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#198026 - 03/12/10 02:13 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: FREAK]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
Loc: Time to play the Game
Craig Davis

40 Dime – UNLV-BYU OVER
20 Dime – KANSAS STATE

BYU/UNLV OVER --- Either this total is a major trap of I found a mistake that I'm going to expose in a big way. These two teams are built on offense and transition buckets and I can assure you that both of these coaches are preaching "push the ball, push the ball". Defense goes out the window when these two hook up as evidenced by the 8 OVERS in their last 10 meetings. The teams that usually wins this perennial game is the team that "outscores" the other one... not the team that plays the best defense and comes up with stops. And if the history of this series doesn't tell you enough, maybe the fact BYU scores 83 PPG overall or 90 PPG on a neutral floor is enough for you.

Or we might consider that UNLV played BYU tight in Provo (only a four-point loss) followed by a 14-point home win at the Thomas and Mack Center. Why is that important? Because neither of those games were even close to what BYU is capable of offensively, and they have some major revenge on their minds and would love nothing more than to score triple digits again tonight on UNLV's home floor in front of their fans. Since scoring 74 points in that 14-point loss to UNLV, BYU has scored 91, 92, 85, 82, 81, 71, 107 and 95 in their next eight games for an average of 88 PPG. And considering UNLV isn't really a team built on stifling defense, I have to believe BYU will score at least 80 points again tonight. Jimmer Fredette might not be getting any consideration for Player of the Year, but that doesn't mean this kid isn't capable of scoring 45 points again tonight (he had 45 in last night's win over TCU).

UNLV has averaged 75 PPG over their last six and scores 74 PPG for the season. Combine that with the fact they have scored at least 73 points in their last three meetings with BYU and you see why I like the OVER so much in tonight's game. BYU has gone OVER the total in seven of their last nine games while UNLV has finished OVER in three of their last four. The line is currently at a pick 'em, which also leads me to believe Vegas thinks this game is going to be close... which gives us the slim chance of overtime which will only help our cause. However, I don't think we'll need overtime tonight. I'm looking at a final score in the neighborhood of 84-79 tonight, which easily puts us over the number.

KANSAS STATE --- This is as close to a home game as Kansas State could have hoped for playing in Kansas City, and this tournament is setting up to be a Kansas/Kansas State Championship game in Kansas City and the locals wouldn't have it any other way. These two teams (Baylor and Kansas State) have already matched up once this season with the Wildcats outlasting Baylor, 76-74, down in Waco. Both of these teams are athletic all over the floor, but you've heard the saying (probably too often) that solid guard play wins tournament games. Well, as much as I respect Baylor's guards and what they've accomplished this season, I have to give the advantage to Kansas State's Jacob Pullen and Dennis Clemente. These two combined for 31 points in last night's 19-point win over a very good Oklahoma State team. But the contributions from Jamar Samuels (27 points last night) is what's going to set this team apart for this tournament and the Big Dance.

If the Wildcats can continue to get these type of numbers from some of their post players to go along with what we know Clemente and Pullen can do, this is going to be a very dangerous team that could be playing in April. Taking nothing away from Baylor and what they've accomplished this year, I just don't think they have the horses to hang with Kansas State for 40 minutes. Don't get me wrong, I have nothing but respect for Tweety Carter and the Baylor Bears because of how scrappy they've played this year (including three straight wins over Texas), but in a 40-minute game in a basic home game for Kansas State, I just don't see how Baylor can get the job done. I like Kansas State by at least 6 tonight.
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#198027 - 03/12/10 02:24 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: FREAK]
bug Offline
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Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 6176
Loc: alabama
5*'s
ACCU PICKS......MARQUETTE

TRIPLE CROWN...DENVER NUGGETS

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#198028 - 03/12/10 02:27 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: bug]
bug Offline
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Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 6176
Loc: alabama
TEDDY COVERS
20*...BIG TICKET..CAL

MINNY.. GA
TEXAS A&M

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#198029 - 03/12/10 02:28 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: bug]
bug Offline
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Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 6176
Loc: alabama
FERRINGO
TOUR...GOY...4UNITS....AKRON

