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#433634 - 04/27/19 12:45 PM Saturday April 27th 2019: Shit Load of Races:
Docwatson Offline
JV Squad

Registered: 04/03/19
Posts: 20
Loc: Virginia
I Have so many races today it's going to take multiple post to get them in. Several more tracks left to get in

Best of Fortune!

Instructions on how to wager using these selections is what's listed first.

Then on to today's races.

Always check back for scratches and track changes.

Early Betting:

Bet the two highest morning line's out of the top 3 Ranks

Live-odds betting:

Bet as late as possible and require:
4-1 or higher on either of the top two ranked horses
5-1 or higher on the 3rd and 4th ranks however . . .
– If you are more risk-averse (and prefer more actual winners), then just bet the first two ranks that qualify by those odds parameters.
– If you are looking for higher long-term returns (but with fewer actual winners), then bet the highest two odds period.
- I, 99.99% of the time will bet a minimum of two horses to win. As long as the odds are right for the Ranked under Live-odds betting.
– If the field is small (5 or 6 starters), you can consider accepting down to 5-2 on the top 2 ranks and 7/2 on ranks 3 & 4
* When a lower-ranked horse is only one odds tick different than a higher ranked – prefer the best (higher) rank. Examples for ML apply . . .
But of course late odds changes will come into play and make fine adjustments here very ‘iffy.‘ If you are playing live, it’s best to use near post time odds only as a verification of the ML qualifiers, or those within one odds tick of being qualifiers.
Ex:
Top rank 5-1
2nd rank 2-1
3rd rank 5-1
4th rank 3-1
– prefer the top ranked and then consider the 3rd ranked – only if it is also a ‘final odds qualifier (5-1 of higher) near post time


Exacta-betting Guidelines:

Use each win-bet qualifiers as one of your “on top” horses. Use all the remaining Index horses underneath.
According to how many exacta combos you prefer (I suggest 8 to 16) – you will need to add another horse (or 2 if a Ranked horse is a late scratch) that is not on the List. I always try to list exotic add ins, but we also recommend using the lowest tote odds horse/s (not already Ranked) as your other “underneath” horse/s.
So – you will part-wheel each of the two win qualifiers to 4 or 5 others (also always including to each other) for a total of 8 to 16 exacta combinations.

Some because of Bankroll management prefer to only used the 4 Ranked horses. Some will use the Exotic add ins, and some will add others from their own handicapping.

Trifecta-betting guidelines:–Same as the exacta betting, only repeat the “underneath” horses from the exacta in the third slot as well – for a 24-combination ticket.
Example:1, 2 to the 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 to the 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 If you want a slightly larger ticket with a greater chance of hitting the higher payoffs – then you could add in the next odds horse in the 3rd slot; 1, 2 to the 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 to the 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 for a 32 combination ticket . . .or –1, 2 to the 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, to the 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 for a 40 combination ticket.

Layout: Date-Track-Race number-Program Number-Horses Name-Morning Line

April 25th 2019

Gulfstream


Race 2: 1:15 EST

9 LIBERALE 4.0
8 OUR CLOSURE 12.0
7 MY MASTERPIECE 5.0
6 COCKTAIL SKIRT 1.8
Exotic Fill Ins: (3-2-1-5)

Race 9: 5:01 EST

4 SWAGGER JAGGER 3.5
8 SIDING SPRING 12.0
2 DRIVEN BY THUNDER 15.0
6 SPEED FRANCO 3.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (9-5-7-3)

Race 11: 6:04 EST

9 QUEBEC 10.0
12 CROWN AND SUGAR 4.5
11 SUSIE BEE 10.0
8 TOO CHARMING 6.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (7-4-6-3)

Tampa Bay

Race 4: 1:57 EST

7 PROSPETTIVA DORO 3.0
4 NINAS PATIENCE 6.0
6 U KNOW I B LION 6.0
1 DEFERENCE 6.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (5-2-8-9)

Belmont

Parx

Race 7: 3:37 EST

3 COWBOY MZ 8.0
8 LONG MAY YOU RUN 6.0
7 NAVY COMMANDER 10.0
2 THISCATCANJUMP 5.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (1-4-6-9)

Race 8 4:04 EST

9 ZIPPERS HERO 6.0
13 TRACE OF GRACE 10.0
5 BRONX BEAUTY 3.0
6 PHANTOM PROTON 8.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (3-11-12-10)

Laurel Park

Race 1: 1:10 EST

10 SALT POND 3.0
6 FEELIN FOXIE 5.0
9 BREXIT REVENGE 8.0
12 YES I DANCE 10.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (8-2-11-5)

Race 5: 3:12 EST

8 HIGH NOON RIDER 5.0
10 ROMAN APPROVAL 4.5
7 FORTY ACRES 15.0
13 DOTHAT DANCE 5.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (9-3-12-6)

Race 8: 4:42 EST

7 IN ARREARS 3.5
3 FIELD ADVANTAGE 6.0
5 SCOUTS HONOR 4.0
1 SPARTY 12.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (2-6-9-4)

Race 9: 5:12 EST

2 LIZS SMILE 6.0
3 MOON CHANT 6.0
9 PEBBLE ROAD 3.5
5 LUNAR RILLE 8.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (10-1-8-7)

Churchill

Oaklawn

Woodbine

Santa Anita

Lone Star

Cumulative Totals

# of Racing Days = 3 # of Races Issued = 14
# of Winners in the Ranks = 9 %of winners from the ranks = 64.2%
# of Winners paying $20 or higher = 1 Highest pay = $51.40

Below are the tallies for the horses that qualified by the odds parameters given in the betting guidelines. The '$ in and $ out' figures based on $2 wagers.

