I'm mainly going to be sharing my "system" plays here for the rest of the season. Will start at 0-0, though my system is 6-1 ats heading into week 7. Not going to win them all. But 4-5 years of betting these, I've seen around 65-70% winning clip.

That's just a little information on what this thread will be about. I will make clear what my system play is each week if there is one. I will also occasionally bet sides and totals I like as well.


GL the rest of the season

Week 7


San Francisco 49ers +6.5 -105


System play. This team is garbage, but most of my "system" plays will be on garbage teams just an FYI.


I ALSO grabbed +7 because of the key number but will only count +6.5 -105 for record keeping.



GL

Loss.

0-1 -$105




My first two plays here have been over before they started. San Fran gets a quick punt and fumbles it immediately. Game over. Most cappers would be discouraged and probably quit. The only two losses for my system have been NFC West home dogs against the Cowboys. But I should know that the Cowboys wouldn't regress a ton, only some.


I will be posting Friday nights here. Probably will have two plays next week and they will be very very ugly.

Ok ok here we go this is the deal betting two plays this week. If the first one losses I am going to double down on the next one. To my recollection I haven't seen 3 in a row lose, ever. So I am going to double down on that. But for record keeping purposes we will stick with just 1 unit for both. I personally like the first play a lot as well.

Both System plays this week:



Cleveland Browns +9.5 -105



Los Angeles Chargers +7.5 -115






My system is undefeated (4-0 ats) vs the Patriots this year. So that is on the line this week.


Hopefully the Browns don't put us in that position and they take care of business in the early game.



GL all

I got the Browns in at +10 -102


Will count as just one play there.

And Chargers actually at +7.5 -120

So Browns +10 -102

Chargers +7.5 -120


BOL

Brief hiatus. I'm going to post here for a long time. So not concerned about taking a break here and there.

Anyway.

0-3 -327


I had the Cowboys on Thursday night(wish I posted here) but decide to kick it back off this Sunday. Will post my two plays in a few hours here tonight. Gl tomorrow.

Buffalo Bills +7.5 -105


^^
(system play)


Seattle Seahawks +5 -109



Two plays this Sunday for me. Bills are a system play of mine. Which is 7-4 ats on the season. (Rams last week didn't post) But what counts is my disappointing 0-3 record on system plays here. Really hoping that changes. I play my regular season system plays no matter what. Over time, no matter what I need to keep my faith in them as they have produced a high winning % every year.

So bills are a system and Seahawks I just love.


GL

This is Week 13. I should have headlined that.

Week 14

Got my first win in here (non system play) Will now try for my first system win here.


Cleveland Browns +3 -105 (system play)



GL

My system really let me down in the 2h of the season. My system is based around value and perception from the prior season. So it started off 6-1 ats and finished off 3-6 ats. I unfortunately posted 5 out of the 7 losers. So next year I will shut it down the week of Thanksgiving and not mess with the system after then. It's just not worth it after week 10. The earlier it is in the season the more accurate it is. First 6 weeks at least I will be here tracking it next year.


Going to post some playoff plays in here. GL

Not sure fully how the game will play out but I do like the Rams first half


L.A. Rams -3.5 1st hf -115


Also took ATL/L.A. Under 48 -105


GL

Divisional Rd playoffs


Philadelphia Eagles ML +127


GL


Will be back regardless. Will have a play on the last game of the round. May be a big play

Points will come into play at least once this round. So it's possible philly covers and atl wins. So I played atl wins by 1-6 pts + 325 just as insurance. Wont count it as a play. And will probably have something like it in the next few games if the prop loses.

Sunday NFL Divisional Rd

Jacksonville Jaguars +7 -112




I didn't go crazy on this because if it loses I will be back for a big play on the last game. But regardless will be playing the last game either way.


GL

Okay this is where things get more interesting. I'm not playing this for a game of the year or anything, but I do have to play this. Win or lose I am pretty confident that I will have GOY type play in the next final games.


New Orleans Orleans Saints +5.5 -102


New Orleans/Minnesota Under 47 -119


props:

Minnesota wins by 1-6 pts +330

Alvin Kamara over 90.5 rush + receiving yards -105



In my mind. If Minnesota covers today they win the SB. So without really going into detail about why I like the Saints, my data tells me if Vikings cover this game they will win it all. That is all I really need to know in order to get my money back AND some if saints don't cover today. So regardless will be good to go next week.



GL all

Haha.


And there you have it folks


Now you see why I do this.


What the fuck did I say. Pts would matter one time this round. How the FUCK did I do that shit again. LFG!!!!


Tough break on the under but I'll take the rest.

Will have a lot to look at for next week. Great round. See you guys next week

Conf Championship Rd.


New England Patriots -7.5 -105



Props:

Patriots win by 7-12 pts +300



Should be back for the late game regardless


GL

Big big play for me

NFC Championship


Minnesota Vikings -3 +100


GL

Fuck 0-2 round. shit the bed on my big play this round.


Good thing I will have a game of the year for the super
bowl.

Will double check a few things throughout the week before I post it. But I will have a game of the year on the Eagles most likely. Will double check everything