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#325477 - 11/04/16 03:35 PM Breeders Cup
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Click on the PDF to open the Past Performances for each race.

When the box opens click on open with and it will automatically show for you. No download required.

First race for BC is at 525PM Eastern.



Attachments
BC6Friday.pdf (16 downloads)
Description: BC Race 6

BC7Friday.pdf (21 downloads)
Description: BC Race 7

BC8Friday.pdf (19 downloads)
Description: BC Race 8

BC9Friday.pdf (15 downloads)
Description: BC Race 9


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#325478 - 11/04/16 03:37 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 6: Post 2:25 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 4-Favorable Outcome; 6-Big Score; 11-Good Samaritan

The first of four Friday Breeders’ Cup events is the Juvenile Turf. Good Samaritan is undefeated in two starts and earned a giant speed figure when rallying from last to first to win the Summer S.-G2 at Woodbine last month. The son of Harlan’s Holiday is strictly the one to beat, but his deep closing style in a 14-runner field over a tight turf course is of some concern. We’re expecting him to be along in time if he can negotiate a good trip, but that may be easier said than done. Big Score was highly impressive winning the Zuma Beach Stakes over this course and distance last month and the edge he may have over Good Samaritan is his tactical speed, which gives him a much better chance to avoid traffic. The Yakteen-trained juvenile has worked extremely well since that race, so another forward move is likely. If you can get close to his morning line of 8-1 in the straight pool, you have to take it. Favorable Outcome trained well enough on turf last week to warrant a look in this race after a somewhat disappointing third in the Champagne S.-G1 in his most recent start. He was the most impressive first-out maiden winner at the Saratoga meeting and is an extremely athletic colt with a pedigree to improve around two turns. He’s another worth a gamble if he leaves close to his morning line of 15-1.
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#325479 - 11/04/16 03:38 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 7: Post 3:05 PT. Grade: B

Use: 1-Vyjack; 3-Dortmund; 9-Gun Runner

The Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile finds Dortmund listed as the 6/5 favorite, and he’s sure to be a single on many rolling exotic tickets. The Baffert-trained colt exits by far the best races, shortens to what should be an ideal distance and continues to shine in the morning. However, he hasn’t won a race in nearly a year and in a contentious field that projects to be very fast early he may be a tad vulnerable in the final furlong, especially at a short price.; We’ll use him in our rolling exotics but a couple of price chances catch our eye. Vyjack has never been sharper and exits two powerful races, a strong runner-up effort to Masochistic in the Pat O’Brien S.-G2 sprinting at Del Mar and then a noteworthy victory in the City of Hope Mile-G2 on turf last month. He returns to the main track today (equally effective) and should settle into an ideal mid-pack, ground-saving position. If the leaders come back, he’ll be there to pick them up and at 10-1 on the morning line he’s very enticing in the straight pool. Gun Runner is a 3-year-old tackling older for the first time but he, like Vyjack, should have every chance to pick up the pace types in the final furlong. A mile seems like a perfect distance for the son of Candy Ride and based on his workouts over the Santa Anita main track he appears set for a major forward move.
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#325480 - 11/04/16 03:39 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 8: Post 3:50 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 1-Hydrangea; 11-Rymska; 14-La Coronel

This year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf is one of the deepest and most contentious events in the race’s history. La Coronel is the best the Americans have to offer but she’s stuck way out in the 14-post and will need a massive amount of luck to secure a decent trip. If she somehow can get over and settle in mid-pack without being fanned out, the daughter of Colonel John will make her presence felt in the final furlong. Hydrangea is a first-time Lasix user from England where she was multiple Group-1 placed. She lands the good rail and displayed enough speed overseas to expect that she’ll draft into an excellent second flight, ground-saving position. Her Timeform ratings show race-by-race improvement and are quite strong. Rymska is listed at 20-1 on the morning line and she’s better than that. A good second in her U.S. debut in the Miss Grillo S.-G3 last month, the Brown-trained filly was a stakes winner in France in the summer and has trained like a quality sort in recent weeks. We’d prefer to see here off the pace with cover and then produce a late run; given that kind of trip she has a decent chance to pull off a major upset. Let’s use all three in our rolling exotics and then press in the straight pool keying Rymska.
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#325481 - 11/04/16 03:39 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 9: Post 4:35 PT. Grade: X

