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Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53076 05/23/04 06:46 PM
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Going to parlay the folling individually to (NBA) Los Angeles {Cashline-145} Over Minnesota:

(1)Houston(Miller)-145 Over Cincinnati(Lidle)
(2)Arizona(Johnson)/Florida(Willis) Under 7.5


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hedge from Yesterday's Action:

Will wager 80 on (NBA) Minnesota Cashline 5 minutes prior to gametime. Line currently +125
Hoping to get better odds just prior to gametime.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

good luck today,


baz

note: will be posting updated results for season later today.

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53077 05/24/04 03:02 AM
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Hedging Earlier Arizona/Florida Under 7.5 with Los Angeles (-145 cashline) parlay:

Have decided to wager 80 on Minnesota +125

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53078 05/24/04 10:53 AM
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No Play's Today.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Results of plays and hedge from May 20th:


A Minnesota win would return a +662.80 profit + the 250 wagered on (Atl/Oak/SD-St.L) = 912.80 Total Return.
Minus the -300 Lost on the Early wagers (Chicago,Houston and Boston) resulting in a profit of +362.80

Hedging
600 on Los Angles Lakers -1.5 {-105}
would produce this result:
Returns (.952 X 600 = 571.42 in profits + 600 Hedge Wager= 1171.452 Total Return

1171.42 Total Return - 550 Lost from earlier wagers(Chi/Hou/Bos/Atl/Oak/SD-St.Louis) and Laker 600 wager= +21.42 Overall Profit.


A Minnesota win:
Would Return a total of 912.80 - 900 (300 Chi/Hou/Bos wagers} + 600 Laker wager)
912.80 - 900 = +12.80 Profit.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Let's say that I wagered the would be profit's of +662.80 from the early parlay's on the Lakers-1.5(.952)

A Minnesota win:
Returns 912.80 (250 wagerd + 662.80 profits - 912.80 (600 Laker wager + 300 lost (Chi/Hou/Bos) = -0-
{Breaks even}

A Los Angeles Lakers win @ -1.5(.95.23):
Returns the intial wager of 662.80 + 630.98 profit = 1293.78 Total returned
1293.78 - (662.80 + 550 Early Parlays- Chi/Hou/Bos/Atl/Oak/SD-St.Louis) = +80.98

Since I had a strong opinion on Los Angeles, I should have wagered 662.80 instead of the 600.

Overall profit for the day: +21.42

==================================================================
==================================================================

Overall Record So Far This Season:


33-27 Favorites
6-7 Underdogs
7-8 Runline
12-4 Overs
4-5 Unders
-----------------
62-51 Overall (+ 771.79)

Based on 100.00 bet per play.
A half Unit + 50.00 per play.
1/4 Unit = 25.00 per play.


thanks,

baz

<small>[ May 25, 2004, 04:13 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53079 05/25/04 10:55 AM
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Posting MLB picks early.
Would parlay each pick individually to Wednesday's(NBA) Detorit on the Cashline(Not Posted yet)
Then could hedge either on the cashline at + odds or the spread to create a potential middle.
Will post prior to game time.

===============================================

1 Unit:
Atlanta(Ramirez)/Montreal (Woo Kim) Under 8.5 [-120]

1/2 Unit each:
Minnesota(Loshse)/TampaBay(Zambrano) Over 9.5 [-105]
Atlanta(Ramirez)-152 Over Montreal(Woo Kim)
SanFransico(Schmidt) -220 Over Arizona(Fossum)


All Parlayed individually to (NBA) Detroit on Cashline

Would wager as soon as (NBA)Indiana/Detroit on board.
Line may more slightly against us.
Would pass on Minn/TB at 10

================================================

Lean towards:

Philadephia
Los Angeles
SanDiego/Colorado Over 12

Would stay away from Texas/Chicago Under

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 25, 2004, 04:32 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53080 05/25/04 08:33 PM
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The Cashline on Detroit Over Indiana around -210
Still can get 9.5 at WSEX on the Minnesota/TampaBay
and 8.5 for the Atlanta game.
For the most part, the lines moved moved in favor of Minn/TB Over
and the Atlanta Under fell in most cases an entire Run which is a strong move.

good luck today,

baz

<small>[ May 25, 2004, 01:41 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53081 05/26/04 06:53 PM
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Going to parlay:
Los Angeles(Perez)-150 Over Milwaukee(Capuano)
with
(NBA) Los Angeles-371 Over Minnesota


If Parlay hits, will return +111.50 Profit

Then wil hedge on Minnesota with the Cashline @ +321.
take +7.5 or perhaps higer and or a combination of both.

