay:
Los Angeles(Perez)-150 Over Milwaukee(Capuano)
with
(NBA) Los Angeles-371 Over Minnesota

If Parlay hits, will return +111.50 Profit

Then wil hedge on Minnesota with the Cashline @ +321.
take +7.5 or perhaps higer and or a combination of both.

-----------------------------------------------------------

Note: Atlanta was NO ACTION yesterday due to the pitching change.
I always List Both Starters.

To hedge yesterday's action:
Just going to place 20 on Indiana @ +199

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Parlaying the following individually to (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers-2 Over Minnesota
then hedging off:

(1) New York Mets (Glavine) +106 Over Florida(Willis)
(2) Houston(Clemens)-155 Over St.Louis(Carpenter)
(3) Arizona(Johnson) -135 Over Los Angles(Alvarez)

--------------------------------------------------------

1/2 Unit:
(4)New York Mets(Glavine)/Florida(Willis) Under 7.5 {-105}


Parlay:
(5) Boston(Martinez)-240 Over Seattle(Pineiro)
with
New York Yankees(Vazquez)-190 Over TampaBay(Waechter)

<small>[ May 28, 2004, 01:24 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying following individually to (NBA)Indiana (-170) Over Detroit
then hedging on Detroit either on the cashline or on the spread.

1 Unit:
(1) Anaheim (Sele) -113 Over ChicagoWhiteSoxs(Rauch)

Parlay for 1/2 Unit:
(2) Philadelphia (Padilla) -152 Over Atlanta(Thomson)
with
New York Yankees(Brown) -1.5 runs{-130} Over Tampa Bay (Hendrickson)

Note:If Philadelphia loses fist game, will Parlay:
New York Yankees(Brown) -1.5 runs{-130} Over Tampa Bay (Hendrickson)
with
(NBA) Indiana -1-170 on the cashline, then hedging off.

------------------------------------------------------------

Hedging Friday's Plays:
Placing 350 on Minnesota just prior to gametime.
Have -2 on Los Angeles to win on tickets.
Can currently get Minnesota at +2.5 (Intertops, Sportingbet)
Hope that by waiting til 5 minutes before gametime that Minnesota +3 or
better will be available.

If Lakers wins, will make +175.00
If Minnesota wins, will lose -81.80
If can get +3, have a small chance of a middle.

thanks and good luck,

baz

<small>[ May 29, 2004, 01:05 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying the following individually to Los Angles(Ishii) -160 Over Arizona(Fossum)
with (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -412 Over Minnesota

1/2 Unit Each:
(1) New York Yankees(Lieber)-174 Over TampaBay(Zambrano)
(2) Boston(Schilling)-1.5 runs{-124} Over Seattle (Franklin)
(3) Atlanta (Ramirez) +123 Over Philadelphia(Milton)

1/4 Unit:
(4) Detroit(Maroth)/Baltimore(Bedard) Under 9.5 (+100)
(5) Detroit (Maroth)-1.5 runs {+184} Over Baltimore(Bedard)
(6) Cincinnati(Wilson)-127 Over Montreal(Ohka) If Available.

Will hedge off slightly on Arizona(Fossum) +155 (current odds) Over Los Angeles(Ishii)
just prior to game time. How much will depend on earlier results.
Will be hedging off on Minnesota at +7.5 {+116} as soon as Arizona/LosAngeles
game is over. This will create a chance of a 7.5 middle.

