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#448073 - 09/09/19 10:12 PM 9/11 Statistical Advantages
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#448140 - 09/11/19 12:44 AM Re: 9/11 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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PHOENIX (15 - 19) at CHICAGO (20 - 14) - 9/11/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (18 - 16) at SEATTLE (18 - 16) - 9/11/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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#448155 - 09/11/19 10:56 AM Re: 9/11 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Registered: 12/01/00
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ATLANTA (90 - 56) at PHILADELPHIA (75 - 69) - 7:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 889-935 (+20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 465-466 (+52.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 90-56 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 14-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
ATLANTA is 43-28 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 42-23 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 69-43 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 68-45 (+15.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 74-55 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 41-26 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 22-12 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 65-74 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-39 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-7 (+0.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.7 Units)
DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
KEUCHEL is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.40 and a WHIP of 1.138.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)
ZACH EFLIN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
EFLIN is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.291.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

MILWAUKEE (76 - 68) at MIAMI (51 - 93) - 7:10 PM
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. PABLO LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 17-32 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 43-44 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-20 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 178-139 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 74-54 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 122-115 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-9 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 117-82 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 129-93 (+25.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-3 (+1.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
ZACH DAVIES vs. MIAMI since 1997
DAVIES is 3-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.67 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-0. (+5.1 units)
PABLO LOPEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ARIZONA (75 - 70) at NY METS (74 - 70) - 7:10 PM
ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 75-70 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 25-16 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 24-17 (+8.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ARIZONA is 39-37 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 51-45 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 37-32 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
RAY is 30-16 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RAY is 14-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
RAY is 10-3 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 74-70 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 114-117 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 142-152 (-54.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 21-34 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 35-47 (-16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 218-270 (-75.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
ROBBIE RAY vs. NY METS since 1997
RAY is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 0.82 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)
STEVEN MATZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MATZ is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.323.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

ST LOUIS (81 - 63) at COLORADO (61 - 84) - 8:40 PM
DAKOTA HUDSON (R) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 83-70 (+17.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 88-89 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 51-49 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-63 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 66-49 (+7.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 484-434 (+60.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 49-23 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 31-11 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
HUDSON is 20-8 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 14-1 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 61-84 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 37-60 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-1 (+2.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)
DAKOTA HUDSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
HUDSON is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SENZATELA is 1-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.583.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

PITTSBURGH (63 - 82) at SAN FRANCISCO (70 - 75) - 9:45 PM
DARIO AGRAZAL (R) vs. LOGAN WEBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 70-75 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-22 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-42 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-50 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-24 (+7.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 110-111 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 29-23 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 31-19 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)
DARIO AGRAZAL vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.
LOGAN WEBB vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHICAGO CUBS (77 - 67) at SAN DIEGO (67 - 77) - 10:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. CHRIS PADDACK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1867-1899 (-272.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 87-84 (-24.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-31 (-13.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-43 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-44 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1387-1414 (-204.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 902-823 (-154.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 67-77 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 34-39 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 27-46 (-23.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 22-30 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)
COLE HAMELS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HAMELS is 9-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.983.
His team's record is 14-4 (+8.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.3 units)
CHRIS PADDACK vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

NY YANKEES (95 - 51) at DETROIT (43 - 100) - 6:40 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SABATHIA is 8-16 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 95-51 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 27-11 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 43-99 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 19-51 (-25.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 19-49 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 7-22 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 23-59 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 4-24 (-19.3 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 57-112 (-48.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-54 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+5.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)
C.C. SABATHIA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SABATHIA is 21-15 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.310.
His team's record is 25-18 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 23-19. (+2.0 units)
MATT BOYD vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BOYD is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 2-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

BOSTON (76 - 69) at TORONTO (56 - 89) - 7:07 PM
BOBBY POYNER (L) vs. WILMER FONT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 76-69 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 32-35 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 54-44 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FONT is 6-0 (+9.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FONT is 7-1 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 75-38 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 170-190 (-56.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 7-19 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-10 (+2.3 Units) against BOSTON this season
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.5 Units)
BOBBY POYNER vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.
WILMER FONT vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

TAMPA BAY (87 - 59) at TEXAS (72 - 74) - 8:05 PM
ANDREW KITTREDGE (R) vs. ARIEL JURADO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
ANDREW KITTREDGE vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.
ARIEL JURADO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

CLEVELAND (85 - 61) at LA ANGELS (67 - 79) - 8:07 PM
ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. DILLON PETERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 176-135 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 58-52 (-27.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 106-86 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 100-113 (-38.1 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 94-80 (-30.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 99-77 (+22.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 67-79 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 77-73 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 48-57 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 32-47 (-17.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 29-48 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)
ADAM PLUTKO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PLUTKO is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 1.126.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
DILLON PETERS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

KANSAS CITY (53 - 92) at CHI WHITE SOX (64 - 79) - 8:10 PM
GLENN SPARKMAN (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 53-92 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 38-68 (-18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 64-80 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-37 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-30 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-44 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 42-35 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 9-8 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)
GLENN SPARKMAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SPARKMAN is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.080.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
LOPEZ is 4-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.492.
His team's record is 9-2 (+8.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.7 units)

OAKLAND (85 - 60) at HOUSTON (95 - 51) - 8:10 PM
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 11-6 (+2.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)
BRETT ANDERSON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.07 and a WHIP of 1.893.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.5 units)
JOSE URQUIDY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

