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#325477 - 11/04/16 03:35 PM Breeders Cup
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Click on the PDF to open the Past Performances for each race.

When the box opens click on open with and it will automatically show for you. No download required.

First race for BC is at 525PM Eastern.



Attachments
BC6Friday.pdf (16 downloads)
Description: BC Race 6

BC7Friday.pdf (20 downloads)
Description: BC Race 7

BC8Friday.pdf (19 downloads)
Description: BC Race 8

BC9Friday.pdf (15 downloads)
Description: BC Race 9


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#325478 - 11/04/16 03:37 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 6: Post 2:25 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 4-Favorable Outcome; 6-Big Score; 11-Good Samaritan

The first of four Friday Breeders’ Cup events is the Juvenile Turf. Good Samaritan is undefeated in two starts and earned a giant speed figure when rallying from last to first to win the Summer S.-G2 at Woodbine last month. The son of Harlan’s Holiday is strictly the one to beat, but his deep closing style in a 14-runner field over a tight turf course is of some concern. We’re expecting him to be along in time if he can negotiate a good trip, but that may be easier said than done. Big Score was highly impressive winning the Zuma Beach Stakes over this course and distance last month and the edge he may have over Good Samaritan is his tactical speed, which gives him a much better chance to avoid traffic. The Yakteen-trained juvenile has worked extremely well since that race, so another forward move is likely. If you can get close to his morning line of 8-1 in the straight pool, you have to take it. Favorable Outcome trained well enough on turf last week to warrant a look in this race after a somewhat disappointing third in the Champagne S.-G1 in his most recent start. He was the most impressive first-out maiden winner at the Saratoga meeting and is an extremely athletic colt with a pedigree to improve around two turns. He’s another worth a gamble if he leaves close to his morning line of 15-1.
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#325479 - 11/04/16 03:38 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 7: Post 3:05 PT. Grade: B

Use: 1-Vyjack; 3-Dortmund; 9-Gun Runner

The Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile finds Dortmund listed as the 6/5 favorite, and he’s sure to be a single on many rolling exotic tickets. The Baffert-trained colt exits by far the best races, shortens to what should be an ideal distance and continues to shine in the morning. However, he hasn’t won a race in nearly a year and in a contentious field that projects to be very fast early he may be a tad vulnerable in the final furlong, especially at a short price.; We’ll use him in our rolling exotics but a couple of price chances catch our eye. Vyjack has never been sharper and exits two powerful races, a strong runner-up effort to Masochistic in the Pat O’Brien S.-G2 sprinting at Del Mar and then a noteworthy victory in the City of Hope Mile-G2 on turf last month. He returns to the main track today (equally effective) and should settle into an ideal mid-pack, ground-saving position. If the leaders come back, he’ll be there to pick them up and at 10-1 on the morning line he’s very enticing in the straight pool. Gun Runner is a 3-year-old tackling older for the first time but he, like Vyjack, should have every chance to pick up the pace types in the final furlong. A mile seems like a perfect distance for the son of Candy Ride and based on his workouts over the Santa Anita main track he appears set for a major forward move.
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#325480 - 11/04/16 03:39 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 8: Post 3:50 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 1-Hydrangea; 11-Rymska; 14-La Coronel

This year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf is one of the deepest and most contentious events in the race’s history. La Coronel is the best the Americans have to offer but she’s stuck way out in the 14-post and will need a massive amount of luck to secure a decent trip. If she somehow can get over and settle in mid-pack without being fanned out, the daughter of Colonel John will make her presence felt in the final furlong. Hydrangea is a first-time Lasix user from England where she was multiple Group-1 placed. She lands the good rail and displayed enough speed overseas to expect that she’ll draft into an excellent second flight, ground-saving position. Her Timeform ratings show race-by-race improvement and are quite strong. Rymska is listed at 20-1 on the morning line and she’s better than that. A good second in her U.S. debut in the Miss Grillo S.-G3 last month, the Brown-trained filly was a stakes winner in France in the summer and has trained like a quality sort in recent weeks. We’d prefer to see here off the pace with cover and then produce a late run; given that kind of trip she has a decent chance to pull off a major upset. Let’s use all three in our rolling exotics and then press in the straight pool keying Rymska.
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#325481 - 11/04/16 03:39 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 9: Post 4:35 PT. Grade: X

