Mike Dempsey

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here is today's opening race from Aqueduct to get our day off to a good start:

AQU Race 1 Clm $25,000N2L (12:30 ET)
#6 Turaath 8/5
#4 Dreamed Day 6/1
#1 Cantrushperfection 2/1
#3 Bowman's Music 12/1

Analysis: #6 Turaath has burned some cash as the beaten fav in his last three starts, but looks like he has caught a field here he can beat. Last out he was beaten just a head at today's level, 7 3/4 lengths clear of the rest of the field. The third place finisher in the race was Good Karma, who returned to beat $16K starter handicap foes in his next outing on Feb. 3. The five year old owns a solid pace profile throughout and looks like he gets it done here as the favorite.

#4 Dreamed Day stalked the early pace and was sitting in third as they turned for home but ran out of gas, fading to finish sixth. The winner of the race was Sawtooth Mountain, who beat Alw-1 foes in his next start, while the runner up San Naa beat $25K non winners of two in his next outing on Jan. 15. This guy owns back numbers that put him in the mix here and is making his third start of his current form cycle.

Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 9/5 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 1,3,4,6
TRI: 4,6 / 1,3,4,6 / 1,3,4,5,6

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 8 Alw $40,000N1X (3:49 ET)
#9 Dahlgreen Chapel 3/1
#6 Yawanna Twist 5/2
#7 My Forest Baby 6/1
#1 Vital Argument 8/1

Analysis: #9 Dahlgreen Chapel chased a gate to wire winner over a strongly speed favoring racing strip last out, checking in second and beaten a length for the top spot. The colt earned the top last out speed fig in the effort and was a dozen lengths clear of the third place finisher in that outing. The colt should get the job done in this spot.

#6 Yawanna Twist was a smart looking maiden winner in his debut over a wet track on Dec. 26. Three have exited that race to win next out. The colt returns with lasix added to the mix here for the Dutrow barn that is 35% winners with second timer starters. The colt is out of the stakes winner Twist and Pop ($234K).

Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 2/1 or better.
EX: 6,9 / 1,6,7,9
TRI: 6,9 / 1,6,7,9 / 1,5,6,7,9

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R1: #3 Bowman’s Music 12/1
R3: #5 Reflect Times 8/1
R3: #1 Naughty New Yorker 10/1
R4: #5 Voyager 8/1
R5: #9 Natural Speed 15/1
R6: #3 Smooth Kahlua 10/1
R7: #8 Cap the Thunder 12/1
R8: #1 Vital Argument 8/1
R9: #3 Wayofthefuture 8/1

AQUEDUCT
The Entire AQU Card courtesy of Brian Blessing

Sunday, February 7, 2010


1st (Post time 12:30)
1 Mile | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000) | Purse: $21,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Cantrushperfection Dominguez R A Asmussen Steven M 120 $25,000 L 2-1
2 2 Pass Code Fragoso P Albertrani Thomas 120 $25,000 Blk-On L 10-1
3 3 Bowman's Music Migliore R House Brian S 120 $25,000 L 12-1
4 4 Dreamed Day Bisono A Lobo Paulo H 120 $25,000 L 6-1
5 5 Mendelssohn Lopez C C Zito Nicholas P 120 $25,000 L 8-1
6 6 Turaath Cohen D Jacobson David 120 $25,000 L 8-5
7 7 Crazy Charlie Napravnik A R Aquilino Joseph 120 $25,000 Blk-On L 15-1
8 8 We Get It Bermudez J E Gullo Gary P 120 $25,000 L 20-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3), Daily Double Wagers

Brian's Pick's 1-6-5

Cantrushperfection earned his diploma with a solid effort. Steve Assmussen has this one tuned up and ready to roll again in the opener

2nd (12:58)
1 Mile 70 Yards | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $41,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 My Sweet Emily Dominguez R A Duggan David P 120 L 2-1
2 2 Divine Indy Flores Jeremias Ferraro Michael S 120 6-1
3 3 River Brat Napravnik A R Albertrani Thomas 120 L 7-2
4 4 No Goal Serpa A Hennig Mark 115 5 Blk-On L 3-1
5 5 Royalstraightflush Hill C Kelly Patrick J 120 L 20-1
6 6 Tribeca Lopez C C Donk David 120 L 4-1

Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (2-4), Pick 4 Races (2-5) Daily Double Wagers

Brian's Pick's 6-3-1

Tribeca could show marked improvement with a better break today for trainer David Donk. Look for Lopez to hustle this miss into contention early on.

