Lakers scored -10 from their average in last game vs Tor(regulation score was 91) Our numbers show that such teams cover next game at 61%.

Heat are in a role of Home following an Away game with 2+ days rest. Such teams are a miserable 13-27 ATS in next game.

Note that most of our actuarial angles tend to stay real close to 50/50 so with two of these in play we will go LAKAHS -3

oh yeah, don't forget that Heat are unlikely to have anyone who can contain the newly diploma'd Shaq.