Sports Betting

Betting Forum


Topic Options
#448072 - 09/09/19 10:12 PM 9/12 Statistical Advantages
FREAK Online   happy
Owner



Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 178952
Loc: Time to play the Game


Welcome to Statistical Advantages at Freaks Forum

Here are other areas of the forum to take part in. Click the link to take you there.

Bet The House <--Your predictions on today’s card.

The Paid Professionals <-- Selections from Paid Handicappers.

Free Service Plays <-- Free Selections from Various Handicappers.

Selection Central <-- Your season long betting threads. Can you beat the numbers?

Get off the sidelines and into the action. Become a member today Click Here

FREAK

_________________________
Not yet a member? Become one today and get in on the action!

Top
#448139 - 09/11/19 12:43 AM Re: 9/12 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   happy
Owner



Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 178952
Loc: Time to play the Game
TAMPA BAY (0 - 1) at CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 9/12/2019, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_________________________
Not yet a member? Become one today and get in on the action!

Top
#448212 - 09/11/19 09:19 PM Re: 9/12 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   happy
Owner



Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 178952
Loc: Time to play the Game
MILWAUKEE (77 - 68) at MIAMI (51 - 94) - 1:10 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. CALEB SMITH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 18-32 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 7-12 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 43-45 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-36 (+16.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-21 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 179-139 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 75-54 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 123-115 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-9 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-4 (+0.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)
GIO GONZALEZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
GONZALEZ is 10-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.42 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 12-7 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-7. (+3.4 units)
CALEB SMITH vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SMITH is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 0.909.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ARIZONA (75 - 71) at NY METS (75 - 70) - 1:10 PM
ALEX YOUNG (L) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 75-71 (+4.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 25-17 (+7.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 34-29 (+19.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 39-38 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 18-8 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 29-27 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 37-33 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 75-70 (-7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 115-117 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 143-152 (-53.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 22-34 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 36-47 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 219-270 (-74.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-2 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
ALEX YOUNG vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.
MARCUS STROMAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
STROMAN is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ST LOUIS (81 - 64) at COLORADO (62 - 84) - 3:10 PM
MILES MIKOLAS (R) vs. TIM MELVILLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 84-70 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 89-89 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 52-49 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-64 (+4.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 66-50 (+5.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 484-435 (+59.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 49-24 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 31-12 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
MIKOLAS is 39-22 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIKOLAS is 18-4 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 62-84 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+0.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
MILES MIKOLAS vs. COLORADO since 1997
MIKOLAS is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.641.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)
TIM MELVILLE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MELVILLE is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CHICAGO CUBS (77 - 68) at SAN DIEGO (68 - 77) - 3:40 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. DINELSON LAMET (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-68 (-5.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 87-85 (-26.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-44 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 946-936 (-166.3 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-33 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 17-26 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 902-824 (-155.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DARVISH is 33-38 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 4-11 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 38-35 (-22.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-11 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 68-77 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-39 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 28-46 (-22.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-33 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-3 (+1.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)
YU DARVISH vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DARVISH is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)
DINELSON LAMET vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LAMET is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

PITTSBURGH (64 - 82) at SAN FRANCISCO (70 - 76) - 3:45 PM
JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 70-76 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-22 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-51 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-36 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 111-111 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 30-23 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 32-19 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-28 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 99-136 (-42.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 19-36 (-19.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 47-66 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)
JOE MUSGROVE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MUSGROVE is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 5-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 6-9 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-9. (-5.3 units)

ATLANTA (91 - 56) at PHILADELPHIA (75 - 70) - 7:05 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-47 (+5.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 889-936 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 465-467 (+51.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 91-56 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 42-29 (+13.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-3 (+10.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
ATLANTA is 44-28 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 43-23 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 70-43 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 57-33 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 42-26 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 23-12 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TEHERAN is 37-24 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 19-9 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 17-9 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 14-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 65-75 (-24.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-7 (+0.6 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.5 Units)
JULIO TEHERAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
TEHERAN is 9-7 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.157.
His team's record is 14-9 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-10. (-0.3 units)
DREW SMYLY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

