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#446160 - 08/25/19 11:51 PM 8/31 Statistical Advantages
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#446502 - 08/28/19 09:35 PM Re: 8/31 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Registered: 12/01/00
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FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 7) at OHIO ST (13 - 1) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 172-132 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

S ALABAMA (3 - 9) at NEBRASKA (3 - 8) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

E CAROLINA (3 - 9) at NC STATE (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

AKRON (4 - 8) at ILLINOIS (4 - 8) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 132-173 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 132-173 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 89-134 ATS (-58.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BALL ST (4 - 8) vs. INDIANA (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TOLEDO (7 - 6) at KENTUCKY (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 5) vs. LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

OLE MISS (5 - 7) at MEMPHIS (8 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GEORGIA ST (2 - 10) at TENNESSEE (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

E MICHIGAN (7 - 6) at COASTAL CAROLINA (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

S CAROLINA (7 - 6) vs. N CAROLINA (2 - 9) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DUKE (8 - 5) vs. ALABAMA (14 - 1) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NORTHWESTERN (9 - 5) at STANFORD (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 115-86 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 7) at BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SYRACUSE (10 - 3) at LIBERTY (6 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LIBERTY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LIBERTY is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BOISE ST (10 - 3) vs. FLORIDA ST (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SMU (5 - 7) at ARKANSAS ST (8 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 6) at MICHIGAN (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MIAMI OHIO (6 - 6) at IOWA (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GA SOUTHERN (10 - 3) at LSU (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GEORGIA (11 - 3) at VANDERBILT (6 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA (8 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI (8 - 5) at WYOMING (6 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

OREGON (9 - 4) vs. AUBURN (8 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 5) at TEXAS (10 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 9) at WASHINGTON ST (11 - 2) - 8/31/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

FRESNO ST (12 - 2) at USC (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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#446811 - 08/31/19 10:50 AM Re: 8/31 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Registered: 12/01/00
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WASHINGTON (21 - 8) at DALLAS (10 - 20) - 8/31/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LOS ANGELES (19 - 11) at LAS VEGAS (19 - 11) - 8/31/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 114-149 ATS (-49.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
LAS VEGAS is 11-19 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.
LAS VEGAS is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
LAS VEGAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-2 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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#446812 - 08/31/19 10:53 AM Re: 8/31 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 178952
Loc: Time to play the Game
CINCINNATI (63 - 70) at ST LOUIS (73 - 59) - 12:15 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. DAKOTA HUDSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-6 (+2.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)
TREVOR BAUER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BAUER is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.955.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
DAKOTA HUDSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HUDSON is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.471.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

MILWAUKEE (68 - 66) at CHICAGO CUBS (73 - 61) - 2:20 PM
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 68-66 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-10 (+12.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 45-22 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-5 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-20 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-16 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-12 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-36 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 118-115 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 117-95 (+21.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 80-70 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-47 (+23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DAVIES is 12-6 (+11.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1863-1893 (-268.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 171-176 (-44.5 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 143-122 (-26.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 235-226 (-53.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 218-248 (-61.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
HAMELS is 7-15 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 8-5 (+3.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)
ZACH DAVIES vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DAVIES is 6-7 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.249.
His team's record is 7-10 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-6. (+4.2 units)
COLE HAMELS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HAMELS is 9-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.048.
His team's record is 12-7 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-7. (+2.4 units)

NY METS (68 - 66) at PHILADELPHIA (69 - 64) - 4:05 PM
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 68-66 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 25-42 (-16.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 29-43 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 885-932 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 461-463 (+50.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
VARGAS is 45-26 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 19-14 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 61-71 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 (+4.2 Units) against NY METS this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.4 Units)
STEVEN MATZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MATZ is 1-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.27 and a WHIP of 1.697.
His team's record is 2-6 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+1.0 units)
JASON VARGAS vs. NY METS since 1997
VARGAS is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.818.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

MIAMI (48 - 86) at WASHINGTON (75 - 58) - 7:05 PM
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games in August games this season.
MIAMI is 30-77 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-72 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-16 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 38-37 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 157-138 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 79-67 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-22 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 95-88 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 81-76 (-27.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 11-3 (+4.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)
PABLO LOPEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 8.16 and a WHIP of 1.813.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. MIAMI since 1997
STRASBURG is 20-7 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.070.
His team's record is 25-9 (+9.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-19. (-6.3 units)

CINCINNATI (63 - 70) at ST LOUIS (73 - 59) - 7:15 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-6 (+2.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)
SONNY GRAY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GRAY is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
MICHAEL WACHA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WACHA is 11-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 14-4 (+9.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.8 units)

