SPORTS ADVISORS
Denver (45-21, 31-30-5 ATS) at Houston (33-31, 29-35 ATS)
The Nuggets take aim at their seventh straight win as they make a stop inside the Toyota Center for a matchup with the Rockets.
Denver is looking to wrap up a four-game road trip with a spotless record and it enters this one on a six-game winning streak (4-1-1 ATS) after going to Memphis and blowing out the Grizzlies 125-108 on Saturday, easily cashing as 1˝-point favorites. They broke the game open by outscoring the Grizzlies 40-23 in the fourth quarter as J.R. Smith led the way with 30 points. Denver has averaged 115.4 points a game in its last five contests and shot 51.6 percent from the field.
Houston has won two straight (1-1 ATS), including Saturday’s 116-108 home win over the Nets, coming up just short as a 9˝-point favorite. Luis Scola had the best game of his career, shooting 20-for-25 from the field for 44 points and 12 rebounds. The Rockets are looking for a third straight win, something they haven’t done since Dec. 22.
The Nuggets have won both matchups with Houston this season (2-0 ATS), including a 97-92 victory inside the Toyota Center back on Jan. 27, cashing as a 2˝-point pup and making them 5-2 ATS in the last seven head-to-head matchups overall.
Denver is on ATS slides of 1-5 on Mondays, 1-10 as a road chalk of less than five points and 3-11-4 after a spread-cover, but it is on positive ATS runs of 6-2-3 on the road, 3-0-1 overall and 39-19-3 against teams with a winning record. The Rockets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a home ‘dog and 6-2 ATS in their last eight Monday games, but they are on ATS skids of 9-22 overall, 5-11 against the Western Conference, 3-14 at home and 3-13 after a straight-up win.
For the Nuggets, the under is 4-1 in the last five overall and 7-3 in their last 10 against Southwest Division teams, but otherwise they’re on “over” runs of 7-2 as a favorite, 15-7 against winning teams and 4-1 as a chalk of less than five points. Houston has topped the total in 10 of 12 after a straight-up win, but it is on “under” streaks of 6-2 on Mondays, 4-1 as a home ‘dog, 7-3 after a non-cover and 5-0 at home against teams with a winning road mark.
In this series, the “over” has cashed in four of the last six overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER
New Orleans (32-35, 30-36-1 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (25-42, 29-37-1 ATS)
The Clippers will try to snap a seven-game losing streak when they welcome the equally struggling Hornets into the Staples Center.
New Orleans got smoked in Phoenix last night, losing 120-106 and failing to cash as 10-point underdogs. The Hornets have now dropped three in a row and seven of their last eight (0-7-1 ATS), and they haven’t won a road game since Feb. 6 in Charlotte, a nosedive spanning seven games (2-4-1 ATS).
Los Angeles ended a winless five-game road trip (1-4 ATS) with Saturday’s 118-88 loss in San Antonio as an 11˝-point underdog. The Clippers, who are 1-6 ATS during their seven-game slide, have failed to score in triple digits in six straight games, tallying 88 or fewer four times. During their just-completed road trip, they got outscored by an average of 18.6 ppg (110.4-91) and allowed those five opponents to shoot a combined 50.5 percent from the field.
The Hornets are on an astounding 12-0 SU and ATS run against the Clippers, including three victories this season. In November, New Orleans went to Los Angeles and scored a 112-84 win as a two-point chalk, and followed it up with home wins in November (110-102 as a two-point ‘dog) and January (108-94 as a 7˝-point chalk). The Hornets have won and covered six straight on the Clippers’ home floor, and they’re 17-4 ATS in the last 21 clashes overall.
New Orleans has struggled at the betting window lately, currently on ATS skids of 1-9-1 against Western conference teams, 2-5 on Mondays and 6-15 against teams with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Clippers have cashed in 12 of 18 at home and 11 of 17 against teams with losing records, but in addition to their current 1-6 ATS drought, they are on pointspread skids of 7-20-1 on Monday, 16-44 against the Western Conference and 16-38 against Southwest Division teams.
The Hornets are on several “over” streaks, including 9-3 on the road, 4-1 on Mondays, 5-0 on the second night of a back-to-back and 5-0 against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles has stayed below the posted total in 35 of 52 Monday contests, but it is on “over” runs of 3-0-1 overall, 6-1 against losing teams and 15-7 against Western Conference teams.
In this series, the “over” has been the play in each of the last five meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS and OVER
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