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#198208 - 03/14/10 08:06 PM 3/28
FREAK Online   content
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Welcome to the Service Plays area at Freaks Forum

I want you to be part of the forum and an active participant. So here's some helpful links to get you to the right areas.


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There's a lot more out there, so take part in the action, making a post takes a few seconds, so be a part of the community not a lurker.

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UPDATE as of 1/1/11***********************

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#199594 - 03/27/10 11:47 PM Re: 3/28 [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69477
Loc: Time to play the Game
End the week strong and keep the posts coming in the Picks that Click and Game of the Day topics.
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Do not post any write ups from any newsletters. Also do not cut and paste any news stories or blog items from other websites. All of the preceding are copyright protected and unless you have written permission from the author it is considered copyright infringement.

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#199600 - 03/28/10 08:37 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: FREAK]
malone84 Offline
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Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
Sean Higgs

This guy has been real hot. 4-0 yesterday including Free Pick. 15-3 last 18 College Basketball. 27-9-1 last 37.

20*Clippers
10*Michigan State
10*Baylor

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#199601 - 03/28/10 08:38 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
RatedPicks

CBB 03/28 Tennessee at Michigan State pick: Michigan State pts: +2 2 units
CBB 03/28 Baylor at Duke pick: Baylor pts: +4.5 2 units

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#199602 - 03/28/10 08:38 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY, MARCH 28

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

NCAA TOURNAMENT

MIDWEST REGIONAL

(at St. Louis, Mo.)

(6) Tennessee (28-8, 15-16-2 ATS) vs. (5) Michigan State (27-8, 14-20 ATS)

Tennessee posted its first Sweet 16 victory in school history Friday, upsetting second-seeded Ohio State 76-73 as a 4˝-point underdog. Since getting destroyed by Kentucky in the SEC tournament semifinals (74-45 as a 4˝-point pup), the Volunteers have gone 3-0 in the Tournament (2-1 ATS). Going back to Feb. 27, Tennessee is on an 8-1 SU run (5-3-1 ATS), and it is 10-2 (6-5-1 ATS) in its last 12 contests. However, both defeats were double-digit blowouts. Michigan State rallied from a seven-point halftime deficit and dumped ninth-seeded Northern Iowa 59-52 as a one-point favorite on Friday. The Spartans won their seventh consecutive Sweet 16 game despite not having team leader and top scorer Kalin Lucas, who suffered a season-ending Achilles’ injury in Michigan State’s one-point buzzer-beating victory over Maryland a week ago. Since experiencing a three-game losing streak in the middle of the Big Ten season, the Spartans have won eight of its last 10, going just 6-4 ATS during this stretch. While this is Tennessee’s first Elite Eight trip in history, the Spartans were here just a season ago, and they dominated Louisville 64-52 as a 4˝-point underdog en route to the national championship game. Going back to 1979, when it won the first of two national championships, Michigan State is 6-1 in the Elite Eight, and it is seeking its eighth Final Four appearance all-time and third since 2005. Tennessee is now 8-2 at neutral sites this season (5-4-1 ATS), averaging 71 ppg while allowing 63.4 ppg. Michigan State has still only played six neutral-site contests (including the last four in a row), going 4-2 (3-3 ATS) while pouring in 76.8 ppg and surrendering 69.8 ppg. The Volunteers are in pointspread slumps of 3-7-2 as a Tournament favorite, 1-5-2 when laying less than seven points in the Tournament, 1-4 on Sunday and 1-7 after a spread-cover, but otherwise they’re on pointspread upticks of 5-0-1 in non-conference play, 5-1-1 versus the Big Ten and 5-1-1 against winning teams. Michigan State is on ATS surges of 7-2 in the Tournament, 6-2 as an underdog of less than seven points, 6-2-1 as a neutral-site pup, 4-1 when catching less than seven points in the Big Dance, 6-1 against SEC opponents and 21-8 on Sunday. However, the Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-league contests and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus winning teams. It’s been all “unders” for Tennessee lately, including 33-14-1 overall (22-9-1 last 32), 8-4 in non-league play, 6-2-1 at neutral sites, 7-2-1 as a favorite, 5-1-1 as a chalk at neutral sites, 10-1 on Sunday and 22-10-1 after a SU win. Conversely, the Spartans are on “over” stretches of 5-2 at neutral sites, 4-1 as a neutral-site underdog, 4-1 as a pup in the Big Dance and 5-2 against the SEC, but the under is 30-11-1 in Michigan State’s last 42 as an underdog (26-9 as a pup of less than seven points).

