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#446985 - 09/01/19 05:50 PM 9/10 Statistical Advantages
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#448074 - 09/09/19 10:12 PM Re: 9/10 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Registered: 12/01/00
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ATLANTA (90 - 55) at PHILADELPHIA (74 - 69) - 7:05 PM
MAX FRIED (L) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 888-935 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 464-466 (+51.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
VARGAS is 104-92 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 45-27 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 90-55 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 14-2 (+11.4 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
ATLANTA is 43-27 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 42-22 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 69-42 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 32-26 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 57-32 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 41-25 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 22-11 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FRIED is 21-6 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 11-2 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 17-5 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 17-4 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 13-1 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 13-24 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 64-74 (-24.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-22 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-6 (+1.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
10 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.7 Units)
MAX FRIED vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
FRIED is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.900.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
JASON VARGAS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
VARGAS is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.48 and a WHIP of 1.478.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

MILWAUKEE (75 - 68) at MIAMI (51 - 92) - 7:10 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 8-14 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-32 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 43-43 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-19 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 177-139 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 121-115 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-9 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 116-82 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 128-93 (+24.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 (+2.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)
CHASE ANDERSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
ANDERSON is 3-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.489.
His team's record is 3-5 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)
ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

ARIZONA (75 - 69) at NY METS (73 - 70) - 7:10 PM
ZAC GALLEN (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 75-69 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 25-15 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 24-16 (+9.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ARIZONA is 39-36 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 12-6 (+6.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 31-16 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 51-44 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 29-26 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 37-31 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 73-70 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 76-73 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 141-152 (-55.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 51-52 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 34-47 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 217-270 (-76.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
ZAC GALLEN vs. NY METS since 1997
GALLEN is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
ZACK WHEELER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WHEELER is 3-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 1.096.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

ST LOUIS (81 - 62) at COLORADO (60 - 84) - 8:40 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 26-36 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 87-89 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 50-49 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-62 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 82-66 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 66-48 (+8.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 49-22 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 31-10 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 60-84 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 36-60 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 31-51 (-16.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)
MICHAEL WACHA vs. COLORADO since 1997
WACHA is 1-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.66 and a WHIP of 1.629.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)
CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 10.39 and a WHIP of 2.079.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

PITTSBURGH (63 - 81) at SAN FRANCISCO (69 - 75) - 9:45 PM
MITCH KELLER (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 69-75 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-22 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-42 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-50 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-36 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 130-140 (+29.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 110-110 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 29-22 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 31-18 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-27 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)
MITCH KELLER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.
JOHNNY CUETO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CUETO is 20-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.030.
His team's record is 23-8 (+11.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 16-12. (+3.1 units)

CHICAGO CUBS (77 - 66) at SAN DIEGO (66 - 77) - 10:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. RONALD BOLANOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1867-1898 (-271.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 87-84 (-24.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-42 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 262-301 (-79.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-43 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1387-1413 (-202.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 145-124 (-27.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 902-822 (-152.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 66-77 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 33-39 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 27-46 (-23.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-15 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
SAN DIEGO is 42-51 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 30-56 (-22.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-42 (-11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-1 (+1.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)
JOSE QUINTANA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
QUINTANA is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
RONALD BOLANOS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

NY YANKEES (95 - 50) at DETROIT (42 - 100) - 6:40 PM
CHAD GREEN (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+2.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)
CHAD GREEN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.
EDWIN JACKSON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
JACKSON is 2-8 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.612.
His team's record is 3-11 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-7. (-1.1 units)

OAKLAND (84 - 60) at HOUSTON (95 - 50) - 8:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 404-494 (-90.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 56-17 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 47-15 (+22.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 42-12 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
MILEY is 35-14 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 18-4 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 29-9 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 21-6 (+15.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 83-59 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-18 (+12.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 82-67 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 160-133 (+47.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 17-5 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
OAKLAND is 51-37 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 26-11 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 11-1 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 75-47 (+33.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-24 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 21-14 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ROARK is 6-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)
ROARK is 6-1 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 11-5 (+4.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)
TANNER ROARK vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ROARK is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-0 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)
WADE MILEY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MILEY is 5-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.082.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-8. (-9.0 units)

CLEVELAND (84 - 61) at LA ANGELS (67 - 78) - 10:07 PM
ZACH PLESAC (R) vs. JOSE SUAREZ (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)
ZACH PLESAC vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.
JOSE SUAREZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

LA DODGERS (93 - 52) at BALTIMORE (46 - 97) - 7:05 PM
WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. TY BLACH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 127-146 (-44.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 137-101 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 93-212 (-72.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 8-39 (-21.1 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +175 or more over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 50-103 (-39.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-47 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-140 (-61.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 53-143 (-63.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 64-145 (-46.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 246-410 (-125.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 45-120 (-38.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WALKER BUEHLER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
TY BLACH vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BLACH is 4-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 4-3 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-7. (-8.0 units)

WASHINGTON (79 - 63) at MINNESOTA (88 - 55) - 7:40 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 161-143 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-22 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 97-91 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 83-78 (-27.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 88-55 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 292-266 (+41.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 57-33 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 71-39 (+21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 38-17 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-15 (+13.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-16 (-15.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
BERRIOS is 1-6 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 6-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.195.
His team's record is 10-9 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-9. (-2.2 units)
JOSE BERRIOS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

