Jimmy Boyd
3* SMASH (ESPN) on Duke -14.5
It's senior night, it's a rivalry game, Duke is coming off a loss, and it needs this one to ensure itself of at least a share of the ACC regular season title. We haven't seen the Blue Devils in a more motivated spot all season so I expect them to really put the hurt on the Tar Heels here. An important thing to note is the total range as Duke is 8-1 ATS in home games where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 86.6 to 55.9 believe it or not. It's also important to note that Duke is 8-2 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season, winning these games by an average score of 83.4 to 58.1. The Blue Devils are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater. We'll lay the points.
4* Major Saturday Night NBA Blowout on Cavs -3.5
After coming out sluggish last night, expect the Cavs to show up against a hot Milwaukee Bucks team that gave them a run for their money when they last faced off in December. Milwaukee is playing its best basketball of the season, but I feel comfortable laying this number when you consider that it has a 17-point loss to Orlando and a 4-point loss to Atlanta during this hot streak. Plus, Cleveland has won 5 of the last 6 meetings by 6 or more points with the last 3 at Milwaukee coming by 8 or more points. The Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Lay the points.
5* 2010 NCAAB Game of the Year on Tulsa +7.5
This is a big revenge game for Tulsa after falling to Memphis earlier this season. A major key here is Tulsa's rebounding edge. Tulsa is 7-0 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds per game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Memphis is 0-8 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds this season. In addition, Memphis is just 6-15 ATS as a favorite this season and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a home favorite. The Golden Hurricane want this one bad, so much so that they nearly got caught looking ahead last game. No matter how good some of the Tulsa teams have been in recent years, they have all played second fiddle to Memphis. Now, I really believe Tulsa is the better team. I really expect Tulsa to win this game outright as a 7.5-point dog, and that's why I have made the Golden Hurricane my Game of the Year. Best of Luck.
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