3rd (1:26)
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($100,000) | Purse: $53,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Naughty New Yorker Samyn J L Kelly Patrick J 120 L 10-1
2 2 Wishful Tomcat Dominguez R A Dutrow, Jr. R E 120 L 1-1
3 3 National Pride Migliore R McLaughlin Kiaran P 120 L 3-1
4 4 Lord Justice Jara F Pletcher Todd A 118 L 4-1
5 5 Reflect Times (JPN) Bisono A Lobo Paulo H 118 L 8-1
6 6 More Than a Reason Serpa A Persaud Randi 113 5 L 12-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (3-5), Daily Double Wagers

Brian's Pick's 2-3-6

Wishful Tomcat goes for five straight wins. This is his second race off the shelf and he could be much better today.

4th (1:55)
6 Furlongs | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $38,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 8 Katlyn Ann Serpa A Hertler John O 115 5 Blk-On L 5-1
1A 10 Lady Gracenote Musarro J Hertler John O 113 7 Blk-Off L 5-1
2 1 Spa City Princess Chavez J F Kelly Patrick J 120 12-1
3 2 Verbetica Saez G Barker Edward R 120 FTL 15-1
4 3 Gone Home Hill C Terranova, II John P 120 L 4-1
5 4 Voyager Migliore R Hills Timothy A 120 L 8-1
6 5 Fiddlers Zephyr Napravnik A R Bush Thomas M 120 L 3-1
7 6 Sweet a Way Luzzi M J Morrison John 120 L 20-1
8 7 Lights Out Lisa Dominguez R A Contessa Gary C 120 L 5-2
9 9 Walking On a Cloud DeSouza N Martin Frank 120 20-1

A-Coupled: Katlyn Ann and Lady Gracenote

Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (4-6), Pick 6 Races (4-9) Daily Double Wagers

Brian's Pick's 5-4-6

Voyager could get the jump on this weak group today and be tough to track down in only her second career race for trainer Tim Hills. She was ignored at the windows in her debut and may still offer a decent price today.

5th (2:24)
6 Furlongs | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($10,000) | Purse: $15,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Ferocious Won Migliore R Sciacca Gary 123 $10,000 L 5-2
2 2 Hopeforthebest Lopez A Rojas Osvaldo 113 10 $10,000 L 6-1
3 3 Matthew T C Serpa A Hills Timothy A 118 5 $10,000 L 5-1
4 4 Burns Up the Track Bocachica O DiPrima Gregory 123 $10,000 L 20-1
5 5 Auto City Napravnik A R Englehart Chris 123 $10,000 L 7-2
6 6 Packer Cobb A R Jeannont Diane 113 10 $10,000 L 50-1
7 7 Oedipus O'Neal Dominguez R A Contessa Gary C 123 $10,000 L 3-1
8 8 Noble King Simpson T Mena, II Pastor 116 7 $10,000 L 30-1
9 9 Natural Speed Santiago V Arroyo Enrique 123 $10,000 L 15-1
10 10 Intimidating Richards G G Hosang Oliver P Jr 123 $10,000 L 30-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Grand Slam Races (5-8) Daily Double Wagers

Brian's Pick's 1-5-7

Ferocious Won turns back in distance to six furlongs. He has won four times previously at this distance. He could flash speed from the rail. Auto City could be an interesting play off a one year layoff. Fitness is the big question mark.