LA DODGERS (88 - 49) at ARIZONA (69 - 66) - 8:10 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 26-30 (-13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 134-98 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 69-66 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 22-15 (+5.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 38-30 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 36-29 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
RAY is 37-19 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 72-73 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 267-268 (-69.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
ARIZONA is 142-144 (-40.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 20-25 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
RAY is 28-37 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
RAY is 11-23 (-17.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 7-10 (+0.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.3 Units)
CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KERSHAW is 17-9 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 19-14 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 18-14. (+2.6 units)
ROBBIE RAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RAY is 7-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.165.
His team's record is 11-9 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-9. (+1.6 units)

PITTSBURGH (58 - 77) at COLORADO (59 - 77) - 8:10 PM
JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. TIM MELVILLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 106-106 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 62-45 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 27-16 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 59-77 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 5-17 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
COLORADO is 35-55 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 20-28 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLORADO is 7-15 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
JOE MUSGROVE vs. COLORADO since 1997
MUSGROVE is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
TIM MELVILLE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MELVILLE is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 2.250.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

SAN DIEGO (62 - 72) at SAN FRANCISCO (66 - 68) - 9:05 PM
JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. LOGAN WEBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 62-72 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 28-40 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 17-27 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LUCCHESI is 7-18 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 66-68 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-16 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-31 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-39 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-21 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 45-49 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 28-22 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 44-39 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-7 (+5.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)
JOEY LUCCHESI vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LUCCHESI is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)
LOGAN WEBB vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

OAKLAND (78 - 56) at NY YANKEES (88 - 48) - 1:05 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BAILEY is 36-58 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 88-48 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 22-5 (+14.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
NY YANKEES are 34-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 16-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
NY YANKEES are 40-24 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GERMAN is 18-4 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GERMAN is 8-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 78-55 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-17 (+13.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 82-64 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 35-17 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 47-30 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-42 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 119-86 (+31.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-32 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 38-21 (+21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 21-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 (+4.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
HOMER BAILEY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BAILEY is 3-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)
DOMINGO GERMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GERMAN is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 9.58 and a WHIP of 1.839.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

HOUSTON (88 - 48) at TORONTO (54 - 82) - 3:07 PM
FRAMBER VALDEZ (L) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 35-31 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 44-37 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 121-183 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 25-25 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 47-20 (+17.3 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-29 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-41 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TORONTO is 168-190 (-58.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 25-43 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 23-29 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 (+0.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)
FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
VALDEZ is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 0.970.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

MINNESOTA (83 - 51) at DETROIT (39 - 93) - 6:10 PM
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 83-51 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 44-22 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 396-402 (+50.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 54-30 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 407-448 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 50-22 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 39-93 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 16-46 (-25.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 3-17 (-12.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
DETROIT is 9-19 (-10.5 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
DETROIT is 17-47 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 6-21 (-15.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 157-182 (-53.0 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
DETROIT is 402-395 (-78.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
DETROIT is 20-56 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 3-23 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 28-64 (-19.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 6-20 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DETROIT is 14-50 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 10-37 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOYD is 8-19 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BOYD is 4-12 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
BOYD is 6-15 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
BOYD is 1-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-4 (+0.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.5 Units)
MARTIN PEREZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
PEREZ is 2-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.247.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.7 units)
MATT BOYD vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BOYD is 6-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 9-9 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-9. (-3.8 units)

CLEVELAND (79 - 56) at TAMPA BAY (78 - 58) - 6:10 PM
ZACH PLESAC (R) vs. DIEGO CASTILLO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)
ZACH PLESAC vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
DIEGO CASTILLO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
CASTILLO is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

BALTIMORE (45 - 89) at KANSAS CITY (47 - 89) - 7:15 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. JORGE LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 92-204 (-65.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 42-105 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-135 (-56.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 52-140 (-63.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 16-40 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-32 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 22-11 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 7-3 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday this season.
KANSAS CITY is 47-89 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 24-43 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 319-451 (-116.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 34-66 (-20.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)
DYLAN BUNDY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUNDY is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.215.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)
JORGE LOPEZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LOPEZ is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
SEATTLE (57 - 79) at TEXAS (66 - 70) - 8:05 PM
MATT WISLER (R) vs. BROCK BURKE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 10-7 (+2.8 Units) against SEATTLE this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.4 Units)
MATT WISLER vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.
BROCK BURKE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

