SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (5th) Colonel Klink, 10-1
(6th) Miss Doctor Ty, 3-1
Belmont Park (1st) New Yawker, 7-2
(6th) Banking Holiday, 6-1
Calder (8th) Truly Classy, 3-1
(10th) Dash Dot Dash, 4-1
Canterbury (4th) In the Wind, 5-1
(5th) Green Secret, 5-1
Charles Town (2nd) You Rascal, 9-2
(6th) Tufton, 3-1
Colonial Downs (9th) Latika, 6-1
(13th) Reno, 7-2
Delaware Park (4th) Iris' Proverb, 10-1
(6th) Tripplite, 4-1
Ellis Park (2nd) Bold Twice, 7-2
(8th) Gruenewald, 9-2
Emerald Downs (5th) Keira's Way, 3-1
(6th) Klassy Kate, 7-2
Evangeline Downs (7th) Gallantly, 3-1
(10th) Ainsley's Man, 10-1
Finger Lakes (1st) Office Snitch, 7-2
(8th) Shrewd One, 7-2
Hastings Park (3rd) Shelbyann, 8-1
(5th) Mobil Supreme, 8-1
Hollywood Park (6th) Beauteous Maximus, 4-1
(8th) Partywithlarryz, 8-1
Lone Star Park (7th) P C Peach, 7-2
(11th) Swain's Legend, 6-1
Louisiana Downs (2nd) Idebeholy, 4-1
(6th) Wildcat Callie, 9-2
Monmouth Park (2nd) Destinedtobemine, 10-1
(10th) Blushing Bear, 3-1
Mountaineer Park (1st) Regina's Song, 5-1
(7th) Twice Wild, 3-1
Northlands Park (2nd) Loyal Son, 3-1
(3rd) Pier Twentyone, 3-1
Penn National (1st) Golden Hall, 4-1
(7th) Sang the Blues, 5-1
Philadelphia Park (2nd) Turning South, 9-2
(7th) Metro Man, 7-2
Prairie Meadows (5th) Must Be He, 4-1
(8th) Unbridled Praise, 3-1
Presque Isle Downs (1st) Constantiana, 5-1
(2nd) Dixie's Hope, 7-2
River Downs (10th) Pleasantly Wild, 5-1
(14th) Tigerlicious, 8-1
Suffolk Downs (4th) Tori Light, 3-1
(6th) Jaftjam, 10-1
Thistledown (1st) Good Credentials, 3-1
(9th) Briney Lad, 3-1
Woodbine (5th) Tequila Max, 8-1
(9th) My Enticement, 6-1

Courtesy of Mike Dempsey

Here is the opening race from Monmouth Park to get our day off to a good start:

MTH Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:50 ET)

#3 Souper Spectacular 3/1
#1 Unprecedented / #1a Ulterior Motive 9/5
#7 Capital Market 8/1
#2 Enchanted Circle 4/1

Analysis: #3 Souper Spectacular stretches out to a route for his second career start after making a mild late rally to finish fourth in his debut. The $1.1 million purchase should appreciate the extra ground as she is by Giant's Causeway out of the mare Vertgineux, who has dropped three stakes winners including $6 million earner Zenyatta and $1 million earner Balance, who both are better going long. The former Pletcher assistant Benzel usually does not have them fully cranked first time out, so no doubt this colt will move forward with a race under his belt.

#1 Unprecedented had to check at the break and was unable to catch a loose on the lead gate to wire winner last out in a runner up finish. The $400K purchase makes her second start off a five-month layoff for the Dutrow barn. She is the stronger half of the entry.

Wagering

WIN: #3 to win at 5/2 or better.
EX: 1,3 / 1,2,3,7
TRI: 1,3 / 1,2,3,7 / 1,2,3,7,8

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 9 The Jaipur G3 (5:17 ET)

#7 Perfect Officer 5/1
#5 Formidable 9/5
#4 Stradivinsky 2/1
#2 Dubai Rainbow 10/1

Analysis: #7 Perfect Officer may get a perfect set up here as the fractions should be sharp and this gelding could be flying late. Last out he made a mild late run to finish fourth in the Wolf Hill at Monmouth Park going 5 1/2 furlongs. The winner of that race was Silver Timber, who ran second in the McSorley in his next start. The runner up True to Tradition came back to beat $25K starter allowance foes and then run third in the Seabiscuit at Suffolk. Fifth place finisher Heros Reward ran second in a Grade 2 at Woodbine in his next start. The gelding popped a bullet work for the Weaver barn that is always tough on turf, and we should catch a fair price.

