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#462247 - 12/20/19 08:40 PM Bowl Games 2019
Daddy Rabbit Offline

Registered: 06/25/15
Posts: 1245
Bear Bytes

Pac-12 problems
Over the past three years, the Pac-12 is 4-17-1 ATS in bowl games. That includes a 1-9-1 mark as a favorite. Pac-12 teams are 4-12 straight up in bowl games over the past two years.

Big SEC favorites no good?
Since the 2016 national championship game, there have been eight SEC teams favored by at least six points in a bowl game. Five of the eight lost outright, including each of the past two losers of the SEC title game: Auburn in 2017 and Georgia in 2018. Before that, 12 straight SEC favorites of at least six points won outright.
Heal(y)-ing power

Charlotte has won each of its past three games outright as an underdog.

The MAC is 2-15 SU in bowls in the past three years, and 3-8 ATS over the past two years. Dating to 2013, the past five MAC teams that were favored by at least six points went 1-4 outright, including a pair of 30-point losses. One of the four teams to lose outright was Toledo, which lost 35-32 to FIU in the 2018 Bahamas Bowl as a 7-point favorite.
Yes Kent do
Kent State has covered each of its past five games as an underdog, winning the past three outright. Dating to last year, Kent State has covered each of its past six games as an underdog vs. non-Power 5 teams.

Bowl blues for The U
Miami is 1-8 SU in its past nine bowl games. In that span, the Canes have lost four of the five bowl games in which they were favored. Miami is also 2-9 ATS in its past 11 bowl games.
No blue turf, no matter

Boise State is 7-2 ATS with five outright wins as an underdog in bowl games. That includes an outright win over Oregon in the 2017 Vegas Bowl as a 7-point 'dog. The Broncos have won five of six and 10 of their past 13 games against Pac-12 opponents.

SEC vs. Big Ten is an auto play?
Since 2015, Big Ten teams are 3-9 straight up against SEC teams in bowl games (2-10 ATS, 1-4 ATS as a favorite, 1-6 ATS as a 'dog).
X + Y = Clemson?

Since 2013, Ohio State is 5-2 in bowl games. The Buckeyes are 0-2 vs. Clemson and 5-0 against everyone else. Since 2012, Clemson is 8-2 in bowl games. The Tigers are 2-2 vs. Alabama and 6-0 against everyone else. Clemson is 9-1 ATS in those 10 games.
Don't be afraid to back Big 12 'dogs
Since 2016, there have been 17 Big 12 underdogs in bowl games. They are 10-7 ATS with eight outright wins, including winning five of the seven games outright in which they were a 'dog vs. SEC teams.

Irish a mixed bag in bowls
Notre Dame is 2-5 ATS in its past seven bowl games. The Irish are 5-4 in their past nine bowl games after losing 10 of their previous 11. Notre Dame's past 14 bowl games have either been decided by four points or fewer (three times) or by at least 13 points (11 times).
A(mes) for effort

Iowa State's two bowl games under Matt Campbell have been decided by a combined three points. Iowa State is 13-3 ATS with six outright wins in its past 16 games as an underdog. The two times this season Iowa State was an underdog each resulted in a one-point loss (vs. Iowa and at Oklahoma).

Close bowl games a staple under James Franklin
Penn State's five bowl games under Franklin have each been decided by seven points or fewer (21 combined points).

Coach O gets the money
As a head coach, Ed Orgeron is 14-2-1 ATS against top-10 teams not named Alabama. At LSU, he's 7-1-1 ATS with nine outright wins in that spot.

Leach struggles in bowls
Mike Leach is 1-8 ATS in his past nine bowl games (1-7 as a favorite). Leach's teams have lost five of the nine games outright.
Support the troops!

Since 2013, Air Force, Army and Navy are 9-2 both outright and ATS in bowl games. That includes four outright wins in five games as an underdog.

Iowa on an incredible run
Since 2015, Iowa has been favored by less than six points 13 times. The Hawkeyes have won all 13 games. Seven of those wins came when Iowa was favored by a field goal or less. Iowa is 9-4 ATS in those 13 games. Nine of the 13 wins have come away from Kinnick Stadium.
Points aplenty

Wake Forest's three bowl games under Dave Clawson have seen 71, 107 and 60 total points scored. All three games resulted in Wake Forest wins. The three bowl games in which Clawson coached Bowling Green saw 57, 49 and 85 points.

