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#446157 - 08/25/19 11:50 PM 9/3 Statistical Advantages
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#447116 - 09/03/19 10:45 AM Re: 9/3 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   happy
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Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 178952
Loc: Time to play the Game
PHILADELPHIA (71 - 65) at CINCINNATI (64 - 74) - 6:40 PM
VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R) vs. ALFREDO SIMON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 61-84 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-20 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-37 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
VELASQUEZ is 3-15 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 47-37 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 64-74 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 94-126 (-23.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.1 Units)
VINCENT VELASQUEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
VELASQUEZ is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)
ALFREDO SIMON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SIMON is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

MIAMI (48 - 88) at PITTSBURGH (60 - 77) - 7:05 PM
SANDY ALCANTARA (R) vs. MITCH KELLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 18-45 (-17.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-74 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 138-107 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 108-106 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 27-20 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-16 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 32-36 (+14.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
SANDY ALCANTARA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ALCANTARA is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
MITCH KELLER vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

NY METS (70 - 67) at WASHINGTON (77 - 59) - 7:05 PM
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 70-67 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 27-43 (-16.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 31-44 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DEGROM is 10-17 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 13-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 6-15 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 1-12 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 21-15 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 159-139 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 209-184 (-60.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 81-68 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 96-88 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-20 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SCHERZER is 4-8 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 11-6 (+4.9 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.6 Units)
JACOB DEGROM vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
DEGROM is 8-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.009.
His team's record is 11-7 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-1.0 units)
MAX SCHERZER vs. NY METS since 1997
SCHERZER is 10-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 0.891.
His team's record is 10-9 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-9. (+0.0 units)

SAN FRANCISCO (66 - 71) at ST LOUIS (77 - 60) - 7:45 PM
DERECK RODRIGUEZ (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-23 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 77-60 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 44-25 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 63-47 (+7.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 45-20 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 27-8 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 66-71 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-33 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-5 (+14.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-40 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-47 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-34 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLAHERTY is 24-31 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLAHERTY is 3-9 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-2 (-0.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
DERECK RODRIGUEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
JACK FLAHERTY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FLAHERTY is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.350.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

SAN DIEGO (64 - 73) at ARIZONA (71 - 67) - 9:40 PM
RONALD BOLANOS (R) vs. MERRILL KELLY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 7-4 (+2.3 Units) against ARIZONA this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)
RONALD BOLANOS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.
MERRILL KELLY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KELLY is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 7.81 and a WHIP of 1.973.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

COLORADO (59 - 80) at LA DODGERS (90 - 50) - 10:10 PM
CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R) vs. JULIO URIAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 59-80 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 8-24 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 2-15 (-11.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
COLORADO is 35-57 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 30-48 (-15.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 53-18 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-9 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 87-87 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 50-47 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 135-99 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 11-3 (+6.4 Units) against COLORADO this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.3 Units)
CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
JULIO URIAS vs. COLORADO since 1997
URIAS is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.53 and a WHIP of 1.883.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

TEXAS (68 - 71) at NY YANKEES (90 - 49) - 6:35 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.9 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.183.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)
JAMES PAXTON vs. TEXAS since 1997
PAXTON is 2-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.553.
His team's record is 6-7 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.4 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (60 - 77) at CLEVELAND (80 - 58) - 7:10 PM
DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-77 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-41 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 171-132 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 57-49 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-26 (-19.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-18 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 102-84 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 121-93 (-19.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 92-77 (-26.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVINGER is 11-16 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 7-6 (+5.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)
DYLAN CEASE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.
MIKE CLEVINGER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CLEVINGER is 3-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 0.991.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)

BALTIMORE (45 - 92) at TAMPA BAY (81 - 58) - 3:10 PM
TY BLACH (L) vs. TREVOR RICHARDS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 6-11 (+0.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)
TY BLACH vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BLACH is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 15.75 and a WHIP of 2.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
TREVOR RICHARDS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
RICHARDS is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

