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5/26 Trends & Angles
#204195 05/26/10 07:51 AM
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Tim Hudson (5-1, 2.09), Atlanta Braves

It must be the early 2000s all over again because Tim Hudson is pitching like Cy Young.

The veteran right-hander has yielded a total of three hits in each of his last two outings – both wins. In his last five starts, Hudson is 4-0 while giving up only five earned runs and no more than two in a single game.

“My sinker feels really good, and for me that’s the key,” Hudson said. “Stay down in the zone with it, (get) good action, stay on top of it, (with) good downward tilt.”

“He’s got that extra, late movement and that makes it frustrating,” Pittsburgh’s Ryan Church said of the sinker. “He’s a ground-ball pitcher and it looks like he’s got his arm strength back from surgery.”

Hudson is 8-2 with a 2.92 ERA in 15 career starts versus Florida.

Chad Billingsley (5-2, 3.36), Los Angeles Dodgers

After a rough first month of the 2010 season, Chad Billingsley is starting to collect himself.

In his last three outings, the righty is 3-0 with a 1.56 ERA. Billingsley didn’t yield more than four hits in each of those three starts and he struck out 18 hitters.

Billingsley likes to work fast on the mound but some analysts attributed his early struggles to being too quick between pitches and hitters.

“He was great,” manager Joe Torre said after Billingsley shutout the Padres in a 1-0 victory last week. “He was so comfortable to watch for me. He had a good tempo all game. He didn’t try to rush himself.”

Slumping

Joe Blanton (1-2, 5.06), Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia’s third option in the rotation hasn’t found his form since returning from injury in early May.

Joe Blanton has historically been a second-half pitcher, dropping his ERA almost a full run in 2009 post-All-Star break, so maybe he’s still working out the kinks.

This season, Blanton has surrendered no less than three runs in each of his four starts and opposing offenses are averaging a hit per inning of the right-hander.

There aren’t too many times you’re going to find the Phillies around a pick ‘em against a pitcher making his second big league start (Takahashi, Mets) but Blanton’s struggles are likely the reason.

Kevin Correia (4-4, 4.57 ERA), San Diego Padres

Kevin Correia has made two starts since his 21-year-old brother fell to his death in a hiking accident. He lost both of those games and has dropped three straight outings overall.

Correia said that when he's been on the mound he's "just concentrating on the game" but you have to wonder if his mind drifts to more personal matters, which would be completely understandable.

The righty has been tagged for four earned runs in his last two starts and registered a 2:1 strikeout to walk ratio in those games while not getting past the sixth inning.

Correia called his brother’s death the toughest think he’s ever had to deal with and until more time passes San Diego’s No. 2 guy may continue to struggle.


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Re: 5/26 Trends & Angles
FREAK #204198 05/26/10 08:01 AM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,124
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
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ATLANTA (23 - 21) at FLORIDA (23 - 22) - 7:10 PM
TOMMY HANSON (R) vs.na (17 - 27) - 8:10 PM
ROY OSWALT (R) vs.na is 17-27 (-11.na is 4-14 (-13.na is 17-27 (-11.na is 2-9 (-8.na is 1-8 (-9.na since 1997
OSWALT is 13-8 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.na HOCHEVAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.na HOCHEVAR vs. TEXAS since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.58 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (25 - 19) at SEATTLE (16 - 28) - 3:40 PM
JEREMY BONDERMAN (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 22-42 (-17.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-19 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 16-6 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 25-19 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BONDERMAN is 12-2 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 16-28 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 5-16 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
SEATTLE is 15-26 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BONDERMAN is 5-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.3 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (27 - 20) at LA ANGELS (21 - 26) - 7:05 PM
BRANDON MORROW (R) vs. JOEL PINEIRO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 123-95 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 44-23 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 113-87 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 540-529 (+48.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TORONTO is 27-20 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 13-6 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 16-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TORONTO is 15-8 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
TORONTO is 15-7 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TORONTO is 23-14 (+11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 12-4 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

BRANDON MORROW vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MORROW is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JOEL PINEIRO vs. TORONTO since 1997
PINEIRO is 2-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.192.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (23 - 22) at BALTIMORE (14 - 31) - 7:05 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. BRIAN MATUSZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 76-121 (-43.3 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
CAHILL is 12-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 78-129 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-13 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 513-564 (-118.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 513-564 (-118.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 212-308 (-86.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 (+1.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
CAHILL is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

BRIAN MATUSZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MATUSZ is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (25 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (32 - 13) - 7:10 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 32-13 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 42-12 (+22.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 127-64 (+34.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 101-69 (+31.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 128-67 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 138-75 (+34.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 88-38 (+33.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 42-50 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LACKEY is 9-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.177.
His team's record is 10-3 (+5.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.3 units)

MATT GARZA vs. BOSTON since 1997
GARZA is 8-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.71 and a WHIP of 1.080.
His team's record is 12-3 (+10.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.5 units)

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NY YANKEES (26 - 18) at MINNESOTA (26 - 18) - 8:10 PM
ANDY PETTITTE (L) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 31-15 (+14.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 116-69 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 76-55 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 43-17 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 51-26 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 77-36 (+25.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 15-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PETTITTE is 12-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 14-6 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-9. (+1.2 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
LIRIANO is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.616.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)


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