-----------------------------------------------------------

Note: Atlanta was NO ACTION yesterday due to the pitching change.
I always List Both Starters.

To hedge yesterday's action:
Just going to place 20 on Indiana @ +199

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53082 05/28/04 08:19 PM
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Parlaying the following individually to (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers-2 Over Minnesota
then hedging off:

(1) New York Mets (Glavine) +106 Over Florida(Willis)
(2) Houston(Clemens)-155 Over St.Louis(Carpenter)
(3) Arizona(Johnson) -135 Over Los Angles(Alvarez)

--------------------------------------------------------

1/2 Unit:
(4)New York Mets(Glavine)/Florida(Willis) Under 7.5 {-105}


Parlay:
(5) Boston(Martinez)-240 Over Seattle(Pineiro)
with
New York Yankees(Vazquez)-190 Over TampaBay(Waechter)


<small>[ May 28, 2004, 01:24 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53083 05/29/04 09:33 AM
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Parlaying following individually to (NBA)Indiana (-170) Over Detroit
then hedging on Detroit either on the cashline or on the spread.

1 Unit:
(1) Anaheim (Sele) -113 Over ChicagoWhiteSoxs(Rauch)

Parlay for 1/2 Unit:
(2) Philadelphia (Padilla) -152 Over Atlanta(Thomson)
with
New York Yankees(Brown) -1.5 runs{-130} Over Tampa Bay (Hendrickson)


Note:If Philadelphia loses fist game, will Parlay:
New York Yankees(Brown) -1.5 runs{-130} Over Tampa Bay (Hendrickson)
with
(NBA) Indiana -1-170 on the cashline
, then hedging off.

------------------------------------------------------------

Hedging Friday's Plays:
Placing 350 on Minnesota
just prior to gametime.
Have -2 on Los Angeles to win on tickets.
Can currently get Minnesota at +2.5 (Intertops, Sportingbet)
Hope that by waiting til 5 minutes before gametime that Minnesota +3 or
better will be available.

If Lakers wins, will make +175.00
If Minnesota wins, will lose -81.80
If can get +3, have a small chance of a middle.

thanks and good luck,

baz

<small>[ May 29, 2004, 01:05 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53084 05/30/04 01:09 PM
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Parlaying the following individually to Los Angles(Ishii) -160 Over Arizona(Fossum)
with (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -412 Over Minnesota

1/2 Unit Each:
(1) New York Yankees(Lieber)-174 Over TampaBay(Zambrano)
(2) Boston(Schilling)-1.5 runs{-124} Over Seattle (Franklin)
(3) Atlanta (Ramirez) +123 Over Philadelphia(Milton)


1/4 Unit:
(4) Detroit(Maroth)/Baltimore(Bedard) Under 9.5 (+100)
(5) Detroit (Maroth)-1.5 runs {+184} Over Baltimore(Bedard)
(6) Cincinnati(Wilson)-127 Over Montreal(Ohka) If Available.


Will hedge off slightly on Arizona(Fossum) +155 (current odds) Over Los Angeles(Ishii)
just prior to game time. How much will depend on earlier results.
Will be hedging off on Minnesota at +7.5 {+116} as soon as Arizona/LosAngeles
game is over. This will create a chance of a 7.5 middle.

--------------------------------------------------------------
Parlaying the following individually to (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -412 Over Minnesota
1/2 Unit Each:
(1) Chicago Whitesox's (Schoeneweis)-138 Over Anaheim(Lackey)
(2) San Francisco (Schmidt)-194 Over Colorado(Kennedy)


Will be hedging off on Minnesota at +7.5 {+116} as soon as Arizona/LosAngeles
game is over. This will create a 7.5 chance at a middle.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Hedging Saturday's Action:

216 On (NBA) Detroit +3.5 {-108} Over Indiana


If Indiana wins +21.89
If Detroit wins -0-
If Detroit loses by 3 or less +489.80

best of luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 30, 2004, 06:22 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53085 05/31/04 02:52 AM
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What a day.
Detroit and Baltimore Bullpens give up 7 runs in the 9th to blow the Under.
The run pushing the game Over coming with 2 outs in the bottom of the inning.
Then the next batter ends the game: 7-3 Baltimore (bad luck).
Changed channels in disgust to a game I was actually winning.
Boston enters the top of the 8th up 5-1, Schilling is cruising.
ooophs...6 runs later it's 7-5 Seattle (some more bad luck).
Fortunately, Boston scores 2 to tie it in the bottom of the inning to tie and
McCarthy hits a walk off 2 run homer in the 12 to cover the runline the only way it
could have been covered(good luck).
Luck. Sometimes it better to be lucky than good.
In Baltimore/Detroit 9th and Seattle/Boston 8th:

15 hits and 6 BB's (one IBB) and 15 Er's.
A combined 33.75 Era.

