KELSO

5 units South Flor +6.5
5 units Marquette -3.5
5 units Southern Mississippi -6.5

Bob Balfe


Jazz/Pistons Under 201
Marquette -4
Quinnipiac -4

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 Texas Tech +1
3 SMU -1.5
3 Iowa St +9

Cal Sports

5* total GOY under Cal Northridge
4* NBA Minn +8.5
4* Central Florida +1.5
3* S FL over 135
3* SMU under 122

EXECUTIVE

250% Tulane
250% Georgetown

Rocketman

5* GOM Sacramento

DR BOB SPORTS

**Marquette (-3 1/2) over ST. JOHN'S

Rotation #622 - 11:30 am Pacific
St. John's may have an edge playing here in Madison Square Garden, where they play some of their home games during the regular season, but the Red Storm are just 1-10 ATS in conference tournament games after a conference tournament win, so that advantage doesn't appear to exist after their first game. Marquette applies to a 78-28-3 ATS conference tournament situation while St. John's applies to a negative 27-61-1 ATS letdown situation based on their consecutive wins. Marquette is not great as a big conference favorite, but the Eagles are 17-4 ATS in conference games under Buzz Williams when not favored by 5 points or more, including 10-1 ATS this season. My ratings favor Marquette by 4 1/2 points even after giving St. John's half of their home court value. I'll take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.

Sebastian

100 Ok State
50 S Miss
50 Wash St
50 GTown
50 Knicks
50 Clippers

Will Cover

4* Iowa st
3* SMU

Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket

St. Johns

CHRIS JORDAN

200* MISSOURI TIGERS
50* SOUTHERN MISS

BILLY COLEMAN

3* NY/SA un207
4* Marquette -4
3* Missouri -10
3* S. Miss -7
3* Iowa St +9

Jim Hurley

Marquette
Notre Dame
So. Miss.

RAS

Tulane
Cal State Fullerton

MATT FARGO **10** CBB **TOP** TOURNEY REPORT **LATE**

Matchup: Iowa State at Texas
Pick: TEXAS -8.5 (-110)

Analysis: I have faded Texas numerous times down the stretch this season and a lot of those times it paid off as the Longhorns simply fell apart and struggled down the stretch. Because they started the season 17-0 and were ranked number one in the country at one point, they were overvalued in a lot of situations as the linesmakers had no choice but to inflate those lines based on public perception. However, I feel the value is actually on the side of Texas now and a lot of that is because of the first meeting between these two teams. The Longhorns were favored by eight points at Iowa St. less than two months back and that would have made them roughly a 12-point favorite on a neutral floor. Now Texas is favored by only nine points and while that first meeting was when Texas was playing good, this is a team no one should want to face come tournament time. Iowa St. came into the season with lofty expectations but it was another disappointing campaign as it finished 4-12 in the conference. Even though his numbers are solid, forward Craig Brackins took a step backwards and once projected as a lottery pick, that is not the case anymore. Some sources have called him lazy with the inability to make adjustments when needed. He had a very average game in the first meeting against Texas and he will likely struggle again against the solid Longhorns frontcourt. The Cyclones picked up an improbable road win at Kansas St. in their last game and while it may be a confidence boost, I do not see a repeat. The victory over the Wildcats snapped a 21-game road losing streak against ranked teams and while Texas is not ranked, I consider it right there. Texas’ depth will be a chief concern for the thin Cyclones. One of the biggest drawbacks for Texas was its ability to shoot free throws, which it simply could not do. The Longhorns have improved dramatically in that category, hitting 71.9 percent over their last five games and overall, they are hitting just 2.4 percent less than what the Cyclones are hitting from the line. The normal disadvantage is negated by the inability of Iowa St. to hit those foul shots as well. Other than that, Texas has advantages across the board, most notable offensive efficiency and overall efficiency. The Longhorns have an overall efficiency rating differential of +18.9 which is the second biggest of all of the conference games on the board today and that is a major difference. When we see a difference that big, we are usually dealing with a big double-digit line but that is not the case here. The Cyclones are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games coming off a win as an underdog and they are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games as underdogs between 7.0 and 12.5 points. Texas has been a non-covering machine of late but this is the time the gas pedal is pushed to the limit. 10* Texas Longhorns.