#5 Formidable pressed the early pace and weakened to finish fourth last out on the main track. The five year old has only been on turf twice with a win and a fourth, earning solid numbers in both of those efforts. The hall of fame barn has been on fire at the meet, hitting at a 39% clip.

Wagering

WIN: #7 to win at 4/1 or better.
EX: 5,7 / 2,4,5,7
TRI: 5,7 / 2,4,5,7 / 2,4,5,6,7

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Monmouth Park:

MTH Race 11 The Serenas Song (5:50 ET)

#6 Millennia 6/1
#2 C C's Pal 2/1
#1 Classic Affair / #1a Happy Week 8/5
#3 Silver La Belle 9/2

Analysis: #6 Millennia was a good looking winner last out on turf versus Alw-1 foes and was flattered when the runner up Sea Gull came back to beat Alw-1 foes in her next outing on June 26. The filly has only been on conventional dirt once in her career, a runner up finish two back going seven furlongs. Pedigree wise this gal seems better suited for dirt. She is a half to multiple stakes winner Fatal Bullet ($1 million). Decent value in this spot if we see most of the 6/1 ML.

#1 C C's Pal beat Alw-2 foes last out after coming up short in three graded stakes in her previous outings. She did not fire at Pimlico two back, but her efforts in the Comely (G3) and Florida Oaks (G3) are good enough to be in the mix here.

Wagering

WIN: #6 to win at 4/1 or better.
EX: 2,6 / 1,2,6
TRI: no play

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Colonial Downs:

CNL Race 12 The Virginia Derby G2 (6:00 ET)

#3 Interactif 3/1
#7 Paddy O’Prado 7/5
#2 Krypton 7/2
#8 Stately Victor 8/1

Analysis: #3 Interactif is coming off a disappointing seventh place finish in the Belmont Stakes (G1) where the colt was up close to the pace and tired to finish nine lengths behind the winner. The colt won his first two starts on grass as a two-year-old, taking the With Anticipation and Bourbon, both Grade 3’s. He was only beaten ¾ of a length in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G2) in a third place finish. He started his three-year-old campaign with a game nose loss in the Hallandale Beach on turf at Gulfstream Park in February. That is four solid efforts on turf, and he figures to offer a bit more value for the top spot than our second choice.

#7 Paddy O’Prado bounced back off a poor effort in the Preakness Stakes (G1) with a good looking win in the Colonial Turf Cup (G2) at Colonial Downs, and this guy has not run badly on turf in his five starts, which include a third behind our top pick last year in the With Anticipation. The colt owns the top last out speed fig and is a logical threat to repeat here, but at odds of even money or 6/5, I am looking elsewhere for value.

#2 Krypton tracked the early pace and finished well to take the Hill Prince (G3) last out at Belmont Park. The colt earned a career top speed figure in that effort, but he really did not beat a very tough field, facing just four foes. His two previous starts on turf were a fourth and a second in Alw-1 company at Gulfstream Park, and he did catch above average fields in those two losses. He appears to outclass the rest of the field in here, but we would have to see more than the 7/2 morning line to make him look attractive enough to beat the top pair in here.

Wagering

WIN: Interactif to win at 5/2 or better.
EX: 3,7 / 2,3,7,8
TRI: 3,7 / 2,3,7,8 / 1,2,3,7,8

Live Longshots:

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park

R2: #6 Wollaston Bay 8/1
R3: #3 Five Boroughs 12/1

Good luck today!

BEL 7th (4:12)

1 1/16 Miles (Inner turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000) | Purse: $26,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Kijo Espinoza J L Hernandez, Jr. S R 119 $25,000 L 12-1
2 2 Royal Lord Studart M Quick Patrick J 121 $25,000 L 30-1
3 3 True Linnet Lezcano J Clement Christophe 117 $25,000 L 4-1
4 4 Millennium Jet Husbands S P Pringle Edmund 121 $25,000 L 8-1
5 5 Giopi (IRE) Lopez A Baker Brad L 110 7 $25,000 L 20-1
6 6 Patent Pending Tom Rodriguez J Fisher Linda 114 7 $25,000 L 20-1
7 7 Golly Day Cohen D Weaver George 117 $25,000 L 7-2
8 8 Nobody Like Mike Santiago V DiPrima Gregory 121 $25,000 L 3-1
9 9 Screenplay Hill C Terranova, II John P 117 $25,000 L 6-1
10 10 Verveitup Lopez C C Farro Patricia 121 $25,000 L 6-1
11 AE Dbl Nvisabl George Hole T M Kopaj Paul 117 $25,000 L 20-1
12 MTO Rasher Lezcano A Dutrow, Jr. R E 117 $25,000 L 2-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Pick 4 Races (7-10) Daily Double Wagers

Brian Blessing's Pick's 7-3-8

Look for Golly Day to be staging a significant rally in deep stretch. He has won at this distance before.

