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9/8 Statistical Advantages
#446987 09/02/19 12:50 AM
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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #447076 09/03/19 02:34 AM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 254,849
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ATLANTA (7 - 9) at MINNESOTA (8 - 7 - 1) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WASHINGTON (7 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 8) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BUFFALO (6 - 10) at NY JETS (4 - 12) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE (10 - 7) at MIAMI (7 - 9) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 12) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 11) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY (13 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 11) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TENNESSEE (9 - 7) at CLEVELAND (7 - 8 - 1) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LA RAMS (15 - 4) at CAROLINA (7 - 9) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 68-103 ATS (-45.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DETROIT (6 - 10) at ARIZONA (3 - 13) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI (6 - 10) at SEATTLE (10 - 7) - 9/8/2019, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 7) at LA CHARGERS (13 - 5) - 9/8/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 29-5 ATS (+23.5 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NY GIANTS (5 - 11) at DALLAS (11 - 7) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PITTSBURGH (9 - 6 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (14 - 5) - 9/8/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 262-200 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 262-200 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 202-146 ATS (+41.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-84 ATS (+32.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #447826 09/08/19 04:14 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
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CONNECTICUT (23 - 10) at INDIANA (12 - 21) - 9/8/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (17 - 16) at DALLAS (10 - 23) - 9/8/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NEW YORK (9 - 24) at ATLANTA (8 - 25) - 9/8/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LAS VEGAS (20 - 12) at PHOENIX (15 - 18) - 9/8/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-2 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (20 - 13) at WASHINGTON (24 - 8) - 9/8/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (18 - 15) at LOS ANGELES (21 - 12) - 9/8/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 11-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 10-5 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #447827 09/08/19 04:16 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
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ARIZONA (75 - 67) at CINCINNATI (66 - 77) - 1:10 PM
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs.na (73 - 68) - 2:10 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs.na is 175-139 (+21.na is 72-54 (+14.na is 22-12 (+9.na is 23-9 (+13.na is 85-72 (+17.na is 47-36 (+15.na is 9-9 (+0.na since 1997
LESTER is 5-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 1.181.
His team's record is 6-4 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+6.0 units)
ADRIAN HOUSER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HOUSER is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

SAN FRANCISCO (69 - 73) at LA DODGERS (92 - 52) - 4:10 PM
DERECK RODRIGUEZ (R) vs. JULIO URIAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 55-20 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 41-11 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 69-73 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-35 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 233-218 (+34.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-33 (+14.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-16 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LA DODGERS are 192-131 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-8 (+5.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)
DERECK RODRIGUEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
JULIO URIAS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
URIAS is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 1.042.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

COLORADO (60 - 83) at SAN DIEGO (65 - 76) - 4:10 PM
PETER LAMBERT (R) vs. ERIC LAUER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 60-83 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 9-25 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 270-478 (-86.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
COLORADO is 13-34 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 21-31 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLORADO is 8-18 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN DIEGO is 65-76 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 32-38 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 24-32 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 31-41 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 8-14 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 8-7 (+1.4 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.7 Units)
PETER LAMBERT vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LAMBERT is 0-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 24.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
ERIC LAUER vs. COLORADO since 1997
LAUER is 0-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 11.21 and a WHIP of 2.490.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

TEXAS (71 - 73) at BALTIMORE (46 - 96) - 1:05 PM
MIKE MINOR (L) vs. ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 71-73 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 24-20 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 46-46 (+7.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 38-33 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 42-31 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BALTIMORE is 93-211 (-71.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 50-102 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-46 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 64-144 (-45.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 246-409 (-124.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 44-78 (-27.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
MIKE MINOR vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MINOR is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.239.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

TORONTO (55 - 88) at TAMPA BAY (85 - 59) - 1:10 PM
JACOB WAGUESPACK (R) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 55-88 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 35-60 (-21.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 175-131 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 71-50 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 108-65 (+28.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 11-4 (+2.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)
JACOB WAGUESPACK vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
WAGUESPACK is 1-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 1-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
TYLER GLASNOW vs. TORONTO since 1997
GLASNOW is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 7.41 and a WHIP of 1.706.
His team's record is 0-4 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

LA ANGELS (67 - 76) at CHI WHITE SOX (62 - 79) - 2:10 PM
JAIME BARRIA (R) vs. DYLAN CEASE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 67-76 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 62-80 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-43 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 99-75 (+24.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 33-26 (+11.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 211-187 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-43 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-1 (+4.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)
JAIME BARRIA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BARRIA is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
DYLAN CEASE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CEASE is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CLEVELAND (82 - 61) at MINNESOTA (88 - 54) - 2:10 PM
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. RANDY DOBNAK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 173-135 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 57-52 (-28.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 80-72 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 17-18 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 123-96 (-22.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 56-66 (-24.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-33 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVINGER is 10-13 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 88-54 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 71-38 (+22.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 8-7 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)
MIKE CLEVINGER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CLEVINGER is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.6 units)
RANDY DOBNAK vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

SEATTLE (58 - 85) at HOUSTON (93 - 50) - 2:10 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 102-180 (-57.8 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
SEATTLE is 16-53 (-30.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HERNANDEZ is 1-15 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 54-17 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 45-15 (+20.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 71-82 (+2.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 28-25 (+7.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 53-54 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 62-41 (-8.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 15-1 (+13.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)
FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 4-7 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.461.
His team's record is 6-8 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-3.8 units)
GERRIT COLE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
COLE is 4-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.875.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.9 units)