Jimmy Boyd

3* 28-0 ATS NBA SMASH on Nets +11.5
I stayed away from the Nets as much as possible this season, but now there is starting to be some value in playing them. This is a team that does not want to go down in the history books as the worst ever so they are playing hard right now. As a result, they have covered the spread in 3 straight games. The Mavs are extremely banged up. Terry is out for sure and Barea, Haywood and Dampier all could miss as well. Health is the most important thing this time of year so don't expect the Mavs to play a bunch of banged up guys big minutes just to blowout the worst team in the NBA. Dallas will be content with just squeaking by with a "W" in this spot. With Dallas lacking guard depth due to injuries, look for Harris, the former Mav, to have a big game tonight. Jason Kidd just doesn't have the foot speed to stay with him, especially if he has to play big minutes. The numbers are in our favor as well. The Nets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Mavericks are 3-22-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. We'll take the points.

Top Play
5* NEC Game of the Year (ESPN 2) on Robert Morris +4.5
With revenge on the mind for an earlier season loss, and with an NCAA Tournament berth on the line, I'll take Robert Morris and the points this evening. Robert Morris appeared to have the league title in the bag until it dropped 2 of its last 3 conference games to Quinnipiac and Mount St. Mary's. Last game, Robert Morris avenged its loss to Mount St. Mary's with an 80-62 blowout win, and I expect the Colonials to win this one outright tonight. Mount St. Mary's had come into the conference tourney as the hottest team in the league, but Robert Morris dominated. You know how the old saying goes, "defense wins championships", and Robert Morris is the more capable defensive team. The Colonials have won 4 of the last 5 and 8 of the last 10 in this series. Quinnipiac may have the home court advantage here, but I don't think it will be enough. Plays against home teams as a favorite or pick, a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games, are 52-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. We'll take Robert Morris and the points.

3* Conference Tourney Line Mistake on Rice +14.5
Rice finished the season with 7 straight defeats so it will be extremely motivated as it looks to play spoiler tonight. Plus, the Owls will not be lacking any confidence after playing Tulsa to a 4-point game earlier this season. With these things in mind, I feel odds makers are asking too much of Tulsa tonight, especially when you consider that they have not won by more than 14 points since January 16th. The Golden Hurricane are just 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall, 1-11 ATS in their last 12 vs. Conference USA, 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Meanwhile, the Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. We'll take the points.

DOC SPORTS NBA

2-Unit Play #605 Take Utah/Detroit UNDER 201 1/2
3-Unit Play #611 Take New Orleans/Oklahoma City OVER 201

BEN BURNS

10* CONFERENCE TOURNEY FALSE FAVORITE GAME OF THE MONTH
CAL POLY SLO +2 1/2 vs Cal Irvine

10* NBA DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE MONTH
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +7 1/2 vs Denver Nuggets

10* BURNS BLOWOUT ALERT PERSONAL FAVORITE
TEXAS LONGHORNS -9 vs Iowa State

9* BURNS BLUE CHIP CBB TOTAL BLOWOUT
UNDER 145 1/2 (Iowa State vs Texas)

8* BRUNS NHL SITUATIONAL GAME OF THE MONTH
PHOENIX COYOTES ML vs Vancouver Canucks

8* BRUNS NBA NON CONFERENCE BEST BET
DETROIT PISTONS +5 1/2 vs Utah Jazz

5* BURNS MAJOR MISMATCH NHL ANNIHILATOR
CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS ML vs LA Kings

HAMMER
Diceituponline NBA/NHL

March 10, 2010
NBA: LA Clippers/Miami Over 189.5 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Denver -8 = 10 Dimes
NHL: NY Rangers +145 = 10 Dimes
NHL: Vancouver +110 = 10 Dimes

Denver Money's "Going to the Bank tonight" **NHL***

LEANS ONLY:
Dallas/Buffalo UNDER
New York/New Jersey UNDER