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1/27 Statistical Advantages #467134 01/21/20 05:31 AM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 255,332 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 255,332 Time to play the Game	Welcome to Statistical Advantages at Freaks Forum Here are other areas of the forum to take part in. Click the link to take you there. Bet The Housefont> <--Your predictions on today’s card. The Paid Professionalsfont> <-- Selections from Paid Handicappers. Free Service Playsfont> <-- Free Selections from Various Handicappers. Selection Centralfont> <-- Your season long betting threads. Can you beat the numbers? Get off the sidelines and into the action. Become a member today Click Here FREAK A post a day and your access will stay!

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Re: 1/27 Statistical Advantages FREAK #468288 01/27/20 06:57 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 255,332 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 255,332 Time to play the Game	CLEVELAND (12 - 34) at DETROIT (17 - 30) - 1/27/2020, 7:05 PM Top Trends for this game. CLEVELAND is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 224-274 ATS (-77.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996. CLEVELAND is 58-79 ATS (-28.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season. DETROIT is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. DETROIT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. Head-to-Head Series History CLEVELAND is 7-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons DETROIT is 6-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons 8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons ORLANDO (21 - 26) at MIAMI (31 - 14) - 1/27/2020, 7:35 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. Head-to-Head Series History ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons ORLANDO is 6-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons 5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons DALLAS (28 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (28 - 19) - 1/27/2020, 8:05 PM Top Trends for this game. OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all games this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as an underdog this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in January games this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. DALLAS is 72-53 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games this season. DALLAS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 65-45 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. DALLAS is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons SACRAMENTO (16 - 29) at MINNESOTA (15 - 31) - 1/27/2020, 8:05 PM Top Trends for this game. SACRAMENTO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season. MINNESOTA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. MINNESOTA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games this season. MINNESOTA is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a division game this season. MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. MINNESOTA is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. MINNESOTA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. Head-to-Head Series History MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons SAN ANTONIO (20 - 25) at CHICAGO (18 - 30) - 1/27/2020, 8:05 PM Top Trends for this game. SAN ANTONIO is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games this season. SAN ANTONIO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite this season. SAN ANTONIO is 376-299 ATS (+47.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996. SAN ANTONIO is 373-310 ATS (+32.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996. SAN ANTONIO is 448-373 ATS (+37.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996. CHICAGO is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 140-190 ATS (-69.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996. CHICAGO is 75-109 ATS (-44.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996. CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons HOUSTON (28 - 17) at UTAH (32 - 13) - 1/27/2020, 9:05 PM Top Trends for this game. UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. UTAH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in January games this season. UTAH is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. UTAH is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. UTAH is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History HOUSTON is 11-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons HOUSTON is 14-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons 9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons A post a day and your access will stay!

