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#446990 - 09/01/19 05:50 PM 9/5 Statistical Advantages
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#447079 - 09/02/19 07:38 PM Re: 9/5 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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GREEN BAY (6 - 9 - 1) at CHICAGO (12 - 5) - 9/5/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 192-139 ATS (+39.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CHICAGO is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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#447323 - 09/05/19 09:24 AM Re: 9/5 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Registered: 12/01/00
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PHILADELPHIA (72 - 66) at CINCINNATI (65 - 75) - 12:35 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-85 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 9-0 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 13-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 65-75 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 17-37 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CINCINNATI is 27-37 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GRAY is 33-38 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)
JASON VARGAS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
VARGAS is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.651.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.4 units)
SONNY GRAY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GRAY is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

SAN FRANCISCO (67 - 72) at ST LOUIS (78 - 61) - 1:15 PM
LOGAN WEBB (R) vs. DAKOTA HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-24 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 78-61 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 45-26 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 64-47 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 46-21 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 28-9 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
HUDSON is 19-8 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 13-1 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-72 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-19 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-34 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 (+15.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 50-48 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
LOGAN WEBB vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.
DAKOTA HUDSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HUDSON is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MIAMI (49 - 89) at PITTSBURGH (61 - 78) - 7:05 PM
ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DARIO AGRAZAL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-36 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-74 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 109-107 (+10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-21 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-17 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+0.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)
ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.
DARIO AGRAZAL vs. MIAMI since 1997
AGRAZAL is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CHICAGO CUBS (75 - 63) at MILWAUKEE (71 - 67) - 7:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. CHASE ANDERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1865-1895 (-269.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-28 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-39 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-21 (-12.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 214-236 (-55.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-19 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-41 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1385-1411 (-202.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 144-123 (-27.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-11 (+8.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 113-81 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 83-71 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-35 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-17 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 71-67 (-6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 86-107 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 8-7 (+0.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.8 Units)
JOSE QUINTANA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
QUINTANA is 8-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 0.996.
His team's record is 11-5 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-11. (-8.2 units)
CHASE ANDERSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ANDERSON is 4-5 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 6-7 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.8 units)

WASHINGTON (78 - 60) at ATLANTA (86 - 54) - 7:20 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. MAX FRIED (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 160-140 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 97-88 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-43 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 86-54 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 38-21 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 65-42 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 65-44 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 54-31 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 37-24 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FRIED is 20-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 16-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 16-4 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 12-1 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 90-78 (+26.3 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
STRASBURG is 29-11 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 41-15 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 34-17 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-6 (+0.8 Units) against ATLANTA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ATLANTA since 1997
STRASBURG is 14-11 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 17-16 (-8.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-16. (-2.3 units)
MAX FRIED vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
FRIED is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.825.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (61 - 78) at CLEVELAND (81 - 59) - 1:10 PM
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. ZACH PLESAC (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-80 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-78 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 29-30 (+7.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-42 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 172-133 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 57-50 (-25.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-27 (-22.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 122-94 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 92-78 (-29.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 8-7 (+6.6 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)
REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.537.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)
ZACH PLESAC vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PLESAC is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DETROIT (40 - 97) at KANSAS CITY (51 - 89) - 1:15 PM
MATT BOYD (L) vs. GLENN SPARKMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 40-97 (-37.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 17-49 (-26.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 11-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-43 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 29-78 (-33.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 29-67 (-21.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 23-40 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 25-43 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-4 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-32 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-32 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 51-89 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 323-451 (-112.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 16-33 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-9 (+0.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)
MATT BOYD vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BOYD is 4-9 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.62 and a WHIP of 1.576.
His team's record is 8-10 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-11. (-6.2 units)
GLENN SPARKMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

LA ANGELS (65 - 75) at OAKLAND (80 - 58) - 3:37 PM
JOSE SUAREZ (L) vs. CHRIS BASSITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 65-75 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 27-39 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-44 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-97 (-34.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-57 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 45-24 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-8 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-44 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 47-33 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 88-47 (+28.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 42-13 (+23.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 211-186 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 11-5 (+6.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)
JOSE SUAREZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.
CHRIS BASSITT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BASSITT is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.690.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

TEXAS (68 - 73) at BALTIMORE (46 - 93) - 7:05 PM
KOLBY ALLARD (L) vs. JOHN MEANS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)
KOLBY ALLARD vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
JOHN MEANS vs. TEXAS since 1997
MEANS is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

