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#198823 - 03/22/10 03:52 AM
Re: 3/22
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71407
Loc: Time to play the Game
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SPORTS ADVISORS
Connecticut (18-15, 12-19 ATS) at Virginia Tech (24-8, 13-12-1 ATS)
After slipping past Northeastern in the opening round, UConn now travels to Blacksburg, Va, to take on Virginia Tech in the second round of the NIT. The Huskies, losers of four straight coming in o the tournament, got 18 points from Jerome Dyson and edged Northeastern 59-57 Tuesday, coming up well short as seven-point favorites at home. UConn lost three in a row (SU and ATS) to close out the Big East regular season and then was embarrassed by St. John’s in the opening round of the conference tourney, losing 73-51 as a 4½-point chalk.
The Hokies delivered an 81-61 beating to Quinnipiac at home in Wednesday’s opening-round game, easily cashing as 13-point favorites. Malcolm Delaney led the way with 25 points, six assists and seven boards, while teammate Dorenzo Hudson chipped in with 19 points. Virginia Tech won its final two ACC regular-season games (SU and ATS), but got dropped in the first round of the conference tourney, losing 70-65 to Miami as a 3½-point favorite, ending its Big Dance hopes. These teams have met seven times since 2001 with the Huskies holding a 6-1 (5-2 ATS) advantage. Last time they met was in 2004 when UConn scored a 96-60 win as a 14-point favorite. The Huskies have cashed in six of their last eight as an underdog and eight of their last 10 after a straight-up win, however they are on ATS skids of 0-4 after a non-cover and 0-5 against winning teams. Virginia Tech is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 against Big East teams and 5-0 ATS in its last five non-conference contests, but it is 0-4 ATS in its last four as a home chalk of less than seven points and 1-3-1 ATS in its last five after a straight-up win. For UConn, the under is on several streaks, including 8-3 overall, 6-0 against ACC squads, 10-4 after a non-cover, 21-10 as an underdog and 19-8 as a road ‘dog. The Hokies have stayed below the posted number in seven of 10 as favorites, but they are on “over” streaks of 23-11 as a home favorite, 14-3 in non-conference action and 7-1 against Big East squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE: VIRGINIA TECH
Dayton (21-12, 14-15-1 ATS) at Cincinnati (19-15, 10-19 ATS)
After limping to the finish line in the Atlantic 10, Dayton opened the NIT with a decisive win and now travels to Cincinnati for second-round action against the Bearcats. The Flyers lost five of seven to close out the season, including a 78-73 setback to Xavier in the conference tourney, falling short as three-point pups. They were able to bounce back in the opening round of this event, crushing Illinois State 63-42, easily covering as 7½-point favorites. Dayton shot 48.1 percent from the floor as 11 players got in the scoring column, led by Chris Johnson’s 13 points and nine rebounds. Cincinnati reached the quarterfinals of the Big East tourney before falling to eventual-champ West Virginia 54-51, cashing as an 8½-point ‘dog. On Wednesday the Bearcats routed Weber State 76-62 as a 9½-point favorite in the NIT’s opening round, getting 16 points and seven assists from Donta Vaughn and 14 points from Lance Stephenson.