6th (2:52)
6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Maiden Claiming ($15,000) | Purse: $15,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Timber Cat Napravnik A R Bush Thomas M 120 $15,000 L 4-1
2 2 I'm Hooked Up Serpa A Callejas Bernardo 115 5 $15,000 L 6-1
3 3 Smooth Kahlua Lezcano A Brown Bruce R 115 5 $15,000 Blk-On L 10-1
4 4 Pegasus Pente Studart M Aquilino Joseph 120 $15,000 FTL 20-1
5 5 Belongs to Sheila Musarro J Hernandez Ramon M 115 5 $15,000 FTL 15-1
6 6 N P Cat Espinoza J L Donk David 120 $15,000 L 15-1
7 7 Game Token Luzzi M J DiPrima Gregory 120 $15,000 L 8-5
8 8 Keltic Fighter Cohen D Corrao James 120 $15,000 L 5-1
9 9 Costly Count Davis J A Ruiz Manuel A 115 5 $15,000 L 12-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Pick 4 Races (6-9) Daily Double Wagers

Brian's Pick's 7-8-2

Game Token showed solid improvement last race and looks like a major player in this event from off the pace. Mike Luzzi maintains the mount.

7th (3:20)
6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $40,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Vaughndidit Lopez C C Barbara Robert 118 L 7-2
2 2 Way to Karakorum Studart M Odintz Jeff 118 L 5-1
3 3 Idle Gossip Saez G Martin Carlos F 118 L 6-1
4 4 Royal Valentine Samyn J L Aquilino Joseph 118 L 8-1
5 5 City Broad Dominguez R A Levine Bruce N 118 5-2
6 6 American Land Lezcano A Ubillo Rodrigo A 113 5 L 20-1
7 7 Linda's Kisses Napravnik A R Badgett William Jr 118 L 8-1
8 8 Cap the Thunder Serpa A Schosberg Richard 113 5 L 12-1
9 9 Sister's Speed Davis J A Ruiz Manuel A 113 5 L 20-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Daily Double Wagers

Brian's Pick's 5-1-8

City Broad has been off for fourteen months, but has been working extremely well for her return. The skepticism of the layoff could bring about a decent price

8th (3:49) Guaranteed winner
6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Allowance | Purse: $40,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Vital Argument Rodriguez P A Lecesse Michael 118 L 8-1
2 2 Rapide One Saez G Ritvo Timothy 118 L 20-1
3 3 Le Bonne Vie Hill C Schwartz Scott M 120 L 12-1
4 4 Prix de Karakorum Lopez C C Odintz Jeff 118 30-1
5 5 Come From Behind Napravnik A R Levine Bruce N 118 Blk-On L 4-1
6 6 Yawanna Twist Dominguez R A Dutrow, Jr. R E 122 FTL 5-2
7 7 My Forest Baby Cohen D Pletcher Todd A 120 L 6-1
8 8 Save Time for Me Serpa A Bush Thomas M 115 5 L 8-1
9 9 Dahlgren Chapel Jara F McLaughlin Kiaran P 118 L 3-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Daily Double Wagers

Brian's Pick's 6-9-7

Yawanna Twist has been flashing tactical speed while routing and should be a player from just off the pace. His January worktab has been solid

9th (4:18)
6 Furlongs | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Maiden Claiming ($15,000) | Purse: $15,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Mind Boggling Davis J A Ferraro James W 117 5 $15,000 L 12-1
2 2 Discover Jets Hill C Gullo Gary P 122 $15,000 L 5-1
3 3 Wayofthefuture Fragoso P Weaver George 122 $15,000 FTL 8-1
4 4 Call the General Simpson T Parboo Bisnath 115 7 $15,000 L 20-1
5 5 Hidden Prince Bocachica O Reiff Eugene 122 $15,000 L 20-1
6 6 Potomac Moon Cohen D Aquilino Joseph 122 $15,000 L 10-1
7 7 Smarteralex Musarro J Cedano Heriberto 117 5 $15,000 L 20-1
8 8 Righteous Man Alvarado N R Henry Neville 122 $15,000 FTL 30-1
9 9 Last Mistake Lezcano A Imperio Joseph 117 5 $15,000 FTL 9-2
10 10 Slamm'n Lou Napravnik A R Badgett William Jr 122 $15,000 FTL 7-2
11 11 Slight Fever DeSouza N DeMola Joseph 122 $15,000 FTL 20-1
12 12 Raging Meese Bisono A Barker Edward R 122 $15,000 L 4-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10) Wagers

Brian's Pick's 3-9-2

Wayofthefuture is a debut runner for trainer George Weaver, who spots his runners well. This is a weak bunch and it won't take much to get the job done. The son of Victory gallop has faster workout times than the majority of this field has been posting in races.