--------------------------------------------------------------
Parlaying the following individually to (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -412 Over Minnesota
1/2 Unit Each:
(1) Chicago Whitesox's (Schoeneweis)-138 Over Anaheim(Lackey)
(2) San Francisco (Schmidt)-194 Over Colorado(Kennedy)

Will be hedging off on Minnesota at +7.5 {+116} as soon as Arizona/LosAngeles
game is over. This will create a 7.5 chance at a middle.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Hedging Saturday's Action:

216 On (NBA) Detroit +3.5 {-108} Over Indiana

If Indiana wins +21.89
If Detroit wins -0-
If Detroit loses by 3 or less +489.80

best of luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 30, 2004, 06:22 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

What a day.
Detroit and Baltimore Bullpens give up 7 runs in the 9th to blow the Under.
The run pushing the game Over coming with 2 outs in the bottom of the inning.
Then the next batter ends the game: 7-3 Baltimore (bad luck).
Changed channels in disgust to a game I was actually winning.
Boston enters the top of the 8th up 5-1, Schilling is cruising.
ooophs...6 runs later it's 7-5 Seattle (some more bad luck).
Fortunately, Boston scores 2 to tie it in the bottom of the inning to tie and
McCarthy hits a walk off 2 run homer in the 12 to cover the runline the only way it
could have been covered(good luck).
Luck. Sometimes it better to be lucky than good.
In Baltimore/Detroit 9th and Seattle/Boston 8th:

15 hits and 6 BB's (one IBB) and 15 Er's.
A combined 33.75 Era.

Welcome to the Big Show.

=====================================================================

Hedging: 35 on Arizona @ +163 (Pinnacle)

Note: Atlanta and Cincinnati NO ACTION

Like my chances with LA.

=====================================================================

ChicagoWhiteSox's and San Francisco both won. Will hedge off later as the line
appears to be moving higher. Currently -8.5 Los Angeles and +430 on the cashline.
Cashline has jumped from Lakers -410 to -510. Sentiment is strongly in favor of
the Lakers winning game 6.

Lakers 42-7(85.7%) at Home. (+9.9 point margin)
Minnesota Away 29-19 at Away (+1.2 point margin)

Lakers 7-0 with +13.0 point margin @ Home during playoffs.
Minnesota 2-5 with -8.7 point margin Away during the playoffs.

good luck tonight,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Parlaying:

Los Angeles (Perez) -188 Over Milwaukee(Wise)
with
(NBA) Detroit -5 Over Indiana

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Will hedge on Tuesday prior to game time if LA wins.

thanks and good luck today,

baz

Hedging Sunday's Action:
45 on Minnesota +441 on Cashline
55 on Minnesota + 9

good luck,

baz

Parlaying the following to (NBA) Detroit -255 Over Indiana

1 Unit:

(1) Toronto (Halladay)-140 Over Seattle (Meche)

1/4 Unit Each:

(2) San Francisco (Hermanson)-140 Over Arizona(Sparks)
(3) Florida (Penny)-188 Over Cincinnati (Harang)

(4) Cleveland (Sabathia)-1.na(Sheets)-115 Over Los Angeles(Weaver)


-----------------------------------------------------------------

Hedges for Yesterday and Today's Action:

50 on (NBA) Indiana +5.5...Lines have moved to +6.5 (BETCOM) and most books at +6

45 on (NBA) Indiana +229....Line moved to +260 (Pinnacle)

[b]Still would wait til late as reasonablly possible.

Note: Will wait til 5 mintues to end of betting this game
to get best odds. Will post final odds. [/b]


Believe that Indiana without a completely healthy O'Neal
will be hardpressed to defeat Detroit at Home.
Piston's are 37-13 @ Home (64%).

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ June 01, 2004, 07:31 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying the following:

1/2 Unit:

(1) Florida(Willis)-151 Over Cincinnati(Lidle)
with
Boston(Martinez)-157 Over Anaheim(Washburn)

1/4 Unit:
(2) Cleveland(Westbrook)-1.5 runs Over Texas(Dickey)
with
New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(Dubose)

(3) Texas(Dickey) -1.5 runs(+160) Over Cleveland(Westbrook)
with
New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over
Baltimore(Dubose)

If the Texas/Clevleand game is a one run game will
wager 1/2 Unit:
New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(DuBose)

1/4 Unit:

(4) ChicagoWhiteSox's(Buehrle)+117 Over Oakland(Mulder)
with
Arizona(Johnson)-186 Over San Francisco(Tomko)


Will hedge off any winners.

