Home Forums Skybox Sports Bar Around the Horn Baz's MLB 2004

In effort to stay away from large lines, going
to parlay these individually into Texas(Dickey)-177 Over Detroit(Maroth)
and hedge off:

(1)New York Mets(Yates)-134 Over Milwaukee(Hernadez)
(2)Chicgao Cubs(Maddux)-1.5 {-125} Over Colorado(Jennings)

--------------------------------------------------------

Taking:
Texas(Dickey)-177 Over Detroit(Maroth)
SanDiego(Valdez)-104 Over Florida(Oliver)
St.Louis-155 (Marquis)-155 Over Montreal(Ohka)

BAZ, what's the season record and units won/lost?

Curious to see where you stand a month into the season.

Keep it going !

SAME HERE..WHERE DO YOU STAND BAZ?

Since both morning favorites lost, going to add this parlay:

New York Yankees(Mussina) -145 Over Seattle(Meche)
with
Texas(Dickey)-177 Over Detroit(Maroth)

New York Yankees(Osborne) +108 Over Seattle(Moyer)

Osborne 2-0 with 3.18 Era (4 Er's in 11.1 innings)
Osborne 49-46 Su with 3.95 Era (301 Er's in 867 Innings)

Only two Seattle Mariners to face Osborne:
Aurilia....275 (3/8)
Boone......158 (3/19)

Moyer 1-2 4.50 Era (19 Er's in 38 innings) with 7 Hr's This Season
Moyer 10-9 SU with 4.24 Era vs. Yankees


Career Vs. Moyer

Jeter...........302 (16/53)
Williams........413 (31/75)
Rodriguez.......318 (14/44)
Giambi..........279 (12/43)
Sheffield.......667 (8/12)
Posada..........317 (13/41)
Matsui..........250 (2/8)
Wilson..........313 (4/13)
Lofton..........229 (11/48)
-------------------------------
Sierra..........300 (9/30)
Cairo...........333 (5/15)
Clark...........286 (6/21)

Vs. Lefteis:
New York .279
Seattle .264

Vs, Lefties the Last 10:
New York .333
Seattle .252


Bull Pens Overall ERA:
New York 2.45
Seattle 4.55

Bull Pens Available ERA:
New York 2.50
Seattle 4.47

New York 9-2 SU vs. Lefties This Year
New York 35-13 vs Lefties Last 48

=======================================================

Detroit(Robertson)/Texas(Rogers) Over 10.5


In the first two games in this Series, the teams have combined for
51 hits on 158 AB's for a .322 Hitting Average.
They have left 58 Baserunners on base.
The bull pens have allowed 21 runs.

Robertson has allowed 14 Er's his last 6.1 innings
Over is 5-2 in Robertson's last seven starts.

Rogers has had 4 straight Quality Starts vs. Detroit
Rogers is 100-50 with a 3.96 Era at Home since 1987

Vs. Lefties:
Detroit .266
Texas .299

Vs. Lefties Last 10:
Detroit .264
Texas .344

Bull Pens Overall:
Detroit 5.51
Texas 4.56

Bull Pens Available Last 3:
Detroit 7.18
Texas 8.84

Rogers 9-7 Su with 4.21 Era vs. Detroit Career

The Bull pens have been used quite a bit the first two.
Hoping fatigue factor helps. So going to buck Rogers Under Trend.
Under is 8-2 in Rogers last 10 starts

DET is 2-7 in Game 3 of a Series.

==============================================================

Good luck and Happy Mother's Day,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 09, 2004, 05:42 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

As far as Picking Baseball Games Overall: 37-32

Currently Up +46.10 Dollars

-----------------------------------------------------
Was Up + $666.70 Before going on 1-6 SU run (Friday went 0-5 Ouch)
Will post a more detailed account at a later time.
Generally I've found, it's harder to guage true form in the first month of the season.
As the season develops, the statistics start to have more meaning and be more consistent.
Bettors have a better idea of what to expect from hitters and pitchers.
Trends and streaks are more defined and have greater authority.
At this point, top pitchers will start to emerge has well as those struggling.
Will place more emphasis on getting mismatches in terms of Right vs. Left.
Home/Away abilities also start to become clearer.

Totals This Season So Far:
Overs 8-0
Under 3-4
----------
Overall 11-4

Favorites: 20-15
Favorite Runlines: 2-6
Dogs 4-7

Believe that this is an accurate account
so far this season. Will be double checking
later this week.
Still early, have 81% of the Season Left.
Should start to do better.
Time will tell,

thanks,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 16, 2004, 01:12 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Oakland(Zito)/Detroit(Johnson) Over 8.5
Minnesota(Silva)-132 Over Seattle(Pineiro)
San Diego (Wells)-157 Over Cincinnati(Harang)

Baltimore(Bedard)/ChicagoWhitesoxs(Garland) Over 10 {-105}
New York Mets(Glavine)/Arizona(Johnson) Under 7.5 {-117}
Anaheim(Sele) +188 Over New York Yankees(Vasquez)

