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#305955 - 03/10/16 06:20 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Here are the odds as of today for upcoming Primary Elections

3/15

Florida - Trump -1200
Illinois - Trump -600
Missouri - Trump +100
North Carolina - Trump -475
Ohio - Kasich -230

Current odds of who will be the Republican Nominee

Trump -280
Cruz +475
Kasich +1500
Rubio +2000
Ryan +5000
Romney +6600
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#305956 - 03/10/16 06:37 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Some rather interesting odds before the debate tonight.

Ohio polling has shown Trump ahead for quite some time but yet Kasich is the favorite.

It's likely that the Fox Poll out today had Kasich 5% ahead and I don't think there's been any other poll that has shown Kasich ahead.

CNN and the Q poll yesterday had Trump up 6%. So this could be a misnomer poll but we shall see.

Tonight's debate is one I am a bit worried about. I know that these other 3 candidates are on a lifeline with not much of a pulse.

Rubio and Kasich have absolutely no path to getting to 1237 delegates, they have absolutely nothing to lose at all. On the other hand, I can't see Kasich getting down and dirty as his entire campaign has been of the squeaky clean image. I truly believe his plan is to get to a brokered convention and steal the nomination.

As for Rubio his dirty politic tactics did not work against Trump and instead backfired. He has been exposed as a flawed candidate and what I see more than anything is for him to pander to his home state crowd in the audience for roaring applause.

He won't be anyone's VP candidate and certainly won't win the nomination.

Cruz is a mystery, he wants to bang on Trump but doesn't want to come across as a prick about it either. He's in a tough spot but I am sure he will try to use some witty lines or make attacks on things that truly don't matter in this election cycle. I can hear Trump steaks, magazines, university all coming up.

As for the moderator, I know they will ask Trump about his Muslim comment last night. I think Trump erred by not saying Radical Islam or ISIS Cell Islams rather than putting all of Islam people in one basket.

I have said in the past that the US and it's people are hated by the Middle East and what we have and stand for. But it's not everyone that feels this way, just the bad egg population of those countries.

They are going to try to pin Trump as a racist and tie in the KKK/David Duke debacle along with other comments Trump has made in the campaign but they are going to broad stroke it to make it look worse than what it was.

Trump needs to not lose his cool, answer the questions and not ramble on other topics. As the front runner he should be looking to not get hurt tonight and come off as Presidential as possible.

If I could give a few pieces of advice to Donald, they would be this.

Don't use Little Marco or Lying Ted tonight, just refer to them as other candidates and not mention names. I would use this tactic in order to not give them time to rebutt or attack back on the topic. My competition has blah blah blah.....

Don't get angry, it shows in your face big time and people pick up on it.

Be the bigger man and show why you can handle the heat. A President will always make decisions that are unpopular with someone just let it go.

Forget Mitt Romney, Lindsay Graham and others, they can't hurt you if you don't bring them up or continue to rail on them.

Talk about uniting the parry, defeating the Democrat nominee whoever it is and Making America Great Again.

Common Core, Social Security, Taking Care of the Vets, Infrastructure and Trade imbalances. I wouldn't even bring up the border in Florida.

Smile and have FUN and show it........
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#306018 - 03/11/16 11:57 AM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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A much different debate last night compared to the FOX out of control circus show.

I don't think the debate changed too much last night. Rubio got his home state clap a thon as did Cruz in Houston in the prior debate.

It just harkens me back to Romney coming off his big South Carolina loss heading into Florida being a pussy not to debate Newt in Georgia.

Trump hasn't been scared off debating in these guys home fields.

A true difference.

Polls out of Florida this morning show Trump 5-6% ahead in each poll.
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#306019 - 03/11/16 12:00 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Updated Odds as of now after the debate:

3/15

Florida - Trump -750
Illinois - Trump -530
Missouri - Cruz -130
North Carolina - Trump -475
Ohio - Kasich -150

Current odds of who will be the Republican Nominee

Trump -280
Cruz +500
Kasich +1100
Rubio +2000
Romney +6600
Ryan +7500
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#306020 - 03/11/16 12:01 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Odds dropped in all states for Trump and even pushed Cruz into the favorite in Missouri.