thank you and good luck,

baz

<small>[ June 02, 2004, 04:28 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Adding the follwing Parlays:

1/2 Unit each:

(1) New York Yankees(Contreras) -168 Over Baltimore(Dubose)
with
Boston(Martinez) -160 Over Anaheim(Washburn)

(2) Arizona(Johnson)-197 Over San Francisco(Tomko)
with
New York Yankees(Contreras)/Baltimore(BuBose) Over 10.5 {-114}

Parlaying the following to Atlanta(Thomson)-125 Over Philadelphia(Hancock or Any)

30 on:

(1) New York Yankees(Vazquez)-1.5runs {+105} runs Over Baltimore(Cabrera or Any)

20 on:

(2) Baltimore(Cabrera or Any)-1.5 runs{+258} Over New York Yankees(Vazquez)


15 of the last 20 meetings have been decided by 2 or more.
The last 2 games have been decided by one run. Think that the odds are
against 3 meetings in a row being decided by one run.
Going to make a small wager and then hedge off with Philadelphia +115 or more
just prior to the game.

=============================================================================

Yesterday, I forgot to type in

(3) Texas(Dickey) -1.5 runs(+160) Over Cleveland(Westbrook)
"with
New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(Dubose)"

I did it going the other way with Cleveland(Westbrook) -1.5 runs.
The failure to do this was the difference between being Up +15.35
and being down -18.50 for the day.
It's been a tough week with a lot of tough losses and some poor hedging
on my part. Just going to have to shake it off and bear down.

Result so far for this Season:

+640.93 (would be +674.78 if one counted yesterday's Texas/NYY parlay)

Favorites: 42-35
Underdogs: 6-8
Runline: 7-8
Overs: 12-4
Unders: 4-5

Overall: 62-51

good luck today,

baz

Hedging the New Yorkn Yankee/Atlanta parlay:

38 on Philadelphia +133

If Philadelphia wins:+.54 cents
If Atlanta wins: +22.70

thanks and good luck,

baz

Going to parlay the following individually with (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -497 Over Detroit.
Then will hedge on Detroit +8 points:

1/2 Unit Each:

(1)Los Angeles (Ishii)-126 Over Arizona(Fossum)
(2)Cincinnati (Acevedo)-169 Over Montreal(Day)

1/4 Unit Each:
(3)Boston(Wakefield)-146 Over KansasCity(Gobble)
(4)Boston(Wakefield)/KansasCity(Gobble) Over 9 {-111)
(5)Anaheim(Sele)-169 Over Cleveland(Davis)

20 on:
(6) Detroit(Manroth)-1.5 runs{+190} Over Minnesota(Lohse)
(7) Minnesota(Lohse)-1.5 runs{+152} Over Detroit (Manroth)

thanks and best of luck,

baz

Parlaying the following individually to Los Angeles Lakers -501:
Will hedge off on Detroit at either +8 {-107} or on the cashline
currently at +421

1/4 Units each:

(1) Chicago Cubs(Benson)-225 Over Pittsburgh(Benson)
with
Oakland(Hudson)-213 Over Toronto (Hentgen)

(2) Atlanta(Ortiz)-128 Over Philadelphia(Myers)
with
New York Yankees(Leiber) Over Texas(Dominguez)


Note: If Either of the early games lose with take second team on the ticket
(Oakland and New York Yankees) and individually parlay each to LA-501 for 1/4 Unit.
(Same listed pitchers).


(3) Anaheim(Lackey)-169 Over Cleveland(Dawley)
(4) Anheim(Lakey)/Cleveland(Dawley) Over 9.5 {-122}
(5) Batlimore(Lopez)-163 Over TampaBay(Bell)
(6) Boston(Schilling)-199 Over Kansas City(May)


For 20:
(7) Montreal(Ohka)/Cincinnati(Wilson) Under 7.5 {+112)
(8) San Francisco(Rueter)/Colorado(Jennings) Over 13 (-125)

For 10:
(9) Los Angeles(Perez)-1.5 Runs{+105} Over Arizona(Gonzalez)
(10) Los Angeles(Perez)/Arizona(Gonzalez) Under 9

good luck today,

baz

Parlaying the following individually to Los Angeles Lakers -475 Over Detroit
then hedge on Detroit +8 {-110} and or the Cashline.

