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#464614 - 01/05/20 07:47 PM 1/13 Statistical Advantages
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#465848 - 01/12/20 10:07 PM Re: 1/13 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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CLEMSON (14 - 0) vs. LSU (14 - 0) - 1/13/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEMSON is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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#465917 - 01/13/20 11:31 AM Re: 1/13 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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PHILADELPHIA (25 - 15) at INDIANA (24 - 15) - 1/13/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NEW ORLEANS (14 - 26) at DETROIT (14 - 26) - 1/13/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 78-48 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
DETROIT is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
DETROIT is 232-281 ATS (-77.1 Units) after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (14 - 26) at BOSTON (26 - 11) - 1/13/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 36-51 ATS (-20.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 124-98 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 94-59 ATS (+29.1 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
BOSTON is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA CITY (22 - 17) at MINNESOTA (15 - 23) - 1/13/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHARLOTTE (15 - 27) at PORTLAND (16 - 24) - 1/13/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 195-245 ATS (-74.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
PORTLAND is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
PORTLAND is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ORLANDO (18 - 21) at SACRAMENTO (15 - 24) - 1/13/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND (12 - 27) at LA LAKERS (32 - 7) - 1/13/2020, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 95-124 ATS (-41.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 58-77 ATS (-26.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 176-220 ATS (-66.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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#465918 - 01/13/20 11:32 AM Re: 1/13 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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CAROLINA (27-16-0-2, 56 pts.) at WASHINGTON (30-11-0-5, 65 pts.) - 1/13/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 4-9 ATS (-9.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 37-63 ATS (-34.5 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.6 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 29-57 ATS (+92.6 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 147-95 ATS (+51.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-10 ATS (+14.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 76-56 ATS (+1.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 41-23 ATS (+12.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-11 ATS (-11.9 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-8 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 10-8-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

BOSTON (27-8-0-11, 65 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (23-16-0-6, 52 pts.) - 1/13/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 223-172 ATS (+49.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 22-11 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 221-247 ATS (+525.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 15-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

NY ISLANDERS (27-12-0-4, 58 pts.) at NY RANGERS (21-19-0-4, 46 pts.) - 1/13/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 8-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 27-16 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 30-19 ATS (+49.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 105-128 ATS (-41.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 252-256 ATS (-147.9 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 87-95 ATS (-51.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 45-61 ATS (-42.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 127-158 ATS (-115.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 217-255 ATS (-132.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-2 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 6-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

CALGARY (25-17-0-5, 55 pts.) at MONTREAL (19-20-0-7, 45 pts.) - 1/13/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 14-2 ATS (+11.0 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-14 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 19-27 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 7-15 ATS (-10.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
MONTREAL is 5-10 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a division game this season.
MONTREAL is 16-31 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 11-34 ATS (+53.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

ANAHEIM (17-23-0-5, 39 pts.) at ST LOUIS (29-10-0-7, 65 pts.) - 1/13/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 3-12 ATS (-9.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 90-64 ATS (+162.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 49-27 ATS (+12.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 35-20 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 14-5 ATS (+7.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
ANAHEIM is 574-474 ATS (+29.7 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 128-133 ATS (+289.7 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 280-256 ATS (+551.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-3 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-3-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)
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#465919 - 01/13/20 11:34 AM Re: 1/13 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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8 p.m. ET: LSU (14-0, ranked 1st) vs Clemson (14-0, ranked 3rd)

LSU is one of the most dominant college football teams we've seen in years. The Tigers are 14-0, including 9-3-2 ATS, and have beaten their opponents by an average score of 49-22. LSU also features the Heisman Trophy winner and likely No. 1 overall pick, Joe Burrow, and just demolished Oklahoma 63-28 in the semifinal, easily covering as 12.5-point favorites. Clemson went 11-3 ATS on the season, outscoring their opponents by an average margin of 45-12. The Tigers have won 29 consecutive games. Clemson sophomore QB Trevor Lawrence is 25-0 as a starter.

This line opened with LSU listed as a 5-point favorite (some books opened closer to -4). The public is pounding LSU to the tune of nearly three-out-of-four bets, which means this is shaping up to be one of the most lopsided title bouts in recent memory. This heavy support pushed the line up to the key number of 6. Some books even reached 6.5. That's when we saw major sharp buyback on Clemson, dropping the line down to 5.5 or even 5 where it rests now.

LSU has a "home-field" advantage as this game will be played at the Superdome, home of the Saints and also LSU's backyard. Clemson has unique value in this game, though. The Tigers are super contrarian in what will be the most heavily bet game of the season (maybe even all time). The Tigers are also the beneficiary of an inflated line. A unique buy low, sell high recency bias element exists as well, as LSU rolled over Oklahoma in the semifinal and Clemson barely edged Ohio State 29-23 as 2.5-point favorites. Clemson has an experience advantage as well, having played in three of the last four national title games and won two of them (2016 and 2019). Also, dogs are a perfect 5-0 straight up and ATS in the last five national title games.

The total opened at 69. Despite two-thirds of bets taking the over the total has fallen to 68, signaling some sharp under money. The over is 9-5 in LSU games this season but the under is 8-6 in Clemson games.
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#465936 - 01/13/20 02:05 PM Re: 1/13 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Yesterday the sharp screwed me up, lol.

Looks like from what I am reading, Sharp on Clemson and Under
I see almost all the experts on Clemson
And the public is on LSU and Over.

I can not decide, FREAK!!!
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