All - Top - 2nd - 3rd - 4th
count- 14 – 14 – 14 – 14
qual – 6 – 5 – 7 – 11
hit – 1 – 0 – 0 – 2
hit % - 16.6% – 0 – 0 – 18.1%
In - $14 - $10 - $14 - $22
Out - $19.20 - $0 - $0 - $68.40
ROI – +37.1% - -100% - -100% - +211%

Exacta:

In - $400
Out - $643.60
ROI - +60.9%
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#433651 - 04/27/19 02:07 PM Re: Saturday April 27th 2019: Shit Load of Races: [Re: Docwatson]
Docwatson Offline
JV Squad

Registered: 04/03/19
Posts: 20
Loc: Virginia
Belmont

Race 10: 6:24 EST

4 LAURAS POSSE 6.0
10 CURLIN CREEK 3.5
5 BOURBON DID IT 3.0
7 ALTESINO 12.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (6-9-11-2)

Oaklawn

Race 10: 6:58 EST

2 BIG TRIP 4.5
4 POP CULTURE 15.0
11 DE BIRD IS DA WORD 10.0
3 GIANT PULPIT 10.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (8-5-1-9)

Woodbine

PASS

Churchill

Race 6: 8:30EST

8 ANOTHER 3.0
1 MURAD KHAN 8.0
9 COMMANDEERING 12.0
7 SPACE MOUNTAIN 4.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (11-2-3-4)

Race 9: 10:11 EST

6 SIR NAVIGATOR 8.0
3 ICATIRO 10.0
7 UNBRIDLED OUTLAW 3.5
8 BELLE TAPISSERIE 4.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (5-2-4-1)

Race10: 10:42 EST

5 ON PATROL 8.0
3 COMBUSTIBLE 3.0
7 SHARED VALUE 4.5
2 SEKONDI 12.0
Exotic Add Ins: (8-10-4-9)

Santa Anita

Race 7: 7:15 EST

6 KYLEMORE 5.0
5 JUNGLE WARFARE 6.0
7 MOVE OVER 8.0
4 RED KING 4.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (10-8-1-9)

Lone Star

PASS

Check Back for Scratches!
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#433687 - 04/27/19 10:49 PM Re: Saturday April 27th 2019: Shit Load of Races: [Re: Docwatson]
Docwatson Offline
JV Squad

Registered: 04/03/19
Posts: 20
Loc: Virginia
RESULTS:

April 27th 2019

Gulfstream


Race 2: 1:15 EST

9 LIBERALE 4.0 F.O. 3.0
8 OUR CLOSURE 12.0 F.O. 9.0 W
7 MY MASTERPIECE 5.0 F.O. 10.0
6 COCKTAIL SKIRT 1.8 F.O. 1.4 P
Exotic Fill Ins: (3-2-1-5)

Result: 8-6-1 Paid: $20.20 Win $60.80 Exacta $126.00 Trifecta

Race 9: 5:01 EST

4 SWAGGER JAGGER 3.5 F.O. 8.0 S
8 SIDING SPRING 12.0 F.O. 15.0
2 DRIVEN BY THUNDER 15.0 F.O. 9.0
6 SPEED FRANCO 3.0 F.O. 3.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (9-5-7-3)

Result: 9-5-4

Race 11: 6:04 EST

9 QUEBEC 10.0 F.O. 3.5 W
12 CROWN AND SUGAR 4.5 F.O. 1.8
11 SUSIE BEE 10.0 F.O. 24.0
8 TOO CHARMING 6.0 F.O. 6.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (7-4-6-3)

Result: 9-10-4 Paid $9.80 Win

Tampa Bay

Race 4: 1:57 EST

7 PROSPETTIVA DORO 3.0 F.O. 1.8
4 NINAS PATIENCE 6.0 F.O. 5.0
6 U KNOW I B LION 6.0 F.O. 8.0 P
1 DEFERENCE 6.0 F.O. 7.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (5-2-8-9)

Result: 5-6-9

Belmont

Race 10: 6:24 EST

4 LAURAS POSSE 6.0 F.O. 5.0 W
10 CURLIN CREEK 3.5 F.O. 2.5 P
5 BOURBON DID IT 3.0 F.O. 2.5
7 ALTESINO 12.0 F.O. 23.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (6-9-11-2)