1/4 Unit each:

(1) Atlanta(Wright)+107 Over Philadephia(Millwood)
(2) New York Yankees(Mussina)-199 Over Texas(Drese)
(3) ChicagoCubs(Maddux)-223 Over Pittsburgh(Vogelsong)
(4) New York Mets(Leiter)-107 Over Florida(Penny)
(5) Anaheim(Colon)-133 Over Cleveland(Sabathia)

good luck today,

baz

Wager 37 on Detroit @ +380

1/2 Unit individually on the following:

(1) Houston(Clemens)-143 Over Seattle(Pineiro)
(2) Arizona(Johnson)-140 Over Baltimore(Ponson)
(3) Yankees(Vazquez)-1.5 runs(-135) Over Colorado(Fassero)
(2) Boston(Martinez)-1.5 runs(+105) Over San Diego(Wells)

may have some more later in the day,

good luck,

baz

Parlaying the following individually to (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -1 {-109}:

1/2 Unit:

(1) Atlanta(Thomson)-129 Over Detroit(Bonderman)
(2) San Francisco(Schmidt)-202 Over TampaBay(Hendrickson)
(3) New York Yankees(Brown)/Colorado(Kennedy) Under 9 Runs {+114}

1/4 Unit:
(4) Chicago Cubs(Prior)/St.Louis(Morris) Under 7.5
with
New York Yankees(Brown)-1.5 Runs{-120) Over Colorado(Kennedy)

(5) Kansas City(Reyes)-122 Over Montreal(Day)
with
KansasCity(Reyes)/Montreal(Day) Under 8.5 runs

Note: If Chicago/St.Louis Under loses, will parlay Yankees(Brown)-1.5 runs
Over Colorado(Kennedy) with the Los Angeles Lakers-1 Over Detroit

good luck today,

baz

Doing the following Parlay:

1/2 Unit:

(1)Colorado(Jennings)/New York Yankees(Contreras) Over 10.5 {-106}
with
Texas(Rogers)-179 Over Pittsburgh(Fogg)

If Colorado/New York goes Over, would wager 29.23
on Pittsburgh(Fogg) +171 Over Texas(Rogers)

if Pittsburgh wins = +1.30
If Texas wins = +71.45

----------------------------------

1/4 Unit:
Philadelphia(Myers)/ChicagoWhitesox's(Schoeneweis) Over 9.5 {+100}


good luck,

baz

<small>[ June 10, 2004, 04:38 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Hedging New York Yankees/Laker-1 June 9th Parlay:

38.0 on (NBA)Detroit (PK)

baz

Parlaying the following individually to (NBA)Favortite Over the Underdog on Cashline (if not Over -150)
otherwise will take at the Favorite at the Spread.

1/2 Unit:

(1)Oakland(Hudson)-1.5 runs{-118} Over Pittsburgh(Benson)

1/4 Units:

(2)Florida(Phelphs)-104 Over Detroit(Knotts)
with
Oakland(Hudson)-235 Over Pittsburgh(Benson)

For 20:

(3)LosAngeles(O.Perez)/Boston(Lowe) Over 9.5{-114}
(4)ChicagoCubs(Maddux)+100 Over Anaheim(Lackey)
with
Cincinnati(Wilson)/Cleveland(Sabathia) Under 8.5{-117}

thanks and good luck,

baz

Parlaying the following indidividually to (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers on Cashline @ +117 Over Detroit:

1/4 Unit:

(1) Oakland(Redman)-174 Over Pittsburgh(Vogelsong)

20:

(2) New York Yankees(Lieber)-179 Over San Dieog(Tankersley)
(3) Boston(Wakefield)-146 Over Los Angeles(Weaver)