Parlay for 1/2 a Unit:
Toronto(Lilly)-103 Over KansasCity(Affeldt)
with
Toronto(Lilly)/KansasCity(Affeldt) Over 10 {-117}
with
Seattle(Garcia)-115 Over Minnesota(Radke)

-----------------------------------------------

Leans:

Seattle
Montreal
Houston
Boston
Texas
Texas Over
Baltimore

If Toronto Wins and goes Over, one can hedge off some on Minnesota.

good luck,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 12, 2004, 05:24 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Adding:

Seattle(Garcia)-120 Over Minnesota(Radke)
Texas(Park)-120 Over TampaBay( GONZALEZ)

Texas(Benoit)/Detroit(Knotts) Over 10 {-110}
Anaheim(Colon)/Baltimore(Ainsworth) Over 9 {-115}
Anaheim(Colon)-134 Over Baltimore(Ainsworth)

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Going to Parlay:


Seattle(Moyer)/New York Yankees(Osborne) Over 9.5
with
Oakland(Mulder)-145 Over Kansas City(May)

---------------------------------------------

Cleveland(Westbrook)-129 Over TampaBay(Zambrano)
with
Los Angeles(O.Perez)-165 Over Cincinatti(VanPoppel)

----------------------------------------------

Would hedge off just a little. Will post how much 1 hour prior to involved games.


---------------------------------------------

Anaheim(Washburn)-105 Over Baltimore(DuBose)

---------------------------------------------

Leans:
Chisoxs
Texas
St.Louis
Houston


best of luck today,

baz

Since both games won.

Assuming $100 per bet, would:

Hedge:

$80 on Kanas City at + 130
$ 70 on Cincinnati at +165

Will provide a complete review of this in tomorrow's post.

thanks and best of luck,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

<small>[ May 16, 2004, 01:14 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying the following individually to New Jersey -160, then hedging Off with
Detroit +3.5{-110} or +4 if available.

(1) Boston(Martinez)-125 Over Toronto(Halladay)
(2) New York Yankees(Brown)-1.5 runs(-115) Over Seattle(Pineiro)
(3) Cleveland (Sabathia)-1.5 runs(+125) Over TampaBay(Waechter)
(4) Houston (Clemens)-1.5 runs(-135) Over Houston(Ginter)

Current record:
51-36 (+615.46) based on $100 per bet(Unit)

good luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Yesterday's Results:

note: based on $100 per bet.

Parlay:
Won Seattle(Moyer)/New York Yankees(Osborne) Over 9.5
with
Won Oakland(Mulder)-145 Over Kansas City(May)..........................+229.86

---------------------------------------------
Parlay:
Won Cleveland(Westbrook)-129 Over TampaBay(Zambrano)
with
Lost Los Angeles(O.Perez)-165 Over Cincinatti(VanPoppel).............-100.00

----------------------------------------------

Won Anaheim(Washburn)-105 Over Baltimore(DuBose)..................+100.00


Hedges
$80.00 on Kansas City @ +130..................................................-80.00
$70.00 on Cincinnati @ +165.....................................................+115.50
===============================================================
...........................................................................................+265.36

<small>[ May 16, 2004, 11:05 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Tough day so far, going to Hedge the Parlay of Cleveland(Sabathia)-1.5 runs Over TampaBay(Waechter)
with (NBA) New Jersey -160 Cashline Over Detroit.

This Parlay ticket would pay $365.62 for a profit of $265.62

Going to Hedge $200 on Detroit +5 Over New Jersey.

Hoping for a Middle.

Will post results in tommow's post.

baz

Taking Boston(Wakefield)-157 Over TampaBay(Hendrickson)

Wakefield 8-1 with 2.72 Era(26Er's in 86.0 innings) Lifetime vs.Tampa Bay
Hendrickson 1-0 with 5.40 Era(16 Er's in 26.0 innings) Lifetime vs. Boston

Wakefield 2-2 with 3.64 Era (17 Er's in 42.0 innings) This season. 3 Hr's Allowed
Hendrickson 2-3 with 4.78 Era (20 Er's in 37.2 innings) This Season. 6 Hr's Allowed

Boston 7-4 vs. Lefies this Season (.261 average)
Tampa Bay 8-19 vs. Righties this Season (.236 average)

TampaBay on 3-17 Su run and 1-10 Su their last 11.

Boston has outscored TampaBay 17 to 3 this season (3 games)

Slight edge in Bull pens for Boston:
Boston 2.81 Era the last 25.2 innings(2.93 for the Season)
TampaBay 4.28 Era the last 38.2 innings(4.03 Era for the Season)

I'm a little bit under the weather today, so will be post recent results tommorow.

best of luck today,

baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />

Boston(Schilling)-1.5 runs{-140} Over TampaBay(Bell)
New York Yankees(Lieber)/Anaheim(Lackey) Over 9{-115}

Still a bit under the weather.

