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Baz's MLB 2004
#53036 04/10/04 08:43 PM
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Portland Oregon
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San Franciso +120 (Rueter) Over San Diego (Lawrence)

Lawrence:

Spring Training 1-3 10.64 ERA (26 ER's in 22.0 innings and 49 Hits Allowed)
Lawrence Career vs. SF 0-3 4.34 Era (50 Er's in 18 Er's in 37.1 innings)
Larrence vs. Top of SF Lineup:
Durham 4/13 .308
Snow 4/14 .286
Tucker 4/5 .800
Bonds 8/16 .500

Rueter vs. SD Lifetime: 11-2 3.29 Era (50 Er's in 136.2 Innings) .257 Averaged Allowed.
Lifetime Record vs. SD Hitters:
Burroughs 2-16 .125
Loretta 6-26 .231
Giles 2-21 .095
Nevin 9-45 .375
Klesko 6-30 .200
Greene 2-4 .500
Payton 6-16 .375
Hernandez 3-14 .214
Vazquez 1-4 .250

-------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland (Sabathia) +106 Over Kansas City (Anderson)



Sabathia 7-4 with 3.19 Era .248 Average Allowed vs. KC Lifetime.
Sabathia allowed just 2 hits in 7 innings and .095 Average in 1st Start this Season.

Anderson vs. Cleveland 2-0 but only 11 Er's in 18.1 innings 5.40 Era and .265 Average.
Anderson Spring Training: 0-2 6.75 Era (15 Er's/20 innings, 27 hits allowed)

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado(Stark)/Los Angeles (Nomo) Over 7.5 (Would buy 1/2 run to make it 7)


Stark Spring Training 0-2 12.12 Era (22 Er's in 16 innings and 29 hits)
Stark 3-1 3.37 Era Lifetime vs. LA

Nomo
Spring Training 1-4 8.13 Era (25 Er's in 27 innings and 39 hits)
Lifetine Vs. Colorado 8-2 4.57 Era (51 Er's in 100.1 innings)
Nomo 1st Start: 7 Er's in 5.0 innings

Nomo since coming off injury so far:
1-5 9.00 Era with a 16/19 Walk-Stike Ration in 32.0 innings
With Nomo, he needs his control to be effective. His 4.50 Walk per 9.0 innings
shows that he's not in top form. 32 Er's in 32.0 innings would be the other, wa,wa,wa.

Taking the Over 7 (would buy the 1/2 run in this instance)

7.5 is a fairly low number to hang considering how these two starters are pitching.
It is being played in an Under ballpark and LA pen has been tough.
Neither pitcher has been sharp.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

best of luck today,

baz
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<small>[ April 13, 2004, 06:08 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53037 04/14/04 01:04 AM
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April 13th:

Houston (Clemens) -130 Over St.Louis (Suppan)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Parlaying Detroit(NBA) on the cashline with (MLB) Oakland (Zito)-180 Over Texas (Callaway)

Zito 11-1 SU with 2.39 Era vs. Texas Lifetime
Zito pitched 8.0 innings and allowed 7 hits and 2 Er's so far vs. Texas this season.

Calloway:
0-1 8.38 Era (18 Er's in 19.1 innings and 28 hits) vs. Oakland Lifetime
4-10 with 6.06 Era (81 Er's in 120.1 innings and 149 hits) Major Leauge Career

This parlay pays: +13.74 on 10.00

thanks,

baz

<small>[ April 17, 2004, 12:09 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53038 04/15/04 07:43 AM
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Seattle +125 (Garcia) Over Anaheim (Ortiz)

Kansas City( J.Affeldt) Chicago WhiteSoxs(J.Garland)Over 10

Florida (Willis) -140 Over Montreal (Ohka)


good luck today,

baz

<small>[ April 21, 2004, 03:03 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53039 04/18/04 07:09 AM
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Boston (Schilling) -131 Over New York Yankees (Mussina)

Yankees only hitting .205 Overall and .197 vs. Righties.
Boston hitting .279 vs. Righties

Schilling has 17 Stikeouts and only 1 Walk.
Mussina has allowed 14 ER's in 15.1 innings so far this Season.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oakland (Mulder) +101 Over Anaheim (Washburn)

Mulder 1.93 Era vs. Washburn 8.44 Era

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida (Beckett) -119 Over Atlanta (Ortiz)

Beckett 1-0 with 0.64 ERA (1 Er in 14.o innings) 20 Stikeout/4 BB's and .125 Batting Average Allowed
Ortiz 0-2 with 6.75 ERA (7 Er's in 9.1 innings) 15 hits allowed/3 HR's and .266 Batting Average Allowed.


good luck everyone,

baz
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Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53040 04/19/04 07:53 AM
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Taking Kansas City (May)/ Minnesota (Greisinger) Over 11


----------------------------------------------------------------------------


Hampton 0-1.na (Capuano)