--------------------------------------------------------------

Hedging Friday's Action:

90 on Los Angeles Lakers +117 On Cashline Over Detroit

thanks and best of luck today,

baz

Parlaying the following individually to Boston(Martinez)-1.na(Sheets)-152 Over Houston(Muno)
(4) Colorado(Fassero)/TampaBay(Brazelton) Over 10.5 runs
(5) Arizona(Johnson)-138 Over Toronto(Lilly)

10:

(6) Florida(Willis)-128 Over Detroit(Johnson)


Parlaying the following individually to Los Angeles Lakers +113 Over Detroit Pistons:

20:
(7) Oakland(Mulder)-215 Over Pittsburgh(Wells)

10:
(8) Seattle(Pineiro)-148 Over Montreal(Armas)

good luck,

baz

Hedging Plays:
30 on Detroit -117
25 on Los Angeles(Nono) +238 Over Boston(Martinez)

Parlaying the following:

10:
Cleveland(Westbrook)-112 Over Baltimore(DuBose)
with
Houston(Clemens)-128 Over Chicago(Prior)

thanks,

baz

Hedge on the Cleveland/Houston ticket

7 on Chicago (Prior) +125 Over Houston(Clemens)

baz

1/2 Unit Each:
(1) ChicagoWhiteSox(Garland)/Florida(Burnett) Over 9{-115}
(2) Texas(Rogers)-125 Over Cincinnati(Bong)
(3) San Francisco(Schmdit)-200 Over Toronto(Batista)

10 Parlays:
(4) Seattle(Garcia)-125 Over Milwaukee(Sparks)
with
San Diego(Lawrence)-160 Over TampaBay(Hendrickson)

(5)Boston(Arroyo)-130 Over Colorado(Kennedy)
with
Boston(Arroyo)/Colordao(Kennedy) Over 13

10 on:
(6) Chicago(Zambrano)+101 Over Houston(Miller)

good luck today,

baz

Good luck to you baz. How have you been doing unitwise?

1/4 Unit:
(1) New York Yankees(Sturtze)-136 Over Arizona(Fossum)
(2) Los Angeles(Ishii)-163 Over Baltimore(Riley)

10:
(3) ChicagoCubs(Maddux)-115 Over Houston(Redding)
(4) Anaheim(Lackey)/Pittsburgh(Fogg) Over 9 {-125}...don't like 9.5

5:
(5) Detroit(Manroth)+163 Over Philadelphia(Myers)

Parlays for 5:
(6) Cincinnati(Wilson)-150 Over Texas (Benoit)
with
New York Yankees(Sturtze)-136 Over Arizona(Fossum)

May have more later.

good luck,

baz

<small>[ June 16, 2004, 02:55 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying the following individually to Oakland(Hudson)-130 Over St.Louis(Suppan)
Then will be hedging off if early games win.

20 each:
(1) Texas(Drese)+103 Over Cincinnati(Van Poppel)
(2) Boston(Lowe)-150 Over Colorado(Estes)

Parlaying the following two individually to Los Angeles(Ishii)-150 Over Baltimore(Bedard)
Hedging these also.

10:
(3) Detroit(Knotts)+163 Over Philadelphia(Millwood)
(4) Atlanta(Thomson)-180 Over KansasCity(Thomson)


Straight Wagers:

10:
New York Yankees(Lieber)/Arizona(Sparks) Over 10.5
New York Mets(Seo)-140 Over Cleveland(Elarton)

good luck today,

baz

Striaght Bet:
30
ChicagoWhitesox(Buehrle)-160 Over Montreal(Tucker)

Parlaying the following for 10:
ChicagoWhitesox(Buehrle)-160 Over Montreal(Tucker)
with
New York Mets(Glavine)-149 Over Detroit(Robertson)


Parlaying the following for 20:
Chicago Whitesox(Buehrle)-1.5{+102} Over Montreal(Tucker)
with
San Francisco(Williams)-111 Over Boston(Wakefield)

GL today,

baz

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pitching Change in Whitesox/Montreal game

Vargas will be pitching instead of Tucker.
What I've decided to do is make a straight wager on ChicagoWhitesox(Buehrle)-157 Over
Monteal(Vargas) for 30

The other parlay wagers are now single wagers.

