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#198671 - 03/20/10 11:21 PM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
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Registered: 12/01/00
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ICE PICKS
Sunday's Best NHL Bets
Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes
The Hurricanes were expected to get pummeled as -230 underdogs on Saturday with four AHL defensemen on the ice against the defending champions.
Instead, rookie Jamie McBain smacked the game-winning goal past Marc-Andre Fleury in overtime to give Carolina a 3-2 victory over Pittsburgh.
"You dream about it happening since you were a little kid and for it to be this kind of game, this kind of atmosphere, going against one of the top teams in the league and an overtime winner with not much time left, it's a pretty special feeling," the 22-year-old said.
The Canes are 11-3-1 since Feb. 5 and have defeated the Penguins twice and Washington once in that time frame.
Carolina continues to surge while chasing the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and will take care of a streaky Buffalo squad the team already defeated twice this year.
Pick: Hurricanes
San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers (+210, 5.5)
The Sharks are beginning to resemble the team that perennially exits the playoffs in the first or second round after dominating the regular season.
San Jose has dropped five consecutive games for the first time in four years and the team is doing anything but peaking at the right time.
"Teams see that we've lost four or five games in a row and any time that happens, a team is vulnerable," coach Todd McLellan said. "You can feel the confidence in our room isn't what it should be or can be, but we've got to earn that back."
Much of the Sharks struggles can be attributed to the recent play of goalie Evengi Nabokov who has lost four straight starts behind a 3.50 goals-against average.
Edmonton has played to the over in four of its last five games, surrendering an average of 4.4 goals to its opponents in that stretch. San Jose has given up a total of 22 goals during its losing streak.
Pick: Over
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#198672 - 03/20/10 11:22 PM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
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West Regional Day 4 Picks
By SCOTT COOLEY
Syracuse Orange vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (+7.5, 150)
The Syracuse smothering zone defense was in full force Friday night, holding Vermont to 34.8 percent shooting in the game and 5-for-22 from 3-point range.
The Orange motto coming into the NCAA Tournament was “Shut it Down” and they will have to recreate that shutdown defensive effort against a Gonzaga team that can bang the boards and has efficient perimeter shooters.
“We haven’t played anyone that plays a zone like Syracuse,” coach Mark Few told reporters. "With only one day to get ready for it, it's going to be a huge task (to win), especially in front of this crowd.”
With the game being played two and a half hours from the Syracuse campus, it will essentially be a home game for the Orange, much like their opening-round blowout.
Bulldogs guard Matt Bouldin said they will have to get their “bigs” some touches to be effective against the zone and that starts with NBA prospect Elias Harris.
Harris totaled 13 points in the win over Florida State and when the big German scored in double figures this season the Zags went 20-3.
The Bulldogs bench totaled 25 minutes and zero points in their first game, so fatigue has to be a concern for the five starters in this game.
But with Arinze Onuaku sidelined, Boeheim’s rotation only goes six deep with Scoop Jardine coming off the bench. Onuaku’s status for the game remains uncertain.
Prediction: Syracuse 82, Gonzaga 77
Xavier Musketeers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (PK, 136)
Jordan Crawford made a name for himself this summer after dunking on LeBron James, but he made a splash in Xavier’s first-round win over Minnesota after leading the team with 28 points.
The Musketeers have advanced to the second round of the Big Dance four straight years and four of the team’s five starters were in this position last year.
"There are different ways to motivate kids and we're really tired of being The Little Engine that Could," first-year coach Chris Mack told the media. "We're a really good program and our kids aren't scared to play anybody."
Pittsburgh was extremely balanced in its 23-point rout over Oakland Friday. The Panthers shot better than 53 percent from the field, had six players score double figures and all but one of their nine players saw 10 minutes of action or more.
Pitt’s strength down low will be a concern for Xavier, which was manhandled on the boards at times in the Minnesota game which didn’t afford the team many second-chance opportunities.
It should be a tight game throughout but the more experienced coach in Jamie Dixon will prove to be the difference in the end.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 67, Xavier 63
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#198673 - 03/20/10 11:22 PM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
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South Regional Day 4 Picks
By PATRICK GARBIN
No. 5 Texas A&M Aggies vs. No. 4 Purdue Boilermakers (+1.5, 125.5)
Receiving little respect because of its loss of forward Robbie Hummel and a trendy pick to be upset, Purdue began the second half of Friday’s opening round with a 20-3 run to eventually defeat Siena, 72-64.
Keaton Grant (6.7 ppg, 2.7 rpg), who became a starter after Hummel’s knee injury, scored all 11 of his points in a span of only 5:10 during the Boilermakers’ decisive run. JaJuan Johnson (15.4 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 2.0 blocks) had a game-high 23 points and 15 rebounds.