Single: 1-Songbird

Songbird is unbeaten in 11 starts – she’s really never been tested – but today will face older fillies and mares for the first time. From the rail she’s certain to establish the pace inside, and given that role as the controlling speed the daughter of Medaglia d’Oro seems likely to continue her winning ways. She’s 6/5 on the morning line and we suspect she’ll go lower. Steller Wind seems like a logical candidate to complete the exacta if you’d like to play the verticals. We’ll make Songbird a short-priced rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.
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#325482 - 11/04/16 03:43 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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SIXTH RACE
GOOD SAMARITAN, 2-for-2, could be special. Debut winner at Saratoga, his second start was a visually impressive G3 at Woodbine versus a good field. The runner-up was a highly rated debut winner; third was a stakes winner. GOOD SAMARITAN circled the field, and won under a hand ride. Looks like a star in the making; he had a super turf work here Monday. TICONDEROGA finished a head behind the top choice first time out, and crushed a MSW next out. But his third start was odd. He broke slowly, raced in traffic, was green in the stretch and finished second as the favorite. If he gets his act together and runs straight rather than try to lug in, he has a shot to outrun his odds. European import INTELLIGENCE CROSS is a G3 winner whose trainer won this race three of the last five years. His fourth last out in a G1 might have been better than it looks; he closed ground chasing a winner that set the pace. ‘CROSS is a full brother to Hong Kong G1 winner Warning Flag.
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#325483 - 11/04/16 03:43 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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SEVENTH RACE

DORTMUND is rock solid in the BC Dirt Mile. After chasing California Chrome three straight races including a runner-up finish last out in a fast-pace route, he drops in class and cuts back in distance. He has speed, is versatile and earned triple-digit Beyers his last nine starts on “fast.” He also has an up-front style; the Santa Anita main track lately has been kind to speed around two turns. GUN RUNNER will roll late, against the track profile. But the improving 3yo has looked and trained well since arriving from Kentucky. Third in the Derby, he has been an under-rated member of the 3yo crop all year and enters with a conspicuous, positive pattern of improvement. ACCELERATE overcame a wide trip to defeat a modest field last out, his third straight. The slow-developing colt will be running late at a huge price. RUNHAPPY, 2015 BC Sprint winner, is likely to set the pace, though his current form is suspect.
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#325484 - 11/04/16 03:44 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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EIGHTH RACE

Ireland import INTRICATELY improved as the year unfolded including a G1 win last out. Among the favorites for this race by European bookmakers, she has not run a subpar race any of four starts. LA CORONEL improved a ton when she switched to turf. She beat a good maiden field at Saratoga, followed by a G3 romp at Keeneland. The “fastest” on figures, she would have been the top choice/potential favorite until she drew post 14 in this 14-horse field. VICTORY TO VICTORY won the G3 Natalma last out at Woodbine. Her connections had success with this pattern last year. Catch a Glimpse won the Natalma and wheeled back to win the Juvenile Fillies Turf. NEW MONEY HONEY won the G3 Miss Grillo at Belmont last out, a race that produced more JFT winners (3) than any other prep.
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#325485 - 11/04/16 03:44 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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NINTH RACE

Three champions collide in the BC Distaff: SONGBIRD, BEHOLDER and STELLAR WIND. Their combined record at Santa Anita = 25 starts, 22 wins, 3 seconds. SONGBIRD is likely to set the pace from the rail; the undefeated 3yo obviously has never been passed. Her victories vs. her age group have been dominant; she would be the third 3yo to win the Distaff first start against older (following Ashado in 2004, and Untapable in 2014). SONGBIRD has worked great, looked super galloping early this week, and should be long gone. The 6yo BEHOLDER was forced to set the pace from inside posts two recent losses vs. females. She is more effective stalking just off the pace, a trip that she figures to get with this outside draw. The three-time champion is making the final start of a marvelous 17-for-25 career during which she won at least one Grade 1 each of five straight seasons. STELLAR WIND was aggressively ridden both recent starts; the strategy paid off with successive G1 upsets over BEHOLDER. Lightly raced this year with only three starts, the versatile 4yo STELLAR WIND should get a favorable trip forwardly placed just off the speed. CURALINA is the top East Coast shipper. The G1 winner has been freshened two months and has history of running best first start back.
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#325501 - 11/04/16 05:59 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Looking at a bomb in BC race 7 on Friday