Sun Belt, fun belt
Since 2017, Sun Belt teams are 7-3 in bowl games. Two of the three losses were by Arkansas State, coming by a combined eight points.
SEC is Gundy kryptonite?

Oklahoma State is 7-2 in its past nine bowl games (6-3 ATS). Mike Gundy is 1-3 both ATS and straight up vs. SEC teams in bowl games as a 'dog. The one win came last year as a 9-point underdog vs. Missouri.

Butch owns the bowls!
Between his stints at Miami, North Carolina and FIU, Butch Davis is 8-1 ATS in bowl games. The only non-cover came in 2017 when the Golden Panthers lost 28-3 to Temple as a 7-point 'dog in a game which they lost their starting quarterback in the first quarter.
Don't be afraid to lay a big number

UCF is a 17.5-point favorite vs. Marshall. In the past 15 years, the three bowl favorites of at least 17 points all covered, winning 50-3, 58-14 and 48-20.

Rhule-ing class
In its past eight games as an underdog, Baylor is 8-0 ATS with five outright wins. In 48 games as an underdog, Matt Rhule is 34-14 ATS with 16 outright wins.

Ducks win outright -- or get blown out
In its past 17 games as an underdog, Oregon is 5-12 ATS (3-4 under Mario Cristobal). All five of the covers were also outright wins.
Power 6?

Back the Badgers in bowl?
Wisconsin has won five straight bowl games, going 4-0-1 ATS.

Lovie time?
Cal was favored only three times all season vs. FBS teams. The Bears didn't cover any of the three and lost two of them outright. Illinois was 6-1 ATS with three outright wins as an underdog this year. The three wins for Lovie Smith's team all came as 'dogs of at least 9.5 points.

Au-burning money?
Auburn has failed to cover each of its past seven bowl games in which it has been a favorite of at least six points, losing outright in both instances under Gus Malzahn, in 2014 vs. Wisconsin and 2017 vs. UCF.

Texas is back ... as an underdog
Tom Herman is 3-0 in bowl games, winning outright as an underdog in all three games.

Low Tide?
Alabama is 3-7 ATS in its past 10 bowl games, losing four times as at least a 5.5-point favorite. The Tide also lost the last non-CFP bowl they played, as a 16-point favorite vs. Oklahoma.

The factory
Eastern Michigan's two bowl games under Chris Creighton have been decided by a combined six points. The Eagles covered but lost both games.

For Boston
Eight of Boston College's past 10 bowl games have been decided by seven points or fewer.
15*T-N TRC
7* Godzilla

#462248 - 12/20/19 08:45 PM Re: Bowl Games 2019 [Re: Daddy Rabbit]
Daddy Rabbit Offline

Registered: 06/25/15
Posts: 1245
1. Underdogs in bowl games are on a 62-46-6 ATS
57% run the last 3 years.

2. Since 1980, the SEC has the best ATS mark in bowl
games at 54.7%.

3. Since 2005, the MAC is just 18-51 SU (-7.9 ppg)
and 22-43-4 ATS (-4.8 ppg, 34%).

4. The UNDER went 11-1 in San Diego St games this
season. This week’s total is 41 vs Central Michigan.

5. FIU head coach Butch Davis is 7-2 ATS in bowl
games. FIU is +2.5 vs Arkansas St.

6. Marshall head coach Doc Holliday is 6-0 SU (+13
ppg) and 6-0 ATS (+11 ppg) in bowl games. Marshall
is +17.5 vs UCF.

7. Marshall is 12-2 ATS in bowl games all-time.

8. Temple head coach Rod Carey is 0-6 SU (-25 ppg)
and 0-6 ATS (-18 ppg) in bowl games. Temple is +4.5
vs North Carolina.

9. Wake Forest is 8-1-1 ATS in bowl games since 1980.
Wake is +4.5 vs Michigan St.

10. Pac-12 teams are just 3-17-1 ATS (-7 ppg) in bowl
games the last 3 years.

15*T-N TRC
7* Godzilla

#466047 - 01/13/20 07:30 PM Re: Bowl Games 2019 [Re: Daddy Rabbit]
Daddy Rabbit Offline

Registered: 06/25/15
Posts: 1245
1/13/2020 8:00 PM College Football

284 LSU* -4 -123 Thermo-Nuclear-T-Rex-Cracken...15*
15*T-N TRC
7* Godzilla


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