In the victory, Purdue, a 4.5-point favorite, covered its first game in eight tries since mid-February. The Boilermakers are 13-18-2 ATS this season.
Texas A&M has been on a roll and it continued Friday. The Aggies had little trouble with Utah State, winning 69-53 and advancing to the tournament’s second round for the fifth consecutive year.
Freshman forward Khris Middleton (7.3 ppg, 3.7 rpg) had a career-high 19 points and made 5-of-6 3-point attempts. Texas A&M is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games and 19-10 ATS this season – the 11th-best mark in the nation.
The second round game between Texas A&M and Purdue will pit two solid defenses against one another. In their last 10 games, the Aggies are yielding an average of less than 62 points per game while only two opponents have shot 44 percent or better from the floor. The Boilermakers are allowing only 61 points per game the entire season (29th in nation) while opponents shoot just 40 percent on field goals (36th).
The difference is, besides playing well defensively, Texas A&M is also extremely athletic. The sluggish Boilermakers will have a difficult time keeping up with the Aggies.
Final score prediction: Texas A&M 64, Purdue 57
No. 8 California Golden Bears vs. No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (-6, 143)
Entering Friday’s opening round against Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Duke had struggled in recent NCAA tourneys, going 2-10 ATS since 2005. However, the Blue Devils’ blowout win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff helps prove this Duke team may be a little better and more confident than previous editions.
Duke’s “big three” of guards Jon Scheyer, Nolan Smith and forward Kyle Singler combined for 45 points while all three reached double digits for the 28th time in the Blue Devils’ 35 games this season. In addition, forward Lance Thomas added 12 points – more than twice his season scoring average.
“This is behind us,” said Smith of the 73-44 victory. “We’ve got to get ready for whoever we play next.”
“Whoever” is the California Golden Bears, who had little trouble with Louisville in a 77-62 opening-round win. Pac-10 player of the year Jerome Randle (18.7 ppg, 4.5 apg) and forward Theo Robertson (14.1 ppg, 4.7 rpg) each scored 21 points as California, a 1-point favorite, covered its 10th game of its last 12.
The Bears did struggle against the Cardinals’ height. California was out-rebounded 32-to-25 and Louisville’s big men, Samardo Samuels and Rakeem Buckles, combined for 36 points and 16-of-19 shooting from the field.
California, a relatively small team, is going to have a hard time matching up with Duke. The Blue Devils routinely out-rebound their opponents while, after their big three, four of the top five players are 6-foot-8 or taller. No Bear starter is taller than 6-foot-8.
This is the best Duke team in years and it should prove it today with a double-digit victory over an out-manned Cal team.
Final score prediction: Duke 75, California 63
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#198674 - 03/20/10 11:23 PM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
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East Regional Day 4 Picks
By DAVID PAYNE
No. 2 West Virginia Mountaineers (-5.5, 138.5) vs. No. 10 Missouri Tigers
Is anyone playing better than West Virginia right now?
The Mountaineers (28-6, 14-19 ATS) manhandled Morgan State in the opening round for their seventh straight win.
Missouri (23-10, 15-12) also was impressive in the first round. The Tigers ratcheted up their trademark pressure defense to pull away from Clemson in the second half. It was the best Missouri’s looked in a month, even though coach Mike Anderson’s team was out-rebounded by 12.
Rebounding has been an issue for Missouri all season (-2.9 rebounding margin). That’s a major concern against a West Virginia squad that lives off the offensive glass.
Missouri makes up for its lack of rebounding prowess with pressure, something Anderson said his team will be increasing throughout the tournament. The Tigers harassed Clemson into 20 turnovers and lead the nation in steals.
West Virginia struggled in high-scoring affairs against Villanova and Pittsburgh in early February.
Prediction: West Virginia 71, Missouri 67
No. 4 Wisconsin Badgers (-4, 121) vs. No. 12 Cornell Big Red
Cornell is talking a good game, but can the tournament darlings back it up?
“We’re just getting started,” 7-foot center Jeff Foote told reporters after Friday’s dominating win over A-10 champion Temple. "We have a really special team and we're capable of a special run. I don't think the mission is accomplished at all."
Always-gritty Wisconsin stands in the way of Cornell (28-4, 17-10) and the Sweet 16. The Badgers (24-8, 17-13 ATS) failed to put away Wofford on Friday, but survived and now must figure out how to slow down the hot-shooting Big Red.
The Badgers boast the fourth-ranked scoring defense and commit the fewest turnovers in the nation. That will certainly help, but where will the offense come from? Wisconsin hasn’t scored over 55 points in its last two games. Cornell has averaged over 80 in its last three.
The Big Red, of course, shoots a ton of 3’s. They average close to 10 made 3-pointers per game. Wisconsin made just 1-of-9 attempts from downtown against Wofford.