8 Tamarkuz currently 13-1
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#325512 - 11/04/16 06:19 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Tamarkuz paid $25.80 for the win!

bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb

win yea
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#325551 - 11/05/16 02:02 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Saturday Past Performances. To view it works the same way as it did on Friday. So easy even a caveman can do it. Virus free as always.


Attachments
BC4.pdf (15 downloads)
BC5.pdf (21 downloads)
BC6.pdf (17 downloads)
BC7.pdf (11 downloads)
BC8.pdf (17 downloads)
BC9.pdf (15 downloads)
BC10.pdf (14 downloads)
BC11.pdf (18 downloads)
BC12.pdf (14 downloads)

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#325552 - 11/05/16 02:05 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 4: Post: 12:05 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 3-Valadorna; 5-Sweet Loretta; 10-Noted and Quoted

The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies marks the stakes debut of the exciting Keeneland maiden winner Valadorna, who looked the part of a potential star in her recent six-length romp around two turns in what was just her second career start. The daughter of Curlin has trained splendidly since that early October outing and seems certain to produce a major forward move as she gains added experience. She’s a deep closer in a field loaded with speed, so we’re expecting her to be outrun early but steadily pick up her rivals and then do her best running in the final furlong. Noted and Quoted is the one to fear most. The daughter of The Factor stretched out successfully to capture the Chandelier S.-G1 over this track and distance last month and has trained with power and enthusiasm since. She’s unquestionably headed in the right direction for Baffert. Sweet Loretta is an unbeaten stakes winner in the Pletcher barn that may be flying a bit under the radar. Her numbers are okay – not great – but she appears to have some quality and should run at least as well routing as she has around one turn. She’s worth including as a saver or a back-up.
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#325553 - 11/05/16 02:05 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 5: Post 12:43 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 1-Sea Calisi; 3-Seventh Heaven; 8-Lady Eli

Lady Eli has been beaten just once in eight career starts but you can chalk up that defeat to pilot error, so by all rights the Brown-trained filly should be unbeaten. She earned a career top number when winning the Flower Bowl S.-G1 at this 10-furlong trip last month in New York and her pace-stalking style should keep her free of trouble in what should be a highly contentious edition of the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. Seventh Heaven failed to land a blow in the British Champions Fillies and Mares S.-G1 at Ascot last month (she didn’t get the best of trips and was left with too much to do) but before that she won a pair of Group-1 races in superb fashion, and a return to top form will make Lady Eli’s task difficult. She’s a first-time Lasix user for the Coolmore lads and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Sea Calisi was victimized by a lack of pace in the Flower Bowl but shouldn’t have that excuse today in a race loaded with front-running types. She has a wicked turn of foot from the quarter pole home and on firm ground figures to be heard from in the final furlong. We’ll go three-deep in our rolling exotics but then press with extra tickets using Lady Eli on top.
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#325554 - 11/05/16 02:06 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 6: Post 1:21 PT. Grade: B-

Use: 2-Drefong; 5-A. P. Indian; 7-Masochistic

The BC Sprint lost a major contender when Lord Nelson had to be withdrawn, but it remains a contentious affair despite having just seven starters. Masochistic is favorably drawn outside the other main speed, so Smith can either gun to the front or settle and stalk. The Calbred gelding has come back better than ever after suffering a hind leg fracture in this race last year and is strictly the one to beat based his exceptional, highly-rated win in the Pat O’Brien S. -G2 at De Mar in his most recent outing. Drefong has reeled off four superior wins since being beaten in his debut; the winner of the King Bishop S.-G1 in his most recent outing has trained in spectacular fashion since that late August affair and looks fit and ready for a major effort. It’s worth noting that Smith could have ridden either Masochistic or Drefong, and chose the latter, but Garcia knows him well and most likely will try to make the lead from his inside draw. A. P. Indian is facing California speed today but he’s undefeated in six starts this year and his numbers make him a solid contender. If the top two hook up in some sort of early speed duel, he’ll be the beneficiary. We’ll use all three in our rolling exotics and then have an extra ticket or two keying Masochistic.
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#325555 - 11/05/16 02:06 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 7: Post 2:05 PT. Grade: B-