=================================================

best of luck today,


baz
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Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53041 04/20/04 12:02 PM
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Florida (Willis) +109 Over Philadelphia (Padilla)
New York Mets (Leiter)-178 Over Montreal(Day)



good luck,

baz
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<small>[ April 21, 2004, 03:04 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53042 04/21/04 09:47 AM
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Oakland (Hudson) -123 Over Seattle (Menche)
Cleveland (Sabathia) -158 Over Kansas City (Affeldt)
Texas(Dickey)/Anaheim(Lackey) Over 10.5
Montreal (Hernadez)/New York Mets(Glavine) Under 7


thanks,

baz
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<small>[ April 21, 2004, 03:07 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53043 04/22/04 06:33 PM
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Parlaying:
Houston (Oswalt) 197 Over St.Louis (Marquis)
with San Antonio -165 Over Memphis


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Parlaying:
Cleveland (Sabathia)-154 Over Kansas City (Affeldt)
with
New York Yankees(Mussina)-153 Over Chicago White Soxs (Schoeneweis)


Then going the Over way with
Chicago Whitesoxs (Schoeneweis) +140 Over New York Yankees (Mussina)


If one bets $10 on this Parlay, the profit would be +17.27 If both teams win.
So if Cleveland indeed does win, one would wager the would be profits (+ $17.27)
on Chicago at +140
If Chicago does win, the profit would be +24.17 minus -$10 from Parlay ticket
for an Overall Profit of +14.17 on $10
This would be the conservative way to play this.
.........................................................................................................................

As a straight Parlay,
Cleveland (Sabathia)-154 Over Kansas City(Affeldt)
with
Chicago WhiteSoxs (Schoeneweis) +140 Over New York Yankees(Mussina)

This Parlay would pay +29.58 Profit on a $10 wager.

The conservative way pays less, but one's intial wager is return if Chicago losses.
The other way, if Chicago loses, one loses $10.
If Cleveland loses, both ways would lose the intial $10 wager.

thanks and good luck,

baz
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<small>[ April 22, 2004, 11:36 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53044 04/23/04 12:02 PM
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Cleveland (Davis)/Detroit(Bonderman) Over 9.na(Kinney)
with
St.na(Kinney) Over 10.5{-105}


good luck today,

baz
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Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53045 04/24/04 08:53 PM
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Pittsburgh (Benson)-149 Over Cincinnati (Haynes)

Parlaying:
Houston (Clemens) -169 Over Colorado (Fassero)
with
Pittsburgh(Benson)-1.5 Runs {+149} Over Cincinnati (Haynes)


=========================================================

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh:

Benson:
Benson 2-0 with 2.00 Era, 1.28 WHIP and .212 Batting Average Allowed.
Lifetime vs. Cincinnati:
Benson 3-2 with 2.34 Era and .231 Batting Average Allowed

Haynes
0-1 with 8.31 Era (4 Er's in 4.1 innings) .2.31 WHIP and .421 This vs. Piitsburgh
Lifetime vs. Pittsburgh:
3-7 with 5.20 Era (46 Er's in 79.2 innings) 1.53 WHIP and .268 Average Allowed
Last 14.1 innings vs. Pittsburgh:
14 Er's and 28 Baserunners Allowed.
Haynes has lost his last 6 Starts and is 1-9 His Last 10.

Vs. Righties:
Cincinnati .245
Pittsburgh .294

Pull pens ERA's:
Cincinnati 9.53
Pittsburgh 3.12

=============================================================

Houston vs. Colorado:

HOU is 9-1 in Clemens last ten starts.
Clemens is off to a very strong start. Only allowing a .108 batting average
and a mere 2 Er's in 20.2 innings with 19K's/7 BB's.

Fassero
This Year 4.70 Era (4 Er's in 7.2 innings) .300 Average Allowed, 1.96 WHIP
Last Year 1-7 with 5.68 Era, 1.64 WHIP and .296 Average Allowed

good luck,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53046 04/26/04 10:37 PM
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Baltimore (Riley)-116 Over Seattle (Menche)
Chicago(Zambrano)/Arizona (Johnson) Under 8
Atlanta (Ramirez) +135 Over San Francisco (Schmidt)

thanks and good luck today,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53047 04/27/04 10:54 PM
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Baltimore (Riley)-108 Over Seattle (Menche)
Oakland (Hudson) +104 Over New York Yankees (Mussina)
Boston(Wakefield)/TampaBay(Abbott) Under 9 {-125}

Also Parlaying:
Boston (Wakefield)-190 Over TampaBay(Abbott)
with
(NBA) Denver +4 Over Minnesota

good luck today,

baz
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Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53048 04/28/04 08:13 PM
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Chicago WhiteSoxs( SCHOENWEIS)-158 Over Cleveland(DAVIS)
Atlanta (Ortiz) -125 Over San Francisco (Tomoko)

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53049 05/01/04 01:50 AM
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Oakland(Redman)/TampaBay (Waechter) Under 9 {-118}
Houston(Clemens) -1.5 {-110} Over Cincinnati (Acevedo)

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53050 05/01/04 01:23 PM
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Cleveland (Sabathia) -140 Over Baltimore (Bedard)
Pittsburgh (O.na (Obermuller)
Arizona (Johnson) -117 Over Philadelphia (Padilla)
Arizona (Johnson)/Philadelphia (Padilla) Under 7.5 {-120}

good luck today,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53051 05/03/04 07:53 AM
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Parlaying these two separtely to Boston(Wakefield) -138 Over Texas(Dickey)
(1) Oakland (Hudson) -180 Over TampaBay(Hendrickson)
(2) St.Louis(Morris) -118 Over Chicago (Zambrano)

Would hedge off depending if both win.

