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#197824 - 03/09/10 06:03 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: Joeaveragefan]
FREAK Online   content
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Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
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Trace Adams

1000* Boston Celtics
500* Dayton Flyers

Hot versus red-hot tonight, as Boston comes to Milwaukee with wins in 4 in a row, while Milwaukee is fresh off their win over Cleveland to make it wins in 3 straight, and 9 of their last 10.

The Bucks are definitely a team to watch, but at a near pick, prefer the C's who have won 5 of their last 6 on the road, and have also won 7 of the last 8 in the series.

I expect Milwaukee to suffer a little bit of a let down after their huge win over Cleveland on Saturday.

Celts come through in a tough one.

Dayton has pretty much played themselves out of a Big Dance at-large bid unless they make a deep run in the Atlantic 10 tournament, as the Flyers come into this home date against the Colonials having lost their last pair, and 4 of their last 5.

Still, Dayton is 14-2 for the season at home, and after coming up lame over the weekend at home against St. Louis, look for the Flyers to get things righted early in this one, as Dayton is still a positive 8-5 against the spread in their home gym this season.

George Washington has dropped their last pair both straight up and against the spread, and the Colonials were also beat by double-digits earlier this year in Ohio, 66-51 as the 10 1/2-point underdog.

I'm going to lay it, and look for the Flyers to right themselves.
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#197825 - 03/09/10 06:03 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion

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Posts: 71400
Loc: Time to play the Game
LENNY DEL GENIO

20* Atlantic-10 GOM

Rhode Island -14
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#197826 - 03/09/10 06:05 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
pitt Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 12/30/07
Posts: 4892
Loc: pa
dr bob
Tuesday College Opinion
North Texas (pick) over Troy
Rotation #585 - 4 pm Pacific
Both of these teams are riding solid winning streaks, as North Texas has won 10 consecutive games while Troy is on a 7 game win streak entering this game. My ratings favor North Texas by 1 1/2 points and the Eagles apply to a 113-42-4 ATS momentum situation. However, the best part of that situation doesn't apply, so I'll pass on this game and just lean with North Texas at -1 or better.

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#197827 - 03/09/10 06:13 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
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Root

No Limit Rhode Island
Billionaire Seton Hall
Millionaire Pennsylvania
Vegas Legend Dayton
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#197828 - 03/09/10 06:26 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
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2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
Loc: Time to play the Game
Mike Neri

4* Butler -7
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#197829 - 03/09/10 06:38 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
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Jimmy Boyd

5* NBA System Play of the Month on Heat +3.5
I feel this is a great spot to back the Heat tonight. Miami is playing some of its best ball of the season, having won 3 straight with 2 of those wins coming over the Lakers and Hawks. So momentum is on its side. Motivation is also on its side. The last time these teams faced off, the Bobcats handed the Heat an embarrassing 104-65 loss. Trust me, that one is not sitting well with D. Wade and company. Expect a big game from Wade tonight and for the Heat to pull the upset. Plays on road underdogs revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more are 25-9 ATS the last 5 seasons, and when that dog is well rested only playing its 2nd game in 5 days, the situation improves to 23-4 ATS the last 5 seasons (85.2%). These numbers are too telling to ignore. We'll play by the numbers tonight!

5* Big East Tourney *BEST BET* (ESPN U) on Providence +6.5
I really like Providence catching a generous amount of points tonight. The Friars enter this contest having lost 10 in a row so they will be very hungry. On top of that, they will be a dangerous team because they have nothing to lose here. Seton Hall, who has a chance to play itself into the NCAAB Tournament is facing far more pressure. These two teams just played each other Saturday with Seton Hall coming out on top by 12 points, but it is an extremely difficult task to win again in these kind of spots. The losing team is usually hungrier and odds makers usually overvalued the winning team as that is the one the public tends to flock to. Furthermore, it's hard to justify laying points with Seton Hall when you consider that the Pirates are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite, 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Meanwhile, the Friars are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound Providence.

3* A-10 Tourney Annihilator on UMass +9.5
Really think UMass isn't getting enough respect tonight when you consider that plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where they scored less than 60 points, off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog, are 32-8 ATS the last 3 seasons and 5-1 ATS this season. And there's more, the 49ers are just 8-26 ATS in their last 34 vs. the Atlantic 10, 49ers are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. loss, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Plus, the Minutemen are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Last thing, the road team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. We'll take the points.
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#197832 - 03/09/10 07:03 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
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The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, March 09, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed:

DIAMOND CONSENSUS NBA BLOWOUT WINNER
560 Milwaukee -1.5 8:05 EST
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#197833 - 03/09/10 07:03 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
Loc: Time to play the Game
Insiders Sports Network Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, March 09, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed:

INSIDERS INVESTMENT NBA EASY MONEY MAKER
560 Milwaukee -1.5 8:05 EST
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#197834 - 03/09/10 07:03 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
Loc: Time to play the Game
Sports Brokers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, March 09, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed:

NBA SLAM DUNK MAJOR WAGER
554 Orlando -11.5 7:05 EST
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#197835 - 03/09/10 07:03 PM Re: 3/9 [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
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The Hammer Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, March 09, 2010
$35.00 Guaranteed:

NBA LATE STEAM ROAD KILL(ER) WINNER
551 Houston -4 7:05 EST
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