Use: 1-Pure Sensation; 2-Obviously; 14-Celestine

This downhill turf sprint drew 14 runners, so over a tight, twisting turf course racing luck may very well determine the winner. Obviously has been routing much of his career but make no mistake he can be extremely effective on the rare occasions he’s allowed to shorten up. The race on paper contains less early speed than usual, so this veteran gelding should be prominent throughout, perhaps even on the lead. Strictly on numbers he’s more than good enough to beat this field. Celestine is drawn in the 14-hole but has little in the way of early zip drawn to her immediate inside and should draft into an ideal pace-stalking spot. She’s another that primarily has been a two-turn performer but her sprint form is outstanding and she’s a strong fit off her best effort. Pure Sensation has won three straight in excellent company and his numbers continue to rise; the main concern is the rail, which is not where you want to be drawn on this course in a field of this size. He does, however, have enough gate zip to secure a favorable spot and while he’s most effective on the lead, he showed he could stalk and win in his most recent win at Belmont Part. We’ll try to get by using just these three.
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#325556 - 11/05/16 02:07 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 8: Post 2:43 PT. Grade: B

Use: 2-Syndergaard; 6-Three Rules; 10-Not This Time

This edition of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile appears to be a much stronger race than par, with several of these having legitimate designs for next year’s Classics. Not This Time has been superb in two victories since an educational run in his debut and this impressive son of Giant’s Causeway already has shown he can handle two turns, something many of the other major players have yet to prove. His victory in the Iroquois over a muddy track came despite a poor start and a wide trip and yet he still managed to coast home by almost nine lengths without being asked for his best in the final furlong. A tall, rangy colt with plenty of scope, he’s a half-brother to last year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile winner Liam’s Map, so sky’s the limit. Syndergaard ran too good to lose when nosed out by Practical Joke in the Champagne S.-G1 last month. The Majesticperfection colt was caught inside in a suicidal speed duel and by all rights should have tossed in the towel in the final furlong, but instead kept finding more, only to lose a head-bob. Drawn comfortably inside and likely to be the controlling speed, the Pletcher-trained colt looks to have bounced out of the Champagne in fine fettle, breezing sharply last week at Belmont Park before heading west. At 6-1 on the morning line he’s an absolute “must use.” Three Rules, unbeaten in five starts at Gulfstream Park and a winner going long in his most recent outing, is fast on numbers and it’s not really his fault that his outclassed competition in South Florida was never able to provide a true test. We’ll find out what he’s made of today. The son of Gone Astray should draft in right behind Syndergaard and have every chance from a stalking position.
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#325557 - 11/05/16 02:07 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 9: Post 3:22 PT. Grade: B

Use: 7-Ulysses; 10-Found; 12-Highland Reel

Coolmore has this race surrounded with two exceptional entrants, the one-two finishers in this year’s Prix de l’arc de Triomphe-G1, Found and Highland Reel. The former is the defending champion of the BC Turf, loves firm ground, and was brilliant at Chantilly last month before coming back on two weeks rest and losing little when second to the European Horse of the Year Almanzor on British Champions Day. This will be her third grueling start since Oct. 2, but she followed the same pattern last year and still managed to win this race. Stable mate Highland Reel isn’t half-bad, either. The son of Galileo didn’t get the best of runs when runner-up in the Arc, and his tactical speed should allow him to settle in just off what projects to be a modest pace today. He had Group-1 success at Ascot in July, and was a runaway winner of the Secretariat S.-G1 last year in his only prior outing in North America. Price players should consider finding a spot on the ticket for another dangerous European invader, Ulysses, from the Sir Michael Stoute yard. Though unproven against this level of competition, the lightly-raced but improving sophomore can fly home and we suspect that at 12-1 under Frankie he’ll at least outrun his odds and may do a bit more than that.
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#325558 - 11/05/16 02:07 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 10: Post 4:01 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 2-Haveyougoneaway; 8-Carina Mia; 1-Wavell Avenue