Single: 1-Songbird

Songbird is unbeaten in 11 starts – she’s really never been tested – but today will face older fillies and mares for the first time. From the rail she’s certain to establish the pace inside, and given that role as the controlling speed the daughter of Medaglia d’Oro seems likely to continue her winning ways. She’s 6/5 on the morning line and we suspect she’ll go lower. Steller Wind seems like a logical candidate to complete the exacta if you’d like to play the verticals. We’ll make Songbird a short-priced rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.
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#325482 - 11/04/16 03:43 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Brad Free

SIXTH RACE
GOOD SAMARITAN, 2-for-2, could be special. Debut winner at Saratoga, his second start was a visually impressive G3 at Woodbine versus a good field. The runner-up was a highly rated debut winner; third was a stakes winner. GOOD SAMARITAN circled the field, and won under a hand ride. Looks like a star in the making; he had a super turf work here Monday. TICONDEROGA finished a head behind the top choice first time out, and crushed a MSW next out. But his third start was odd. He broke slowly, raced in traffic, was green in the stretch and finished second as the favorite. If he gets his act together and runs straight rather than try to lug in, he has a shot to outrun his odds. European import INTELLIGENCE CROSS is a G3 winner whose trainer won this race three of the last five years. His fourth last out in a G1 might have been better than it looks; he closed ground chasing a winner that set the pace. ‘CROSS is a full brother to Hong Kong G1 winner Warning Flag.
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#325483 - 11/04/16 03:43 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Brad Free

SEVENTH RACE

DORTMUND is rock solid in the BC Dirt Mile. After chasing California Chrome three straight races including a runner-up finish last out in a fast-pace route, he drops in class and cuts back in distance. He has speed, is versatile and earned triple-digit Beyers his last nine starts on “fast.” He also has an up-front style; the Santa Anita main track lately has been kind to speed around two turns. GUN RUNNER will roll late, against the track profile. But the improving 3yo has looked and trained well since arriving from Kentucky. Third in the Derby, he has been an under-rated member of the 3yo crop all year and enters with a conspicuous, positive pattern of improvement. ACCELERATE overcame a wide trip to defeat a modest field last out, his third straight. The slow-developing colt will be running late at a huge price. RUNHAPPY, 2015 BC Sprint winner, is likely to set the pace, though his current form is suspect.
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#325484 - 11/04/16 03:44 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Brad Free

EIGHTH RACE

Ireland import INTRICATELY improved as the year unfolded including a G1 win last out. Among the favorites for this race by European bookmakers, she has not run a subpar race any of four starts. LA CORONEL improved a ton when she switched to turf. She beat a good maiden field at Saratoga, followed by a G3 romp at Keeneland. The “fastest” on figures, she would have been the top choice/potential favorite until she drew post 14 in this 14-horse field. VICTORY TO VICTORY won the G3 Natalma last out at Woodbine. Her connections had success with this pattern last year. Catch a Glimpse won the Natalma and wheeled back to win the Juvenile Fillies Turf. NEW MONEY HONEY won the G3 Miss Grillo at Belmont last out, a race that produced more JFT winners (3) than any other prep.
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#325485 - 11/04/16 03:44 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Brad Free