NY YANKEES (95 - 51) at DETROIT (43 - 100) - 1:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HAPP is 14-24 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 95-51 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 27-11 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HAPP is 19-6 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 43-99 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 19-49 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 4-24 (-19.3 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 57-112 (-48.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-54 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+5.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)
J.A. HAPP vs. DETROIT since 1997
HAPP is 3-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.43 and a WHIP of 1.456.
His team's record is 3-7 (-7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.6 units)
MATT BOYD vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BOYD is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 2-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

KANSAS CITY (54 - 92) at CHI WHITE SOX (64 - 80) - 2:10 PM
JORGE LOPEZ (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 54-92 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 39-68 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 17-35 (-16.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 64-81 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 23-15 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-31 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-43 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
GIOLITO is 12-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 43-35 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 22-43 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 9-9 (+0.1 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)
JORGE LOPEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
LUCAS GIOLITO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GIOLITO is 6-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 0.894.
His team's record is 8-3 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-8. (-7.0 units)

BOSTON (76 - 70) at TORONTO (57 - 89) - 7:07 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 76-70 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 32-36 (-19.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 54-45 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 56-43 (-8.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 35-34 (-7.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHACIN is 1-9 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 50-40 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 28-17 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 171-190 (-54.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 36-61 (-20.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 50-79 (-26.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 16-29 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-10 (+3.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.3 Units)
JHOULYS CHACIN vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.
CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

TAMPA BAY (87 - 60) at TEXAS (73 - 74) - 8:05 PM
BRENDAN MCKAY (L) vs. KOLBY ALLARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 73-74 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 41-30 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 51-50 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 39-34 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 177-132 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 83-70 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 29-18 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
BRENDAN MCKAY vs. TEXAS since 1997
MCKAY is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
KOLBY ALLARD vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

OAKLAND (86 - 60) at HOUSTON (95 - 52) - 8:10 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BAILEY is 15-33 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 6-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 47-17 (+19.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 85-59 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 78-50 (+22.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 84-67 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 53-37 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 123-89 (+31.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 50-35 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 40-24 (+21.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 23-14 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 5-9 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 64-42 (-7.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 64-50 (-19.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 37-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-19 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 19-16 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 13-14 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 11-7 (+1.2 Units) against OAKLAND this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)
HOMER BAILEY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
BAILEY is 4-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.081.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)
JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 18-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 0.995.
His team's record is 19-9 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-16. (-5.1 units)

LA DODGERS (94 - 53) at BALTIMORE (47 - 98) - 7:05 PM
RICH HILL (L) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 194-132 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 128-147 (-45.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 138-102 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 94-213 (-71.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-104 (-38.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 16-48 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 57-141 (-60.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 46-121 (-37.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BUNDY is 9-27 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)
RICH HILL vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HILL is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 0.61 and a WHIP of 0.545.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
DYLAN BUNDY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

WASHINGTON (80 - 64) at MINNESOTA (89 - 56) - 7:40 PM
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 162-144 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-43 (-6.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 83-79 (-28.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 89-56 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 58-34 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 39-17 (+17.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 108-130 (-41.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
PAT CORBIN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.
KYLE GIBSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 21.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

CINCINNATI (67 - 79) at SEATTLE (60 - 86) - 10:10 PM
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. JUSTIN DUNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 67-79 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 10-27 (-16.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
CINCINNATI is 27-44 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 156-218 (-56.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 96-127 (-22.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-14 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 19-27 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MAHLE is 4-17 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MAHLE is 0-12 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 103-99 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 102-103 (+2.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-22 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 13-23 (-10.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SEATTLE is 974-891 (-124.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 482-466 (-105.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 (+2.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
TYLER MAHLE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.
JUSTIN DUNN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

NY YANKEES (95 - 51) at DETROIT (43 - 100) - 4:40 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. SPENCER TURNBULL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SABATHIA is 8-16 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 5-11 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 95-51 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 43-99 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 19-49 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 17-54 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TURNBULL is 2-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+5.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)
C.C. SABATHIA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SABATHIA is 21-15 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.310.
His team's record is 25-18 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 23-19. (+2.0 units)
SPENCER TURNBULL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.
_________________________
Not yet a member? Become one today and get in on the action!

