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#322386 - 10/02/16 01:26 AM The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
1 and 2 unit plays this time around.. I'll try to keep it simple.

10/2
Colts -1.5 for 1
Texans -4.5 for 1
Cardinals -9 for 1
Bills +7 (-115) for 1

Good luck all!

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#322495 - 10/02/16 07:33 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Posts: 958
Pittsburgh -3 (125) for 2 units

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#322503 - 10/02/16 11:49 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
10/3

NYG/Minnesota Over 43 for 2 units

Lots of penalties for both teams as of late and lots of turnovers in the games for both teams in this young season. I think the offenses will be sharper on MMF. Minnesota has a lot to prove on the offensive side of the ball and Eli's taken 2 sacks in each of the first three games, I don't expect Minnesota to continue their five per game average. After getting owned last season, I think Eli with OBJ back will play better.

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#322593 - 10/04/16 11:57 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
Adding in a 3 unit play for a little more flexibility in indicating strength of a play.

NFL Week 5

3 unit plays:
Miami Dolphins -3 (-130)
Cincinnati Bengals -1
Baltimore Ravens -3 (-135)
Detroit Lions +3

2 unit plays:
Arizona Cardinals (Thurs) -3 (-120)
New York Jets +7.5

1 unit play:
Buffalo Bills +3

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#322901 - 10/08/16 10:52 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
Bills are +3 (-120) btw. Got them earlier in the week.

But they may take this one with some momentum on their side

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#323013 - 10/09/16 11:19 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
Adding San Diego +3.5 (-115) for 3 units

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#323068 - 10/09/16 08:07 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
Late game GB/NYG 6 pt tease under 55.5 and GB -1 for 2 units

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#323069 - 10/09/16 11:54 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
Total Record: 8-7, -1.5 units

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#323174 - 10/10/16 06:05 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
10/10

Carolina ML -250 for 2 units

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#323194 - 10/10/16 11:55 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
On the 10/16 games...

3 plays for 3 units each:
6 Point tease of Pit to -1.5 and Buf to -1.5
6.5 Point tease of Pit to -1 and NE to -2.5 (-120)
6.5 Point tease of Buf to -1 and NE to -2.5 (-120)

Total Record: 8-8, -6.5

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#323195 - 10/11/16 12:39 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Posts: 958
Hey all, definitely a little bit of a gamble here. I'm thinking around a 35-40% chance all three win, 50-55% two win, and 10% two of three bite the dust - but the risk/reward odds are there for me and I play all my posts. I usually advocate against this kind of thing, but I think you have the NFL starting to tier itself with very few elite teams and a couple reallllly bad teams and a ton of average teams. NE and Pit are elite and SF is really bad. Buffalo is a solid home team, that stadium will be rocking after winning three in a row. Brady is still on a tear and Miami and Tannehill may actually just not be all that good. Good luck all!

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#323288 - 10/13/16 03:19 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
10/13

Chargers +3 for 3 units


Got the three teases pending also

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#323360 - 10/14/16 10:35 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
10/16

Detroit Lions -3 (-120) for 3 units

More possibly to come but noticed this one. Public may bet it up and I don't love public sides but I don't think the Rams are good and I like the Lions at home to get back to .500

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#323380 - 10/14/16 02:24 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
10/16

KC -1.5 for 3 units
Baltimore +3.5 (-125)* for 3 units
Cleveland +7 (-105) for 2 units
Atlanta +6 (-105) for 2 units
Atlanta/Seattle Over 45.5 for 2 units

*learned last week never to go over -125. I'm dealing with the lines as is

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#323601 - 10/16/16 09:56 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
2 units also on Patriots -7 (-120) and Washington +3 (-120)

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#323602 - 10/16/16 10:17 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Posts: 958
Last play before later games 3 units on Carolina -3 (-105)

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#323688 - 10/16/16 06:08 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Posts: 958
Texans -3 for 2 units

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#323693 - 10/17/16 01:33 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
Cardinals -7 (-115) for 3 units

YTD: 16-12-2, -1.2 units

That three teases play didn't pan out, Steelers lost outright. Going to try to stick with the side plays and quit wasting so much vig on buying points, I know better.. they're just so tempting! But not a good value. Anyway caught the line for this game..

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#323757 - 10/17/16 06:27 PM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Got one long range teaser rolling here.. Cardinals to -1 and Patriots to -1.5 for 3 units. Landry Jones vs Tom Brady is my logic on the road team.

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#323870 - 10/19/16 12:36 AM Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL 2016 [Re: unfairadvantage]
unfairadvantage Offline
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Registered: 05/04/10
Posts: 958
6 Point tease NFL Green Bay to -2 & NCAAF Troy to -2.5

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