Home Forums Sports Picks Central Trackside Picks THR PONIES

Courtesy of Mike Dempsey

Here is today's opening race from Aqueduct to get our day off to a good start:

AQU Race 1 Clm $25,000B (1:00 ET)
#6 Dakota Dunes 4/1
#5 Pewter 7/2
#2 Extinguish 8/1
#3 King Bo Bo 5/1

Analysis: #6 Dakota Dunes had to check at the break, was caught in traffic at the half mile pole, and finished evenly last out in a sixth place finish at this level, catching an inner surface that was playing to inside speed. The gelding was claimed out of the race by the Levine barn that is 38% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. His previous three speed figs are a good fit here and looking for this guy to bounce back with a better effort in this spot. He has run well on wet tracks and is bred top and bottom to handle off going, which we might see again today.

#5 Pewter made a mild late rally to finish third last out, beaten 1 1/2 lengths for the top spot and just a head behind #7 Half a Note for the runner up spot. The gelding owns solid early and mid pace numbers and three back this guy earned a solid fig beating $25K non winners of two, over a sealed wet track. Chavez gets the call as Serpa lands on #2 Extinguish. Serpa rode three of these last out and ends up replacing Musarro on our third choice.

Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 5/2 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 2,3,5,6
TRI: 5,6 / 2,3,5,6 / 2,3,5,6,7

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 8 Alw $40,000N1X (4:25 ET)
#3 Raynick's Jet 2/1
#8 Cajun Jet 3/1
#5 Irving Rules 12/1
#7 Come From Behind 7/2

Analysis: #3 Raynick's Jet cuts back to six furlongs after making a mild wide rally to finish third last out going two turns. The gelding caught an inner surface that was playing to inside speed that day. He broke his maiden in his debut over the surface. He now goes for the Asmussen barn that is 20% winners with newcomers to the barn. Blinkers are added to the mix.

#8 Cajun Jet was the beaten chalk last out when making his first start since last June. He broke awkwardly and was no match for the top pair in a third place finish. The colt earned a solid number in his debut and that came over a muddy surface. He is better than he showed last out and Dutrow is 28% winners with horses making their second start off a +180 day layoff.

Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 9/5 or better.
EX: 3,8 / 3,5,7,8
TRI: 3,8 / 3,5,7,8 / 3,4,5,7,8

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R1: #2 Extinguish 8/1
R2: #7 It’s a Grandslam 8/1
R4: #3 Isn’t She Grand 15/1
R7: #3 Carlyn Darlyn 10/1
R8: #5 Irving Rules 12/1
R9: #2 Mystical Code 12/1
R9: #7 Siwanoy Lila 10/1

Good luck today!

AQU 7th (3:55)

1 Mile 70 Yards | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($25,000) | Purse: $43,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Seek On Napravnik A R Badgett William Jr 118 L 10-1
2 2 Shot Gun Gal Lopez C C Rice Linda 118 L 9-5
3 3 Carlyn Darlyn Serpa A Callejas Bernardo 113 5 L 10-1
4 4 Bearursa Dominguez R A Asmussen Steven M 120 L 3-1
5 5 Clery's Magic Davis J A Barrera Oscar S Jr 118 $25,000 L 30-1
6 6 American Dream'a Bocachica O Gutierrez Luis A 118 $25,000 L 30-1
7 7 Dancing Daisy Saez G Donk David 118 L 5-1
8 8 Eager Emma Cohen D Zito Nicholas P 118 L 7-2

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Daily Double Wagers

Brian Blessing's Pick's 4-2-7

Bearursa roared home from off the pace to record a victory and has an opportunity to do it again today, trying to track down speedster Shotgun Gal.

GPX 2nd (1:44)

7 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Optional Claiming ($10,000) | Purse: $17,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Lady Lucinda Cruz M R McDonald Michael K 120 L 5-1
2 2 Mizzen the Rhythm Marquez C H Jr Kassen David C 120 L 3-1
3 3 Brandy Bai Velazquez J R Walder Peter R 120 L 5-2
4 4 Upmarket Girl Garcia L Pirie Barbara A 115 7 $10,000 L 10-1
5 5 At the Finish Leparoux J R Smith Jere R Jr 120 L 6-1
6 6 Ally's Little Sis Castanon J L Zavash Kerry P 120 $10,000 L 15-1
7 7 Dance N Run Coa D Rosas-Canessa W 120 $10,000 L 12-1
8 8 Archmani Velasquez C Schell Thomas R 120 L 4-1

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / 10 Cent Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 2&3) Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4)

Battagliaspicks 3-1-2

#3 Brandy Bai- Was claimed in AUG then won 4 of her next 6 races, beating tough starter allowance fillies at CRC. She ran for 15k in her first start here and this normally fast starter broke last, had to alter course , still finished 3rd and was claimed. Sharp new connections run her back in an easier spot and she will romp with an alert beginning.