Top
#448229 - 09/12/19 11:19 AM Re: 9/12 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   happy
Owner



Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 178952
Loc: Time to play the Game
NFL
8:20 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-1)
Both teams are coming off Week 1 losses at home. But not all losses are created equal. The Panthers hung tough with the mighty Rams, barely losing 30-27. Meanwhile, the Bucs were thoroughly outplayed by the 49ers in a 31-17 drubbing. This NFC South showdown opened with Cam Newton and the Panthers listed as 6.5-point home favorites. The public is absolutely pounding Carolina, with roughly eight out of 10 wagers laying the points.

However, despite this heavily lopsided betting, the line hasn't budged very much. Some books remain at -6.5. Others have moved to -7 but are hanging heavy juice on the Bucs' side (+7 at -120 or -125), indicating liability on the road dog and a likely fall back down to 6.5. The fact that this line hasn't moved to -7.5 or -8 with such heavy betting signals somewhat of a sharp line freeze, with books still worried about Tampa wiseguy action. For pros backing the Bucs in a big contrarian spot, getting the key number of +7 is crucial.

There are reasons to buy low on Tampa. Road divisional dogs have gone 53% ATS since 2003 according to Bet Labs Sports. In September, they improve to 56.4% ATS with a 9.9% ROI. We've also seen some smart money hit the Under. The total opened at 50.5 and has fallen to 49. The Over/Under tickets are relatively split, so this 1.5-point drop could only be caused by sharps with an edge.

Subscribers only: Check out simulated score, advanced stats and trends for this game.

MLB
1:10 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (77-68) at Miami Marlins (51-94)
Despite losing star outfielder Christian Yelich to a broken kneecap, the Brewers continue to roll. Milwaukee has won six straight and goes for the four-game sweep of Miami in this early afternoon matinee. The Brewers are now with the Cubs for the 2nd Wild Card spot. In a battle of lefties, veteran Gio Gonzalez (2-2, 3.98 ERA) opposes Caleb Smith (8-9, 4.11 ERA). The Brew Crew opened as -130 favorites and the Marlins a +120 dog. We haven't seen any movement on the moneyline, but we the total has taken in heavy smart money. It opened at 8.5 and wiseguys quickly jumped on the Under with the hook, forcing bookmakers to either juice up the Under 8.5 to -120 or drop the total down to 8. As of now the roof is open at Marlins Park and the wind is expected to be howling in at 16-20 MPH. Even if the roof ends up being closed, that's still an edge to the Under as the ball doesn't travel well in closed roof or dome stadiums and it's perfect conditions for pitchers.

1:10 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks (75-71) at New York Mets (75-70)
Break up the Mets! New York crushed the DBacks 9-0 last night, cashing as short -115 home favorites. The Mets (now only 2.5 games out in the Wild Card) have taken the first three games of the series and go for the clean sweep tonight. Bookmakers like their chances. With Marcus Stroman (7-13, 3.42 ERA) facing lefty Alex Young (7-3, 3.38 ERA), New York opened as -126 home favorites and the Snakes a +116 dog. The line has quickly moved to Mets -137, signaling early smart money in their favor. We've also seen pros hit the under. It opened at 8.5 and has been bet down to 8.

7:15 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (91-56) at Philadelphia Phillies (75-70)
The Braves beat the Phillies 3-1 last night, cashing as -143 road favorites. Atlanta has now taken two-of-three so far this series. The Braves have a massive pitching advantage in the series finale tonight as Julio Teheran (10-8, 3.31 ERA) takes on Drew Smyly (4-6, 6.20 ERA). However, this line opened with Atlanta listed as a relatively short -127 road favorite and the Phillies a +116 dog, signaling an expected close game. Pros haven't taken a side as the line remains stagnant. But the Under is being pummeled by wiseguy money. It opened at 10 and has already fallen to 9.5. The wind is howling in at Citizen Bank Park, starting at 8 MPH and rising to 12 MPH throughout the night. Sharps are hoping this turns a few first-row homers into warning track fly ball outs.
_________________________
Not yet a member? Become one today and get in on the action!

Top



Activities offered by links to other sites may be deemed an illegal activity in certain jurisdictions. Viewers are specifically warned that they should inquire into the legality of participating in any games and/or activities offered by such other sites. The owner of this website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no representation or endorsement of any of these games and/or activities offered by the third party site. As a condition of viewing this website viewers agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from the viewers participation in any of the games and/or activities offered by the third party site.

2000-2019 FREAKS Sports and Information Forum. All Rights Reserved.