DETROIT (42 - 99) at OAKLAND (83 - 59) - 4:07 PM
DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 42-98 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 19-50 (-24.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 11-47 (-24.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-23 (-18.3 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-67 (-20.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 16-53 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 82-58 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 77-49 (+22.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 47-25 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 68-44 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 48-34 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 90-48 (+27.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 44-14 (+22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MANAEA is 14-6 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MANAEA is 17-6 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 23-19 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 18-13 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-1 (+1.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
DANIEL NORRIS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
NORRIS is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)
SEAN MANAEA vs. DETROIT since 1997
MANAEA is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

NY YANKEES (93 - 50) at BOSTON (76 - 66) - 8:05 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 93-50 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 49-17 (+24.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY YANKEES are 43-25 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 76-66 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 4-12 (-8.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
BOSTON is 36-35 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 9-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 11 to 11.5 this season.
BOSTON is 162-147 (-51.6 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 32-32 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 27-23 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 25-37 (-20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 10-18 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 12-5 (+7.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.3 Units)
MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. BOSTON since 1997
TANAKA is 9-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.48 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 11-10 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-7. (+5.4 units)
RICK PORCELLO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PORCELLO is 12-10 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 14-13 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-15. (-7.8 units)

KANSAS CITY (53 - 90) at MIAMI (50 - 91) - 1:10 PM
MIKE MONTGOMERY (L) vs. SANDY ALCANTARA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 53-90 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 77-140 (-36.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 17-34 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MIAMI is 42-43 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 20-14 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 11-8 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 42-33 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
MIKE MONTGOMERY vs. MIAMI since 1997
MONTGOMERY is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
SANDY ALCANTARA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.


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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #447828 09/08/19 04:18 PM
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1 p.m. ET: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
The Bills went 6-10 last year and the Jets finished 4-12. But public perception says the Jets are on the rise with new head coach Adam Gase, Sam Darnold entering year two and the free-agent additions of Le'Veon Bell and C.J. Mosley. However, these AFC East rivals aren't far off. New York is +10000 to win the Super Bowl and Buffalo is +12000. The Jets' win total is 7.5 (over -130), Bills 7 (over -140). This game opened with the Jets listed as 3.5-point home favorites. Despite roughly 60% of bets backing New York, we've seen this line tumble down to either -3 or -2.5 depending on the sportsbook. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the Bills, with pro bettors hammering Buffalo with the hook (+3.5) and on the key number of +3. The Bills are a Week 1 divisional dog (60.8% ATS since 2003). Sharp money has also come in on the over, pushing the total up from 38.5 to 41.

1 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers
Casual bettors tend to bet based on bias and gut instinct, not data and analytics. Give them a team like the up-and-coming Rams who reached the Super Bowl last season against a team who missed the playoffs entirely and that's all they need to know. Rams all day. But sharps know there's much more that goes into betting. It's all about having an edge and locating value. Los Angeles opened as a short 3-point road favorite. Despite nearly 75% of bets rushing to the window to lay the points with Jared Goff (+3500 to win MVP) and company, we've seen this line plummet to -1.5. Why would the bookmakers drop the spread to make it easier for public Rams bettors to cash? No, they're not stupid. They took in a massive wave of smart money on the Panthers plus the points. This influx of respected action from wiseguys created big liability for the house, forcing them to adjust the line toward Carolina in order to entice buyback on the other side and limit their liability. In Week 1, teams who missed the playoffs the previous year have covered 58.2% of the time against teams who made the playoffs the previous year, which speaks to recency bias and buying low/selling high on public perception. This total has ticked down from 50.5 to 49.5, signaling pro money on the under.

1 p.m. ET: Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars are in the same sharp spot as the Panthers: a non-playoff, super-contrarian home dog with reverse line movement against a popular playoff team. Patrick Mahomes (+600 to win MVP) and the Chiefs opened as 5-point road favorites. Right off the bet, this line seems way too low. You only need the Chiefs to win by 6-points against the lowly Jags (5-11 last year)? Something smells fishy. As you'd expect, the public is all over Kansas City (nearly 80% of bets). However, wiseguys know if it looks too good to be true, it almost always is. Despite this heavily lopsided KC betting, the line has tumbled to Chiefs -3.5 or even -3 at some books. This is a clear indication that pros like Jacksonville to keep it close. Both casual and professional bettors are hammering the under. It has dropped from 52.5 to 50.5 since opening.

4:25 p.m. ET: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Sharps and squares will be sweating opposite sides of this late afternoon NFC East showdown. The Giants went 4-0 this preseason but finished 5-11 last year while Dallas went 10-6 and made the playoffs. The Cowboys opened as 7.5-point favorites. With Dallas at home and Ezekiel Elliott set to play after ending his holdout, the public says lay the chalk with the Boys for an easy cover. Not pros. They got down hard on the Giants with the hook (+7.5) and have caused the odds to be adjusted down to 7. In Week 1, dogs of +6.5 or more have gone 63.6% ATS since 2003.

8:20 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots
This Sunday Night Football matchup will end up being the most heavily bet game of the day. It's also offering some sneaky sharp action on both the spread and the total. The defending champion Patriots opened as 6-point home favorites. New England will be unveiling their latest championship banner and, as always, the betting public will be rooting for them (at least to cover their bets). Roughly 60% of tickets are laying the points with the Pats and who can blame them? Under Belichick and Brady, the Pats have covered the spread an absurd 61.6% of the time (+49.22 units) since 2003, by far the best of any team during that time span. However, even though the Pats are receiving a majority of tickets, we've seen the line dip to -5.5. This was caused by pro bettors taking the Steelers at the key number of +6. A small edge to the Steelers: Clete Blakeman is the lead referee. Home teams have only covered at a 46.7% clip (-11.32 units) with Blakeman as the head ref. Smart money has also targeted the under as it's dropped from 52 to 49.5.


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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #447829 09/08/19 04:21 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 254,849
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Top 5 Westgate Picks

BAL 1080
IND 1052
HOU 904
TB 862
DEN 856


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