Prediction: Cornell 69, Wisconsin 62
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#198675 - 03/20/10 11:23 PM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Midwest Regional Day 4 Picks
By ADAM THOMPSON
No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes vs. No. 10 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+6.5, 133.5)
Free-throw shooting has been a concern for Georgia Tech (23-12). The Jackets were under 65 percent for the season before going a blazing 24-of-25 (96 percent) in Friday’s 64-59 upset of Oklahoma State.
Georgia Tech’s frontcourt duo of 6-foot-9 junior Gani Lawal and 6-foot-10 freshman Derrick Favors got it done, with a combined 26 points and 15 rebounds.
The team also did a great job on Cowboys star guard James Anderson, who went just 3-of-12 for 11 points. Iman Shumpert is most credited for slowing Anderson.
No time to rest on those laurels. Here comes Evan Turner and Ohio State (27-7).
“I was a defensive stopper in high school,” Shumpert told Yahoo Sports. “Evan is another tough assignment. Whatever I have to do.”
Turner didn’t have to do much in the Buckeyes’ 68-51 win over UC Santa Barbara. He scored only nine points on 2-of-13 shooting (with 10 rebounds and five assists), but the backcourt of Jon Diebler and William Buford combined for 39 points.
Despite the comfortable win, Ohio State still didn’t go to its bench. Three starters played 37 or more minutes. Tech had eight players see 17 minutes or more in Friday’s win.
The two teams do have similar opponents. Ohio State beat Florida State 77-64, while Georgia Tech lost to the Seminoles twice, 66-59 and 68-66. The Buckeyes did lose to North Carolina 77-73 back when the Tar Heels were ranked No. 7. The Jackets beat the Heels three times in ACC play.
Georgia Tech is a perfect 5-0 in NCAA games played at the Bradley Center in Milwaukee. If the physical Jackets can wear down the Buckeyes – and most teams have not - they have a very real chance.
Prediction: Ohio State 70, Georgia Tech 67
No. 4 Maryland Terrapins vs. No. 5 Michigan State Spartans (+1, 142)
Michigan State (25-8) escaped past New Mexico State 70-67 Friday, with the help of an ill-timed lane violation by the Aggies.
At this point, it’s all about surviving and Michigan State kept its hopes of getting back to the NCAA title game alive.
Spartans star point guard Kalin Lucas, usually a top playmaker, called his own number and scored a career-high 25 points. Spartans coach Tom Izzo improved to 32-11 in the NCAA Tournament with the win.
“If there’s one thing I’ve learned in the years I’ve been in this tournament, the words ‘survive and advance’ that everybody preaches is the truth,” Izzo said after Friday’s win. “I don’t want to say I’m glad we had a close game, but I learned something about these guys that I had been looking for this year. … We played well early. We struggled in the second half. And we finished the game. We’ve survived and advanced.”
In other words, Izzo is hoping his Spartans are out of their late-season funk.
Four players scored in double figures for Maryland (24-8) in its 89-77 win over Houston. The Terps’ multiple scoring options have been a source of strength and it’s also allowed leading scorer Greivis Vasquez (19.5 ppg) to avoid major extra attention.
Freshman Jordan Williams, a starter all season, arrived onto the national scene Friday, busting out a career-high 21 points and 17 rebounds.
Both teams go eight deep and have three common opponents, but not much can be deduced from them. Maryland lost to Wisconsin 78-69, beat Indiana handily and beat North Carolina 92-71. Michigan State lost to UNC 89-82 (again, back when the Heels were good), split with Wisconsin (54-47 win and 67-49 loss) and also handled the Hoosiers.
One big concern for Maryland will be keeping the physical Spartans off the board. Michigan State is averaging a plus-9.4 rebounding margin on the season. Maryland is at plus-1.4. The Terps will need to run down the floor and hit their shots and not many teams are as good at either - 15th nationally in scoring, 79.6 ppg and 29th in field goal percentage, 47.2 percent – as the Terps.
Prediction: Maryland 69, Michigan State 67
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#198678 - 03/21/10 04:04 AM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Brett Atkins
40 Dime Big Dance Second Round Game of the Year - XAVIER MUSKETEERS
A rematch from the regional semifinals of a year ago when a much better Pitt team was able to edge Xavier 60-55, but came up short as a 6 1/2-point favorite. Well, the Musketeers are better than they were last season while Pitt is so much more inconsistent. Xavier has averaged 80.6 points a game over their last five and they have been money making machines, on ATS runs of 36-17-2 overall, 14-5 in non-conference action, 13-3-1 in NCAA Tournament play and 4-1 against Big East squads. The Musketeers have the players to hang with Pitt and the motivation to run them out of the building. Play Xavier today.