Note Kasich dropped in Ohio as well.

From a nominee stand point Cruz dropped but Kasich moved up.

Some interesting odd shifts after the debate.

Will keep an eye on this as we move forward to Tuesday.
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#306132 - 03/12/16 02:10 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Updated Odds as of today

3/15

Florida - Trump -600
Illinois - Trump -540
Missouri - Cruz +100
North Carolina - Trump -720
Ohio - Kasich -195

Current odds of who will be the Republican Nominee

Trump -265
Cruz +520
Kasich +720
Rubio +2000
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#306133 - 03/12/16 02:12 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Some heavy momentum for Kasich on the betting side of the nomination. His odds over the last few days have dropped a large amount.

As for Tuesday Kasich bumped up in his odds to win Ohio, Cruz dropped in Missouri. Trump down in Florida but up in North Carolina.

Let's see what things look like on Monday.
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#306316 - 03/14/16 06:39 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Updated odds as a few moments ago

3/15

Florida - Trump -1475
Illinois - Trump -270
Missouri - Cruz +115
North Carolina - Trump -780
Ohio - Kasich -420

Current odds of who will be the Republican Nominee

Trump -270
Cruz +465
Kasich +740
Rubio +2500
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#306317 - 03/14/16 06:40 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Going to need a massive turnout in Ohio to turn the results around. Odds in Illinois cut in half and Cruz still favored in Missouri.....

Going to be an interesting Tuesday.
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#306521 - 03/17/16 12:04 AM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Great night for Trump on Tuesday night winning 5 of 6 contests with the sole losing state being Ohio.

Missouri was won by around 1600 votes but a win is a win.

In Florida it was a landslide win with Trump winning every county but Marco Rubio's home county. It wasn't even close.

Moving forward it gets to be interesting as we now are playing the delegate game.

Not all states are winner take all and the proportional route is going to make this a longer process than it really should be.

I personally believe with Kasich still in the race it helps our cause.

I probably mentioned this earlier in the thread but I think Kasich is only sticking around for hopes of a brokered convention and is going to try to weasel his way to being nominated.

It WILL NOT happen.
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#306522 - 03/17/16 12:06 AM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Some odds for upcoming elections:

Arizona - Trump -975
Utah - Cruz -650

Donald Trump is Republican Nominee -330
Ted Cruz is Republican Nominee +560
John Kasich is Republican Nominee +700
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#306651 - 03/18/16 04:05 AM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Some interesting odds:

John Kasich is Republican VP Nominee +350
Chris Christie is Republican VP Nominee +500
Ted Cruz is Republican VP Nominee +515
Nikki Haley is Republican VP Nominee +625
Susana Martinez is Republican VP Nominee +1100
Carly Fiorina is Republican VP Nominee +1450
Rob Portman is Republican VP Nominee +1950
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#306822 - 03/19/16 11:07 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Updated odds for upcoming elections:

Arizona - Trump -900
Utah - Cruz -1050

Donald Trump is Republican Nominee -320
Ted Cruz is Republican Nominee +550
John Kasich is Republican Nominee +1000
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#306916 - 03/21/16 02:14 AM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Updated odds for upcoming elections:

Arizona - Trump -1050
Utah - Cruz -2960

Donald Trump is Republican Nominee -300
Ted Cruz is Republican Nominee +500
John Kasich is Republican Nominee +775
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#306917 - 03/21/16 02:15 AM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Some real drastic odd shifts for the Republican Nominee today.

Some sharp moves on Cruz and Kasich......
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#307076 - 03/22/16 11:26 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Trump wins Arizona BIG !!!!! Total ASS Kicking!!!
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#308495 - 04/05/16 11:17 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Wisconsin went the way of Cruz and it is now looking more and more like we are going to have an open convention in Cleveland.

Unless Mr. Trump runs the East, wins Indiana and a few western states and a must win in California. It is going to be something I don't want to see.

Up next the New York.
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#309648 - 04/20/16 02:22 AM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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A decisive and rout for Trump in his home state of New York with over 60% of the vote going his way. Cruz finishes a distant third with only 14%.