MINNESOTA (85 - 52) at BOSTON (74 - 63) - 7:10 PM
RANDY DOBNAK (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)
RANDY DOBNAK vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
RICK PORCELLO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PORCELLO is 13-10 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.272.
His team's record is 17-15 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-15. (-1.0 units)

DETROIT (40 - 95) at KANSAS CITY (49 - 89) - 8:15 PM
DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. MIKE MONTGOMERY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 40-95 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 17-47 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 11-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-56 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 29-65 (-19.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 90-133 (-36.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 38-66 (-25.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NORRIS is 3-14 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 38-32 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 23-18 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 10-6 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 18-12 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 49-89 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-43 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 321-451 (-114.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 20-41 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 14-33 (-17.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MONTGOMERY is 10-20 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MONTGOMERY is 9-19 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
MONTGOMERY is 12-23 (-17.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-7 (+2.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)
DANIEL NORRIS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
NORRIS is 1-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.427.
His team's record is 5-6 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.9 units)
MIKE MONTGOMERY vs. DETROIT since 1997
MONTGOMERY is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.58 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

LA ANGELS (65 - 73) at OAKLAND (78 - 58) - 10:07 PM
JAIME BARRIA (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 65-73 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 27-37 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 46-53 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-42 (-13.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-95 (-32.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 78-57 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 74-48 (+22.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 43-24 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 16-5 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
OAKLAND is 48-35 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 119-87 (+30.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 73-47 (+31.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 86-47 (+26.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 40-13 (+21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FIERS is 18-8 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 20-8 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 26-6 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 12-3 (+10.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 8-0 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 17-6 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 13-5 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 18-11 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 20-7 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 97-73 (+24.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 31-24 (+11.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 9-5 (+4.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)
JAIME BARRIA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BARRIA is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
MICHAEL FIERS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FIERS is 6-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.239.
His team's record is 8-4 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.7 units)

TORONTO (55 - 84) at ATLANTA (85 - 54) - 7:20 PM
WILMER FONT (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 3-16 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
ATLANTA is 85-54 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 64-42 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 64-44 (+12.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 53-31 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 86-50 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
FONT is 11-6 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 96-106 (-39.6 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 (+0.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
WILMER FONT vs. ATLANTA since 1997
FONT is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
FOLTYNEWICZ is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.442.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.2 units)

HOUSTON (90 - 49) at MILWAUKEE (70 - 67) - 7:40 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JORDAN LYLES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 37-32 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 27-26 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 72-54 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 125-93 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 118-95 (+23.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 82-71 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 44-35 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 48-21 (+16.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 66-30 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 49-25 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 70-67 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-14 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 42-43 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
ZACK GREINKE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GREINKE is 1-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.191.
His team's record is 2-6 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.4 units)
JORDAN LYLES vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

SEATTLE (58 - 81) at CHICAGO CUBS (74 - 63) - 8:05 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-49 (-26.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HERNANDEZ is 1-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-24 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-17 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
LESTER is 39-20 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 19-4 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 71-78 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 101-95 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1864-1895 (-270.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 261-301 (-80.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-41 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 143-123 (-28.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 900-822 (-154.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
JON LESTER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
LESTER is 7-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.224.
His team's record is 8-6 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.1 units)

BALTIMORE (45 - 92) at TAMPA BAY (81 - 58) - 6:40 PM
JOHN MEANS (L) vs. DIEGO CASTILLO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 6-11 (+0.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)
JOHN MEANS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MEANS is 1-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 0.950.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
DIEGO CASTILLO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
CASTILLO is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
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#447117 - 09/03/19 10:45 AM Re: 9/3 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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WASHINGTON (22 - 8) at NEW YORK (9 - 22) - 9/3/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
NEW YORK is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in August or September games this season.
NEW YORK is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a division game this season.
NEW YORK is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
NEW YORK is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
NEW YORK is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
NEW YORK is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (16 - 15) at PHOENIX (15 - 16) - 9/3/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 8-5 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-7 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ATLANTA (7 - 24) at LOS ANGELES (19 - 12) - 9/3/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games in August or September games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday since 1997.
ATLANTA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 153-196 ATS (-62.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 114-150 ATS (-51.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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#447123 - 09/03/19 10:59 AM Re: 9/3 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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Since 2005, dogs facing elite opponents (win percentage .600 or higher) in September have gone 258-350 according to Bet Labs Sports. This translates to a 42.4% win rate but thanks to the big payouts its produced +50.04 units with a 8.2% ROI. In other words, it pays to bet against good teams down the stretch.