These teams last met in the 2005 campaign when both were in the Atlantic 10, splitting two games within a 30-day period. Dayton scored a 75-66 win as a 9½-point pup only to have Cincinnati return the favor with an 81-63 win as a 7½-point chalk. The Bearcats are 6-2 SU (5-3 ATS) in eight ead-to-head meetings with the Flyers since 1998. Dayton is 5-0 ATS in its last five non-conference contests and 4-1 ATS in its last five against Big East squads, but it is on several ATS skids, including 2-7-1 overall, 0-4-1 on the road, 0-3-1 after a straight-up win and 1-6-1 against winning teams. Cincinnati is on a plethora of negative ATS streaks, including 7-19 overall, 3-13 at home, 18-39-2 as a home favorite, 16-37-1 as a favorite anywhere, 1-7 at home against teams with a losing record and 0-6 as a home favorite of less than seven points. The Flyers are on “under” streaks of 7-0 in non-conference action, 5-2 as a road ‘dog and 7-3 after a spread-cover, but they’ve topped the total in five of their last six against Big East squads. The Bearcats have stayed below the number in five of six overall, seven of eight non-conference games and five of seven Monday contests, but they are on “over” runs of 7-2 against Atlantic 10 foes and 5-1 as a home favorite.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DAYTON
NBA
San Antonio (41-27, 35-32-1 ATS) at Oklahoma City (42-26, 40-28 ATS)
The Spurs wrap up a quick two-game, two-day road trip with a stop at the Ford Center in Oklahoma City for a battle with the Thunder. San Antonio was in Atlanta last night where it fell to the Hawks 119-114 in overtime, just missing as a three-point underdog. Despite the setback, the Spurs have won five of their last seven games and nine of their last 12, going 4-3 on the highway. They’re also on a 9-2 ATS run (including 5-2 ATS as a visitor). For the season, Gregg Popovich’s troops are 16-17 outside of San Antonio (15-18 ATS). Oklahoma City suffered a shocking 20-point loss at Indiana on Sunday, falling 121-101 as a 5½-point road favorite. Still, like the Spurs, the Thunder are playing solid basketball over the past few weeks, winning nine of their last 12 (7-5 ATS) and 18 of their last 23 (13-10 ATS). During this 23-game stretch, Oklahoma City is 7-1 at home (5-3 ATS), boosting their overall mark at the Ford Center to 22-11 (18-15 ATS). The Thunder knocked off the Spurs 101-98 as an 8½-point road underdog back on Nov. 14, but San Antonio has taken the last two meetings, prevailing 109-108 in overtime as a 1½-point road ‘dog in mid-January and 95-87 as a 4½-point home chalk in late February. The Spurs are 6-2 in the last eight meetings, but the teams have split the cash in those contests. Also in this rivalry, the Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven trips to Oklahoma City, the underdog is on a 5-2 ATS roll and the visitor has cashed in four of the last five. In addition to their current ATS surges of 9-2 overall and 5-2 on the road, the Spurs are on pointspread upticks of 4-2 as an underdog (all on the road), 6-0 against the Western Conference, 4-2 versus winning teams and 14-5-1 on Monday. However, they’ve failed to cash in 15 of 22 against Northwest Division squads. It’s been nothing but positive ATS runs for the Thunder, including 12-4 versus winning teams, 4-0 against the Western Conference, 5-1 versus Southwest Division squads, 11-1 as a favorite of less than five points, 5-0 at home in that price range and 40-19 on Monday. San Antonio sports “under” trends of 4-2 on the road, 7-2 as an underdog (all on the highway), 5-1 as a pup of less than five points, 5-0 against the Northwest Division, 4-2 versus winning teams and 11-4 when going on back-to-back days. Also, Oklahoma City has stayed low in 10 of 11 on Monday, 17 of 25 as a small favorite (less than five points) and 4-1 against the Southwest Division, Conversely, the Thunder are on “over” runs of 8-3 overall, 10-4 as a favorite, 4-1 at home and 4-1 when playing on no rest. Finally, four of the last five series meetings overall and seven of the last 10 clashes at the Ford Center have topped the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OKLAHOMA CITY
Boston (45-24, 29-38 ATS) at Utah (45-25, 43-24-3 ATS)
The Celtics shoot for their fifth straight victory when they conclude a three-game road trip with their one and only visit of the season to Energy Solutions Arena for a matchup with the Jazz. Boston has registered four straight comfortable victories (seven points or more), cashing in all four, including Saturday’s 102-93 upset victory at Dallas as a four-point underdog. The winning streak comes on the heels of 1-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS slumps, and the Celtics continue to perform much better on the road (24-12 SU, 19-16-1 ATS) than at home (21-12 SU, 10-22-1 ATS). Utah is coming off Saturday’s 106-86 beat-down of the Hornets, easily covering as a 9½-point home favorite. Still, the Jazz have split their last six games both SU and ATS (three home wins, three road losses) after a 30-game surge that saw them go 24-6 SU and 22-5-3 ATS. Also, Utah has won six in a row SU and ATS at home and it is 16-2 in its last 18 in Salt Lake City (13-3-2 ATS). The home team has won three in a row in this rivalry, including Boston’s 105-86 rout of the Jazz back on Nov. 9, easily cashing as an 11-point favorite to halt Utah’s 5-1 ATS run in this rivalry. Despite losing 90-85 as a two-point favorite in last year’s game in Utah, the Celtics are still 5-2 ATS in their last seven visits to Salt Lake City.