Welcome to the Big Show.

=====================================================================

Hedging: 35 on Arizona @ +163 (Pinnacle)

Note:
Atlanta and Cincinnati NO ACTION

Like my chances with LA.

=====================================================================

ChicagoWhiteSox's and San Francisco both won. Will hedge off later as the line
appears to be moving higher. Currently -8.5 Los Angeles and +430 on the cashline.
Cashline has jumped from Lakers -410 to -510. Sentiment is strongly in favor of
the Lakers winning game 6.

Lakers 42-7(85.7%) at Home. (+9.9 point margin)
Minnesota Away 29-19 at Away (+1.2 point margin)

Lakers 7-0 with +13.0 point margin @ Home during playoffs.
Minnesota 2-5 with -8.7 point margin Away during the playoffs.

good luck tonight,

baz
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Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53086 05/31/04 10:25 AM
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Parlaying:

Los Angeles (Perez) -188 Over Milwaukee(Wise)
with
(NBA) Detroit -5 Over Indiana

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Will hedge on Tuesday prior to game time if LA wins.

thanks and good luck today,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53087 06/01/04 01:22 AM
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Hedging Sunday's Action:
45 on Minnesota +441 on Cashline
55 on Minnesota + 9


good luck,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53088 06/01/04 12:12 PM
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Parlaying the following to (NBA) Detroit -255 Over Indiana

1 Unit:

(1) Toronto (Halladay)-140 Over Seattle (Meche)


1/4 Unit Each:

(2) San Francisco (Hermanson)-140 Over Arizona(Sparks)
(3) Florida (Penny)-188 Over Cincinnati (Harang)

(4) Cleveland (Sabathia)-1.na(Sheets)-115 Over Los Angeles(Weaver)



-----------------------------------------------------------------

Hedges for Yesterday and Today's Action:

50 on (NBA) Indiana +5.5...Lines have moved to +6.5 (BETCOM) and most books at +6

45 on (NBA) Indiana +229....Line moved to +260 (Pinnacle)

[b]Still would wait til late as reasonablly possible.


Note: Will wait til 5 mintues to end of betting this game
to get best odds. Will post final odds. [/b]


Believe that Indiana without a completely healthy O'Neal
will be hardpressed to defeat Detroit at Home.
Piston's are 37-13 @ Home (64%).

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ June 01, 2004, 07:31 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53089 06/02/04 06:36 PM
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Parlaying the following:

1/2 Unit:

(1) Florida(Willis)-151 Over Cincinnati(Lidle)
with
Boston(Martinez)-157 Over Anaheim(Washburn)


1/4 Unit:
(2) Cleveland(Westbrook)-1.5 runs Over Texas(Dickey)
with
New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(Dubose)

(3) Texas(Dickey) -1.5 runs(+160) Over Cleveland(Westbrook)
with
New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over
Baltimore(Dubose)


If the Texas/Clevleand game is a one run game will
wager 1/2 Unit:
New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(DuBose)

1/4 Unit:

(4) ChicagoWhiteSox's(Buehrle)+117 Over Oakland(Mulder)
with
Arizona(Johnson)-186 Over San Francisco(Tomko)



Will hedge off any winners.

thank you and good luck,


baz

<small>[ June 02, 2004, 04:28 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53090 06/03/04 01:55 AM
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Adding the follwing Parlays:

1/2 Unit each:

(1) New York Yankees(Contreras) -168 Over Baltimore(Dubose)
with
Boston(Martinez) -160 Over Anaheim(Washburn)

(2) Arizona(Johnson)-197 Over San Francisco(Tomko)
with
New York Yankees(Contreras)/Baltimore(BuBose) Over 10.5 {-114}

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53091 06/03/04 11:07 AM
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Parlaying the following to Atlanta(Thomson)-125 Over Philadelphia(Hancock or Any)

30 on:

(1) New York Yankees(Vazquez)-1.5runs {+105} runs Over Baltimore(Cabrera or Any)


20 on:

(2) Baltimore(Cabrera or Any)-1.5 runs{+258} Over New York Yankees(Vazquez)



15 of the last 20 meetings have been decided by 2 or more.
The last 2 games have been decided by one run. Think that the odds are
against 3 meetings in a row being decided by one run.
Going to make a small wager and then hedge off with Philadelphia +115 or more
just prior to the game.