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


SOUTH REGIONAL

(at Houston)

(3) Baylor (28-7, 18-10 ATS) vs. (1) Duke (32-5, 21-13-2 ATS)

Baylor earned a trip to the regional finals for the first time since 1950 with a thoroughly dominating 72-49 rout of 10th-seeded St. Mary’s on Friday, easily covering as a five-point favorite. The Bears, who are in the Big Dance for just the fourth time ever and first time in 49 years, have won their three tourney games by comfortable margins (9, 8 and 23 points). Baylor is on an 11-2 SU run, going 6-2 ATS in the last eight following a 1-5 ATS downturn. Duke toyed with its two first-round opponents in Jacksonville, Fla., last weekend – pounding Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Cal by 29 and 15 points, respectively. However, in Friday’s Sweet 16 matchup against Purdue, the Blue Devils found themselves in a dogfight until the final 10 minutes of the second half, when they broke free and won going away 70-57 as an 8˝-point favorite. Duke has won seven in a row and 15 of its last 17, and of the Devils’ five losses this season, four have come against teams that reached the Tournament (Maryland, Georgetown, Georgia Tech and Wisconsin). Defense has proven to be the difference for both teams in the Tournament. Baylor has held Sam Houston State, Old Dominion and St. Mary’s to a combined 65-for-175 from the field (37.1 percent), while Duke’s three foes (Arkansas Pine-Bluff, Cal and Purdue) have averaged 51.3 ppg on 36.1 percent shooting (56-for-155). The last time Baylor won consecutive games in the Big Dance was in 1948, which was also its only Final Four appearance. Duke has made 34 Tournament appearances in school history, including 14 in a row, and it is a No. 1 seed for the 11th time overall and the sixth time this decade. However, this is the first time since 2004 that the Blue Devils have reached the Elite Eight, which was also their most recent Final Four appearance. They’ve won three straight Elite Eight contests (2-1 ATS) dating to 1999.
Baylor is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS at neutral venues, winning by an average of 9.7 ppg (73.8-64.1). Duke has won all 10 of its neutral-site contests this season (7-3 ATS), outscoring opponents by 15.1 ppg (70.4-55.3). The Bears sport ATS streaks of 6-2 overall, 8-1 in non-conference action, 20-7 at neutral sites, 10-4 as an underdog, 10-3 as a neutral-site pup, 6-1 after a SU win and 5-1 on Sunday. Meanwhile, Duke has cashed in all three Tournament games so far after failing to cover in 10 of 12 prior to this season. The Blue Devils are still just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 as a Big Dance chalk (1-6 when laying less than seven points), but they’re on positive pointspread stretches 7-3 at neutral sites (all as a favorite), 4-1 against the Big 12 and 7-1-1 on Sunday. Baylor has stayed low in six of eight in non-league play, but otherwise is on “over” surges of 5-2 overall, 14-3 after a SU win, 11-2 after a spread-cover (8-1 last nine), 6-0 as an underdog and 4-0 as a pup of less than seven points. Duke carries “under” trends of 5-1-1 overall (4-0 last four), 18-6-1 at neutral sites (all as a favorite), 8-3-1 in the Tournament (4-0 last four), 12-4-1 when laying points in the Big Dance, 4-0 on Sunday and 26-12-1 after a spread-cover.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


NBA

Denver (48-25, 31-37-5 ATS) at Orlando (51-22, 39-33-1 ATS)

After snapping their three-game losing skid on Friday, the Nuggets now look to make it two in a row when they visit Amway Arena for a battle with the Magic. Denver got a buzzer-beating 18-foot jumper from Carmelo Anthony on Friday night to beat the Raptors 97-96 in Toronto, but came up short as a 5˝-point favorite. The Nuggets have now failed to cash in seven straight games, including four in a row on the highway. The win was their first since March 18 and first on the road since a 125-108 victory in Memphis on March 13. The Magic got 24 points and 19 rebounds from Dwight Howard in a 106-97 home win over Minnesota on Friday, but fell short as a 15˝-point chalk. Orlando has won eight of nine on its home court (6-3 ATS) and 29 of 36 (20-16 ATS) at the Magic Kingdom this season. Orlando has dominated the Nuggets in Orlando, going 18-3 SU at Amway Arena since it opened in 1989, however one of the losses was last season when Denver came in and scored an 82-73 victory as a seven-point pup, ending a nine-game road losing skid in this rivalry. Earlier this season, the Nuggets also took a 115-97 home win over the Magic, easily cashing as 5˝-point favorites and moving to 4-2 ATS in the last six head-to-head clashes. The home team is on a 13-3 ATS streak in this rivalry, including Orlando’s 8-1 ATS run at Amway. Denver is 13-6-3 ATS in its’ last 22 as a road ‘dog and 3-0-2 ATS in its last five Sunday tip-offs, but it is on ATS skids of 4-10-3 after a straight-up win, 0-6 after a non-cover, 0-7 against Eastern Conference teams and 0-4 on the highway. Orlando is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against Northwest Division squads, but on ATS streaks of 6-2 on Sunday, 6-2 as a chalk, 8-2 after a non-cover and 5-2 at home against teams with losing road records. The Nuggets are on several “under” streaks, including 5-1 overall, 19-9 as road pups, 4-1 against Eastern Conference teams, 5-1 after a non-cover and 36-17 as underdogs. The Magic are also on a plethora of “under” runs, including 34-16-1 overall, 37-17-1 against the Western Conference, 8-1-1 at home, 22-8 on Sunday, 49-19-1 after getting a day off and 23-9-1 as favorites. The “under” has also been a consistent play in this series lately, going 4-1 in the last five meetings and 4-0 in the last four matchups in Florida.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO and UNDER


Portland (44-29, 39-32-2 ATS) at Oklahoma City (44-27, 42-29 ATS)

The surging Trail Blazers, who are in the thick of the playoff picture and looking for their third straight win, head to the Ford Center to face the Thunder. Portland has won seven of its last eight (4-3-1 ATS), including Saturday’s 112-101 victory in New Orleans, easily getting the cash as a 3˝-point favorite. Blazers All-Star Brandon Roy went 12-for-14 shooting and finished with 28 points and LaMarcus Aldridge added 24 as Portland shot 58.6 percent from the floor and outrebounded the Hornets 35-25. Portland is now 4-2 (3-2-1 ATS) in its last six roadies.
Oklahoma City comes off its most impressive win of the season, crushing the Lakers 91-75 at home Friday as a one-point underdog. The Thunder led by as many as 30 points before Los Angeles rallied late to make the final respectable. Kevin Durant had 26 points and eight rebounds for Oklahoma City, while point guard Russell Westbrook delivered 23 points and six assists.
These teams have met twice this season with the road team getting the victory each time. Portland came into Oklahoma City on Nov. 1 and took an 83-74 win as a three-point favorite, then the Thunder returned the favor on Feb. 9, winning 89-77 as a 1˝-point road chalk. The Blazers have won and cashed in four of the last five meetings and the favorite is 5-0 ATS in those five. Portland is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against Northwest Division teams, but on ATS runs of 12-4-1 on the road, 38-17 when they have to play the second night of a back-to-back, and 4-1-1 overall. Oklahoma City is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 on Sunday, but on positive ATS runs of 14-5 against winning teams, 6-1 against the Western Conference, 11-1 as a favorite of up less than five points and 4-0 at home against teams with winning road marks. The Blazers have stayed below the posted number in six of eight as an underdog, but they are on “over” streaks of 7-1 on the road, 9-3 on the second night of a back-to-back, 14-6 as road ‘dogs and 5-2 on Sunday. The Thunder have topped the total in five of seven as a chalk, 10 of 14 after a day off and five of eight overall, but they are on “under” runs of 13-3-2 against winning teams and 17-8 as a home favorite of five points or less. Finally, in this series, the “under” is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings and 12-3-2 in the last 17 clashes on the Thunder’s home court.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


San Antonio (43-28, 37-33-1 ATS) at Boston (47-25, 30-40-2 ATS)

The Spurs play the first game of a quick, two-day road trip at TD Garden in Boston, battling the suddenly surging Celtics.
San Antonio has alternated wins and losses in its last seven contests (4-3 ATS), including getting a big home win on Friday over the Cavs, 102-97 as a one-point ‘dog. The Spurs received a big effort from Manu Ginobili, who had 30 points, six assists and six boards. The victory followed a tough home loss to the Lakers on Wednesday, when they were dominated in the second half of a 92-83 setback as two-point favorites. Boston has won six of its last seven (5-2 ATS), including Friday’s 94-86 home win over the Kings, coming up short as an 11-point chalk. The big three of Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen combined for 60 points and 25 rebounds and point guard Rajon Rondo dished out 18 assists. The Celtics have now won five straight at home (4-1 ATS). In this series, the road team has won six of the last seven (5-2 ATS), but the Celtics have won five of the last six overall and cashed in six of the last seven. Back on Dec. 3, Boston traveled to San Antonio and scored a 90-83 upset as a one-point underdog. In fact, the pup has gotten the cash in seven straight series clashes. The Spurs are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 against Atlantic division teams and 0-6 ATS in their last six Sunday games, but they are on a plethora of positive ATS streaks, including 11-3 overall, 6-2 on the road, 5-2 as a road ‘dog, 5-2 after a day off and 7-3 after a spread-cover. The Celtics have cashed in five of six as a chalk, five of seven overall and four of five after a non-cover, but they are on negative ATS trends of 19-39-1 at home, 6-13-2 after a day off, 8-20 as a home chalk, 5-12-1 against Western Conference teams and 0-4-1 on Sunday. San Antonio has topped the total in four of six overall and three of four as a pup, but it is on “under” streaks of 7-2-1 as a road ‘dog, 10-4 after a spread-cover, 9-4-1 on Sunday and 6-1 against the Atlantic division. Boston has gone above the posted number in seven of eight after a non-cover, but stayed below it in eight of 10 after a straight-up win, four of five against the Southwest Division and nine of 13 against the Western Conference. The “under” is also on a 5-3 run in these head-to-head clashes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

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#199603 - 03/28/10 08:38 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
Sports Betting Professor

England Championship

Seffield United v Scunthorpe**
Win bet Sheffield

France Division 1

Lorient v St Etteine
Win bet Lorient

Toulouse v Nice**
Win bet Toulouse

Spain La Liga Primera

Espanyol v Sporting Gijon**
Win bet Espanyol

Italy Serie A

Fiorentina v Udineses**
Win bet Fiorentina

AC Milan v Lazio Roma**
Win bet AC Milan

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#199604 - 03/28/10 08:38 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
Chuck O'Brien

25* Baylor
15* MSU/Tenn Under

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#199605 - 03/28/10 08:39 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
Karl Garrett

20* Tennessee
10* Baylor

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#199606 - 03/28/10 08:39 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
Bobby Maxwell

700* Baylor

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#199607 - 03/28/10 08:39 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
Gold Sheet

Michigan State 67-64
Duke 71-62

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#199608 - 03/28/10 08:43 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
Big Al

3* Duke

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#199609 - 03/28/10 09:05 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
COMPS


Craig Trapp

Tennessee vs. Michigan State

Tennessee -1-115

Tennessee -1.5: Who could have imagined that this Volunteer team could make the final four after kicking off Tyler Smith mid season. Bruce Pearl has completely transformed a team that used to just run and gun to a defensive minded hard nosed team. But don't discount this teams talent as Prince, Mays, Hopson and Chism will all be future NBA players. On the other hand we have the Big Ten last team MSU trying to overcome the huge injury of Lucas two games back. Coach Izzo is a mastermind but even he will have issues trying to will a less talented Spartans squad. Difference here is much more talent on TENN and they now play defense. Ask the Buckeyes how good TEN is as they beat another Big Ten team on SUNDAY




Dave Price

Denver Nuggets vs. Orlando Magic

Denver Nuggets +5˝-110

1 Unit on Denver Nuggets +5.5
Because the Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 7 straight games, odds makers have been forced to inflate this line. I'll gladly take the points as Denver is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. After getting a much needed much-needed monkey off their back with a win over Toronto, look for the Nuggets to show up and take the Magic down to the wire today. Take the points




Rob Vinciletti

Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks -8-110

On Sunday the Free NBA System play is on the Atlanta Hawks. Game 706 at 3:30 eastern. The Hawks are 7-3 ats as a home favorite in this range, while the Pacers are 3-11 ats as a road dog in this range. Atlanta has won and covered 3 of the past 4 at home vs Indiana. The Pacers are riding an 8 game ats streak and are coming off a big home dog win on Friday vs Utah. That win sets them up in a negative system here today. What we want to do is play against certain road dogs off a home dog win at +5 or more if they scored 120 or more in the win and their opponent is coming off a road game. This system has cashed 78% long term. Look for the Hawks to get the win and cover here today. On Sunday I have a Huge Elite 8 NCAAB Tourney winner that will end your week with the cash. I also have an NBA System play, with a Big 10-1 Power angle. Jump on and cash big on Sunday. For the free play take Atlanta. RV




Jimmy Moore

Portland @ Oklahoma City

Pick: Oklahoma City -4.5

Reason: The Thunder are having a great season and this is a good spot for them catching the Blazers on the second night of a back to back and playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. They are a very strong 24-14 ATS against winning teams and the Blazers are only 3-4 ATS as a dog of 4 to 6 points.




Bobby Maxwell

Tennessee (-1') vs. MICHIGAN ST., at St. Louis, MO

I improved my FREE play run to 74-47-3 with the Saturday winner on the Lakers as they traveled to Houston and scored the win and cover. Today, I'm handing you a comp winner in the Tourney as I go with the Volunteers to get it done against Michigan State.

How good has Tennessee looked in this tournament? The Vols were able to get by a very motivated San Diego State team in the opener, and then wiped out Ohio in the second round before edging Ohio State in the Sweet 16 on Friday. Tennessee seems very comfortable both offensively and defensively right now, definitely playing its best basketball of the season.

The Vols beat Ohio State 76-73 as a 4 ˝-poinit underdog, getting 22 points and 11 rebounds from Wayne Chism and 14 points and six assists from J.P. Prince. The Vols dominated the glass, outrebounding Ohio State 36-23 and they were able to slow down the Buckeyes’ Evan Turner, despite giving up 31 points he only went 10-for-23 from the field.

Michigan State dispensed crowd favorite Northern Iowa on Friday, winning 59-52 as a one-point favorite. The Spartans looked terrible early, trailing 29-22 at halftime, but rallying for a huge second half. Northern Iowa couldn’t do anything right in the second half, making just 10 free throws and no field goals over the final 10-plus minutes of the game.

The Spartans last loss was in the quarterfinals of the Big 10 tourney, losing to Minnesota, but they also had some ugly losses in the regular season, including 78-73 to Illinois and 67-49 at Wisconsin.

I love the way Bruce Pearl has his Volunteers playing right now and if you look at their season, only losses to Kentucky and Vandy kept them from winning the SEC. They also had a big win over Kansas that really showed them what they can do. Tennessee will rise up and dominate the glass and beat the Spartans today.

Lay the small chalk with the Vols as they win it by 5.

4♦ TENNESSEE



Derek Mancini

Tennessee vs. Michigan State (+1') at St. Louis, MO

Once again the public will learn its lesson about going against coach Izzo at this time of year. Despite playing one of the hottest teams in the tourney, and without their best player, the Spartans took care of Northern Iowa Friday. Michigan State has shown an ability to mix and match, running with Maryland or playing the half court with Northern Iowa, but the end result was the same - a win and cover.

Vols looked good against Ohio State, but we can all agree the Buckeyes were a flawed team. It was Evan Turner doing everything, with little-to-no balance... Spartans are the opposite, with balance inside and out, which is what makes it so hard to stop. Tennessee also has balance, but they lacks consistency. Will we see repeat performances from Chism and Prince? Sorry, but not against this Spartans defense.

Experience and rebounding are the last two factors to consider, and Michigan State has the edge in both. Izzo is a master in March, and no one can doubt the Spartans ability to rebound the basketball. This is key because the Vols shoot just 40% on the road (42% L5 games), and the team that controls the glass will control this game. Michigan State plus the points in this match up!

3♦ MICHIGAN STATE



Stephen Nover

Sacramento at CLEVELAND (-13')

I'm on a 77 percent run on my complementary NBA selections having gone 7-2 during the past two weeks.

The best play on the 10-game Sunday card is the under in the Sacramento-Cleveland matchup.

The Kings are struggling to score with star guard Tyreke Evans out with a concussion and assorted other injuries.

Evans leads all rookies with a 20.3 point scoring average. He has missed the past four games and is not expected to play versus Cleveland.

The Kings are averaging only 83.3 points in their last three games, while making less than 40 percent from the floor during this span.

The Cavaliers rank third in defensive field goal percentage and fourth in defense, holding foes to 94.8 points per game.

The Cavaliers have been double-digit home favorites 15 times since the All-Star break. They have gone under the total in 13 of those 15 games. Saving energy is a huge concern for Cleveland coach Mike Brown this late in the season.

So don't look for LeBron James and some of the other Cleveland starters to see major minutes if the Cavaliers built up a big lead as expected.

4♦ UNDER Kings/Cavaliers



Karl Garrett

Indiana (+8') at ATLANTA

It is an overall 25-20-1 comp play run my last 46.

I will take the points with the on-fire Pacers.

Indiana is looking to end a 5 game series losing streak, and they do come to Atlanta having won their last 5 games straight up. The Pacers have also covered 8 straight, and 11 of their last 12 against the spread.

The Hawks suffered a letdown after their big last second win over Orlando, as they took it on the chin against the lowly 76ers on Friday night. Next up for Atlanta are games against the Lakers and the Cavaliers, so if you ask me, they may take this game a little too lightly and allow Indiana to hang inside the impost.

Go ahead and take the Pacers plus the points as they make it 9 straight covers, and covers in 12 of their last 13.

2♦ INDIANA




Chuck O'Brien

Denver at ORLANDO (-5')

Take the Magic minus the points against Denver in NBA action Sunday.

Clearly, the Nuggets miss the steady guidance of coach George Karl, who is out indefinitely as he goes through cancer treatment. Denver has dropped three of its last four games, and if not for a buzzer-beating shot by Carmelo Anthony on Friday, the Nuggets would be entering this one on its first four-game losing streak of the season.

Where Karl is really missed most, apparently, is at the offensive end, as the high-scoring Nuggets are in a major shooting slump. They’ve been held under 100 points in five of their last six games, averaging 97.8 ppg on 43.4 percent shooting. That’s scary stuff since Orlando is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA and has held 11 of its last 12 opponents to 97 points or less (the only exception came in an overtime game vs. Miami, and even then the Heat managed just 102 points). Over this 12-game stretch, opponents are scoring just 91 ppg versus the Magic.

Also, history isn’t on Denver’s side in this game at all. Since the Magic franchise was formed in 1989, the Nuggets are 3-18 when playing in Orlando. They’ve also failed to cover in eight of their last nine in central Florida (and the home team has cashed in 13 of the last 16 in this rivalry).

The Magic come into this one having won 16 of their last 19 at home, and only two of those 16 home wins (vs. the Lakers and Celtics) were by fewer than six points. And despite Friday’s last-second win at Toronto, Denver is still a sub-.500 team on the road this year (18-19 SU, 14-19-4 ATS).

4♦ ORLANDO

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#199610 - 03/28/10 09:11 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
National Sports Service

4* Baylor +5
3* Michigan St. +2

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#199611 - 03/28/10 09:15 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3938
Loc: new york, usa
Matt Fargo

10* Baylor
9* Tennessee

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#199612 - 03/28/10 09:31 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: malone84]
bailout Offline
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Registered: 03/18/06
Posts: 5569
Loc: illinois
ICE PICKS
Sunday's Best NHL Bets

Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues (-215, 5.5)

How do you make a pick between the worst road team and the worst home team in the NHL?

Well, you have to decide which one has given up on the season and which is still playing.

"We're going to keep on winning hockey games," said St. Louis interim coach Davis Payne. "Until they tell us we're not eligible (for the playoffs), we're going to make sure that hey, if there's fight left in us, we're going to put it out there.”

The Oilers have been suprisingly good lately, winning three of their last four as underdogs of -200 or more, but they won’t get to double-digit road wins this season.

Pick: Blues

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins (-215, 5.5)

Even out of the playoff picture, the Maple Leafs are playing competitive hockey.

Toronto has won eight of 11 heading into Saturday’s matchup against New York and much of that success has to do with goalie Jonas Gustavsson.

The rookie has won six straight games behind a 1.92 goals-against average and a .927 save percentage. He is working on replacing Jean-Sebastien Giguere as the team’s No. 1 goalie heading into next season.

"It's good for our confidence," said Gustavsson of the Leafs’ recent success.

The Pens have produced three consecutive unders in the second leg of their last three back-to-backs.

Toronto has played to the under in six straight games and are also 3-0 under in its last three B2B situations.

Pick: Under

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#199613 - 03/28/10 09:32 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: bailout]
bailout Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 03/18/06
Posts: 5569
Loc: illinois
Arthur Ralph Sports
416 - 306 run 58 %

Free Play SUN Under the total Golden State

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#199614 - 03/28/10 09:33 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: bailout]
bailout Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 03/18/06
Posts: 5569
Loc: illinois
ATS Lock Club

4 units Baylor +4.5
3 units Tenn -1

3 units Boston -3.5

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#199615 - 03/28/10 09:33 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: bailout]
bailout Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 03/18/06
Posts: 5569
Loc: illinois
DCI NCAA

Straight Up: 3897-1285 (.752)
ATS: 1749-1724 (.504)
ATS Vary Units: 4698-4743 (.498)
Over/Under: 1556-1599 (.493)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2416-2416 (.500)

NCAA Tournament
Midwest Region
Regional Championship at Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO
Tennessee 68, Michigan State 66
South Region
Regional Championship at Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
Duke 72, Baylor 69

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#199616 - 03/28/10 09:34 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: bailout]
bailout Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 03/18/06
Posts: 5569
Loc: illinois
DCI NBA

Straight Up: 726-306 (.703)
ATS: 564-500 (.530)
ATS Vary Units: 1319-1178 (.528)
Over/Under: 526-546 (.491)
Over/Under Vary Units: 709-718 (.497)

CLEVELAND 109, Sacramento 91
MILWAUKEE 102, Memphis 95
ATLANTA 106, Indiana 98
Chicago 98, DETROIT 96
MIAMI 103, Toronto 94
ORLANDO 107, Denver 99
Phoenix 117, MINNESOTA 107
OKLAHOMA CITY 98, Portland 95
BOSTON 97, San Antonio 94
L.A. CLIPPERS 112, Golden State 109

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#199617 - 03/28/10 09:35 AM Re: 3/28 [Re: bailout]
bailout Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 03/18/06
Posts: 5569
Loc: illinois
DCI NHL

Season: 379-256 (.597)

WASHINGTON 4, Calgary 2
PITTSBURGH 3, Toronto 2
ST. LOUIS 4, Edmonton 2
PHILADELPHIA 3, New Jersey 2
CHICAGO 4, Columbus 3
SAN JOSE 4, Colorado 3

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