Carina Mia is most effective around one turn and will enjoy ideal conditions in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint. In a field that surprisingly lacks the normal amount of early speed for a race of this quality, the daughter of Malibu Moon should be comfortably placed on or near the lead throughout. Freshened for five weeks since finishing a distant second to Songbird (while nearly seven lengths clear of the rest), the Mott-trained 3-year-old has nobody of that quality to worry about today, so we’ll put her strongly on top and hope to get close to her morning line of 7/2. Both Haveyougoneaway and Wavell Avenue are worth using as back-ups in rolling exotic play and underneath in the vertical play. Haveyougoneaway has the perfect style for this extended sprint distance (she’s one-for-one lifetime at seven furlongs) and actually beat Carina Mia in the Ballerina S.-G1 in her most recent start (though we believe Carina Mia was below her true form that day). Freshened and training superbly, the veteran daughter of Congrats should run at least as well if not better today. Wavell Avenue is the defending BC Filly & Mare champion and though she’s below that standard this year, the Pletcher-trained mare appeared extra sharp in a recent workout and may be coming back to her best. Most effective as a late-running sprinter, she could use some help up front that may or may not materialize.
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#325559 - 11/05/16 02:08 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 11: Post 4:40 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 2-Alice Springs; 3-Spectre; 9-Ironicus; 10-Limato

Though he’s unproven at the distance, Limato has been so brilliant this season in France that we seriously doubt the mile trip will be out of his range. His victory in the 7F Prix de la Foret-G1 at Chantilly on Arc day was stunning and earned a remarkable 129 Timeform rating (to put that in perspective, Tepin was assigned 124 Timeform number in her Queen Anne S.-G1 victory at Royal Ascot). The gelding has the kind of tactical speed to allow for a mid-pack early position, and his turn of foot from the quarter pole home is breathtaking. With good racing luck, he should be along in time. Alice Springs has won three Group-1 races in her last four starts and should adore Santa Anita’s top-of-the-ground turf course. Like Limato, she has a massive turn of foot; however, as glittering as her record is, her Timeform ratings don’t match up favorably with those of Limato. The improving French invader Spectre, a fast-finishing second in the Prix du Moulin-G1 in her most recent start, is another who has the ability to blast home, and at 20-1 on the morning line she offers extreme long shot value in the exotics. She’s a first-time Lasix user, lands a nice inside draw, and gains Castellano. Toss her in somewhere. Ironicus may be the best of the American contingent; he was an unlucky runner-up in the Shadwell Turf Mile-G1 when likely in need of the race and should produce a significant forward move today. He’s a deep closer that will need some luck with regards to pace and traffic, but if things go right he’ll be heard from in the final furlong.
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#325560 - 11/05/16 02:08 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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ACE 12: Post 5:35 PT. Grade: B

Use: 4-California Chrome; 10-Arrogate

The BC Classic boils down to just two and though California Chrome absolutely deserves top billing, the truth is that he’s never faced a horse as talented and as brilliant as Arrogate (the reverse, of course, is true). There is no gamble here other than to decide whether to include both in rolling exotic play or take a stand with one or the other. Both are in peak form, both have trained marvelously for the race, and both should run as well as they’re capable. The issue is, how much upside does Arrogate have? His 122 Beyer speed figure when running the fastest mile and one-quarter in the history of Saratoga in his Travers Stakes romp exceeds California Chrome’s career top by nine points. What happens if Arrogate runs back to that race today? What happens if runs even better? What is California Chrome capable of if pushed to the limit? We’re just going to enjoy the spectacle, and whatever happens, happens.
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#325561 - 11/05/16 02:10 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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BRAD FREE

FOURTH RACE
Stretch-out AMERICAN GAL can lead wire to wire in the BC Juvenile Fillies. Both sprints were sharp front-running wins; she is the pace of the race wheeling back two weeks after a facile comeback. Her outside post dictates front-running strategy. The last-out maiden win by VALADORNA was impressive. She rolled by six lengths without being asked for her best; her final time was one-fifth faster than the G1 Alcibiades. A good filly making just her third career start, VALADORNA is a “must use.” NOTED AND QUOTED, stablemate of the top choice, could get a good trip forwardly placed, although her G1 victory last out was only okay visually.

