Craig Davis
30 Dime – NORTH TEXAS
20 Dime – WISCONSIN
NORTH TEXAS --- Much like New Mexico State last night, this line makes no sense. Did Vegas make a major mistake by listing North Texas as only a six-point favorite? Possibly. Maybe it's a trap game.. if so, they got me. If you look at the conference records, I guess it makes a little more sense, but we are still talking about a Louisiana-Lafayette team that is under .500 for the season and under .500 on the road, and you simply can't ignore that. Have we also forgotten that North Texas has won their last five at home vs. Lafayette by an average of over 10 PPG? Only once in their last five meeting in North Texas have been played within 6 points, so I have no doubts tonight will be no different. Those Mean Green Eagles have been very good, offensively, recently, scoring 190 points in their last two games, including a very impressive 18-point win over Arkansas Little Rock. These two have already hooked up once this year, and the Rajun Cajuns escaped with a two-point win. Can you say revenge? North Texas has won six straight SU and covered five of six, and with revenge on their minds and a small line at home, I'm happy to back the home team tonight. The Mean Green is 6-2 ATS at home this year while Lafayette is just 3-6-1 ATS on the road. I'm expecting at least a 10-point win and some distance between these two in the conference when all is said and done.
WISCONSIN --- Are you looking for a game in which you can turn it off at about the 10-minute mark? Watch Wisconsin/Indiana tonight. The Hoosiers are bad enough as it is, but it's going to be even worse tonight when the Badgers apply their suffocating defense to a team that hasn't scored outside the 50s in their last four games. Listen, I respect Tom Crean, I really do, but this team is absolutely awful. It's going to take a miracle for them to keep this thing within 15 points, but I believe it's going to be worse than that. Remember, these two hooked up in Madison just a few weeks ago, and Indiana was lucky to walk out only losing by 28. These two teams don't match up well at any position, as Wisconsin clearly has the advantage in just about every department. The Badgers have owned the Hoosiers over their last five meetings, winning by an average of 14 PPG, and there's no reason to think tonight will be any different. The Badgers don't want to just win, they want to make a statement... and what better way to make a statement than by whipping the Hoosiers on their own home floor. Badgers by at least 15.
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