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#448068 - 09/09/19 10:11 PM 9/16 Statistical Advantages
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#448135 - 09/11/19 12:40 AM Re: 9/16 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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CLEVELAND (0 - 1) at NY JETS (0 - 1) - 9/16/2019, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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#448762 - 09/16/19 11:13 AM Re: 9/16 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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SAN DIEGO (68 - 81) at MILWAUKEE (80 - 69) - 7:40 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. ZACH DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 68-81 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 44-53 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-45 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 182-140 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 76-51 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 98-63 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 119-83 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 132-94 (+28.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 57-55 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-0 (+3.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)
GARRETT RICHARDS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.
ZACH DAVIES vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DAVIES is 3-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

WASHINGTON (82 - 66) at ST LOUIS (83 - 66) - 7:45 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. DAKOTA HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 164-146 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-47 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-44 (-7.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 84-80 (-28.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 83-66 (+2.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-9 (+11.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-21 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 277-183 (+65.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
HUDSON is 20-9 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 12-3 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 93-82 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
STRASBURG is 30-12 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 35-18 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 30-37 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.6 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
STRASBURG is 3-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)
DAKOTA HUDSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HUDSON is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CINCINNATI (70 - 80) at CHICAGO CUBS (81 - 68) - 8:05 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 70-80 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 12-28 (-15.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
CINCINNATI is 55-88 (-28.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 29-40 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GAUSMAN is 15-35 (-21.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 26-51 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 16-35 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-24 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-7 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-17 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 50-42 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1871-1900 (-269.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 412-335 (-80.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-45 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 148-125 (-25.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 236-228 (-54.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 906-824 (-151.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
HAMELS is 1-7 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 9-7 (+3.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)
KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 12.38 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
COLE HAMELS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HAMELS is 12-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.06 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 18-2 (+15.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.6 units)

NY METS (77 - 72) at COLORADO (65 - 85) - 8:40 PM
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 77-72 (-7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 157-160 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 25-16 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 86-71 (+20.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 89-90 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 52-50 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SENZATELA is 20-12 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 472-494 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
COLORADO is 40-60 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+0.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
STEVEN MATZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
MATZ is 1-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.07 and a WHIP of 1.719.
His team's record is 1-5 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)
ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. NY METS since 1997
SENZATELA is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

MIAMI (52 - 97) at ARIZONA (76 - 74) - 9:40 PM
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 1-18 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ARIZONA is 76-74 (+2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 52-47 (+4.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
RAY is 14-6 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 77-76 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-27 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 24-28 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
RAY is 29-37 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 (+3.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
PABLO LOPEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.
ROBBIE RAY vs. MIAMI since 1997
RAY is 2-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.011.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.7 units)

BALTIMORE (49 - 100) at DETROIT (44 - 104) - 4:10 PM
JOHN MEANS (L) vs. TYLER ALEXANDER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 96-215 (-71.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 45-110 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-50 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-68 (-28.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 46-80 (-27.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 14-35 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 44-103 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 20-52 (-25.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 4-19 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
DETROIT is 20-53 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 8-23 (-15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 9-30 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-69 (-19.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 25-42 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 40-70 (-27.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-3 (-0.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)
JOHN MEANS vs. DETROIT since 1997
MEANS is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
TYLER ALEXANDER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHI WHITE SOX (65 - 83) at MINNESOTA (91 - 58) - 7:40 PM
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 91-58 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 59-35 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 74-41 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 41-18 (+19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-23 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 65-84 (+3.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 41-46 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-45 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 11-5 (+2.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)
REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.234.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)
JOSE BERRIOS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BERRIOS is 10-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.019.
His team's record is 11-2 (+8.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.4 units)

