Home Forums Sports Picks Central Trackside Picks WEDNESDAY PONIES

Courtesy of Mike Dempsey

(New York Racing is off until Belmont opening day Friday)

Here is today's opening race from Churchill Downs to get our day off to a good start:

CD Race 1 Md $40,000 (12:45 ET)
#3 Truth Will Tell 7/2
#5 Jozi's Turn 5/2
#2 Grand Dooley 4/1
#4 My Fast Friend 5/1

Analysis: #3 Truth Will Tell drops back in for a tag for her third career start for the Wilkes barn that brings them along slower than most. The filly was off a beat slow in both of her starts, last out coming from a bum post at Keeneland over the poly. She showed some late interest in her debut at Gulfstream Park after breaking tardily, checking in fourth. Third time out looks like the charm and she is in light with the bug Lenclud.

#5 Jozi's Turn is coming off a solid second last out at Delta against maiden special weight company. The fourth place finisher in the race was Island Bluff, who came back to beat $15K maiden claimers in her next outing on April 18 at Lone Star. The filly picks up the red hot Borel, who rides here for his brother.

Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 5/2 or better.
EX: 3,5 / 2,3,5
TRI: no play

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:

CD Race 9 Alw $52,500N2X (4:59 ET)
#4 Awesome Grannie 5/1
#3 Consequence 3/1
#2 Sweetest Song 4/1
#7 Sweet Theresa 8/1

Analysis: #4 Awesome Grannie has tried this condition three times, last out weakening to finish fifth at Gulfstream Park where she was beaten two lengths for the top spot. That was a pretty strong group she ran into that day. The winner Speak Easy Gal came back to win the Orchid (G3), and the runner up Salve Germania is a Grade 2 winner.

#3 Consequence tracked the early pace, had the lead heading for home and could not hold off the winner late, beaten just a neck for the top spot. The filly figures to move forward in her second start off a 5 1/2 month break. She has quite the pedigree, out of the Grade 1 winner Educated Risk ($1.1 million). She is a legit player in here although I am hoping our top pick offers more value for the top spot.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 3/1 or better.
EX: 3,4 / 2,3,4,7
TRI: 3,4 / 2,3,4,7 / 2,3,4,5,7

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Churchill Downs
R5: #6 Triple Nine Fine 8/1
R7: #3 Forum 8/1
R9: #7 Sweet Theresa 8/1
R10: #13 Saviano 12/1

Good luck today!

CDX 8th (4:27)

1 1/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $50,000

Prg.na D Wayne 114 LA 5-1
6 6 Brickyard Helen Graham J Margolis Steve 118 LA 3-1

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)

Battagliaspicks 4-2-1

#4 Four Bears- Finished 2nd here in NOV behind a next out stake winner. In her second start she won going 2 turns at FG. She just missed after a 9 week break at this same level and distance. She has four works here and looks like a front running winner.

HOLLY 4th (2:34)

1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($10,000 - $9,000) | Purse: $17,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Bright Prediction Amador S R Polanco Marcelo 120 $10,000 L 20-1
2 2 Autocue (GB) Talamo J Hess R B Jr 120 $10,000 L 4-1
3 3 King Congo Garcia M Morey William E 122 $10,000 L 3-1
4 4 One More King Bisono A Saavedra Anthony K 118 $9,000 L 20-1
5 5 Marquet Rebel Quinonez A Eurton Peter 122 $10,000 L 12-1
6 6 Absolute Glory Baze T C Lewis Craig A 120 $10,000 L 6-1
7 7 Fenice (IRE) Pedroza M A Mullins Jeff 122 $10,000 L 4-1
8 8 Our Partner Rosario J Mitchell Mike 122 $10,000 L 5-2
9 9 Colorful Dancer Valdez F S Velasquez Danny 118 $9,000 L 20-1

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $2 Double / $1 Pick 3

Battagliaspicks 3-8-2

#3 King Congo- has found a new home since switching to the POLY. He was dropped to the bottom (4k) when the synthetic gave him new life as he won 4 in a row. He won last out wire to wire and claimed for 10k by a sharp trainer. He wins at 37% with his new claims first out. He looks like the only speed and is our best bet.