Adding the following parlay's for 5:

Parlaying
(1) ChicagoWhitesox(Buehrle)-157 Over Montreal(Vargas)
with
New York Mets(Glavine)-149 Over Detroit(Robertson)


(2)
Chicago Whitesox(Buehrle)-157 Over Montreal(Vargas)
with
San Francisco(Williams)-111 Over Boston(Wakefield)

thanks ,

baz

<small>[ June 18, 2004, 06:55 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying the following individually to San Diego(Tankersley)-145
Over Toronto(Towers)
Will Hedge off 10 prior to game going off.na(Overmueller)
(6) Houston(Clemens)-167 Over Anaheim(Ortiz)


good luck today,

baz

1 Unit:

(1) St.Louis(Morris)-1.5 Runs{-109} Over Cincinnati(Bong)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1/2 Unit:
(2)St.Louis(Morris)/Cicinnati(Bong) Over 9.5 {-115}
with
New York Yankees(Contreras)/Los Angeles(Lima) Over 8.5 (would pass on 9)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Three team parlay for 20:

(3) St.Louis(Morris)-215 Over Cicinnati(Bong)
with
Chicago Cubs(Zambrano)-139 Over Oakland(Zito)
with
New York Yankees(Contreras)/Los Angeles(Lima) Over 8.5 (would pass on 9)


Then will hedge off on the late game with a lean towards the
Over(despite the good pens)
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Wink]" src="images/icons/wink.gif" />

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

There a lot of reasons why I like St.Louis today.
Bong is 0-2 allowing 8 Er's in 9.1 innings. 3 HR's and 13 runs. 7 BB's.
Bong has a 5.60 Era Lifetime.

St.Louis has the hitting advantage Right vs. Left for the season, home away
and the last 10.
Cincinnati 260/256/249
St.Louis...281/306/303

Morris does have 7 Quality starts. He's 7-7 Overall.
St.Louis is 8-2 their last 10.
St.Louis is 6th in Hitting Overall
St.Louis is 4th vs. Lefties
St.Louis is 8-5 vs. Lefties
St.Louis is averaging 9.3 runs and 303 vs. Lefties their last 10.
St.Louis Bull Pen has allowed 7 Er's the last 25.2

Cincinnati is 3-7 their last 10 and 4-9 their last 13.
Cincinnati 10-13 vs. Righties Away
Cincinnati 21st vs. Righies with .259
Cincinnati Bull Pen has allowed 28 Er's the last 26.2

Lean towards the Over 9.5
For one, Cincinnati is on a 11-3 Over Run.
Cincinnati the last 8 games has allowed an average of 9.6 runs.
Bong two games averaged 12.5
Morris games average 10.5 and 12 the last 3.

Have edges across the board(Starter,Hitting,Pen)
If it keeps form shouldn't be close.
Am counting on St.Louis to get to Bong because their tough vs.Lefties
and are facing a struggling bull pen.

Wagering the Over on the thinking that if St.Louis does lose, then it will be
because Cincinnati got to Morris rather than Bong having a great game.
Something that possible, but not that probable considering how well
the Cardinals are hitting Lefties.

Still no game is written in stone. Anything can and does happen.
As yesterday's Oakland/Chicago demonstrated. The Cubs scoring
2 in the bottom of the 9th to defeat Oakland and the Under bettors.
-------------------------------------------------------------

Yesterday after going 1-2 on the first 3 Parlay's, felt confident enough
in San Diego to let the NY Yankee parlay ride. That off set the lose a bit.
In fact, the profit was +38.82 meaning just a -1.18 lost on the first 3 parlays.
Unfortunately, Willis, Radke and Clemens all lost.
All 3 have generally been pitching well.
Since I've been struggling a bit, am playing somewhat close to the vest
and making small wagers til things start to go better.
So even those 3 losses amount to just sligthly Over a 1/2 Unit.
Not too big a hit.