Good luck,

baz

Going to do the following Parlay's:
----------------------------------------------

Chicago Cubs(Maddux)-177 Over SanFrancisco(Hermanson)
With
Atlanta(Ramirez)-150 Over Arizona(Fossum)
with
Minnesota-1.5 Over Los AngelesLakers

note: If the Cubs lose, will Parlya Atlanta(Ramirez)-150 Over Arizona(Fossum)
with
Minnesota-1.5 Over Los Angeles Lakers

---------------------------------------------------------
Going to Parlay individually the following to Minnesota-1.5 Over Los Angeles Lakers:

(1) Oakland (Hudson)-215 Over Detroit(Knotts)
(2) Boston(Lowe)-149 Over TampaBay(Zambrano)
(3) Houston(Oswalt)-112 Over Florida(Beckett)
--------------------------------------------------------

Going to Parlay the following for a Half Unit:
St. Louis(Marquis)-125 Over New York Mets(Seo)
with
SanDiego(Valdez)-120 Over Pittsburgh(Vogelsong)
with
Minnesota-1.5 Over Los Angeles Lakers

-------------------------------------------------------

Will be hedging just prior the LosAngles/Minnesota game.
I'm hoping that the line continues to go up in favor of Minnesota
so there may be a chance of a middle when hedging.

Will be posting results in a little while.

thanks,

baz

<small>[ May 20, 2004, 11:57 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Today's Plays:

Oakland (Mulder)-1.5 runs {-105} Over Kansas City(Anderson)

Anderson 1-5 with 6.97 Era(50 Runs/40 Er's in 51.2 Innings) This Season.
Anderson 1-5 with 5.63 Era(30 Er's in 48.0 innings) Lifetime vs. Oakland
Anderson 0-1 (4 Er's in 6.1 innings) This Season vs. Oakland

Mulder 4-2 with 3.25 Era (22 Er's in 57.1 innings) This Season
Mulder 7-0 with 1.98 Era (13 Er's in 59.0 innings) Lifetime vs.KC
Mulder 1-0 (1 Er in 9.0 innings) This Season vs. KC

Available Bull pens:
Kansas City 3.32 Era the last 32.1 innings
Oakland 1.52 Era the last 23.2 innings

Kansas City 5-14 Away
Oakland 7-3 their last 10

------------------------------------------------------

Anaheim (Washburn) -120 Over Baltimore(DuBose)

DuBose 3-3 with a 5.20 Era(26 Er's in 45.0 innings)
DuBose 0-1 7 Er's in 3.2 innings Lifetime vs. Anaheim (that was this Season)

Washburn 7-1 with 4.68 Era (26 Er's in 50.0 innings) This Season
Washburn 4-2 with 3.77 Era (18 Er's in 43.0 innings)vs.Baltimore Lifetine
Washburn 1-0 with 2.25 Era (2 Er's in 8.0 innings) vs. Baltimore This Season

Baltimore Ranked 26th with .216 Average vs. Lefies
Baltimore 4-7 SU vs. Lefties this Season
Anaheim Ranked 8th with .279 Average vs. Lefites
Anaheim 10-4 vs. Lefties this Season


In DuBose last 12.2 innings, he's allowed 15 Er's and 31 Baserunners for a 2.45 WHIP
In Washburn last 21.1 innings, he's allowed 9 Er's and 21 Baserunners for 0.98 WHIP

WHIP= (Walks and Hits Divided by innings pitched)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Parlay for a Half Unit:

New York Yankees(Brown)-165 Over Texas (Benoit)
with
Philadelphia(Millwood)-150 Over San Diego(Eaton)

=====================================================================
=====================================================================

baz

....................................................................

<small>[ May 21, 2004, 04:02 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Adding this Parlay:

Cleveland(Sabathia)-141 Over Tampa Bay(Abbott)
with
(NBA) Indiana-241(Cashline) Over Detroit

then will hedge off with Detroit on the Cashline (currently at +215 @ Pinnacle)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From Yesterday's Action:

Note: I incorrectly listed Minnesota as the favorite at -1.5
when in fact one could not have gotten that line. The Correct line
was Minnesota @ +1.5

Going to Wager 600 on Los Angles Lakers -1.5 [-105] Available BetWWTS and WOS.

<small>[ May 22, 2004, 01:21 AM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>

Parlaying the following games individually to (NBA) LosAngeles -2 Over Minnesota
Will do a small hedge on Minnesota's cashline.

(1) Boston(Martinez)-1.5 {-125} Over Toronto(Lilly)
(2) Houston (Clemens) -185 Over Cincinnati(Harang) or any other pitcher.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I made a mistake with the math in my last post concerning the Thursday's action.
I also fail to mention to parlay all of Friday's games to Saturday's Detroit/Indiana game and then hedge.
Have to work today, but will catch up tomorrow.

best of luck today,

baz
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