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#198031 - 03/12/10 02:50 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: bug]
bug Offline
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Registered: 09/29/06
Posts: 6176
Loc: alabama
DOC
6 U GOM...PACERS
4...milwaukee
3..WASH/DET...UNDER

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#198032 - 03/12/10 04:56 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: bug]
malone84 Offline
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Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
Scott Delaney

60-Dime XAVIER MUSKETEERS

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#198033 - 03/12/10 04:56 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
JOE WIZ
100* Georgetown -3.5
50* Purdue -8

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#198034 - 03/12/10 04:57 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
RED ZONE SPORTS

AKRON ZIPS -3.5

game at 7pm Friday

We are banging the Akron Zips tonight as they have some added confidence of a double overtime win last night vs East Michigan.
The home team here at perfect 5-0 last 5 in this spot

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#198035 - 03/12/10 04:57 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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GoodFella CBB Sides Fri, 03/12/10 - 9:25 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 863 NotreDame 5.5 (-110) BetUS vs 864 W.Virginia
Analysis:
Notre Dame is flat out the hottest team in the country right now--as they have won 6 striaght games & had an impressive win over Pittsburgh last night--and they are playing with a real sense of urgency and with extreme confidence--two very key factors, especially at this time of the season. Notre Dame defeated West Virginia in their only meeting this season--(70-68) at Notre Dame on Jan. 9th--So West Virginia will be looking at the "revenge" angle...and while that is very legitimate...I just cannot pass up getting +5.5 pts in this spot. The fact of the matter is, West Virginia is playing good ball coming into tonight as well---but they can really struggle to score and can go several minutes without a field goal. Notre Dame is flat out at an all-time high confidence wise & they score and shoot much better than West Virginia does. West Virginia has the edge on the glass, while Notre Dame takes better care of the ball and commits less turnovers per game. IF Notre Dame can limit the amount of 2nd chance pts for W.Virg tonight & continue to play so effecient on offense like they have been recently...I truly see this game as a coinflip & definitely see real value wi…th them getting +5.5 tonight. They will need a big game for Luke Harangody off the bench tonight--as I really like him coming off the bench and bringing some offensive punch and toughness on the boards. Bottomline for me here---I really see this game as anyones to win straight up tonight & I see rock solid value with the points with Notre Dame tonight

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#198036 - 03/12/10 04:58 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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Loc: new york, usa
Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
*200 Utah Jazz +1 (NBA)
*200 Cleveland Cavs -7 (NBA)
*200 Indiana Pacers +9 (NBA)
*200 Denver -5 (NBA)
*200 Washington Wiz +6 (NBA)

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#198037 - 03/12/10 04:58 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
Trey Scott of Handicappingtrends
*200 Miami +4 WINNER
*200 Tennessee -2
*200 Maryland -4
*200 Vanderbilt-7
*200 Mississippi State -1 (CBB)
*200 West Virginia -5 (CBB)

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#198038 - 03/12/10 04:58 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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Loc: new york, usa
Mike Hook | CBB Sides Fri, 03/12/10 - 11:30 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 879 Brigham Young 1.0 (-110) BetUS vs 880 UNLV

BYU +1 is my DOUBLE STAR PLAY OF THE DAY!

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#198039 - 03/12/10 04:58 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
st bernadine sports - lillefty


1* Hampton/Morgan st over 133.5(6:30 pm) - Morgan st has been a picture of offensive efficiency the past 2 weeks. They have been shooting near 50%. Even when they do miss they are hitting the offensive glass with reckless abandon lately. You don't average 65+ shots per game unless you can push the tempo. Hampton has come on lately also. They have won 6 straight by shooting 48% from the field and 38% from 3pt range. Overall both teams are near 70% from the charity stripe too. Look for this one to be an up and down affair with both teams hitting the 70's.

4* Xavier -3 over Dayton(6:30 pm) -This is the first 4 star play since last august!! Dayton embarassed Xavier in February. That loss brought this Xavier team together. The players hald a team meeting after that 90-65 loss and said that that type of effort couldn't happen again. Xavier has tightened up their rebounding since then and the winning streak flourished. Dayton really limped towards the end of the season. Offensively their FG% fell off dramatically in the last few games and the games got ugly. Look for Xavier to really lay a beat down on the Flyers today.