CINCINNATI (67 - 77) at SEATTLE (58 - 86) - 10:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. JUSTUS SHEFFIELD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 67-77 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 28-38 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 30-56 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 5-16 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 101-99 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 32-22 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 48-39 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 12-23 (-11.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SEATTLE is 972-891 (-127.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 12-23 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 678-616 (-96.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SEATTLE is 425-380 (-71.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TREVOR BAUER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BAUER is 2-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.426.
His team's record is 2-6 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)
JUSTUS SHEFFIELD vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
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#448112 - 09/10/19 02:41 PM Re: 9/10 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   happy
Owner



Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 178952
Loc: Time to play the Game
7:05 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (93-52) at Baltimore Orioles (46-97)
Talk about David vs. Goliath. The Dodgers own the best record in the National League and 3rd-best record in baseball behind the Astros and Yankees. Los Angeles is a -140 to win the NL Pennant and +240 to win the World Series. Meanwhile, the Orioles are the 2nd-worst team in the bigs, just 3.5 games above the Tigers for last place overall. With Dodgers' young ace Walker Buehler (12-3, 3.28) facing Ty Blach (1-2, 10.95 ERA), Los Angeles opened as massive -290 road favorites, the biggest line of the night. Sharps would love to go contrarian and back the Orioles due to their great value as a big home dog but they just can't do it. Heavy pro and casual betting are in agreement on LA. This lopsided action has pushed the Dodgers up to -320 (Orioles +262 to +284). Road favorites of -250 or more have gone 70-20 (78%) with a 6.2% ROI since 2005. The total opened at 9.5 and is now being juiced up to over -120, with some books even rising to 10. This signals pro money leaning on a high scoring game.

7:05 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (90-55) at Philadelphia Phillies (74-69)
The Braves took down the Phillies 7-2 in last night's series opener, cashing as +127 dogs. Philadelphia needs a bounce back win to keep pace in the Wild Card hunt (Philly trails the 2nd spot by 2.5 games). However, it will likely be a tough hill to climb tonight based on the early movement. 25-year-old lefty ace Max Fried (16-4, 3.86 ERA) goes for Atlanta while lefty veteran Jason Vargas (6-7, 4.27 ERA) toes the rubber for the Phils. The Braves opened as -132 road favorites and have already been steamed up to -165 thanks to heavy early action from pro bettors. Philadelphia has moved from +122 to +152. Sharps also seem to be eyeing the over. It opened at 9.5 with heavy under juice and has since evened out to -110 both sides. The wind is blowing out to dead center at 8 MPH at Citizens Bank Park, which pros are hoping turn a few warning track fly ball outs into first row homers.

7:10 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (75-68) at Miami Marlins (51-92)
This game is being largely overlooked by public bettors. But not by sharps. Professional bettors don't care how popular or unpopular a matchup is. It's all about whether or not they identify an edge. Milwaukee took down Miami 8-3 in last night's series opener, handing over 9 bettors a sweatless win. Tonight, wiseguys see a massive edge on the total thanks to Mother Nature. With Chase Anderson (6-4, 4.58 ERA) opposing Elieser Hernandez (3-5, 5.23 ERA), recreational bettors see two high-ERA pitchers and think automatic over. However, after opening at 9 we've seen smart money get down hard on the under, causing it to fall down to 8.5. The wind is expected to be blowing in from straightaway center at 15-17 MPH, remnants of Hurricane Dorian. The under has won 55% of the time (+103.65 units) when the wind is blowing in at 5 MPH or more since 2005. Just double check to make sure the roof remains open before first-pitch. In terms of the moneyline, Milwaukee opened as a -165 favorite and heavy chalk betting has already moved the Brewers up to -175 (Marlins +144 to +157). The Brew Crew need to keep winning as they trail the Cubs by 1.5 games for the 2nd NL Wild Card spot.

8:05 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (86-59) at Texas Rangers (72-73)
The Rays are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. Tampa has won five in a row and 10 of their last 11. The Rays lead the 1st Wild Card spot by 1.5 games over Oakland but must continue to rack up wins as Cleveland is on their heels (2.5 games back). This game opened with the Rays listed as moderately short -125 road favorites and the Rangers a +115 dog. Early bets are taking Tampa, pushing the Rays up slightly to -128. On the hill, Ryan Yarbrough (11-3, 3.49 ERA) opposes Lance Lynn (14-10, 3.81 ERA). This is another sharp, weather related under for the pros. The wind is blowing in at 10-12 MPH at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The total has fallen from from 10 to 9.5 since opening. Some books are even down to 9.

8:10 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals (53-91) at Chicago White Sox (63-80)
This looks like a stay away game between two AL Central rivals with big losing records. But pros see great value they can't pass up. The White Sox opened as -136 favorites and we've seen the line plummet down to -110. This is notable because only sharps are hammering this obscure gross game this early. No recreational bettors are rushing to get down on this matchup. So we know this movement was caused by pros with an edge loading up on the Royals (+126 to +102). Kansas City is 6-4 in their last ten while the White Sox are 3-7. Jakob Junis (9-12, 4.94 ERA) goes for KC while Ivan Nova (9-12, 4.69 ERA) goes for the Southsiders. The Royals are also a road divisional dog with a high total, a profitable spot historically. The total hasn't moved off the opener of 9.5.
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