10 Dime Big Dance Power Play - TEXAS A&M AGGIES
Look at the Big 12 teams that are all build just alike - Baylor, Kansas State and Texas A&M. Baylor and Kansas State rolled in their second round games and I expect the Aggies will too. They are quick, have good guard play and very deep and athletic. Purdue has been ever-so shaky since losing Robbie Hummel for the season and they are on ATS skids of 1-6-1 overall, 0-5-1 after a win and 1-4-1 against winning teams. Texas A&M has stars in Kris Middleton and Donald Sloan and they have bee solid at the betting window, going 11-2 ATS in their last 13 overall, 21-8 on a neutral court and 8-2 in the Big Dance. Love the Aggies today to get an easy win and cover.
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#198679 - 03/21/10 04:04 AM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Joel Tyson
80 Dime - Cornell Big Red plus the points
Perfect matchup for the Big Red in round two, and I do mean P-E-R-F-E-C-T.
Cornell does it all - hit their threes, hit their frees, and they can rebound. Not only that, but this Ivy rep has played some heavy-hitters this season; Syracuse, Kansas, and Vermont to name 3, and also St. John's and Seton Hall - ALL of those schools made the postseason this year!
Wisconsin is a "nice" team, but they are limited, and they will not blow you off the court with their physicality.
Throw in the fact the crowd will definitely put their support in the Ivy reps corner, and you have the makings of Cornell dancing into the Sweet 16.
Take the points.
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#198682 - 03/21/10 04:07 AM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Larry Ness Free pick
718 Syracuse -7
Syracuse was 28-2 before losing its last regular season game at Louisville, which was the final game played in historic Freedom Hall (no shame there). The Orange received a double-bye in the Big East tourney but lost to revenge-minded Georgetown, which Syracuse had beaten twice during the season. Still, Syracuse got a No. 1 seed but in the West Regional. The good news here was that the school's first two games would be played in near-by Buffalo. Syracuse took care of Vermont on Friday 79-56, shooting 54.9 percent, including 10-of-22 three-pointers (Vermont was held to 34.8 percent, 5-22 on threes). Gonzaga is in its 13th straight NCAA tourney, opening with a 67-60 win over Florida St. The Seminoles entered with the nation's best defensive FG percentage (37.4 percent) but they are severely offensively challenged. In Syracuse, the Bulldogs will face Boeheim's tough zone D plus an offense which features five-double-digit scorers plus two others who add 8.9 and 8.1 PPG. The team's top scorer and rebounder is 6-7 Iowa St transfer Johnson (first season at Syracuse), who is averaging 16.0-8.4. The 6-9 Onuaku (10.5-5.1) missed the Vermont game with a quad injury and is expected to miss here but I'm not sure it matters. Gonzaga shoots 49.4 percent and averages 77.2 PPG but the Orange are the nation's top-shooting team (51.7 percent) and average 81.4 PPG (6th-best). The Bulldogs have two big guards in Bouldin (15.8-4.7-4.0) and Gray (13.7-4.2) who can shoot over Syracuse's 2-3 zone but let's note that the Bulldogs are 0-4 vs No. 1 seeds in their previous 12 tourney appearances and they are a LONG way from home, while the Orange have to feel as if Buffalo is almost a home game. The Jayhawks got upset by Northern Iowa on Saturday and Syracuse "took notice." Expect an easy win by the Orange.
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#198685 - 03/21/10 04:13 AM
Re: 3/21
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Bobby Maxwell
FREE
Pitt is one of those teams that is hit or miss. The Panthers look sensational one night, only to turn around and fail to do anything and fall the next time out. Meanwhile, Xavier is a fantastic team with a very good tournament resume. I expect them to come out today and take this to the Panthers and win it.
Xavier has made it to the second round each of the last four years and to the Elite Eight in 2008 and the Sweet 16 last year. Meanwhile, Pitt has fallen in this second round game in two of the last four years, falling to Michigan State in 2008 and to Bradley in 2006.
There’s a little revenge on the minds of the Musketeers as they lost in last year’s regional semifinal to the Panthers, 60-55, but cashed as a 6 ½-point underdog. Xavier was facing a much better Pitt team last year.
The Musketeers know how to score, putting up 80.6 points a game over the last five outings and limiting the opposition to 68.8. They have been very good at the betting window also, on ATS runs of 36-17-2 overall, 36-16-1 on a neutral court, 14-5 in non-conference action, 13-3-1 in NCAA Tournament action, 9-1 as an underdog and 4-1 against Big East teams. Pitt is just 3-8 ATS on a neutral court and 1-5 ATS as a NCAA Tournament favorite.
Xavier is a damn good team and you can expect big things from Jordan Crawford in this one. Him and his Musketeers have a chip on their shoulder from last year’s tourney. I’m going with the Musketeers in this one.
4* XAVIER
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