Have only met one person who seem to like to lose or at least didn't seem to mind.
Have yet to meet any that liked losing money.

"You haven't met people til you lose them their money."

Sports betting is a tough gig. Baseball is a streaky affair.
A bettor has to be patient and use good money management to weather bad times.
I always take a wait and see attitude. You just never know what's going to happen
in baseball. But there are strong tendencies and teams, pitchers and hitters
get hot and cold.

This season started out with a large number of inexperience starting catchers.
It seems like a lot of bull pens are blowing leads more often than usual.
Wonder if there's any correlation? Bettors that tend to rely on
Starter matchups primarily may be suffering more losses than usual.

Will just keep plugging away and see how the chips fell when the dust has settled.

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ June 20, 2004, 07:32 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

1 Unit:

(1) Florida(Pavano)-145 Over Atlanta(Wright)
(2) Chicago Whitesox(Loaiza)-180 Over Cleveland(Elarton)

10:
(3) New York Yankees(Mussina)-150 Over Baltimore(Riley)
with
Boston(Schilling)-235 Over Minnesota(Lohse)

5:
(4) New York Yankees(Mussina)-150 Over Baltimore(Riley)
with
ChicagoCubs(Maddux)+106 Over St.Louis(Marquis)

5:
Baltimore(Riley)-1.5 runs(+276)

------------------------------------------------------------

Notes:

New York Yankees(18-3 vs.Lefties this year)
New York Yankees(44-14 vs. Lefties Last 58)

New York hitting Lefties .310 the last 10.
Baltimore hitting Righties .211 the last 10.
Baltimore 2-8 and 4-14 runs.

Mussina 4 Er's the last 17.0
Riley 11 Er's the last 16

Pens:
New York 10 Er's the last 32.1 (1 HR)
Baltimore 23 Er's the last 39.2 (5 Hr's)

------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay on 19-6 run.
San Francisco is 10-1 vs. Lefties at Home.
San Francisco 29-4 vs. Lefties at Home the last 33.
Ishii may very well add a loss though. Passing on that matchup.

------------------------------------------------

good luck today,

baz

Excellent Day Baz!! <img border="0" title="" alt="[Wink]" src="images/icons/wink.gif" />
Do you keep track of your W-L and units?

Today's Picks:


(1) San Francisco (Schmidt)-180 Over Colorado(Cook) for 3/4 Unit.

Schmidt has been extremely tough on the Rockies this season.
Allowing only 3 hits his last 15 innings against them.
Going 2-0 with a 1.71 Era (4 Er's in 21.0 innings) this season vs. Colorado
Going 10-2 with 3.43 Era (41 Er's in 107.2 innings) Lifetime vs. Colorado.
Allowing only 9 Er's his in his last 8 outings vs. Colorado
He's has struck out at least 9 in 9 of 17 starts this season.
Has a Quality Start record of 13-4 (6 innings)


San Francisco has hit .313 and averaged 5.75 runs their last 10 vs. Righties.

Cook 2-2 with 6.55 Era (24 Er's in 33.0 innings) Lifetime vs. SF
Cook 1-1 with 11.57 Era (12 Er's in 9.1 innings) This Season vs. SF
Cook 4-3 with 5.20 Era (37 Er's in 64.0 innings) This Season Overall
COok 10-10 with 5.55 Era(138 Er's in 223.2 innings) Lifetime (MLB)

Colorado only 24-44 vs. Righties


(2) Los Angeles (O.Perez) -145 Over Arizona (Fossum) for 3/4 Unit


Los Angeles on 13-3 SU run
Arizona on 4-21 SU run

Bull Pens:
Los Angeles 2.29 Era (9 Er's their last 35.1 innings)
Arizona 6.23 Era (27 Er's their last 39.0 innings)