Trump will win at least 89 possibly 92 of the 95 delegates which opens a wider delegate total lead over Cruz who has been mathematically eliminated to reach 1237.

You haven't heard much from me other the last two weeks as I've laid low and really nothing positive was going on. With the states coming up, Trump should win them all with nice margins.

The next truly pivotal state in the race will be Indiana on May 3rd. But before we get there we must deal with April 26th with PA, CT, MD, RI and DE.

The biggest total being in PA.

Momentum in politics is a big thing and can carry a campaign to the finish, we may be seeing this take shape and next Tuesday will be a huge springboard as we are nearing the final stretch of states. Typically in years past states like NY and those coming up wouldn't play a role because it was always over for the most part, not this time around. Every delegate won is important.

Personally, I believe that Trump has this sewn up and if he does come short of 1237, it will be a matter of wrangling the undeclared or unbound delegates. We have seen a lot of wild twists in this election cycle and I wouldn't doubt there will be a lot of wrangling from Cruz to try to steal the election.

Trust me when I say this, there will be major issues if Trump isn't the nominee I don't say this lightly, because voters are already angry and it will be tenfold worse than it is now.

People will get hurt and that is something I don't want to see happen nor does anyone else. However we are in a very volatile times in politics right now.
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#310180 - 04/26/16 11:46 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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A clean sweep for Trump today. I am not just talking about winning the 5 states by big margins. He won every county, every congressional district, it was a total ass kicking that took place today.

We now will pay mind to Indiana. We shall see Boob Knight the next few days with Trump on the trails in the Hoosier state.

Cruz and Kasich need to drop out. They are both living in a delusional fantasy world thinking they are going to steal the election from Trump in Cleveland. It simply will not happen.

One of two things is clear to me, Trump will get to 1237 and beyond before the convention or come up short 20-30 delegates. With the state of Pennsylvania having 54 delegates unbound it will be very difficult for them to support the other two candidates when Trump carried the entire state. They will be going against what the people in their district voted for.

I can still hear Kasich saying I am going to win Pennsylvania. How did that work out for you?

If the party implodes it won't be Trump's fault it will fall squarely on Cruz and Kasich. Their blind egos and hatred for getting their asses handed to them has blinded them beyond belief.

The next time Kasich runs for Governor in Ohio or any other office, he should be voted out and it's simple. His campaign on the national stage has faltered badly and he doesn't deserve to be a Governor at this stage. His message doesn't resonate with voters at all.

As for Rafael, he can hate the establishment all he wants and he can think he is going to steal the nomination but it won't happen. He is walking a very dangerous line that will come back and haunt him. His smug, arrogant, non chalant facial expressions and his tone of talk really turns me off. So much I change the dial whenever they show him. He has lost his sense of reality and frankly, I don't care if he wins Western states going forward, it is all for nothing except to feed his ego.

After he loses Indiana then what.......... we still have a path?

It's morning in America?

Yes he has a path and the next morning in America he needs to follow that path to the microphone announcing he is dropping out of the race and getting behind Trump.

Save face just a little Rafael.
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#310659 - 05/03/16 01:02 PM Re: Trump 2016 Talk [Re: FREAK]
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Tonight's the night.... Folks it has been over, but finally after tonight the main stream media will FINALLY say it is over and the nominee will be Donald J Trump.

Just be sure to tune in because in the years ahead you can tell your grandchildren where you were when the news came through.

This is going to be a monumental night and Hilary better pray she is indicted because she is going to get annihilated like never before.

If you have options to make a few wagers on who will be the next President, bet it before the polls close in Indiana. The odds are going to change.

If you're sportsbook doesn't offer odds, use a site like predictit.org and get in on the action.

I don't want to get into a conversation about what took place at the AZGOP Convention on Saturday because it won't matter.

I will say this if their is a reason the party suffers it is because of Rafael and Johnny. Any other candidates would have dropped out and issued their support. These two egomaniacs have damaged the party and their reputations.

No spin needed for them, people read through their bs!
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