NINTH RACE

Three champions collide in the BC Distaff: SONGBIRD, BEHOLDER and STELLAR WIND. Their combined record at Santa Anita = 25 starts, 22 wins, 3 seconds. SONGBIRD is likely to set the pace from the rail; the undefeated 3yo obviously has never been passed. Her victories vs. her age group have been dominant; she would be the third 3yo to win the Distaff first start against older (following Ashado in 2004, and Untapable in 2014). SONGBIRD has worked great, looked super galloping early this week, and should be long gone. The 6yo BEHOLDER was forced to set the pace from inside posts two recent losses vs. females. She is more effective stalking just off the pace, a trip that she figures to get with this outside draw. The three-time champion is making the final start of a marvelous 17-for-25 career during which she won at least one Grade 1 each of five straight seasons. STELLAR WIND was aggressively ridden both recent starts; the strategy paid off with successive G1 upsets over BEHOLDER. Lightly raced this year with only three starts, the versatile 4yo STELLAR WIND should get a favorable trip forwardly placed just off the speed. CURALINA is the top East Coast shipper. The G1 winner has been freshened two months and has history of running best first start back.
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#325501 - 11/04/16 05:59 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Looking at a bomb in BC race 7 on Friday

8 Tamarkuz currently 13-1
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#325512 - 11/04/16 06:19 PM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Tamarkuz paid $25.80 for the win!

bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb

win yea
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#325551 - 11/05/16 02:02 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Saturday Past Performances. To view it works the same way as it did on Friday. So easy even a caveman can do it. Virus free as always.


Attachments
BC4.pdf (15 downloads)
BC5.pdf (21 downloads)
BC6.pdf (17 downloads)
BC7.pdf (11 downloads)
BC8.pdf (17 downloads)
BC9.pdf (15 downloads)
BC10.pdf (14 downloads)
BC11.pdf (18 downloads)
BC12.pdf (14 downloads)

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#325552 - 11/05/16 02:05 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 4: Post: 12:05 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 3-Valadorna; 5-Sweet Loretta; 10-Noted and Quoted

The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies marks the stakes debut of the exciting Keeneland maiden winner Valadorna, who looked the part of a potential star in her recent six-length romp around two turns in what was just her second career start. The daughter of Curlin has trained splendidly since that early October outing and seems certain to produce a major forward move as she gains added experience. She’s a deep closer in a field loaded with speed, so we’re expecting her to be outrun early but steadily pick up her rivals and then do her best running in the final furlong. Noted and Quoted is the one to fear most. The daughter of The Factor stretched out successfully to capture the Chandelier S.-G1 over this track and distance last month and has trained with power and enthusiasm since. She’s unquestionably headed in the right direction for Baffert. Sweet Loretta is an unbeaten stakes winner in the Pletcher barn that may be flying a bit under the radar. Her numbers are okay – not great – but she appears to have some quality and should run at least as well routing as she has around one turn. She’s worth including as a saver or a back-up.
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#325553 - 11/05/16 02:05 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 5: Post 12:43 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 1-Sea Calisi; 3-Seventh Heaven; 8-Lady Eli

Lady Eli has been beaten just once in eight career starts but you can chalk up that defeat to pilot error, so by all rights the Brown-trained filly should be unbeaten. She earned a career top number when winning the Flower Bowl S.-G1 at this 10-furlong trip last month in New York and her pace-stalking style should keep her free of trouble in what should be a highly contentious edition of the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. Seventh Heaven failed to land a blow in the British Champions Fillies and Mares S.-G1 at Ascot last month (she didn’t get the best of trips and was left with too much to do) but before that she won a pair of Group-1 races in superb fashion, and a return to top form will make Lady Eli’s task difficult. She’s a first-time Lasix user for the Coolmore lads and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Sea Calisi was victimized by a lack of pace in the Flower Bowl but shouldn’t have that excuse today in a race loaded with front-running types. She has a wicked turn of foot from the quarter pole home and on firm ground figures to be heard from in the final furlong. We’ll go three-deep in our rolling exotics but then press with extra tickets using Lady Eli on top.
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#325554 - 11/05/16 02:06 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 6: Post 1:21 PT. Grade: B-