FIFTH RACE
LADY ELI has lost once in eight starts, that was her first start following a one-year layoff. Her second start back was a G1 win at Belmont; she returns to Santa Anita as the horse to beat in the BC Filly & Mare Turf. Wagering value is the issue; she is the 5-2 favorite in a deep field. European shipper PRETTY PERFECT is worth consideration at 15-1. Her most recent start in England was good; she opened up late in the race but found a mile and one-half slightly out of reach and finished fourth. The improving filly shortens to a mile and one-quarter and adds Lasix. SEVENTH HEAVEN had a rough trip last out, fifth in the same race in England ‘PERFECT exits. A generous assessment for ‘HEAVEN would be to call the effort inconclusive. She previously won back-to-back Group 1s and will roll late.

SIXTH RACE
The 2016 BC Sprint might not be as tough as previous years, therefore it’s a good spot to take a shot at a price. Stretch-runner MIND YOUR BISCUITS, listed at 20-1, arrives from Belmont in peak form. His works prior to shipping were outstanding; he has trained with enthusiasm at Santa Anita. MASOCHISTIC is vastly improved this year; both wins were impressive and he thrived in recent works. Comfortably drawn near the outside, with tactical speed and a late kick, he should fire. A. P. INDIAN is a fast gelding from the East Coast; five straight wins include four graded stakes.

SEVENTH RACE
OM is poised to upset the BC Turf Sprint. His front-running style around two turns often translates to sprint success on the downhill course. He has sharp recent form, makes his third start back from a layoff, has tactical speed but does not require the lead, and is drawn perfectly near the outside. Even if he is bet down slightly from his 12-1 morning line, he is worth backing. KARAR was crushed last out by BC Mile entrant Limato, but KARAR actually ran well in that G2 in France. He fought resolutely to save second in that seven-furlong sprint, and might like this downhill six and a half. WASHINGTON DC is a Group-1 placed European sprinter.

EIGHTH RACE
NOT THIS TIME looks and acts like the real deal. The Kentucky-based colt is a deserving favorite in the BC Juvenile. He dominated maidens and a G3 by blowout margins (10 lengths, nearly 9 lengths). Since arriving in California, he trains like he is still on an upward pattern. THREE RULES arrives from Florida with a 5-for-5 record including a 10-length romp last out in a route restricted to state-breds. Though he is fast, he won his first four starts from slightly off the pace. Perhaps he can tuck into a cozy trip behind SYNDERGAARD. The latter is probably the speed. The New York shipper missed by a nose in a G1 mile last out after blazing a half-mile in :44.63. He will be running long for the first time.

NINTH RACE
FLINTSHIRE, a Grade 1/Group 1 winner, is expected to rebound from his odds-on defeat last out and re-establish himself as the country’s top turf male. His first three starts this year were convincing; he was bogged last time by “yielding” ground at Belmont, finishing second. His best races are on “firm,” the new Santa Anita turf is fast and kind to his closing style. ULYSSES is a potential knockout. Though his European form is modest (win and second in G3s), his trainer has a long history of Breeders’ Cup success. Michael Stoute won four BC Turfs, two BC F&M Turfs. HIGHLAND REEL, runner-up last out in the Arc and three-time G1 winner, defeated Flintshire in December and finished one-two in 11 of 18.

TENTH RACE
The BC Filly and Mare Sprint is inscrutable. Although 3yos historically are up against it this race, CARINA MIA should appreciate easier company and a shorter trip after trying Songbird last out in a route. CARINA MIA has enough speed to be forwardly placed; the pace scenario is murky. WONDER GAL misfired on “muddy” last out, but her form on dry land is fast. Upset chance. HAVEYOUGONEAWAY has not run a bad race this year, five wins and two seconds from seven starts including a G1 last out. The challenge is pace. She typically rallies from midfield; the fractions could be soft.