--------------------------------------------------------------
Also taking:

Atlanta(Ramirez) -115 Over Colorado (Estes)
Florida (Oliver)/San Francisco (Rueter) Over 9.5

good luck,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53052 05/05/04 12:28 AM
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Chicago Whitesoxs (Loaiza) -11 Over Baltimore (DuBose)
Detroit(Robertson)/Anaheim(Washburn) Over 9
New York Yankees(Contreras)+110 Over Oakland(Mulder)
Milwaukee(Santos)/Cincinnati(Haynes) Over 10.5
Atlanta (Ortiz)-127 Over San Diego(Eaton)

good luck,


baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53053 05/05/04 11:08 AM
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Taking New York Yankees (Brown) -1.5 runs Over Oakland (Zito)
will use runline from www.bigguy.com

New York hitting .311 the last week.
Brown 4-2 Quality Starts
Brown 12-5 with 2.99 Lifetime vs. Oakland
New York 8-2 vs. Lefties
New York 34-13 vs.Lefties the last 47 (72.3%)

Zito 2-3 Quality Starts
Zito 2-5 with 4.13 Era Lifetime vs. New York

-----------------------------------------------------------

Chicago Whitesoxs (Buehrle) +103 Over Baltimore(Ponson)

Chicago hits .264 vs. Righties Overall
Chicago hitting .270 vs. Righties Last 10
Chicago 72-57 vs. Righties the last 129
Buehrle 1-1 with 5.35 Era(22 Er's in 27.0 innings)
Buehrle 1-1 with 2.49 Era vs. Baltimore (7 Er's in 25.1 innings)
Buehrle 54-36 with 3.79 MLB Career

Ponson 2-2 with 6.29 Era (24 Er's in 34.1 innings) this year.
Ponson 1-5 with 5.94 Era (35 Er's in 53.0 innings) Lifetime vs. Chicago.
Ponson 60-67 with 4.60 Ere MLB Career
Baltimore hitting .217 vs. Lefties Overall
Baltimore hitting .223 vs. Lefties the last 10

Neither pitcher very effective so far this season.
Baltimore doesn't hit Lefties too well. Their 20-34 vs. Lefties the last 54.
Ponson hasn't done well vs. Chicago.
Chicago playing fairly well at 16-10.


----------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia (Millwood) -138 Over St.Louis(Williams)

Millwood 5-0 Quality Starts this season.
Millwood only allowed 1 Er in 7.0 innings vs. St.Louis this season.
Millwood 2-2 with 3.99 Era (29 Er's in 65.1 innings) Lifetime vs. St.Louis

Williams 0-2 with 6.00 Era(18 Er's in 27.0 innings) This season.
Williams 3-4 with 4.62 Era (25 Er's in 48.2 innings) This Season.

The last 10 St.Louis has hit .234 vs. Righties
The last 10 Philadlephia has hit .272 vs. Righties

Bull pens:
St.Louis the last 17.2 has a 6.62 Era
Philadelphia the last 26.1 has a 2.89 Era

--------------------------------------------------------------------

good luck today,

baz
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Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53054 05/07/04 07:47 AM
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Would have taken Boston(Martinez)/Cleveland(Sabathia) Under 7.5 but
Cleveland's bullpen has a 6.24 Era and those availible today a 10/63 Era
the last 31.1
Thus making the 7.5 a mite more risky.
Martinez 4-2 Quality Starts
Martinez 10-1 with 1.66 Career vs. Cleveland
Sabathia 4-0 Quality Starts
Sabathia 1-1 with 2.40 Era vs. Boston

Boston hitting .272 the last 8 games (4.5 Runs)
Cleveland .297 with .297 the last 5 games (5.6 Runs)

This should be a classic pitching duel. Have to lean towards Boston
due to edge in Bullpen.

----------------------------------------------------------

Taking Anahiem(Sele)-169 Over TampaBay (Gonzalez)

Sele 7-1 with 4.43 Era vs. TampaBay
Gonzalez 0-3 with 5.40 Era This Season

Bull pen edge to Angeles.

------------------------------------------------------------------

Taking Florida (Willis)-150 Over Los Angeles(Ishii)

------------------------------------------------------------------

Lean towards:

Seattle
Atlanta/San Diego Over
Chicago (Clements) -1.5 runs Over Arizona

<small>[ May 06, 2004, 12:57 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53055 05/07/04 01:20 PM
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Arizona (Johnson) -1.na(Davis)
San Diego(Peavy) +104 Over Florida(Pavano)

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