LA DODGERS (94 - 52) at BALTIMORE (46 - 98) - 7:05 PM
ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. JOHN MEANS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 15-22 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 128-146 (-43.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 138-101 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 93-213 (-73.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 8-40 (-22.1 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +175 or more over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 22-51 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-48 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-141 (-62.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 53-144 (-64.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 64-146 (-47.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 246-411 (-126.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 45-121 (-39.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)
ROSS STRIPLING vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
JOHN MEANS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

WASHINGTON (79 - 64) at MINNESOTA (89 - 55) - 7:40 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 161-144 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 46-43 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 38-45 (-21.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 89-55 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 58-33 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 72-39 (+22.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
STRASBURG is 29-12 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
STRASBURG is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 0.955.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)
MARTIN PEREZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
PEREZ is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

CINCINNATI (67 - 78) at SEATTLE (59 - 86) - 10:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 67-78 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 27-43 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 40-50 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-26 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 54-61 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 38-40 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 63-56 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 102-99 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 33-22 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 48-40 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 13-23 (-10.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SEATTLE is 973-891 (-126.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 679-616 (-95.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SEATTLE is 481-466 (-106.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
SEATTLE is 426-380 (-70.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
SONNY GRAY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GRAY is 5-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.71 and a WHIP of 1.110.
His team's record is 6-5 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.7 units)
MARCO GONZALES vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
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#448156 - 09/11/19 10:57 AM Re: 9/11 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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7:05 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (90-56) at Philadelphia Phillies (75-69)
After dropping the first game of the series, Philadelphia bounced back with a huge 6-5 victory over Atlanta last night, cashing as a big +162 dog. The win keeps the Phillies in the hunt as they are only 2.5 games back of the Cubs for the 2nd Wild Card spot with 18-games to play. On paper, this looks like a big edge to the Braves tonight based on the pitching matchup (Dallas Keuchel 7-5, 3.47 ERA vs Zack Eflin 8-11, 4.31 ERA). The line opened with Atlanta listed a moderate -135 road favorite and Philly a +125 dog. Despite heavy early betting siding with Atlanta, the line has barely moved. This signals a sharp line freeze on the Phillies, who have great value as a contrarian divisional dog at home with a high total (10). Another reason to like the Phillies in another upset: Ted Barrett is the home plate ump. Homes teams have won at a 57% clip with +20.3 units won when Barrett calls balls and strikes since 2005 (data via Bet Labs Sports).

7:10 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks (75-70) at New York Mets (74-70)
Both of these teams are fighting for their playoff lives. Arizona is 3-games back of the 2nd Wild Card with 17-games to play. Meanwhile, the Mets are 3.5-games back with 18-games to play. New York has taken the first two games of this four-game set, cashing 3-2 last night as -124 favorites. The DBacks desperately need a win and sharps like their chances tonight. Robbie Ray (12-7, 4.03 ERA) is set to face Steven Matz (9-8, 4.00 ERA). The line opened with the Mets listed as short -118 home favorites and the Snakes a +109 dog. Wiseguys with an edge got down hard on Arizona at plus money, causing the line to fall close to a pick'em (Mets -106, DBacks -102). The total opened at 8 and we've seen the juice rise on the under (-110 to -115), indicating sharps are eying another low-scoring game at Citi Field with two lefties on the mound.

7:10 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (76-68) at Miami Marlins (51-93)
The Brewers are getting hot at the perfect time. Milwaukee has won five straight and nine of their last twelve. They sit just 1.5-games back of the Cubs for the 2nd Wild Card spot. Unfortunately for Beer Maker fans, their playoff chances took a major hit last night when star outfielder and best player Christian Yelich broke his knee cap and will miss the remainder of the season. With Zach Davies (9-7, 3.69 ERA) facing Pablo Lopez (5-8, 4.75 ERA) the Brewers opened as -160 favorites and the Marlins a +147 dog. The combination of Yelich going down and sharps smelling a buy-low upset spot has caused the line to fall to Brewers -140, Marlins +129. The under cashed last night (under 8.5, final score 4-3 Brewers) and tonight pros are going the other way. The total opened at 8.5 and smart money has pushed it up to 9.

7:40 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals (79-64) at Minnesota Twins (89-55)
Jose Berrios and the Twins blanked the Nats 5-0 last night, handing Minnesota -132 and Under 10.5 bettors a pair of sweatless wins. With Stephen Strasburg (16-6, 3.50 ERA) facing lefty Martin Perez (10-6, 4.75 ERA), Washington opened as -132 road favorites and the Minnesota a +122 dog. Pros and Joes are both backing the Nats in a bounce-back spot with their ace on the mound and we've seen the line move toward Washington -136. The really interesting bet here is the total. It opened at 10. Wind is howling in from left center at 10-13 MPH and Phil Cuzzi is behind the plate, one of the best under refs in the game (unders +34.06 units with Cuzzi calling balls and strikes since 2005).

8:40 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals (81-63) at Colorado Rockies (61-84)
The Rockies sit in last place in the NL West and have absolutely no shot at the playoffs. But last night they were happy to play spoiler, upsetting the NL Central leading Cardinals 2-1 as +150 dogs. One paper, tonight's pitching matchup is a massive edge to St. Louis as Dakota Hudson (15-6, 3.40 ERA) opposes Antonio Senzatela (8-10, 7.19 ERA). The Cardinals opened as -146 road favorites and the Rockies a +135 dog. Early action is all over St. Louis to bounce back and get back in the win column. This heavy, one-sided action moved oddsmakers to adjust the Cards up to -165. We discussed in last night's newsletter how late big moves (10 cents or more in game 145 and beyond) have been a big moneymaker historically. So far, these teams are 5-2 since Sunday. The total opened sits at a high 13.5.
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