Use: 2-Drefong; 5-A. P. Indian; 7-Masochistic

The BC Sprint lost a major contender when Lord Nelson had to be withdrawn, but it remains a contentious affair despite having just seven starters. Masochistic is favorably drawn outside the other main speed, so Smith can either gun to the front or settle and stalk. The Calbred gelding has come back better than ever after suffering a hind leg fracture in this race last year and is strictly the one to beat based his exceptional, highly-rated win in the Pat O’Brien S. -G2 at De Mar in his most recent outing. Drefong has reeled off four superior wins since being beaten in his debut; the winner of the King Bishop S.-G1 in his most recent outing has trained in spectacular fashion since that late August affair and looks fit and ready for a major effort. It’s worth noting that Smith could have ridden either Masochistic or Drefong, and chose the latter, but Garcia knows him well and most likely will try to make the lead from his inside draw. A. P. Indian is facing California speed today but he’s undefeated in six starts this year and his numbers make him a solid contender. If the top two hook up in some sort of early speed duel, he’ll be the beneficiary. We’ll use all three in our rolling exotics and then have an extra ticket or two keying Masochistic.
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#325555 - 11/05/16 02:06 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 7: Post 2:05 PT. Grade: B-

Use: 1-Pure Sensation; 2-Obviously; 14-Celestine

This downhill turf sprint drew 14 runners, so over a tight, twisting turf course racing luck may very well determine the winner. Obviously has been routing much of his career but make no mistake he can be extremely effective on the rare occasions he’s allowed to shorten up. The race on paper contains less early speed than usual, so this veteran gelding should be prominent throughout, perhaps even on the lead. Strictly on numbers he’s more than good enough to beat this field. Celestine is drawn in the 14-hole but has little in the way of early zip drawn to her immediate inside and should draft into an ideal pace-stalking spot. She’s another that primarily has been a two-turn performer but her sprint form is outstanding and she’s a strong fit off her best effort. Pure Sensation has won three straight in excellent company and his numbers continue to rise; the main concern is the rail, which is not where you want to be drawn on this course in a field of this size. He does, however, have enough gate zip to secure a favorable spot and while he’s most effective on the lead, he showed he could stalk and win in his most recent win at Belmont Part. We’ll try to get by using just these three.
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#325556 - 11/05/16 02:07 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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RACE 8: Post 2:43 PT. Grade: B

Use: 2-Syndergaard; 6-Three Rules; 10-Not This Time

This edition of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile appears to be a much stronger race than par, with several of these having legitimate designs for next year’s Classics. Not This Time has been superb in two victories since an educational run in his debut and this impressive son of Giant’s Causeway already has shown he can handle two turns, something many of the other major players have yet to prove. His victory in the Iroquois over a muddy track came despite a poor start and a wide trip and yet he still managed to coast home by almost nine lengths without being asked for his best in the final furlong. A tall, rangy colt with plenty of scope, he’s a half-brother to last year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile winner Liam’s Map, so sky’s the limit. Syndergaard ran too good to lose when nosed out by Practical Joke in the Champagne S.-G1 last month. The Majesticperfection colt was caught inside in a suicidal speed duel and by all rights should have tossed in the towel in the final furlong, but instead kept finding more, only to lose a head-bob. Drawn comfortably inside and likely to be the controlling speed, the Pletcher-trained colt looks to have bounced out of the Champagne in fine fettle, breezing sharply last week at Belmont Park before heading west. At 6-1 on the morning line he’s an absolute “must use.” Three Rules, unbeaten in five starts at Gulfstream Park and a winner going long in his most recent outing, is fast on numbers and it’s not really his fault that his outclassed competition in South Florida was never able to provide a true test. We’ll find out what he’s made of today. The son of Gone Astray should draft in right behind Syndergaard and have every chance from a stalking position.
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#325557 - 11/05/16 02:07 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 9: Post 3:22 PT. Grade: B