BOSTON (73 - 62) at LA ANGELS (64 - 72) - 9:07 PM
BRIAN JOHNSON (L) vs. DILLON PETERS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)
BRIAN JOHNSON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
JOHNSON is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.199.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)
DILLON PETERS vs. BOSTON since 1997
PETERS is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (60 - 74) at ATLANTA (82 - 54) - 7:20 PM
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 82-54 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 62-42 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 61-44 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 50-31 (+11.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-74 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-27 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-38 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-20 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-39 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 9-17 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
KEUCHEL is 14-18 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
LOPEZ is 2-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.929.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)
DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KEUCHEL is 4-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 5-4 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.4 units)
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#446813 - 08/31/19 10:54 AM Re: 8/31 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Loc: Time to play the Game
12 p.m. ET: Boise State at Florida State
Hurricane Dorian forced the location of this matchup to be moved from a neutral site in Jacksonville to now Florida State's home stadium in Tallahassee. FSU finished last year a disappointing 5-7 while Boise State went 10-3 and ended the season ranked 23rd overall. However, the public is all over FSU largely due to name recognition and the fact that they play in a much better conference and now enjoy a true home game. This line opened at FSU -4 and we've seen the it jump to -6.5. This indicates both casual and pro bettors pounding the Noles. This total is all over the place. Some books opened at 53.5 and have fallen to 50.5 while others opened at 54 and have moved to 55. This indicates disagreement on the part of the books (likely due to the weather), which provides sharps a great opportunity to shop for the best line and get added value based on their edge. Game-time temps are expected to be in the high 80s.

12 p.m. ET: Toledo at Kentucky
Kentucky is coming off a great 2018 season, going 10-3 and finishing with a ranking of 12th overall. Meanwhile, Toledo went just 7-6. This line opened with Kentucky listed as a 13.5-point favorite. Surprisingly, nearly two-thirds of the action is grabbing the points with Toledo, dropping the line down to 10.5. That's when sharps grabbed Kentucky at a deflated -10.5 based on value alone. The most interesting part of this game is the total. It opened at 59 and despite heavy betting coming in on the under, the total has risen to 61.5. This signals a rare contrarian over play for wiseguys.

12 p.m. ET: Mississippi at Memphis
Casual bettors don't know which way to go with both the spread and Over/Under in this game. But pros have taken clear sides on both. Ole Miss went a disappointing 5-7 last year while Memphis finished 8-6. Memphis opened as a 6-point home favorite. Even though the tickets are split down the middle, we've seen Memphis fall to -4.5. In a vacuum, a line shouldn't move at all (aside from a slight juice adjustment) if the bets are even. So we know this move toward Ole Miss was caused by sharps pounding the Rebels. We're also seeing a massive discrepancy with the total, as heavy betting is on the over but big smart money is on the under. The total has plummeted from 68 to 64.5.

3:30 p.m. ET: Duke vs. Alabama (2)
This game is being played on a neutral site at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Much like the Patriots, Alabama is a huge public favorite every time they step on the field. This time is no different. The Tide opened as massive 32-point favorites. Heavy public betting pushed the line up to 34.5. That's when sharps got down on Duke at +34.5, triggering buyback that brought the line back down to 33. Two x-factors here: Alabama's star linebacker Dylan Moses is out with a knee injury and Alabama will be missing two running backs due to first half suspensions. Duke looks like they can't possibly cover against powerhouse Bama, but the Blue Devils are the sharp contrarian play. Pros also got down on the under, pushing it from 58.5 to 56.5.

7:30 p.m. ET: Virginia at Pittsburgh
If you're a contrarian bettor who likes to bet agains the public, this is the game for you. In what will end up being one of the most heavily bet games of the night, Virginia opened as a 2-point road favorite. Recreational bettors are rushing to the window to lay the points with the Cavaliers, making them one of the most lopsided public plays of the day. This heavy action pushed the line up to Cavs -3. Sharps were waiting for the public to overvalue Virginia and hand them an artificially inflated number and extra points. Once the line hit the key number of three, wiseguys hammered Pittsburgh +3. The line has since fallen back down to 2.5. The total has fallen slightly from 47.5 to 46.5.

7:30 p.m. ET: Oregon (11) vs. Auburn (16)
One of the oldest adages in sports betting goes like this: if it looks too good to be true, chances are that it is. Oregon is ranked higher than Auburn and features Heisman Trophy contender Justin Herbert (+1500) at quarterback. So why on earth did Auburn open as a 2.5-point favorite on neutral turf? In one of the most popular games of the day the public is backing Oregon yet we've seen the line move to Auburn -4. This is a classic case of sharps fading the trendy dog Ducks and loading up on the Tigers, causing market-wide reverse line movement in favor of Auburn. Since 2005, when two ranked teams go head-to-head the favorite has covered 55.3% of the time. Pros are also leaning on the Under, dropping it from 57 to 55 since opening.
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