MTH 10th (5:23)

1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($40,000) | Purse: $82,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Best Actor Castro E McLaughlin Kiaran P 117 L 6-1
2 2 Almoradi (IRE) Fragoso P Biancone Patrick L 120 Blk-On L 6-1
3 3 Blushing Bear Shepherd J Dodgen James A 120 L 3-1
4 4 Sporting Art Lopez P Mitchell Mike 120 $40,000 L 7-2
5 5 Hoppsey Marquez C H Jr Asmussen Steven M 122 L 5-2
6 6 Nightscape Ortiz F L DeMario Charles A 120 L 30-1
7 7 Together Indy Bravo J Weaver George 120 L 9-2
8 8 Crew Boyce F White Alexandra 113 7 L 15-1

Win, Place and Show Exacta, Trifecta and 10-Cent Superfecta Daily Double (Races 10-11)/Pick 3 (Races 10-11-12)

Battagliaspicks 3-4-5

#3 Blushing Bear-This is our best play of the day. He won two turf routers in a row at Tampa then ran 3rd in a wide open grade II beaten by older runners by only 2 lengths . He then ran in a grade II at CD going a mile and half again against older runners and was beaten only 6 lengths. He gets in easy today and should whip these.

Arlington 4th (1:57)

5 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 2 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $29,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 4 Teachem Outlaw Diego I Flores Rafael I 118 FTL 4-1
1A 8 Thewayitusedtobe Felix J E Flores Rafael I 118 L 4-1
2 5 Naturday Emigh C A Janks Christine K 118 FTL 6-1
2B 6 Fire Road Emigh C A Janks Christine K 118 Blk-On L 6-1
3 1 Dance for Paco Sellers S J Darjean Paul 118 FTL 12-1
4 2 Cocky Bull Graham J Dini Mike 118 FTL 6-1
5 3 Forbidden Forest Castanon J L Gabriel Leo G Jr 118 FTL 8-1
6 7 Peso Jaen A Boyce Michele 118 FTL 6-1
7 9 Next Kitten Baze M C Catalano Wayne M 118 FTL 5-2
8 10 Twello Wade L Wainwright John C 118 L 9-2

A-Coupled: Teachem Outlaw and Thewayitusedtobe

B-Coupled: Naturday and Fire Road

$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Daily Double (Races 4-5) / $2 Exacta $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)

Battagliaspicks 1A-4-5

#1a Thewayitusedtobe- romped in his debut here going right to the lead and winning by 3. He wound up being DQ'ED for too much bute. He then went to CD, went right to the lead in a grade III but tired going 6f. He runs back with maidens going 5f today and should never look back.

#1 Denham- This one has never been better. He has not raced on the turf but his sharp connections are taking a logical shot as he handles the Poly and loves the mud. He is bred to take them wire to wire.

SATURDAY, JULY 17, 2010

ELLIS RACE 4 courtesy of HorsePlayerNow
#7 Dakota Dazzler (4-1)

Our Eyes: Away well, caught 3-4 wide early on turn, 3-wide when spun in for home, one-paced but still grinding to just miss 2nd behind impressive runaway winner. Didn't seem fully cranked for that on paper anyway, and has two solid works since then for a 20% 2nd-out barn. Has a live look. UPDATE: Dueled, quit, like better from slightly off the pace as a grinding stalker. - Brian Spencer

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Value Plays courtesy of Rick Needham

COLONIAL DOWNS
RACE #2: The 5-1 shot, #7 SPECIAL BEAUTY, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-11), and shares the speed honors in this maiden field with #9 BUREAUCAT.

PHILADELPHIA PARK
RACE #1: #4 SHEZAGREATGAL, a 4-1 shot, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-8), and has decent overall speed for this mile test on the dirt.


NOTE: The longshot entries listed below have been "found" utilizing TrackMaster's fantastic new product Ultra Angles ... I have utilized this product to scan EVERY TRACK in North America for entries today meeting the following 3 criteria:

a. Odds are GREATER THAN 4-1
b. The entry must be the TOP POWER RATED entry in the field
c. The entry must also have the BEST SPEED in this field for today's distance and surface!
NOTE: Listed Post Times are given in the local time zone of the track.

Canterbury Park - Race #10 - 5:38PM - #5 BAC IN STYLE 8/1
Colonial Downs - Race #2 - 12:58PM - #7 SPECIAL BEAUTY 5/1
Colonial Downs - Race #3 - 1:26PM - #1 LUCKY WILL 6/1