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Re: NCAA 11/11 to 11/15 FREAK #187498 11/12/09 07:26 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game	South Florida Bulls at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+1, 55.5) Line movement This game opened anywhere from even to -1.5 in favor of South Florida and it hasn’t done much anywhere. We may see the line creep up a little bit based on the heavy public action on the Bulls. The total opened at 46 and can be found now at 45 with some shops. Weather There is a 20 percent chance of rain Thursday night with the temperature going down to 45 degrees and winds coming in from the northeast at10 m.p.h. Scarlet Fever While the Scarlet Fever is not running rampant through the Rutgers team, the flu has taken its toll and put a good number of players down for extended periods of time. “We have a real bug going through the game, which may keep a few guys from practicing,” Scarlet Knights head coach Greg Schiano said. He did mention that flu shots were available but did not say how many players got them and he didn’t mention how many players were hit by the virus. The good news is that Rutgers had an off week and that’s when the bug hit its apex on the players so there has been plenty of time for rest and recuperation. And while it is looking like only a few players will show the effects this week, the missing of practice time is just as detrimental. Turnovers, turnovers, turnovers Rutgers has a knack for getting the ball from opponents. The team has 25 takeaways, tied for fifth in the country and good for tops in the Big East. The Knights lead the nation in turnover margin at +2.25 also thanks to an offense that has given is up only seven times. In their six wins this season, the Scarlet Knights own a sparkling 22-2 turnover differential. In their two setbacks, they have committed five turnovers and only taken three. South Florida coach Jim Leavitt said he will have an eye on the turnover margin Thursday night. “It's as important statistic as there is,” Leavitt said. “You turn the ball over, you're probably not going to win. If you don't, you have a shot.” The Bulls gave it up six times in the loss to Rutgers last season. Running of the Bulls South Florida is coming off its best rushing performance in Big East action. It ran for 189 yards on 40 carries (4.7 yards per carry) against West Virginia nearly two weeks ago. The rushing offense has been solid for the most part. It’s rung up at least 122 yards on the ground in every game and its 179.1 yards per game average is 35th overall and third in the Big East. If the Bulls can hit that average, they’ll come away with the win but it won’t be easy. Rutgers is allowing 106.8 ypg on 3.3 ypg on the season and that’s after allowing 223 yards against Pittsburgh three games back and 197 yards against run-oriented Army. South Florida is 5-0 when it wins the rushing battle and 1-2 when it does not. On the other side, Rutgers is 4-0 when it has the ground edge and just 2-2 when the opposition does so it is fairly safe to say the winner of the line of scrimmage wins the game. Revenge on mind South Florida won the first ever meeting between these two teams back in 2005 but Rutgers has won the last three meetings. The last two have been particularly painful for the Bulls and they have had this game circled ever since last year’s setback. Several of South Florida’s players spoke about being embarrassed by the outcome of last year's 49-16 home loss to Rutgers, with some reportedly taking offense to the Scarlet Knights passing the ball when the game was out of reach in the fourth quarter. Rutgers aired it out early in the fourth quarter up 35-16 and connected on a 93-yard touchdown pass. The loss the year before might have even more painful. South Florida went to New Brunswick with a 6-0 record and ranked No. 2 in the country. Rutgers came away with a 30-27 win and the fans rushed the field. The Bulls went on to lose three straight games. Trends The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four Thursday night games. Rutgers is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog and is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog of a field goal or less. The Scarlet Knights are 1-11 ATS in home games following a game where they committed no turnovers. The over has come through in all four previous meetings. A post a day and your access will stay!

Re: NCAA 11/11 to 11/15 FREAK #187568 11/13/09 06:43 AM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 280,080 Likes: 2803 Time to play the Game	Friday, November 13 West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (-9, 55) Line Movements The line opened with Cincinnati as a 9.5-point home favorite and rose quickly to 10 before dipping to 8.5 on Thursday. It sat at an even 9 as of Thursday evening. The total opened at 53.5 and rose one point to 54.5. Hobbling Stars West Virginia QB Jarrett Brown and RB Noel Devine are both hampered by ankle injuries that have limited them in the past two games. Devine, after rushing for 912 yards and 10 touchdowns in the first seven games of the season, has rushed for 95 yards and no touchdowns during the past two games. Cincinnati allowed 462 yards and 45 points to the UConn Huskies last week and showed that their defense is vulnerable to quick-strike offenses. UConn RB Jordan Todman ran 26 times for 162 yards and four touchdowns. Brown and Devine will need to be at the top of their games to pull off the road upset against the No. 4 team in the country. Quarterback Controversy There are a lot of college coaches out there that wish they had the same quarterback problem that Bearcats head coach Brian Kelly has on his hands. Cincinnati has two outstanding QBs in Tony Pike and Zach Collaros. Tony Pike led the Bearcats to six straight wins while throwing for 272 yards per game with 15 TDs and just three picks prior to being injured against South Florida on Oct. 15. Pike's injury promoted redshirt freshmen Zach Collaros as the starter. Collaros has exceeded all expectations completing 76 percent of his passes for 10 touchdowns and just one pick in three starts. He has also rushed 44 times for 288 yards and four touchdowns. Pike is now available to play this week but Kelly says he’s sticking with the red-hot Collaros for this Friday night game. Bearcats rolling a high-octane offense Cincinnati racked up 711 total yards and 47 points against UConn last week. Their 482.6 yards per game ranks third nationally and their 40 PPG ranks 5th nationally. Trends Cincinnati is just 2-9 SU (straight up) versus the Mountaineers since 1980 (0-7 SU at home in that same span) yet still come into this game as a healthy 9-point favorite. The Bearcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in November. West Virginia is just 2-6 ATS this season, however, the underdog and road team is 4-1-1 ATS (against the spread) in the last six meetings between these two. West Virginia has finished ‘over’ in its last seven games as an underdog and 17 of its last 23 games in November. Cincy has finished ‘under’ in 10 of its last 14 home games and 13 of its last 19 games as a home favorite. Temple Owls vs. Akron Zips (+4, 43.5) Line Movements Akron opened as a 4-point home dog and that is where the line currently stands. The total has opened at 44 and stood at 43.5 as of Thursday night. No longer losers With a 7-2 record, Temple has clinched its first winning season since 1990 and is bowl eligible. After starting the season 0-2, the Owls have won seven straight games by an average of 10.8 points per game. They are now 5-0 in the MAC East and in uncharted territory as road favorites – a situation they’ve been in just three times since 2002. They now have a target on their back and the rest of the MAC would love to knock them off their perch. The Owls blew a 31-13 lead to Miami (Ohio) last week and needed a last-second field goal to pull off the 34-32 victory (-17). They now go on the road for the third time in four weeks to face the Zips, who played the spoiler last week and defeated Kent State to end a six-game losing streak. Akron is now playing its second straight home game after playing 4 of their previous 5 on the road. Running Attack Bernard Pierce has carried the Owls with 1,211 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns this season. In the last three games alone he has accumulated 657 yards and eight touchdowns on a 6.0 yards per carry (ypc). average. The Zips have had a stout run defense this season, allowing just 3.1 ypc and two touchdowns in their four home games this season. Last year they held Temple to just 3.4 ypc and went into the fourth quarter tied 6-6 before allowing 21 points in the final quarter. Trends Temple is 3-25 SU in its last 28 November and December road games but is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall and 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 conference games. Akron is 19-8-2 ATS in its last 29 games as a home underdog but just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall. The Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference games. The Owls have finished ‘over’ in their last four games and the Zips jumped ‘over’ in eight of their last 11 at home. A post a day and your access will stay!

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