Boston is on ATS runs of 4-0 overall, 4-1-1 on the road, 3-1-1 after a SU win, 5-2 after a spread-cover, 3-1-1 when playing on one day of rest, 52-24-2 as an underdog, 14-6 as a ‘dog of five to 10½ points and 23-10 as a road pup of five to 10½ points. However, the C’s are still 2-8 ATS in their last 10 on Monday and 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 against western Conference opposition. The Jazz are on spread-covering sprees of 37-16-3 overall, 21-6-2 at home, 17-5-1 versus the Eastern Conference, 5-0 against the Atlantic Division, 20-5-2 as a favorite, 20-6-2 as a home chalk, 25-10 on Monday and 13-6-3 when coming off a double-digit win. The lone negative: a 2-5 ATS mark in their last seven when coming off one day of rest.
Utah has gone over the total in eight of 11 as a favorite, six of seven as a chalk of five to 10½ points and eight of 11 on Monday. Also, the over is 5-1 in Boston’s last six against the Northwest Division, 13-5-1 in the last 19 Jazz-Celtics meetings overall and 5-2 in the last seven meetings at Energy Solutions Arena. On the flip side, Boston is on “under” stretches of 8-2 against the Western Conference, 4-1 on the road, 7-1 after a SU win, 6-1 after a non-cover and 26-11-1 on Monday, while the under is 3-0-1 in the last four against Atlantic Division foes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
_________________________
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FREAK
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#198824 - 03/22/10 03:54 AM
Re: 3/22
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71407
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Bobby Maxwell FREE
The home team has owned this matchup lately, winning nine of the last 10 matchups, including last month when the Hawks edged the Bucks 106-102 in overtime but came up well short as an 8½-point favorite. Tonight, I’ll stick with the home-team trend and lay the small chalk with a damn good Milwaukee squad.
The Bucks have won eight of their last nine contests and just ended a strange, three-game West Coast road trip that saw them lose to the Clippers, edge the Kings in double overtime and then had the legs to beat up the Nuggets on Saturday, winning 102-97 as a 10-point underdog. Milwaukee looked great on Saturday, despite point guard Brandon Jennings (nine points) and surging center Andrew Bogut (two points in just 15 minutes) not chipping in their regular numbers.
Since the addition of John Salmons and his scoring ability, this Bucks team has become a force in the Eastern Conference. He had 21 in Denver on Saturday and Carlos Delfino had 26.
Atlanta is shaky on the highway at best, with losses in Miami, New York, Toronto and an overtime win in Charlotte on Friday being some of their ugliness on the highway lately. They are a mediocre 17-17 on the road while Milwaukee is 23-9 at home.
In this series, the home team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 and the favorite is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11. Milwaukee is 35-16-1 ATS in its last 52 overall and I’m banking on them delivering a big performance tonight. Lay the chalk with the Bucks.
3* MILWAUKEE
_________________________
Do not post any write ups from any newsletters. Also do not cut and paste any news stories or blog items from other websites. All of the preceding are copyright protected and unless you have written permission from the author it is considered copyright infringement.
FREAK
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#198828 - 03/22/10 04:11 AM
Re: 3/22
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71407
Loc: Time to play the Game
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David Chan
Free
REASON FOR PICK: Take the Celtics +5.
We suggested Boston as a free play Saturday, and Monday sees us offer up a second helping. The rationale remains similar: the Celtics are halfways bettable away from the Garden, moreso as dogs.
Utah is a rock-solid home team (how’s 24-10-2 ATS?) but has been running that number higher lately as double-digit chalk against weak opposition. You have to go back some distance, but the last two times the Jazz were at home to teams where they gave less than seven points, they lost straight up (Feb 10th, Lakers 96-81; Feb 22nd Hawks 105-100). Since then it’s been 6-0 SU and ATS, but it’s been the Bobcats, Rockets, Clippers, Wizards, T-Wolves, and Hornets.