ELEVENTH RACE
European shipper LIMATO stretches out in the BC Mile, after a crushing win in a seven-furlong G1 in France. The 8-for-13 gelding is turning left for the first time in his career; if he handles the corners he might simply be the best horse in the field. SPECTRE, a filly from France, is an upset candidate. G1-placed last out, her form improved as the season unfolded. This is her first start in two months; she should fire at a price. The amazing TEPIN (last 14 starts = 11 wins, 3 seconds) has had an ambitious international campaign. No blame her for finishing second last out behind a breakaway front-runner, but uncertain if she is as sharp now as early in the year. She won the 2015 BC Mile at Keeneland.

TWELFTH RACE
CALIFORNIA CHROME is the most probable winner of the 2016 Breeders’ Cup. The top horse in North America, he is 6-for-6 this year from California to Dubai and back. The consistently high figures he puts up are appropriate; he has tactical speed for a front-running or pressing trip, and is repeatedly proven at a mile and one-quarter. His main foe is the intriguing 3-year-old ARROGATE. The latter produced a spectacular victory last out in the Travers, winning by more than 13 lengths while running a mile and quarter in 1:59.36. Question is, can he run two alike? A bomber to sneak into the trifecta is WIN THE SPACE, who might be better than perceived. His form has gradually improved, his third-place finish last out might have been better than looked due to a tendency to lean in on rivals. But he does not lean in when he races inside, and if able to work out a ground-saving trip in this speed-filled field, he could hit the board at giant odds.
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#325562 - 11/05/16 02:11 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Bob Mieszerski

Race 9
Flintshire: Disappointed at 1-5 over yielding course
he may not have cared for, can rebound over a firm
layout.
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#325563 - 11/05/16 02:12 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Aaron Vercruysse


Race #4 (BC Juvenile Fillies)

3-11-6

#3 Valadorna was lights out last time when breaking the maiden. Obviously the water gets much deeper here, but the bullet work since her win shows me there is much more to come and that race took nothing out of her. Great betting race with many possibilities.

Race #5 (BC F/M Turf)

3-1-8

#3 Seventh Heaven has the style that we have seen from Euro invaders prove successful for many years. She has a devastating late kick and goes for top class human connections (as do they all in the BC). She wins or goes home as her record indicates with no minor awards, thinking here is she wins and then goes home with a late rally.

Race #6 (BC Sprint)

7-9-1

#7 Masochistic is the horse to beat and could be sitting on a career best effort, but is he the horse to bet? Anything can happen in these BC races and Masochistic deserves top billing, but the chances of #9 Limousine Liberal (added blinkers last time and ran huge) and #1 Mind Your Biscuits (the true late threat in this race) are perhaps too good to pass up, especially at the inviting odds they will bring.

Race #7 (BC Turf Sprint)

14-9-12

#14 Celestine has handled everything top trainer Bill Mott has thrown at her. Her style seems ideal for this hillside course going about 6 1/2 F and the outside draw is advantageous. On or near the lead and blasting home is the call here in solid race top to bottom.

Race #8 (BC Juvenile)

6-4-10

#6 Three Rules gets a chance to show what he can do against the big boys. You can only defeat who runs against you so I will not hold that Florida form against "Rules". Picture a dream trip just off Syndergaard and then first run on deep closers. Best part is the price we get to find out if he is this good.

Race #9 (BC TURF)

3-10-4

#3 Ectot showed when he was younger that once he gets good he can stay good winning four group races in a row. Last was a move forward and maybe a sign of good things to come. Speed to use if needed in race that lacks that commodity is also nice incentive for your $2 win bet.

Race #10 (BC F/M Sprint)

1-3-6

#1 Paolo Queen is a huge price on the morning line and a possible upsetter just like two starts back in the Grade 1 Test. She has speed if needed and she will here from the fence. If she is on the send and clears, I like her chances to slow things down up there with not much speed to her outside. Love the return of Javier as well, who is this barns go-to rider at GP all winter.

Race #11 (BC MILE)

10-9-2

I have been excited about today for many reasons, but one of them is #10 Limato who was jaw-dropping last time in group 1 in France. The mile is not an issue, the lasix should only help and a clean trip is all we need for the single in the rolling exotics.