KANSAS CITY (55 - 95) at OAKLAND (90 - 60) - 10:07 PM
GLENN SPARKMAN (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 55-95 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 79-144 (-37.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-58 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 89-59 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 79-50 (+25.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 48-25 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 43-25 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 18-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-37 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 125-89 (+34.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-35 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 93-48 (+30.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 47-14 (+25.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)
GLENN SPARKMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SPARKMAN is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 14.55 and a WHIP of 2.309.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
TANNER ROARK vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ROARK is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.050.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
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#448764 - 09/16/19 11:47 AM Re: 9/16 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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NFL
8:15 p.m. ET: Cleveland Browns (0-1) at New York Jets (0-1)
Both of these teams are coming off embarrassing Week 1 losses. The Browns were completely obliterated by the Titans at home, losing 43-13. The Jets played well through three quarters against the Bills but then completely collapsed, blowing a 16-0 lead in an agonizing 17-16 loss. This game has been an absolute rollercoaster and very difficult to handicap. The Browns initially opened as 2.5-point road favorites. Early betting pushed Cleveland to -3. Then on Thursday morning Jets starting QB Sam Darnold was ruled out with mononucleosis, which took the game off the board. With journeyman Trevor Siemian starting in Darnold's place, the line re-opened at Browns -6.5. Defenders C.J. Mosley and top-pick Quinnen Williams are also out for New York. Le'Veon Bell was questionable with a shoulder injury but he is expected to play.

The public sees a guaranteed lock with Cleveland and is rushing to lay the points. However, despite roughly eight-out-of-ten wagers backing the Browns, we've seen this line remain frozen at 6.5. In the brief instances that it's touched they key number of 7, sharps have quickly gotten down on New York +7, causing it to fall back down to 6.5. New York looks terrible on paper due their multiple key injuries, but still has great value as a super contrarian home dog in what will be an extremely lopsided and heavily bet game. However, the Browns have a historical edge in their favor as teams coming off a 30-point blowout or more have covered 56% of the time in the following game (according to Bet Labs Sports). With the quarterback change, crazy line movement and no clear edge either way, it might be a lay off situation. The total opened at 46 and has fallen slightly to 45.

MLB
7:40 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox (65-84) at Minnesota Twins (91-58)
Talk about two teams headed in different directions. The White Sox packed their bags for the offseason a long time ago, while the Twins have the 3rd-best record in the AL, a 4.5-game lead over the Indians for 1st place in the AL Central and are +725 to win the pennant and +1700 to win the World Series. With Jose Berrios (12-8, 3.63 ERA) facing Reynaldo Lopez (9-13, 5.35 ERA), the Twins opened as massive -245 home favorites and have already moved up to -255 (White Sox +203 to +226). The interesting play here is the total. It opened at 10 and quickly fell to 9.5. Only sharps are betting these games early the night before as soon as they get posted, so we know smart money likes the Under. The wind is expected to be blowing in from right center 10-12 MPH at Target Field.

7:45 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals (82-66) at St. Louis Cardinals (83-66)
If the season ended today, both of these clubs would be in the playoffs. The Nats have no shot at catching the Braves in the NL East (9.5 games back), but are up 1.5 games for the top Wild Card spot. Meanwhile, the Cardinals lead the NL Central by 2-games over the Cubs. Still, both teams must continue to win as the Cubs and Brewers are nipping at their respective heels. We're in for a fine pitching matchup tonight as Stephen Strasburg (17-6, 3.49 ERA) faces Dakota Hudson (15-7, 3.38 ERA). The Nats opened as -123 road favorites and early betting has come down on Washington, pushing them to -136. The Cardinals have moved from +114 to +126. Sharps have also taken a side on the total. It opened at 8.5 and pros quickly grabbed the under with the hook, causing it to fall down to 8.

8:05 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (70-80) at Chicago Cubs (81-68)
The Reds have played well against the division rival Cubs this season, going 3-3 at Wrigley and 9-7 overall against Chicago. Cincinnati is out of the playoff picture, but would love nothing more than to play spoiler. This Wrigley night game features Cole Hamels (7-7, 3.89 ERA) against Kevin Gausman (3-8, 5.83 ERA), who is making his 1st start with the Red Legs. The Cubs opened as -140 home favorites and the Reds a +129 dog. Early sharp money has gotten down on Cincinnati (who just took two-of-three from Arizona) dropping them to +123. The oddsmakers have yet to release a total on this game, likely due to the wind. It's expected to be howling in from center at nearly 10 MPH. The public will likely be on the over, as Chicago is coming off a 3-game sweep of Pittsburgh in which their red-hot bats scored 47 total runs. But the Cubs, who already lost Javier Baez to a broken thumb, saw Anthony Rizzo leave yesterday's game with a sprained ankle. The Reds are one of the best Under teams this season (86 Unders, 57 Overs, 7 pushes).
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