dr bob
Thursday College Opinion
New Mexico State (+6 1/2) over NEVADA
Rotation #533 - 7 pm Pacific
New Mexico State struggled early in the season while missing two key players, but the Aggies are 12-3 straight up and 10-4-1 ATS since January and they're at full strength now. Nevada, meanwhile, is just 4-10 ATS in conference play this season, including 1-6 ATS as a favorite of 4 points or more and my ratings favor the Wolf Pack by just 4 1/2 points in this game. Nevada did win the first meeting in New Mexico 77-67, but that game was played with star F Troy Gillenwater out of the lineup for the Aggies. Gillenwater averages 13.6 points on 52% shooting with 6.3 rebounds, 1.7 blocked shots and 0.9 steals per game and he'll make a big difference in the rematch. I'll lean with the Aggies at +6 or more and I'd take New Mexico State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more.