Result: 4-10-6 Paid $13.20 Win $57.50 Exacta $245.74 Trifecta

Parx

Race 7: 3:37 EST

3 COWBOY MZ 8.0 F.O. 4.5
8 LONG MAY YOU RUN 6.0 F.O. 4.0 P
7 NAVY COMMANDER 10.0 F.O. 5.0
2 THISCATCANJUMP 5.0 F.O. 6.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (1-4-6-9)

Result: 1-8-9

Race 8 4:04 EST

9 ZIPPERS HERO 6.0 F.O. 8.0 W
13 TRACE OF GRACE 10.0 F.O. SCR
5 BRONX BEAUTY 3.0 F.O. 1.6
6 PHANTOM PROTON 8.0 F.O. 6.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (3 (37.0) S -11-12-10)

Result: 9-1-3 Paid $19.60 Win

Laurel Park

Race 1: 1:10 EST

10 SALT POND 3.0 F.O. 0.6 S
6 FEELIN FOXIE 5.0 F.O. 6.0
9 BREXIT REVENGE 8.0 F.O. 11.0 P
12 YES I DANCE 10.0 F.O. 9.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (8-2-11-5)

Result: 11-9-10

Race 5: 3:12 EST

8 HIGH NOON RIDER 5.0 F.O. 4.5 P
10 ROMAN APPROVAL 4.5 F.O. 4.5
7 FORTY ACRES 15.0 F.O. 10.0 S
13 DOTHAT DANCE 5.0 F.O. 6.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (9-3-12-6)

Result: 2-8-7

Race 8: 4:42 EST

7 IN ARREARS 3.5 F.O. 6.0 S
3 FIELD ADVANTAGE 6.0 F.O. 3.5
5 SCOUTS HONOR 4.0 F.O. 4.0 W
1 SPARTY 12.0 F.O. 16.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (2-6-9-4)

Result: 5-6-7 Paid $10.20 Win $107.00 Exacta $211.90 Trifecta

Race 9: 5:12 EST

2 LIZS SMILE 6.0 F.O. 7.0
3 MOON CHANT 6.0 F.O. 5.0 W
9 PEBBLE ROAD 3.5 F.O. 3.0
5 LUNAR RILLE 8.0 F.O. 4.0 P
Exotic Fill Ins: (10-1-8-7)

Result: 3-5-8 Paid $13.00 Win $70.60 Exacta $642.70 Trifecta

Churchill

Race 6: 8:30EST

8 ANOTHER 3.0 F.O. 2.0
1 MURAD KHAN 8.0 F.O. 2.5
9 COMMANDEERING 12.0 F.O. 17.0
7 SPACE MOUNTAIN 4.0 F.O. 3.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (11-2-3-4)

Result: 3-1-2

Race 9: 10:11 EST

6 SIR NAVIGATOR 8.0 F.O. 6.0 S
3 ICATIRO 10.0 F.O. 13.0
7 UNBRIDLED OUTLAW 3.5 F.O. 8.0
8 BELLE TAPISSERIE 4.0 F.O. 1.2 W
Exotic Fill Ins: (5-2-4-1)

Result: 8-9-6

Race10: 10:42 EST

5 ON PATROL 8.0 F.O. 19.0
3 COMBUSTIBLE 3.0 F.O. 3.0
7 SHARED VALUE 4.5 F.O. 4.5
2 SEKONDI 12.0 F.O. 4.5
Exotic Add Ins: (8-10-4-9)

Result: 4-8-6

Oaklawn

Race 10: 6:58 EST

2 BIG TRIP 4.5 F.O. 8.0
4 POP CULTURE 15.0 F.O. 22.0
11 DE BIRD IS DA WORD 10.0 F.O. 12.0
3 GIANT PULPIT 10.0 F.O. 16.0
Exotic Fill Ins: (8-5-1-9)

Result: 5-1-10

Woodbine

PASS

Santa Anita

Race 7: 7:15 EST

6 KYLEMORE 5.0 F.O. 8.0
5 JUNGLE WARFARE 6.0 F.O. 4.5 P
7 MOVE OVER 8.0 F.O. 6.0
4 RED KING 4.0 F.O. 5.0 W
Exotic Fill Ins: (10-8-1-9)

Result: 4-5-1 Paid: $13.00 Win $55.20 Exacta $133.60 Trifecta

Lone Star

PASS

Cumulative Totals

# of Racing Days = 4 # of Races Issued = 30
# of Winners in the Ranks = 17 %of winners from the ranks = 56.7%
# of Winners paying $20 or higher = 2 Highest pay = $51.40

Below are the tallies for the horses that qualified by the odds parameters given in the betting guidelines. The '$ in and $ out' figures based on $2 wagers.

All - Top - 2nd - 3rd - 4th
count- 30 – 30 – 30 – 30
qual – 17 – 16 – 19 – 21
hit – 3 – 2 – 0 – 3
hit % - 20.0% – 13.3% – 0 – 14.3%
In - $34 - $32 - $38 - $42
Out - $52.00 - $33.20 - $0 - $81.40
ROI – +52.9% - +3.8% - -100% - +93.8%

Exacta:

In - $896
Out - $817.10
ROI - -8.8%


Edited by Docwatson (04/27/19 10:50 PM)
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