Use: 7-Ulysses; 10-Found; 12-Highland Reel

Coolmore has this race surrounded with two exceptional entrants, the one-two finishers in this year’s Prix de l’arc de Triomphe-G1, Found and Highland Reel. The former is the defending champion of the BC Turf, loves firm ground, and was brilliant at Chantilly last month before coming back on two weeks rest and losing little when second to the European Horse of the Year Almanzor on British Champions Day. This will be her third grueling start since Oct. 2, but she followed the same pattern last year and still managed to win this race. Stable mate Highland Reel isn’t half-bad, either. The son of Galileo didn’t get the best of runs when runner-up in the Arc, and his tactical speed should allow him to settle in just off what projects to be a modest pace today. He had Group-1 success at Ascot in July, and was a runaway winner of the Secretariat S.-G1 last year in his only prior outing in North America. Price players should consider finding a spot on the ticket for another dangerous European invader, Ulysses, from the Sir Michael Stoute yard. Though unproven against this level of competition, the lightly-raced but improving sophomore can fly home and we suspect that at 12-1 under Frankie he’ll at least outrun his odds and may do a bit more than that.
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#325558 - 11/05/16 02:07 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 10: Post 4:01 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 2-Haveyougoneaway; 8-Carina Mia; 1-Wavell Avenue

Carina Mia is most effective around one turn and will enjoy ideal conditions in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint. In a field that surprisingly lacks the normal amount of early speed for a race of this quality, the daughter of Malibu Moon should be comfortably placed on or near the lead throughout. Freshened for five weeks since finishing a distant second to Songbird (while nearly seven lengths clear of the rest), the Mott-trained 3-year-old has nobody of that quality to worry about today, so we’ll put her strongly on top and hope to get close to her morning line of 7/2. Both Haveyougoneaway and Wavell Avenue are worth using as back-ups in rolling exotic play and underneath in the vertical play. Haveyougoneaway has the perfect style for this extended sprint distance (she’s one-for-one lifetime at seven furlongs) and actually beat Carina Mia in the Ballerina S.-G1 in her most recent start (though we believe Carina Mia was below her true form that day). Freshened and training superbly, the veteran daughter of Congrats should run at least as well if not better today. Wavell Avenue is the defending BC Filly & Mare champion and though she’s below that standard this year, the Pletcher-trained mare appeared extra sharp in a recent workout and may be coming back to her best. Most effective as a late-running sprinter, she could use some help up front that may or may not materialize.
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#325559 - 11/05/16 02:08 AM Re: Breeders Cup [Re: FREAK]
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Jeff Siegel

RACE 11: Post 4:40 PT. Grade: B+

Use: 2-Alice Springs; 3-Spectre; 9-Ironicus; 10-Limato

Though he’s unproven at the distance, Limato has been so brilliant this season in France that we seriously doubt the mile trip will be out of his range. His victory in the 7F Prix de la Foret-G1 at Chantilly on Arc day was stunning and earned a remarkable 129 Timeform rating (to put that in perspective, Tepin was assigned 124 Timeform number in her Queen Anne S.-G1 victory at Royal Ascot). The gelding has the kind of tactical speed to allow for a mid-pack early position, and his turn of foot from the quarter pole home is breathtaking. With good racing luck, he should be along in time. Alice Springs has won three Group-1 races in her last four starts and should adore Santa Anita’s top-of-the-ground turf course. Like Limato, she has a massive turn of foot; however, as glittering as her record is, her Timeform ratings don’t match up favorably with those of Limato. The improving French invader Spectre, a fast-finishing second in the Prix du Moulin-G1 in her most recent start, is another who has the ability to blast home, and at 20-1 on the morning line she offers extreme long shot value in the exotics. She’s a first-time Lasix user, lands a nice inside draw, and gains Castellano. Toss her in somewhere. Ironicus may be the best of the American contingent; he was an unlucky runner-up in the Shadwell Turf Mile-G1 when likely in need of the race and should produce a significant forward move today. He’s a deep closer that will need some luck with regards to pace and traffic, but if things go right he’ll be heard from in the final furlong.
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