When it comes to totals, the late-season September heat (combined with the wind) leads to a sneaky edge on overs. Since 2005, when it's at least 80 degrees and the wind is blowing out in a division game, the over has won 55.5% of the time (+37.68 units). If you isolate it to only September the over improves to 59.3% (+14.49 units).
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#447124 - 09/03/19 11:00 AM Re: 9/3 Statistical Advantages [Re: FREAK]
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7:05 p.m. ET: New York Mets (70-67) at Washington Nationals (77-59)
The Mets rewarded wiseguys in yesterday's series opener, beating the trendy-dog Nats 7-3 and cashing as a rare contrarian favorite (-111). Tonight, we are treated to a fantastic pitching matchup as Jacob deGrom (8-8, 2.66 ERA) faces Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.46 ERA). The Nats opened as moderate -130 home favorites and we've seen this line instantly creep up to -135 (Mets +120 to +125). This signals early smart money getting down on Washington. Remember, sharps have no allegiances. They bet purely based on data and having an edge. They bet numbers, not teams. So although the Mets came through for the pros yesterday, this doesn't mean they are blindly riding them today. Wiseguys see a clear edge on the Nats in a bounce back spot with their ace on the mound. The total opened at 7.5 with even -110 juice on both sides and we've seen the under juiced up to -115 (over -105). This signals pro action leaning on a low-scoring game with two studs going head-to-head.

7:40 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (90-49) at Milwaukee Brewers (70-67)
The Astros edged the Brewers 3-2 in extras yesterday, cashing as -175 favorites thanks to a George Springer 10th-inning homer. At 90-49, Houston is now tied with the Yankees for the best record in baseball (+200 to win the World Series). Tonight, the Astros have a distinct pitching advantage (Zack Greinke 14-4, 2.99 ERA vs. Jordan Lyles 9-8, 4.55 ERA) and, as a result, Houston is a -147 road favorite and the Brewers a +136 dog. Early chalk betting has pushed the Astros to -160. This season, non-division road favorites like the Astros have won 61% of the time (+17.78 units). The sharpest play here is the total. It opened at 8.5 and we've seen big smart money hit the over, driving it up to 9. One reason to like the over: the roof is open at Miller Park (as of now) and the forecast calls for 15+ mph winds out to center, which pros hope turns a few warning track outs into first row homers.

10:07 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (65-73) at Oakland Athletics (78-58)
Oakland is a good team, only 1 game back in the Wild Card and just dropped two-of-three to the Yankees. The public says they have to bounce back and beat a struggling Angels team (2-8 last 10 games) that has no shot at making the playoffs. Plus Mike Fiers (13-3, 3.40 ERA) is clearly better than Jaime Barria (4-7, 6.10 ERA). But sharps know baseball games aren't bet on paper. Value is value and it's on the Angels to steal Game 1 of the series. Oakland opened as a -175 home favorite and the line has quickly fallen to -166. This indicates early smart money grabbing the road dog Halos (+161 to +154). In September, road divisional dogs with high totals (9 or more), like the Angels here, have won +33.47 units since 2005. Pro money has also hit the over (9 to 9.5), likely due to the wind blowing out at 9 MPH in Oakland. Since 2005, when the wind is blowing out at 8 mph or more in a game, the over has won 54% of the time (+90.4 units). Since 2005, when the wind is blowing out at 8 mph or more in a league game, the Over has won 54% of the time (+90.4 units).
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