Re: 1/27 Statistical Advantages FREAK #468290 01/27/20 07:01 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 255,332 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 255,332 Time to play the Game	WASHINGTON (33-11-0-5, 71 pts.) at MONTREAL (22-21-0-7, 51 pts.) - 1/27/2020, 7:08 PM Top Trends for this game. WASHINGTON is 33-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season. WASHINGTON is 39-27 ATS (+66.9 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 26-12 ATS (+38.2 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 32-15 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season. MONTREAL is 22-28 ATS (-62.4 Units) in all games this season. MONTREAL is 9-16 ATS (-9.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season. MONTREAL is 33-44 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996. MONTREAL is 7-14 ATS (-8.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season. MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season. MONTREAL is 17-31 ATS (-23.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History WASHINGTON is 4-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons 5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units) NEW JERSEY (17-24-0-7, 41 pts.) at OTTAWA (17-23-0-8, 42 pts.) - 1/27/2020, 7:38 PM Top Trends for this game. OTTAWA is 11-6 ATS (+17.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. NEW JERSEY is 115-109 ATS (+238.2 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996. NEW JERSEY is 93-78 ATS (+174.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996. OTTAWA is 126-113 ATS (-13.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996. OTTAWA is 156-137 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996. OTTAWA is 174-159 ATS (-119.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996. Head-to-Head Series History NEW JERSEY is 5-3 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons NEW JERSEY is 5-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons 6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units) TORONTO (25-17-0-7, 57 pts.) at NASHVILLE (22-18-0-7, 51 pts.) - 1/27/2020, 8:08 PM Top Trends for this game. TORONTO is 74-64 ATS (-21.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 7-11 ATS (-10.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 26-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 36-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 12-13 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NASHVILLE is 421-445 ATS (-62.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996. TORONTO is 20-9 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 18-7 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NASHVILLE is 22-25 ATS (-38.6 Units) in all games this season. NASHVILLE is 1-5 ATS (-8.4 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History TORONTO is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons NASHVILLE is 2-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units) TAMPA BAY (29-15-0-4, 62 pts.) at DALLAS (27-17-0-4, 58 pts.) - 1/27/2020, 8:08 PM Top Trends for this game. DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 265-176 ATS (+40.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996. DALLAS is 237-163 ATS (+29.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996. DALLAS is 40-33 ATS (+0.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 157-77 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 43-22 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 54-21 ATS (+18.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 254-250 ATS (+523.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996. Head-to-Head Series History TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons TAMPA BAY is 4-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units) ST LOUIS (30-11-0-8, 68 pts.) at VANCOUVER (27-18-0-4, 58 pts.) - 1/27/2020, 10:08 PM Top Trends for this game. ST LOUIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.4 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more this season. VANCOUVER is 62-69 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 91-66 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 50-29 ATS (+11.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 53-35 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 28-17 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. VANCOUVER is 256-258 ATS (-150.3 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996. Head-to-Head Series History ST LOUIS is 5-3 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons ST LOUIS is 5-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons 4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units) ANAHEIM (19-24-0-5, 43 pts.) at SAN JOSE (21-25-0-4, 46 pts.) - 1/27/2020, 10:38 PM Top Trends for this game. ANAHEIM is 576-475 ATS (+31.7 Units) second half of the season since 1996. ANAHEIM is 266-228 ATS (+26.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996. ANAHEIM is 303-237 ATS (+34.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996. SAN JOSE is 77-75 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. SAN JOSE is 196-165 ATS (-87.1 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996. SAN JOSE is 2-10 ATS (+12.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season. SAN JOSE is 238-167 ATS (-45.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996. Head-to-Head Series History SAN JOSE is 10-4 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons SAN JOSE is 10-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons 6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.3 Units) A post a day and your access will stay!

Re: 1/27 Statistical Advantages FREAK #468291 01/27/20 07:01 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 255,332 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 255,332 Time to play the Game	7 p.m. ET: Washington Capitals (33-11-5) at Montreal Canadiens (22-21-7) Unlike other sports, hockey provides a unique opportunity bet on favorites. Since 2005, favorites have won at a 58% clip, but lost -281.5 units due to laying the minus price. That doesn't sound very impressive. But in comparison, dogs have won at a 42% rate and lost -437.43 units. The key is focusing on road favorites. They've won at a 57% clip and but profited + 2.99 units. In others words, blindly betting road favorites has been profitable over the last 15+ years. The Capitals fit the bill tonight. Washington also boasts a + 33 goal differential (Montreal is -2) and the Caps are 18-6-1 on the road while the Habs are 10-12-4 at home. The Caps are -120 and the Habs are + 110. 7:30 p.m. ET: New Jersey Devils (17-24-7) at Ottawa Senators (17-23-8) This is the least appealing game on Monday's slate but it still offers excellent value to savvy bettors. Both teams are nearly dead-even in terms of won-loss records. But a closer look at the numbers tells a different story. The Devils have a goal differential (goals scored vs. goals against) of -47. The Senators are -33. New Jersey is 10-15 on the road while Ottawa is 12-8-4 at home. This line opened with Ottawa listed as a short -120 home favorite and the line has risen closer to -130 across the market. This season, when two bad teams face off (win percentage of less than 50%), the favorite has gone 82-45 (65%). 10 p.m. ET: St. Louis Blues (30-11-8) at Vancouver Canucks (27-18-4) Of all the Monday games, this Western Conference showdown has seen the biggest line movement. The Blues, who just hosted the All-Star game, are + 24 in goal differential. The Canucks are + 13. St. Louis is 21-13 as a favorite while Vancouver is 11-13 as a dog. This line opened at a pick'em and sharps have sided with the defending champs, moving the line to Blues -120, Canucks + 100. Historically, non-division road favorites are 57.2% since 2005 according to Bet Labs Sports. The Blues have also lost two in a row while the Canucks have won two in a row, creating a buy low, sell high value play on St. Louis. A post a day and your access will stay!

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