Los Angeles 9-2 in Series This Season

Perez 12-4 Quality Start record
Has gone at least 5 innings 16 times and allowed 3 or less 14 times.
Has allowed 2 or less 9 of 16 starts.
4-5 with 3.08 Era (25 Er's in 73 innings) Lifetime vs. Arizona

Arizona 2-10 in Fossum starts with 6.27 Era
Fossum 0-3 with 5.50 Era (11 Er's in 18 innings) Lifetime vs. LA

Arizona 6-24 vs. Lefties this Season
Arizona 2-11 vs. Lefties at Home this Season


(3) Parlaying for a 1/5 Unit(20):
SF (Schmidt)-181 Over Colorado(Cook)
with
Los Angeles (O.Perez) -145 Over Arizona(Fossum)


Great to be back,
Good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Playing conservatively today.

1/4 Unit Per Pick(25)


(1)Seattle(Moyer)-137 Over Cleveland(Elarton)
(2)Cleveland(Elarton)/Seattle(Moyer) Over 8.5{-110}

Elarton(2-12 Quality Start record)
Elarton 36-35 with 5.39 Era MLB Lifetime record

Moyer(8-10 Quality Start record)
Moyer 9-7 with 3.98 Era(67 Er's in 151.2 innings)
Moyer 8-1 SU last 9 Starts vs. Cleveland (11 Er's/60.0 innings for a 1.65 Era)

Pens:
Cleveland 41 Er's their last 42.0 innings
Seattle 15 Er's in 22.2 innings

Cleveland 13-19 vs. Lefties Overall
Cleveland 6-10 vs. Lefties Away


----------------------------------------------------------------
(3)New York Yankees (Lieber)-145 Over Detroit(Robertson)
(4)New York Yankees(Lieber)/Detroit(Robertson) Under 10.5 {-115}

New York Yankees 22-6 vs. Lefties This Year
New York Yankees 48-11 vs. Lefties The Last 2 Years.

New York Yankees hitting .327 vs. Lefties their last 10.
New York Yankees on 6-1 SU run.

Under is 7-2 in Joyce's last nine BHP.
Under is 5-2 in Lieber's last seven starts.
Under is 6-1 in Yanks last seven overall.
Tigers last seven overall have played under.
Under is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings.

----------------------------------------------------------------

(5) Oakland(Mulder)-145 Over ChicagoWhiteSoxs(Loaiza)

Loaiza 8-10 Quality Start record (currently on a 1-5 QS run)
Loaiza has given up 16 Er's his last 17.1 innings with 2.08 WHIP

Mulder 13-5 Quality Start record
Mulder 11-1 SU his last 12 Starts
Oakland 13-5 in Mulder Starts
Oakland 25-6 at Home their last 31

Chicago 10-16 vs. Lefties This Season
Chicago 4-9 vs. Lefties Away This Season

Oakland 33-31 vs. Righties Overall This Season
Oakland 18-11 vs. Righties 18-11 At Home

-------------------------------------------------------------------

(6) New York Mets(Leiter)-145 Over Philadelphia(Myers)

Myers 5-6 with 5.68 Era (57 Er's in 90.1 innings)
Myers has allowed 19 Er's his last 13 innings with a 2.15 WHIP
Myers 4-12 Quality Start record
Myers 0-2 with 7.50 Era(10 Er's in 12.0 innings) vs. Mets This Season
Myers 3-3 with 6.26 Era (29 Er's in 41.2 innings) vs. Mets Lifetime

Leiter 5-3 with 2.40 Era (23 Er's in 86.1 innings) Overall This Season
Leiter 9-5 with 3.75 Era(61 Er's in 136.2 innings) Lifetime vs. Philadelphia
Leiter 1-0 with 0.75 Era (1 Er in 12.0 innings) This Season vs. Philadelphia
Leiter 7-8 Quality Start record this Season, however he's only allowed
2 Er's or less in 11 of 15 Starts!
Leiter has allowed 5 Er's in his last 17 innings.

Mets 16-8 their last 24 Home games.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

thanks and best of luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />