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#197736 - 03/09/10 09:23 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: tinfw17]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 3978
Loc: TX
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ICE PICKS
Tuesday's Best NHL Bets
Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs (+110, 5)
The Bruins left Pittsburgh after Sunday’s 2-1 loss to the Penguins with more than just a bruised ego. Center Marc Savard got leveled from behind by Matt Cooke and fell unconscious to the ice. He eventually regained consciousness, but suffered a concussion and is doubtful for Tuesday’s game.
Head coach Claude Julien was incensed after the game, calling for Cooke’s suspension.
“A guy like that has to be suspended,” Julien told The Boston Globe. “That’s the way I see it because it’s an elbow to the head from the blind side, and that’s exactly the example they show, what we’ve got to get out of our game.
“We got a guy who’s got a concussion, our best player, and he’s going to be out for a while. He was on the ice for a bit and that’s unacceptable.”
Boston was already the NHL’s lowest scoring team with an average of 2.31 goals per game and things won’t be getting any better with Savard out of the lineup.
Goals should be hard to come by in this one. The Maple Leafs have only managed to light the lamp five times in their four games since the Olympic break and six of their last seven outings have gone under the total.
Pick: Under
Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche (+100, 5.5)
The Vancouver Canucks came from behind again and grabbed their 40th win of the season, beating the Nashville Predators 4-2 Sunday after trailing 2-1 in the third period.
Goalie Roberto Luongo bounced back from his atrocious performance against the Blackhawks Friday night, making 33 saves even though he directed a puck into the net with the knob of his stick for the second time in as many games.
“I couldn’t really believe that it happened again”, Luongo told The Vancouver Sun. “I’m just being mentally tested right now. I was able to put it behind me and keep playing.”
Vancouver sits at the top of the Northwest Division standings because of its ability to grind out wins. The Canucks lead the NHL with nine victories on the season when trailing after two periods and have totaled 82 third-period goals.
Expect them to do just that against the Colorado Avalanche.
Pick: Canucks
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#197737 - 03/09/10 09:23 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: tinfw17]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 3978
Loc: TX
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets
Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks (-1, 188)
Boston’s “Three Party” of Ray Allen, Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett has turned into an “over the hill” social hangover.
All three members of the Big Three are posting their lowest scoring totals since their rookie seasons and Rajon Rondo is the only player in a Celtic uniform pulling his weight these days.
The aging squad struggled to defeat the lowly Wizards on Sunday, trailing by 13 with six minutes left, which was only four games removed from an embarrassing 104-96 home loss to the Nets.
"We've lost so many of these where we played poorly and lost," Doc Rivers said after the come-from-behind victory Sunday. "It was nice to play poorly and win. I just wish we could have played the first 40 minutes, like we played the last eight."
That was about the umpteenth time Rivers has used the word “poorly” to describe his team this year. Rondo said a few weeks ago that there hasn't been the same Celtic vibe and pride in the locker room as there has been in the last couple of seasons.
This is clearly not the same Boston squad that won the NBA championship two years ago and it has not been kind to bettors recently, going 11-18-1 ATS since the New Year.
And honestly, how can you bet against the Bucks at this point? Milwaukee has covered the spread in 10 straight and is 21-4 ATS in their last 25 games.
Pick: Bucks
Miami Heat at Charlotte Bobcats (-3, 185)
Dwyane Wade and the Heat will almost certainly score more than the 65 points they posted against the Bobcats on Jan. 20.
In that dismal affair, Miami shot less than 30 percent from the floor, only hit 2-of-23 three-point attempts and was a smidgen better than 60 percent from the charity stripe as a team.
So was it an off-night for the Heat or was Charlotte’s defense that good? Maybe a little bit of both.
Miami (96.3) and Charlotte (94.8) rank No. 26 and 28 in the Association in scoring, but are also in the Top 5 in scoring defense with both teams surrendering fewer than 96 points per outing.
The Bobcats have played to five consecutive unders where only one total was posted at higher than 194. Charlotte held opponents to 91.0 ppg during that stretch.
Prior to three straight overs, where the Heat played up-tempo teams like Golden State and Atlanta (also one OT game with L.A.), the under had cashed in 9-of-10 Miami contests.
Points will come at a premium in the Southeast showdown on Tuesday.
Pick: Under
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#197738 - 03/09/10 09:23 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: tinfw17]
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Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 09/14/04
Posts: 3978
Loc: TX
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SPORTS ADVISORS
TUESDAY, MARCH 9
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
BIG EAST TOURNAMENT
(at New York)
Providence (12-18, 10-15-1 ATS) vs. Seton Hall (18-11, 8-15 ATS)
These teams closed the regular-season against each other on Saturday, with Providence falling 92-80 as a one-point home underdog. The Friars enter the conference tournament at Madison Square Garden on a 10-game losing skid (3-6-1 ATS), and they’ve lost 12 of their last 13 since starting Big East play 3-2 SU and ATS. Providence’s defense has been nonexistent, giving up more than 90 points in three of the last four games and seven of the last 13. Furthermore, the Friars surrendered more than 80 points in 13 of 18 conference contests. With Seton Hall’s win at Providence on Saturday, the Pirates are now on a 6-2 run, and they’ve followed up a 1-6 ATS slump with consecutive spread-covers (both on the road). Seton Hall has scored 83, 85 and 92 points in its last three games, and has tallied at least 76 points six times during its current 6-2 streak. Seton Hall has won three of the last four in this rivalry both SU and ATS, and the winning team has scored 88, 98 and 92 points in the last three clashes. The Pirates are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 head-to-head battles, the ‘dog has covered in seven of the last 10 and the SU winner has cashed in each of the last nine meetings. Both teams are struggling at the betting window. Providence is in ATS slumps of 2-6-1 overall (all in the Big East and all against winning teams), 1-4 at neutral sites and 1-3-1 after a non-cover. The Pirates have failed to cover in 14 of 20 overall, 13 of 19 against Big East foes, 19 of 26 at neutral sites and eight of 10 after a SU victory. On the bright side, Seton Hall is 5-2 ATS both in its last seven Tuesday contests and its last seven versus losing teams. The over is on runs of 4-1 for the Friars overall (all in the Big East), 5-1 for the Friars against winning teams, 4-1 for Seton Hall at neutral sites and 5-1 in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SETON HALL and OVER
Rutgers (15-16, 12-14 ATS) vs. Cincinnati (16-14, 7-18 ATS)
Rutgers has followed up a modest three-game winning streak (2-0 in Big East play) by dropping four of its last five, including Saturday’s ugly 83-54 loss at Pittsburgh, failing to cover as a 14½-point road underdog. The Scarlet Knights started Big East play with eight consecutive SU and ATS losses, then covered in seven of their next eight games (5-3 SU) and now have dropped two in a row SU and ATS. After two narrow losses to eighth-ranked West Virginia (74-68 on the road) and ninth-ranked Villanova (77-73 at home), the Bearcats went to No. 19 Georgetown for Saturday’s regular-season finale and got boat-raced 74-47 as a seven-point road underdog. Cincinnati has lost seven of its last nine games and is 4-14 ATS since the Big East season kicked off. One of the Bearcats’ four spread-covers in conference play came back on Jan. 2 at Rutgers, a 65-58 win as a five-point road favorite. Cincinnati 3-0 SU and ATS in the last three meetings after the Scarlet Knights went 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the first three clashes since the Big East expanded in 2005-06. The favorite has gotten the money in each of the last four meetings. Rutgers has cashed in seven of 10 overall (all in conference) and five of six on Tuesday, but it is 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral-site games, 3-9 ATS in its last 12 after a SU victory, 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 after a non-cover and 5-11 ATS in its last 16 against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Bearcats’ are in pointspread ruts of 7-22 overall (4-14 last 18), 6-20 in the Big East, 5-16 after a SU defeat, 4-13 after a non-cover, 1-4 against losing teams and 1-5 on Tuesday. The over is 6-2 in Rutgers’ last eight games after a loss of more than 20 points and 4-0 in Cincy’s last four after a loss of more than 20 points, but the Bearcats are also on “under” stretches of 5-0 at neutral sites, 4-0 on Tuesday and 9-3 after a loss. Finally, this year’s meeting stayed under the total following a 3-0 “over” surge in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: RUTGERS
HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNAMENT
(at Indianapolis)
Wright State (20-11, 11-15-2 ATS) at (12) Butler (27-4, 12-19 ATS)
Wright State advanced to the Horizon League tournament championship game with Saturday’s 69-50 rout of Detroit as a 5½-point favorite at Hinkle Fieldhouse, which is Butler’s home court. The Raiders have alternated wins and losses in their last five games, but they’re 9-3 SU in their last 12 contests (all in the Horizon). On the downside, Wright State is just 4-10-2 ATS in its last 16 outings, and it has posted consecutive spread-covers just once since starting the season 4-0 ATS. Butler, shooting for its third consecutive Horizon League championship, has a 19-game winning streak on the line today, and it also sports a 19-0 record in conference. On Saturday, the Bulldogs hosted Wisconsin-Milwaukee in semifinal action and pulled away late for a 68-59 victory, falling short as a 14½-point favorite. Butler has turned up the heat defensively, holding six of its last seven opponents and 10 of the last 13 under 60 points. The Bulldogs swept the season series from the Raiders, winning 77-65 as a 1½-point road underdog and 74-62 as an eight-point home chalk. Since losing three straight to Wright State – including the 2007 conference tournament championship game – Butler has won six in a row in this rivalry, going 4-1 ATS. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings, the underdog is 6-3 ATS in the last nine and the SU winner is 9-2 ATS in the last 11. Wright State has cashed in seven of eight on Tuesday, but from there the pointspread trends turn negative, including 1-11-1 on the road, 4-10-2 in conference, 1-4-1 after a SU win, 1-5 following a spread-cover, 3-8-2 against teams with a winning record and 2-10 against opponents with a winning percentage above .600. Butler is on ATS slides of 2-5 overall, 2-6 at home, 0-4 on Tuesday and 2-5 after a SU win. The under is on runs of 8-2-1 for the Raiders on Tuesday, 4-0 for Butler overall and 5-1 for Butler in Horizon action. However, the over is 4-0 in Wright State’s last four against winning teams, 4-0 in Butler’s last four against winning teams, 6-2 in Butler’s last eight on Tuesday and 4-0 in the last four battles between these schools.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BUTLER and OVER
NBA
Boston (40-21, 24-36-1 ATS) at Milwaukee (33-29, 41-21 ATS)
Two squads going in the right direction clash at the Bradley Center, where the Celtics put a four-game winning streak on the line against the surging Bucks, who have won three in a row and nine of their last 10. Boston needed a furious fourth-quarter rally to knock off the lowly Wizards 86-83 on Sunday, never threatening to cover as a 12-point home favorite to halt a three-game ATS surge. The Celtics have won four in a row and 11 of their last 16, but their 3-1 ATS uptick comes on the heels of an 11-25 ATS funk. The Bucks started last week with a home-and-home sweep of the Wizards (100-87 victory as a 10-point home favorite; 102-74 as a four-point road chalk). Then they caught a break against Cleveland on Saturday, as LeBron James sat out with an injury and Milwaukee took advantage with a 92-85 victory over the Cavaliers as a 3½-point home favorite. The Bucks have cashed in 10 straight games (9-1 ATS) – going 4-0 SU and ATS at home – and they now have the best pointspread mark in the NBA. Boston took out Milwaukee 98-89 in the only previous meeting this season, but the Bucks cashed as a 12½-point road underdog, their fourth straight spread-cover in this rivalry (all as an underdog). The Celtics are 7-1 SU in the last eight series clashes, but Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 (4-1 ATS at the Bradley Center). The Celtics have cashed in four of their last five on the highway, but they’re otherwise in ATS ruts of 7-16-1 overall, 3-7 against Eastern Conference foes, 1-4 versus the Central Division, 3-8-1 against winning teams, 5-15-1 after one day off, 3-11-1 following a non-cover and 1-4 on Tuesday. Conversely, Milwaukee is on positive ATS runs of 44-21-1 going back to the end of last year, 4-0 at home, 22-6 in Eastern Conference games, 13-3 when facing the Atlantic Division, 4-1 when playing on two days of rest and 22-8 after a spread-cover. Boston is on “under” runs of 6-2 on the road, 5-2 against the Central Division and 7-2 after a SU victory, while the Bucks sport “under” trends of 4-1 overall, 7-2 at home, 20-6 within the Eastern Conference, 10-4 after a SU win, 4-1 versus the Atlantic Division and 5-1 on Tuesday. Finally, the last two meetings between these squads have stayed below the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE and UNDER
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#197754 - 03/09/10 11:27 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: bailout]
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Head of Security
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 02/11/09
Posts: 17224
Loc: usa
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ASA
NCAAB BIG EAST TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR - DAY GAME
PLAY ON Connecticut (-) vs. St. Johns, Tuesday at 2:00 PM EST on ESPN
The Huskies were an under achieving team all season long finishing the regular season with just a 17-14 losing their last three games. UConn is MUCH more talented than their record might indicate and those teams can be ultra dangerous come post-season time. The Huskies no their only chance to make the Dance is to make a deep run in the Big East tourney and they might even have to win it. They have the talent and we expect the “drive” to be their also starting against St. Johns on Tuesday afternoon. As we stated UConn lost their final three games by 2 points at home to Louisville, by 8 @ red hot Notre Dame followed up by a 7-point loss @ South Florida. It was the loss at USF that really got head coach Jim Calhoun worked up. He was extremely disappointed in his seniors’ effort in that game. With the Huskies down just 2 at half, they started the second half very poorly with the Bulls ripping off a 12-1 run to start the half and lead 45-32. Calhoun was furious with the lack of effort and benched his 5 starters with 16:00 minutes remaining. Three seniors, Jerome Dyson, Stanley Robinson and Gavin Edwards would not see the floor again. Calhoun was sending a message benching three players that combine to average 42 PPG on the season. His reserves brought them back to within a bucket before bowing out and dropping the 7-point decision. “The team that you saw at the end will be the team that starts on Tuesday,” said Calhoun. When Dyson, Robinson and Edwards get in the game vs. St. Johns, we look for a huge effort in what could be the final game of their careers if they don’t get the win. The last time Calhoun called out his team for a poor effort was following a 12-point home loss to Cincinnati. After that game, the Huskies ripped off three impressive wins including topping both Villanova (on the road) and West Virginia, two of the best teams in the Big East. Look for similar results on Tuesday. These two met once this season and Connecticut handled St. Johns with ease 75-59. The Husky defense, which is one of the best in the nation, dominated that day holding the Johnnies to just 34% shooting and only 2 made three pointers. Don’t look for St. Johns to finally get hot on offense as they have struggled most of the season hitting just 42% of their shots. While they have a similar record to UConn, they haven’t beaten any elite teams this year. They have feasted on the teams they were “supposed to” beat. Topping an inconsistent Louisville team and beating a then struggling Notre Dame team by a point were St. Johns best two Big East wins. The Huskies have shown they can beat the big boys as we mentioned with wins over Villanova and West Virginia (and Texas). They also took two future #1 seeds to the wire before losing by 3 to Kentucky and by 5 @ Syracuse. If motivated, this team can play with anyone. They are just that here and will dominated St. Johns for the second time this season. Lay this small number.
Best of Luck,
_________________________
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#197755 - 03/09/10 11:28 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: K]
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Head of Security
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 02/11/09
Posts: 17224
Loc: usa
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Marc Lawrence
Utah Jazz at Chicago Bulls Prediction: Chicago Bulls
The Bulls host the Jazz in a non-conference clash in the Windy City Tuesday evening knowing Chicago is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in this series when playing off a loss. They are also 5-1 ATS as a series host when off a loss. With Utah taking to the road off a string of five consecutive conference clashes, look for the Bulls to improve on their numbers here tonight.
BIG AL
Toronto Raptors at LA Lakers
The Lakers are 0-7 OU (-12.3 ppg) after two away losses in which Kobe Bryant took more than 20 shots in each and 0-4 OU (-11.5 ppg) after a loss in which Andrew Bynum shot worse than 33% from the field. Also, the Lakers are The Lakers are 0-5 OU (-13.7 ppg) when facing a team they lost to in their previous same-season match-up and 0-7 OU (-10.9 ppg) as a home favorite after a road loss in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.
Play on: Under
Matt Fargo
Montana vs. NO. Colorado Play: NO. Colorado +1.5
So exactly why is Montana favored here? It is obviously based on name alone and not by the quality of these two teams. Northern Colorado has had a sensational season yet no one has seemed to notice with the exception of one place. The Bears are the highest ranked team in the Big Sky Conference in the latest mid-major poll provided by CollegeInsider as they are ranked 11th followed by Weber St. coming in at 15th. Montana is no where to be found yet it is labeled as the favorite in this matchup. Northern Colorado is riding a four-game winning streak and overall it is 24-6 on the season which includes a solid 12-5 record away from home. One of those losses was a one-point setback at Oklahoma and while the Sooners are in a down year, this is still a team from the Big XII we are talking about. The Bears had four losses by six points or fewer and one of those came at home against Montana by two points which was their only home loss this season. That could raise some questions about being at a matchup disadvantage but it won in Montana by 11 points prior to that. Motivation is not an issue this time of year for most but that home loss should give Northern Colorado a little extra in the tank for today. Montana easily took care of Northern Arizona in the first round of the Big Sky Tournament but that game was at home and came against a team it completely dominated in all three meetings this season. The Bears have edges on the defensive side of the floor as well as free throw shooting, both of which are extremely important this time of year. They are 18th in the nation in free throw shooting at 74.6 percent and even better is the fact that they average over 25 attempts per game. With a win tonight Northern Colorado would set a school record for most wins in a season and the 13th non-home win would be good for third most in the entire country and that is saying something. 3* Northern Colorado Bears
Craig Trapp
Rutgers vs. Cincinnati Play: Rutgers +7.5
The Bearcats are playing some of the worst basketball in the Big East, in fact they are 2-8 ATS in L10 and an even worse 7-18 ATS overall. Rutgers has at least looked competitive in the last 10 with a record 4-3 ATS in L7 games including a huge win against Georgetown about 3 weeks ago. Like a home game for Rutgers as well can't hurt. Lace Stephenson for the Cats is a NY legend but his homecoming games this year has not been good as he really has pressed in those games. Expect the same this game as Cincy pulls off a last second win, take the points with Rutgers!
DAVID CHAN
Miami @ Charlotte Bobcats PICK: Charlotte Bobcats -3
Some teams just match up really well against other teams. That’s the case here: the Bobcats have mauled Miami in both meetings this season. When these teams played six weeks ago, Miami was absolutely smothered and scored 65 points. Dwyane Wade had 16 points, but one lonely assist to go with them.
The line in that game was Bobcats -4. The Heat are 11-11 since and the Bobcats are 9-12, but the Bobcats had two trips out West in that stretch. Starting this number below 4 is a mistake, and given this season’s results I’d set it at 5 or 5.5.
Nick “The BookieKiller” Parsons
Calgary @ Detroit Pick: Calgary +1.5
A critical Western Conference matchup sees the Calgary Flames travel to Detroit to take on the Red Wings; for a number of different reasons I believe the prudent wager in this one is the Flames on the "puck line":
The Wings are currently holding down the eighth spot in the West with the Flames sitting in ninth.
Calgary has won three of four; Detroit four of five.
Detroit beat Chicago 5-4 on Sunday; Calgary whipped the Wild 5-2 later the same day.
Miikka Kiprusoff is 4-2-0 with 2.31 GAA in his last six starts against the Wings and is expected to get the start tonight.
Calgary has seemingly turned a corner after a rough patch and I believe it will leave everything it has on the ice tonight as it gears up for a run down the stretch; in a tightly contested affair which could very well see OT; consider laying it here for the +1.5
Joseph D'Amico
Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks pLAY: Milwaukee Bucks -1
The Buck's are the hottest team in the NBA, winning 9 of their L10 SU and covering 10 straight. They dismantled the Cav's 92-85 on Saturday. All 5 starters are averaging DD"s each game, including Forward John Salmons who is posting 19.2 PPG. When hosting, Milwaukee is 19-10 ATS TY and are outscoring visiting foes by an average of 4.1 PPG. Boston is playing well, but are just 7-16-1 ATS their L24 games overall. They are just not covering the number. The Celtic's can't seem to get over on the Buck's, as they are 0-4 ATS their L4 against them and 1-4 ATS their L5 in Miwasukee. The Celtic's are also 5-15-1 ATS their L21 games played on 1 days rest, 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the NBA Central, and 3-8-1 ATS their L12 vs. teams with a winning record. The Buck's 4-0 ATS their L4 at home, 13-3 ATS their L16 vs. the NBA Atlantic, and 23-8 ATS their L31 as a favorite. Milwaukee wins and covers at home.
JIM FEIST
UTAH JAZZ / CHICAGO BULLS TAKE OVER
Utah is going to its strength, the uptempo offense. The Jazz scored 133 points on Houston, part of a 6-1 run over the total. Of course, they allowed 103 or more points in five of those seven games. Now they face another uptempo team in Chicago, on a 4-2 run over the total. Sparkplug guard Derrick Rose leads an offense that just scored 116 on Dallas....but they gave up 122! In fact, the Bulls have given up over 100 points in 7 straight games, so they have become all-offense-or-nothing. Look for an offensive show in the Windy City. Play the Jazz/Bulls Over the total.
EZWINNERS
Milwaukee Bucks -1
Milwaukee is red hot having won nine out of their last ten games and going 10-0 against the spread in those games! Rookie point guard Brandon Jennings is playing very well again and the picking up John Salmons from the Bulls at the trade deadline has proven to be a very nice move so far. Boston just can't seem to get things rolling. They are coming off of a win against Washington, but it was a struggle. The Celtics are only 7-16 against the spread in their last twenty three games and they have struggled in Milwaukee where they are only 1-4 against the spread in their last five visits. I'll look for the Bucks to keep their hot streak going, play on Milwaukee..
James Patrick Sports
George Washington vs. Dayton
The Flyers are off a home loss to St. Louis and Dayton is a different team at home with a (32-2) record at Dayton Arena. The Flyers have (4) starters and (10) of the top (11) scorers back for HC Brian Gregory and look for their stingy defense to be at the top of their game in UD Arena against the Colonials here. George Washington checks in at (2-7) ATS their past (9) on Tuesday and we expected a lot out of Dayton this season and think the Huge Loss to the Billikens may have been the boost they needed to play up to their projected potential. The Flyers in the Birthplace of Flight as James Patrick Sports Tuesday selection in Atlantic 10 action.
Great Lakes Sports
St Joseph's vs Rhode Island Play: Rhode Island
The Rhode Island Rams are a very solid 14-7 ATS vs St Joseph since 1997, and the Rhode Island Rams are a very nice 3-1 ATS when playing on Tuesday's this year. The St Joseph Hawks are a terrible 7-12 ATS in the role of an underdog this year, and they are a dismal 4-9 ATS when playing on the road this year. We look for the Rhode Island Rams to grab the tournament ATS Win&Cover tonight.
Michael Cannon
St. John's vs. Connecticut (-4), at NEW YORK
I'm 4-1 with my last five overall free plays! Take Connecticut minus the points over St. John’s in the opening round of the Big East tournament. I can’t see the Huskies falling flat in this game. They know their Tournament lives are at stake and nothing less than a good showing in the Big East tournament will suffice. St. John’s has lost nine straight to UConn, and the Red Storm are just 3-6 ATS during that slide. The Huskies have lost three straight, but prior to that had won three in a row including impressive wins at Villanova and at home over West Virginia. Take UConn minus the points as they grab the win and cover.
2♦ CONNECTICUT
Bobby Maxwell
Wright St. vs. Butler (-9) at Indianapolis
Scored the FREE winner on Monday with the Mavericks winning and covering in Minnesota. The win improved my comp play record to 63-32-3 with my last 98 selections and I've got a college winner for you today as I lay the chalk with Butler against Wright St. Butler is playing at home in this one and they’re going to blow Wright State out of the water in this one. The Bulldogs are riding a 19-game winning streak and have won two straight Horizon League championship games coming in to this one. They’re 19-0 in conference play and have clearly been the class of this league. Butler beat Wright State 77-65 as a 1 ½-point road underdog and scored a 74-62 win as an eight-point home favorite. The Bulldogs have beaten the Raiders six straight (4-1 ATS) and the home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings. And this one is on the Bulldogs’ home turf. Wright State is on ATS slides of 1-11-1 on the road, 4-10-2 against Horizon foes, 1-4-1 after a straight-up win, 1-5 after a spread-cover and 2-10 against opponents with a winning percentage better than .600. The Raiders just aren’t able to step up in class while Butler does know how and has frequently. Lay the chalk with the Bulldogs in this one as they score a third-straight conference tourney title in easy fashion. Play Butler.
5♦ BUTLER
Karl Garrett
St. Joseph's (+8) at RHODE ISLAND
My free play run stands at 12-5-1 coming into Tuesday's action, and I will gladly take the points in the St. Joe's-Rhode Island contest, as the Rams certainly don't look like the same team that they were earlier this season. Rhode Island comes into this one in a tailspin, losers of 5 of their last 7 straight up, and the Rams are a money-burning 3-8 against the spread in their lined home games this season. True, the Hawks sport only 11 wins on the season, but they do enter riding a 2-game win streak, and they have also won 7 of the last 10 series meetings. The Rams punished the Hawks, 101-74 earlier this year in Kingston, but the underdog is on a 7-2 spread run the last 9 series meetings. G-Man will ride the dog once again in this A-10 first opening round battle.
1♦ ST. JOSEPH'S
_________________________
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#197758 - 03/09/10 11:36 AM
Re: 3/9
[Re: K]
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Head of Security
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 02/11/09
Posts: 17224
Loc: usa
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Kyle Bales 3/9
Both of these teams are on winning streaks but the competition hasn't been that great. Milwaukee is hot going on a 15-4 run, but of the Bucks first 14 victories in that stretch, 13 came against the bottom nine teams in the East. The Celtics streak has been built against the teams currently occupying then 9th-12th spots in the East. The Celtics have not impressed me at all during this stretch. They play down to their opponents level; losing to the Nets at home and having to battle back to beat Washington at home Sunday night. Boston trailed 79-66 with 6:11 remaining before a 20-4 closing run to secure an 86-83 win. The Bucks however are hungry for that playoff spot. Brandon Jennings said after a 25 point breakout performance against Cleveland, "Main thing is get to playoffs, having the city start believing in us and keep going on from there." Jennings was one of five Bucks starters to score in double figures in that game. Bucks are 20-9 at home and have covered the spread in 11 straight games. This team is out to prove something.
Play On: 15* Milwaukee Bucks -1
Charlotte looks to win its third straight over the visiting Heat who turned in one of their worst performances ever in their last game at Time Warner Cable Arena. The Heat managed to score 65 points missing 21 of 23 from 3-point range and shot 28.9 percent overall. But I'm not big on past results and I love how this team is playing right now. Wade is averaging 33.3 points, 12.0 assists and 5.0 boards during the Heat's three-game winning streak. Michael Beasley has stepped up after some encouragement from Wade scoring 14 of 22 points in the fourth quarter of last Saturday's home win and this team is clicking right now. The truth is, is that the Bobcats are not that good of a team. Besides an impressive home win against the Lakers they haven't done much lately and I will ride the hotter team today.
Play On: 10* Miami Heat +3.5
St. Bonaventure, winners of 4 of their last 5 games, take on a Duquesne team they just beat at home last Wednesday by 12 points. They are once again favored by -1.5 which seems like a very fishy line to me. The Bonnies had a great performance shooting 56% from the field, nine 3-pointers and 73% from the line but don't expect the same performance today. The Dukes are ranked among Division I's leaders in scoring offense while playing a hectic pace in coach Ron Everhart's first three seasons and responded to the loss by getting it's second 100 point game in less than a month. in Wednesday's matchup, Duquesne and St. Bonaventure committed 20 turnovers apiece and it was just a sloppy game that saw both teams trading fast-break baskets. It also featured the first technical foul of the season on Dukes coach Ron Everhart, as well as junior Damian Saunders shooting two air-balls on free-throw attempts. I think this team will step up today to get the victory.
Play On: 5* Duquesne +2
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#197795 - 03/09/10 04:00 PM
Re: 3/9
[Re: K]
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Head of Security
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 02/11/09
Posts: 17224
Loc: usa
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SPORTS WAGERS
Nashville +1.06 over ATLANTA
All these games between teams fighting for a playoff spot are so crucial right now and this one is no exception. The Preds sit in seventh spot, just a point ahead of Detroit and just two points ahead of Calgary. Atlanta is in 10th and sit just a point behind the Rangers in ninth and three points behind the Bruins for the final spot. Both teams have dropped two straight but the difference is that the Preds lost to Detroit and Vancouver while the Thrashers lost to Tampa and Carolina. Furthermore, the Thrashers lost Evander Kane in that game on Saturday and without Kane in the two weekend games the Thrashers were outscored 10-2. The Thrashers are full of defensive deficiencies while the Preds play a much more disciplined style and they’re a lot tougher to beat. Nashville is extremely strong defensively, they have solid and consistent goaltending while the Thrashers have neither. So, give me a tag with the more disciplined squad and the better defensive team, throw in more reliable goaltending and chances are good we’ll see the cashier when this one is in the books. Play: Nashville +1.06 (Risking 2 units).
ANAHEIM -½ -1.08 over Columbus
One would have to believe the Jackets would put forth a better effort tonight than the brutal performance they displayed last night. They lost 6-0 in L.A. and were outshot 35-11. Having said that, even its best effort is unlikely to get the job done here. The Jackets not only have no life in them (five straight losses) but they also lost Rick Nash and last night and the Jackets without Nash are like the Colts without Manning. This is a team in big time trouble and as it turns out, it wasn’t Ken Hitchcock after all. Meanwhile, this talented host continues to underachieve and losing here would have to be about as devastating a loss as they’ve had all year. The Ducks are fading fast and are now six points behind the Red Wings for the final spot but in order to get there they’re going to have to leapfrog over St. Louis, Dallas and Calgary. In other words, a loss here and the season is pretty much finished. Frankly, it’s hard to envision the superior Ducks in desperation mode losing to this intruder playing its third game in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs, minus Nash. Play: Anaheim -½ -1.08 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
Florida +1.63 over MINNESOTA
These two seldom get together and in fact, have not faced one another in over two years. The last time the Panthers beat the Wild was way back in 2001 but that was just eight games ago. The away team in these situations usually has an edge because the arena lacks the atmosphere that a rival brings. Furthermore, the Panthers have looked especially sharp in its last two game, beating both Philly and Carolina and scoring 11 times in the process. The Wild has lost two straight and that includes a 2-1 loss to Edmonton. Minnesota has now scored just three goals over its last two games and when laying big juice with struggling offenses is very bad strategy. The Panthers may not win here but they’re chances of doing so have to be considered just as good and this price absolutely seals the deal. Go Panthers. Play: Florida +1.63 (Risking 2 units).
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#197812 - 03/09/10 04:14 PM
Re: 3/9
[Re: K]
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Head of Security
Freaksforum VIP
Registered: 02/11/09
Posts: 17224
Loc: usa
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ThisProGambler Posted on March 9, 2010 by ThisProGambler
It’s a great NBA card tonight, with lots of possible plays to choose from. Perhaps the best game on the schedule will be the Boston Celtics visiting the Milwaukee Bucks. Who would have predicted at the beginning of this season that the Bucks would be a favorite to win this game. But, while I’ll be watching that game, I’m going elsewhere to make some money.
Take Miami Heat +3 1/2 at Charlotte Bobcats. The Heat have played in streaks since the end of January – Lose 5, Win 5, Lose 4 (missing Wade for 3 of those), now Win 3. They started the most recent streak, all at home, beating the injured Golden State Warriors, but then defeated a full strength Lakers team followed by the playoff bound Atlanta Hawks. Tonight they head to Charlotte, where the Bobcats dealt them their most embarrassing defeat of the year on January 20 by a score of 104-65. Only a couple of weeks before, Charlotte had beat the Heat in Miami by 10 points. Playing well, Wade and company will have revenge on their minds. Although 4-6 in their last 10, the Bobcats have won 2 in a row defeating the Lakers and the Warriors. But, the Heat had actually softened up both teams for Charlotte. Take the Heat +3 1/2.
TakeToronto Raptors +11 at Los Angeles Lakers. Both of these teams are at a crossroads. No, I don’t think the Lakers are in trouble of blowing the season, but there is some danger of losing the No. 1 seed in the West to Dallas. There’s tension in the locker room and the team is feeling some heat to break their 3 game losing streak. Ron Artest has now shaved his Dennis Rodman “do” (although you can see the purple dye in his scalp from the calligraphy). Players are standing around on offense, waiting for Kobe to shoot instead of pass. And, in spite of Phil Jackson’s talk about defense, they struggled all through the road trip. The D did improve in the second half of the Orlando game and that should continue to-night. But, a defensive game will allow the Raptors to stay close. Toronto was flying high until Chris Bosh went down. They got him back in the lineup Sunday only to lose Hedo Turkoglu; the result was a loss to the 76ers. Toronto has now been passed in the standings by the Bucks, and has Miami and Chicago breathing down their neck. The result: both of these teams are going to be focused and playing hard tonight. The Lakers haven’t been great at covering the spread all year; they’re 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Raptors put up equally bad numbers ATS with Bosh out of the line, but that was so last week. Take the Raptors +ll.
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#197820 - 03/09/10 04:29 PM
Re: 3/9
[Re: K]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69540
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Craig Davis
40 Dime – WEBER STATE
WEBER STATE --- To me, this one is pretty simple. There's a reason one of these teams is 13-18 and the other one is 19-9... because one of them (Weber State) is clearly better than the other one (Portland State). I am fully aware that Portland State won their previous matchup last week with Weber St., but let's keep two things in mind: First, Weber State wasn't motivated at all in that game. Second, Portland State was at home where they were a respectable 8-4. The other meeting between these two was back in January where Weber State held on for a three-point win. However, Weber State actually held a ten-point advantage at halftime and actually led by 15 in that game before "taking it easy" and allowing Portland State to hit some late threes to get back into the game.
What you might also not know is that this same Portland State team won the Big Sky Conference Tournament Championship last season by virtue of the Wildcats overlooking Montana State in the semi-finals. Montana State, a large underdog, upset Weber State and went on to the title game where it was beaten by eventual-champion Portland State. So I think it's safe to say the Wildcats are hungry for a big win tonight. I can guarantee you these players and coaches have been saying "remember last year" for the last 24 hours in an attempt to make sure they start AND finish tonight's game strong. No more slip ups. No more taking anyone lightly. It's business as usual for the Wildcats on their own home floor.
Portland State has one glaring weakness that has been exploited by its opponents all season and will be exploited again tonight... they are dead last in scoring defense. That's right, teams score 80 PPG vs. the Vikings and it's even worse when the Vikes travel (82.2 PPG). They've proven they can't stop anyone, so if they aren't shooting a high percentage from the field and from the line, it's going to be a long night for the road team. 8 points might seem like a lot to give, but not when this much is on the line and we're backing a team that is 12-1 at home and 7-3 ATS in 10 lined games. Weber State wins this by at least 12.
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FREAK
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#197824 - 03/09/10 06:03 PM
Re: 3/9
[Re: Joeaveragefan]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69540
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Trace Adams
1000* Boston Celtics 500* Dayton Flyers
Hot versus red-hot tonight, as Boston comes to Milwaukee with wins in 4 in a row, while Milwaukee is fresh off their win over Cleveland to make it wins in 3 straight, and 9 of their last 10.
The Bucks are definitely a team to watch, but at a near pick, prefer the C's who have won 5 of their last 6 on the road, and have also won 7 of the last 8 in the series.
I expect Milwaukee to suffer a little bit of a let down after their huge win over Cleveland on Saturday.
Celts come through in a tough one.
Dayton has pretty much played themselves out of a Big Dance at-large bid unless they make a deep run in the Atlantic 10 tournament, as the Flyers come into this home date against the Colonials having lost their last pair, and 4 of their last 5.
Still, Dayton is 14-2 for the season at home, and after coming up lame over the weekend at home against St. Louis, look for the Flyers to get things righted early in this one, as Dayton is still a positive 8-5 against the spread in their home gym this season.
George Washington has dropped their last pair both straight up and against the spread, and the Colonials were also beat by double-digits earlier this year in Ohio, 66-51 as the 10 1/2-point underdog.
I'm going to lay it, and look for the Flyers to right themselves.
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#197829 - 03/09/10 06:38 PM
Re: 3/9
[Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion
Freaks Forum Owner
Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 69540
Loc: Time to play the Game
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Jimmy Boyd
5* NBA System Play of the Month on Heat +3.5 I feel this is a great spot to back the Heat tonight. Miami is playing some of its best ball of the season, having won 3 straight with 2 of those wins coming over the Lakers and Hawks. So momentum is on its side. Motivation is also on its side. The last time these teams faced off, the Bobcats handed the Heat an embarrassing 104-65 loss. Trust me, that one is not sitting well with D. Wade and company. Expect a big game from Wade tonight and for the Heat to pull the upset. Plays on road underdogs revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more are 25-9 ATS the last 5 seasons, and when that dog is well rested only playing its 2nd game in 5 days, the situation improves to 23-4 ATS the last 5 seasons (85.2%). These numbers are too telling to ignore. We'll play by the numbers tonight!
5* Big East Tourney *BEST BET* (ESPN U) on Providence +6.5 I really like Providence catching a generous amount of points tonight. The Friars enter this contest having lost 10 in a row so they will be very hungry. On top of that, they will be a dangerous team because they have nothing to lose here. Seton Hall, who has a chance to play itself into the NCAAB Tournament is facing far more pressure. These two teams just played each other Saturday with Seton Hall coming out on top by 12 points, but it is an extremely difficult task to win again in these kind of spots. The losing team is usually hungrier and odds makers usually overvalued the winning team as that is the one the public tends to flock to. Furthermore, it's hard to justify laying points with Seton Hall when you consider that the Pirates are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite, 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Meanwhile, the Friars are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound Providence.
3* A-10 Tourney Annihilator on UMass +9.5 Really think UMass isn't getting enough respect tonight when you consider that plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where they scored less than 60 points, off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog, are 32-8 ATS the last 3 seasons and 5-1 ATS this season. And there's more, the 49ers are just 8-26 ATS in their last 34 vs. the Atlantic 10, 49ers are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. loss, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Plus, the Minutemen are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Last thing, the road team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. We'll take the points.
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FREAK
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