=============================================================================

Yesterday, I forgot to type in

(3) Texas(Dickey) -1.5 runs(+160) Over Cleveland(Westbrook)
"with
New York Yankees(Contreras)-172 Over Baltimore(Dubose)"


I did it going the other way with Cleveland(Westbrook) -1.5 runs.
The failure to do this was the difference between being Up +15.35
and being down -18.50 for the day.
It's been a tough week with a lot of tough losses and some poor hedging
on my part. Just going to have to shake it off and bear down.

Result so far for this Season:

+640.93 (would be +674.78 if one counted yesterday's Texas/NYY parlay)

Favorites: 42-35
Underdogs: 6-8
Runline: 7-8
Overs: 12-4
Unders: 4-5

Overall: 62-51

good luck today,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53092 06/03/04 11:53 PM
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Hedging the New Yorkn Yankee/Atlanta parlay:

38 on Philadelphia +133

If Philadelphia wins:+.54 cents
If Atlanta wins: +22.70

thanks and good luck,


baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53093 06/04/04 05:46 PM
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Going to parlay the following individually with (NBA) Los Angeles Lakers -497 Over Detroit.
Then will hedge on Detroit +8 points:

1/2 Unit Each:

(1)Los Angeles (Ishii)-126 Over Arizona(Fossum)
(2)Cincinnati (Acevedo)-169 Over Montreal(Day)


1/4 Unit Each:
(3)Boston(Wakefield)-146 Over KansasCity(Gobble)
(4)Boston(Wakefield)/KansasCity(Gobble) Over 9 {-111)
(5)Anaheim(Sele)-169 Over Cleveland(Davis)


20 on:
(6) Detroit(Manroth)-1.5 runs{+190} Over Minnesota(Lohse)
(7) Minnesota(Lohse)-1.5 runs{+152} Over Detroit (Manroth)


thanks and best of luck,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53094 06/05/04 06:45 PM
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Parlaying the following individually to Los Angeles Lakers -501:
Will hedge off on Detroit at either +8 {-107} or on the cashline
currently at +421

1/4 Units each:

(1) Chicago Cubs(Benson)-225 Over Pittsburgh(Benson)
with
Oakland(Hudson)-213 Over Toronto (Hentgen)

(2) Atlanta(Ortiz)-128 Over Philadelphia(Myers)
with
New York Yankees(Leiber) Over Texas(Dominguez)


Note: If Either of the early games lose with take second team on the ticket
(Oakland and New York Yankees) and individually parlay each to LA-501 for 1/4 Unit.
(Same listed pitchers).


(3) Anaheim(Lackey)-169 Over Cleveland(Dawley)
(4) Anheim(Lakey)/Cleveland(Dawley) Over 9.5 {-122}
(5) Batlimore(Lopez)-163 Over TampaBay(Bell)
(6) Boston(Schilling)-199 Over Kansas City(May)


For 20:
(7) Montreal(Ohka)/Cincinnati(Wilson) Under 7.5 {+112)
(8) San Francisco(Rueter)/Colorado(Jennings) Over 13 (-125)

For 10:
(9) Los Angeles(Perez)-1.5 Runs{+105} Over Arizona(Gonzalez)
(10) Los Angeles(Perez)/Arizona(Gonzalez) Under 9

good luck today,

baz

Re: Baz's MLB 2004
#53095 06/06/04 06:27 PM
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Parlaying the following individually to Los Angeles Lakers -475 Over Detroit
then hedge on Detroit +8 {-110} and or the Cashline.

1/4 Unit each:

(1) Atlanta(Wright)+107 Over Philadephia(Millwood)
(2) New York Yankees(Mussina)-199 Over Texas(Drese)
(3) ChicagoCubs(Maddux)-223 Over Pittsburgh(Vogelsong)
(4) New York Mets(Leiter)-107 Over Florida(Penny)
(5) Anaheim(Colon)-133 Over Cleveland(Sabathia)

good luck today,

baz

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