2* Ga tech/Maryland over 143.5(7pm) - I am shocked that the line has fallen 4 points on this one. Both these teams like to push the tempo. While their defensive FG % are nice, they are only that low because the hectic styles of play force a lot of out of control play. Both teams have been over machines for about 3 weeks now. The Terps are top 40 in offensive pace during this winning streak. Combine that with 47% shooting and you score lots of points. Ga Tech will be happy to run with Maryland if they let them. This game ends up in the 160's I believe.

1* Notre Dame/W. Virginia under 126.5(9:25pm) - I explained last game about the Burn offense that the Irish have been running. Last night we saw what happens when 2 teams try to run it. You get 95 points. W. Va is middle of the pack in the country in offense. It seems almost every game they go through a stretch of offesive ineptness. The mountaineers are only putting up 40% FG in the last 7 games. This game should be every bit as ugly as last night's Cincy/W.Va game.

1* BYU/UNLV over 146(11:30 pm) - Both these teams will look to run and gun like this is Providence/Seton Hall. BYU is top 15 in offensive efficiency in the counrty. They seem to get points every time down the court. BYU has played 4 nuetral site games this year and is hitting 56%FG in those games. WOW! Plus BYU sorely remembers the absolute beatdown laid on them by UNLV last time they faced them .We should too as we had UNLV that game. UNLV was up 45-17 at one point. Look for a sharp focused effort from BYU that will lead to 90 pts from them. I can see 90-70 easy in this one.

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#198040 - 03/12/10 04:59 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
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Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
KELSO

20 Texas A&M +9.5 v. Kansas
20 Notre Dame +5 v. WVU
10 Parlay both

5 Xavier -3
5 Maryland -4
5 Washinton -8.5
5 Suns +2

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#198041 - 03/12/10 04:59 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
The Consensus Pick
Pick of the Day: Purdue -8 (-105) [NCAA-BB]
Free Pick: New Mexico -2.5 (-105) [NCAA-BB]

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#198042 - 03/12/10 04:59 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Champion Sports
NBA Moneymakers Continue


Denver vs. New Orleans 8:00 EST
UNDER 211 5 STAR
Denver has a history of playing flat against sub .500 teams and also scores less on the road. Without Lawson.
New Orleans is averaging 94.5 points in its last 8 games. Without Stojakovic.

San Antonio vs. Minnesota 8:00 EST
San Antonio -5
Total UNDER 203
This total is too high. Spurs on a 3-1 run Under the total while allowing 92, 91, 92, 97, and 87 points the last five games.
Wolves are easy fades at the moment. Wolves have never won against the Spurs in their last 10. Spurs are hot right now, five straight ATS wins.

Boston vs. Indiana 7:30 EST
Indiana +9.5 5 STAR
Boston as double digit favorites are 4-16 ATS. Pacers have stayed within this number twice already this year, winning one game outright. This will be the second game in seven days for Pacers, can't get much more rest and focus time than that. This is the Celtics fourth game in seven. Look ahead: Cavaliers on deck for Celtics. All signs pointing to the Pacers here staying within this number.

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#198043 - 03/12/10 05:00 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
Denver Money's NHL ** leans**

LEANS ONLY:

Pittsburgh Penguins

New York / Atlanta OVER 5.5

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#198044 - 03/12/10 05:00 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
PowerPlay Wins

Power Play Of The Day

Richmond -9.5

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#198045 - 03/12/10 05:07 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
malone84 Offline
Freaksforum VIP

Registered: 05/23/09
Posts: 3972
Loc: new york, usa
Steve Budin

25 dime

Jazz

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#198046 - 03/12/10 05:55 PM Re: 3/12 [Re: malone84]
FREAK Online   content
2007 Bad Man Champion

Registered: 12/01/00
Posts: 71400
Loc: Time to play the Game
Scott Delaney

60-Dime XAVIER MUSKETEERS
_________________________
Do not post any write ups from any newsletters. Also do not cut and paste any news stories or blog items from other websites. All of the preceding are copyright protected and unless you have written permission from the author it is considered copyright infringement.

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