We got touched up last week with another pick when we took those T-Wolves in that spot, but I think the picture’s clearer now: Utah will try to bury weak opposition for the home crowd, but struggles against quality opposition.
In the teams’ other matchup this year, the Celtics crushed the Jazz 105-86 at the Garden.
Best of luck in all your bets, DC.
_________________________
Do not post any write ups from any newsletters. Also do not cut and paste any news stories or blog items from other websites. All of the preceding are copyright protected and unless you have written permission from the author it is considered copyright infringement.
FREAK
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#198830 - 03/22/10 11:09 AM
Re: 3/22
[Re: tinfw17]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 3978
Loc: TX
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets
Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings (-140, 5.5)
The Penguins are starting to use the “C” word these days. After an overtime loss to Carolina, Pens coach Dan Bylsma shared it with the media.
"Consistency has been an issue we've talked about, and the challenge as a team (is to discover) what you're good at, what you need to improve on and areas you can get better at," Bylsma told the Pittsburgh Tribune Review. "That is an area we have need to improve on - that we've not been good at and need to get better at."
Pittsburgh has been up and down since returning from the Olympic break. The defending champs won their first four following the stoppage but lost four of their last six afterwards.
No one should envy Bylsma’s task. He’s trying to motivate a group that won the Cup a year ago as a four-seed. Pittsburgh has just 10 games left and is pretty much assured a top-four placing.
The Wings, on the other hand, don’t have anything to feel secure about. They’re in tough to lock down the final playoff spot in the West and are playing quality hockey.
Pick: Wings
Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadiens (-140, 5.5)
The Habs’ six-game winning streak came to an end Saturday at the hands of the Toronto Maple Leafs. Losing to their hated rival and Eastern Conference bottom feeder wasn’t all bad though.
Montreal welcomed winger Mike Cammalleri back to practice for the first time in almost seven weeks. The team’s leading goal-scorer has been recovering from a banged up knee and could rejoin the active roster any day now.
Things aren’t as sunny in the Canadian capital city these days. The Senators are 1-8 over their last nine games and have given up four or more goals in each of their last four games.
“When you score four goals on the road against a very good defensive team, it should be enough for a win,” Sens coach Cory Clouston said following a 5-4 loss to the Stars on Friday.
Clouston is having difficulties with his goaltenders and that's never a good sign for a team on a losing streak.
Pick: Over
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#198831 - 03/22/10 11:09 AM
Re: 3/22
[Re: tinfw17]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 3978
Loc: TX
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets
Boston Celtics at Utah Jazz (-4, 202)
A Western road trip might have been just what the doctor ordered for the aging Celtics, or at least what coach Doc Rivers ordered.
After a ho-hum 3-3 stretch on the right side of the country, the Celtics have posted a pair of impressive victories over Dallas and Houston on their current swing through the left.
"Crowd noise? I mean, half of them are deaf, they’re so old, right?" Rivers told the Boston Globe. "So they can’t hear it anyway, so maybe that’s an advantage."
Paul Pierce is coming off a 29-point performance against the Mavs and Ray Allen and Rajon Rando scored 21 and 20, respectively.
Now the senior-citizen Celtics roll into Salt Lake City, where the Jazz are a cozy 21-6-2 ATS in their last 29 at home.
But they are dealing with injuries to Andrei Kirilenko and Mehmet Okur, who are questionable for tonight's game, while the Celts are healthy for the first time in ages.
Pick: Celtics
Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76ers (N/A)
The red-hot Orlando Magic, winners of 10 of their last 11, might have had time to cool off during their rare three-day rest, but don't count on it.
Three times this season the Magic have enjoyed a 72-hour respite and they are 3-0 ATS in the ensuing games, winning by an average margin of 21 points per game.
On the other hand, the Sixers are playing their sixth game in eight days, going 1-4 ATS during that span, and point guard Louis Williams is coping with back spasms.
The line and total are off the board for that reason, but there aren't enough points to swing this one the other way.
Pick: Magic
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#198840 - 03/22/10 01:45 PM
Re: 3/22
[Re: bailout]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 03/18/06
Posts: 5918
Loc: illinois
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