Race #12 (BC Classic)

4-9-5

#4 California Chrome is all world. Perfect this year, perfect style (versatile) and loves this track. Exclamation point to a great year inserted here at the wire. Thinking is #10 Arrogate with either win or regress and if "CC" wins then regress is the option, so with that said #9 Hoppertunity who got a nice confidence building win at BEL last time could be along in the stretch to pick up the pieces, which if you play exactas and trifectas is worth your while.
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#325564 - 11/05/16 02:13 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Eddie Wilson

FOURTH RACE:

Union Strike (#9)

Does indeed get the acid test today but we think this daughter of Union Rags still has some room for improvement. Encouraged by the presence of Martin Garcia who takes the call, this two-year-old filly continues to work well in the a.m. and boasts improving numbers. Lots to like here.
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#325565 - 11/05/16 02:15 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Tom Cassidy

JUVENILE FILLIES

#3 Valadorna
#12 American Gal
#4 Yellow Agate

This year's edition is wide-open, but I am going to make Valadorna the top selection off her impressive maiden score at Keeneland last out. This filly took over and drew away from the field after a wide trip to win easily in 1:44.47. The Grade 1 Alcibiades, run the same day, was won by Dancing Rags in 1:44.69. Valadorna proved in her debut effort that she has no problem being inside horses and that she can handle kickback without an issue.

American Gal returns to the races 13 days after her impressive win in the Anoakia Stakes and I loved how she looked ready to take off in the final furlong. After winning that 6-furlong event easily, she'll try two turns for the first time, but her pedigree suggests that should be no problem. She has a tough draw, but she looks like a major player.

I liked Yellow Agate's debut as she moved inside of a horse on the far turn to continue her rally and eventually cross the wire first, and she followed that up with a game victory in her stakes debut. She has the pedigree to appreciate the added ground and is another contender.
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#325566 - 11/05/16 02:17 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Dave Weaver

FILLY AND MARE TURF

#1 Sea Calisi
#8 Lady Eli
#9 Ryans Charm

Trainer Chad Brown has won this race three of the last four years and appears to hold the aces once again this year with two top contenders. #1 Sea Calisi is the larger of the two prices at 8-1 and my preference. She did lose to stablemate Lady Eli last out, but that was a compact field of six and the race never had a chance to develop in her favor. With a bulky field today, there should be much more action on the lead and I'm expecting the back-of-the-pack rally we saw in the Beverly D. to come to fruition.

#8 Lady Eli has been an awe-inspiring story. Last July, after beginning her career a perfect 6-for-6, she stepped on a nail and developed a case of laminitis in both front feet. After a lengthy recovery she finally raced 14 months later, suffering her first defeat narrowly. She bounced back with a win in the Grade 1 Flower Bowl at Belmont Park, re-stamping her self as the queen of the division.

#9 Ryans Charm has been a sensation in Peru and will get tested for class. A 15-time winner, she carries a 6-race win streak, including an amazing victory last time out where she ended up rallying all the way on the outside rail nearly 15 wide. She attracts the services of her countryman Rafael Bejarano -- all stars could be aligned at a huge price!
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#325567 - 11/05/16 02:19 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Matt Carothers

Sprint

#8 Noholdingback Bear
#1 Mind Your Biscuits
#2 Drefong
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#325568 - 11/05/16 02:20 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Britney Eurton

Turf Sprint

#2 Obviously
#14 Celestine
#8 Washington DC
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#325569 - 11/05/16 02:21 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Scott Hazelton

Juvenile

#10 Not This Time
#2 Syndergaard
#5 Classic Empire
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#325570 - 11/05/16 02:21 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Simon Bray

Turf

#4 Flintshire
#7 Ulysses
#12 Highland Reel
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#325571 - 11/05/16 02:22 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Rich Perloff

Filly and Mare Sprint

#12 Finest City
#8 Carina Mia
#2 Haveyougoneaway
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#325572 - 11/05/16 02:23 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Mike Joyce

Mile

#2 Alice Springs
#9 Ironicus
#8 Tepin
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#325573 - 11/05/16 02:23 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Todd Schrupp

Classic

#4 California Chrome
#10 Arrogate
#6 Melatonin
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