TORONTO (55 - 85) at TAMPA BAY (82 - 59) - 7:10 PM
TRENT THORNTON (R) vs. AUSTIN PRUITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 35-58 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 172-131 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 106-65 (+26.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 128-120 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 39-32 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-18 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-4 (-0.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)
TRENT THORNTON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
THORNTON is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 11.11 and a WHIP of 2.557.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
AUSTIN PRUITT vs. TORONTO since 1997
PRUITT is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 12.26 and a WHIP of 1.907.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MINNESOTA (86 - 53) at BOSTON (75 - 64) - 7:10 PM
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 86-53 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 47-24 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-32 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 69-37 (+22.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-17 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 75-64 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 35-33 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 161-145 (-50.3 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 20-24 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 41-33 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 24-35 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 9-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)
MARTIN PEREZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEREZ is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.816.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-4.1 units)
NATHAN EOVALDI vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
EOVALDI is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

SEATTLE (58 - 82) at HOUSTON (90 - 50) - 8:10 PM
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-50 (-27.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 42-15 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILEY is 34-14 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 17-4 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 28-9 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 71-79 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 28-24 (+8.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 101-96 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-9 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 41-35 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 63-49 (-19.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 12-1 (+10.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)
MARCO GONZALES vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GONZALES is 0-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.65 and a WHIP of 1.826.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)
WADE MILEY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MILEY is 3-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)
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#447324 - 09/05/19 09:27 AM Re: 9/5 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   happy
Owner



Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 178952
Loc: Time to play the Game
NFL
8:20 p.m. ET: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
The Packers missed the playoffs last season, finishing with a disappointing 6-9-1 record. They still have Aaron Rodgers (+850 to win MVP, 2nd best odds behind Mahomes +600), but must break in new first-year head coach Matt LaFluer. Meanwhile, the up-and-coming Bears finished an impressive 12-4 in 2018 and are on the rise behind 3rd-year quarterback Mitchell Trubisky (+4000 to win MVP). Chicago is +1500 to win the Super Bowl, +725 to win the NFC and their win total is 9 (over -130, under +110). The Packers are +2100 to win the Super Bowl, +975 to win the NFC and their win total is also 9 (over -115, under -105).

This line opened with Chicago listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. The public is relatively split on whether to lay or take the points. But sharps have taken a clear position. As soon as the line was posted, wiseguys got down hard on Green Bay getting the hook (+3.5). This overload of smart money forced bookmakers to drop the line down to the key number of 3. The total opened at 46 and his ticked up slightly to 46.5. Two benefits to the Under: The wind is blowing at 7 mph at Soldier Field and Tony Corrente is the lead official. Since 2005, the under have won 57.3% of the time (+18.6 units) with Corrente as the lead ref.

MLB
12:35 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies (72-66) at Cincinnati Reds (65-75)
This game means much more to the Phillies than it does to the Reds. Philadelphia is fighting for their postseason lives (3 games back in the NL Wild Card) while the Reds are out of playoff contention. Cincy beat the Phils 8-5 in last night's series opener, cashing as big +142 dogs. This afternoon, with Sonny Gray (10-6, 2.80 ERA) facing Jason Vargas (6-7, 4.31 ERA), the Reds opened as big -160 home favorites and the Phillies a +146 dog. We haven't seen much movement with the moneyline, but we've seen lots of smart money hit the over. It opened at 8.5 and his since risen to 9 (with some books even posting 9.5).

7:10 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins (86-53) at Boston Red Sox (75-64)
The Red Sox and Twins have exchanged victories through the first two games of the series. Minnesota can taste the playoffs as they have the 3rd best record in the AL and lead the Central Division by 5.5 games over the Indians. The defending champion Sox, on the other hand, are on the outside looking in. They trail the 2nd Wild Card spot by 5.5 games with 23-games remaining. It's must-win time for Boston from here on out if they want to keep their slim postseason hopes alive. Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 6.23 ERA) opposes lefty Martin Perez (9-6, 4.89 ERA) in Thursday's rubber game. Boston opened as a -145 home favorite and Minnesota a +134 dog. Sharp money has sided with the Twins, causing the road dog to fall to +130. The total opened at a high 12 and we've seen some sharp action on the under, causing the 12 under juice to rise to -115. Some books are even down to 11.5.

7:20 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals (78-60) at Atlanta Braves (86-54)
This NL East showdown is the marquee game of the night. The Braves lead the Nats by 7 games in the NL East, but Washington is up by 3 games in the first NL Wild Card spot. We could be looking at a possible playoff preview. In the series opener, Stephen Strasburg (16-5, 3.47 ERA) and the Nats opened as short -115 road favorites against Max Fried (15-4, 4.05 ERA) and the Braves (+106). The public says give me the better team at home getting slight plus money, but sharps are fading the trendy dog. We've seen this line move further toward Washington (-115 to -118) despite the majority of bets grabbing the Braves at home. This sharp reverse line movement is a clear indication that pros are on the Nats. The total is 9. Smart money has hit the over as the wind is expected to be blowing out at 11 MPH at SunTrust Park.
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